Alert archive / Ohio / Ice Storm Warnings in 2019
Ice Storm Warning 1, NWS Cleveland, OH
NWS Cleveland, OH issued this ice storm warning at Feb 11, 2019, 2:29 PM EST for Lucas County, Ohio. It took effect at Feb 11, 2019, 8:00 PM EST. It was in force for 15 hr. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 11, 2019, 2:29 PM EST (19:29 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 11, 2019, 8:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Feb 12, 2019, 11:00 AM EST
- In force
- 15 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Cleveland, OH
County Lucas County, OH
The radar
The Detroit radar (KDTX), 113 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 7:00 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Toledo, OH | 12-HOUR ICE ACCUMULATION. |
| Feb 12, 7:30 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Toledo, OH | 12-HOUR ICE ACCUMULATION. POWER LINES AND TREE LIMBS REPORTED DOWN DUE TO ICE. APPROXIMATELY 10,000 TO 15,000 REPORTED TO BE WITHOUT POWER. |
| Feb 12, 9:42 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.3 | 2 N Ottawa Hills, OH | 12-HOUR ICE ACCUMULATION. |
| Feb 12, 9:55 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.4 | Holland, OH | 12-HOUR ICE ACCUMULATION. |
| Feb 12, 10:00 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.5 | 4 N Toledo, OH | REPORT RELAYED BY ANOTHER NWS OFFICE FROM PUBLIC ON THE NORTH SIDE OF TOLEDO METRO AREA OF ICE ACCUMULATION UP TO 0.5 INCH OF ICE AND MANY DOWNED TREES, POWER OUTAGES. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 115 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 450 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 62 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 19 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 174 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
813 WWUS41 KCLE 111929 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 229 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019 ...Wintry mix moves into the area tonight... .Precipitation is expected to overspread the area this evening and continue through the night as a warm front lifts north through the area. In northwest Ohio, precipitation will start out as a mix and quickly transition to mostly freezing rain through late evening and overnight. Precipitation will transition to all rain Tuesday morning. Northern Pennsylvania will see mixed precipitation develop late this evening and continue overnight, eventually changing to mainly freezing rain. The freezing rain will linger into Tuesday before changing to all rain. Accumulations of ice in far northwest Ohio could be significant and reach a quarter inch. OHZ003-120330- /O.UPG.KCLE.WW.Y.0015.190212T0100Z-190212T1300Z/ /O.NEW.KCLE.IS.W.0001.190212T0100Z-190212T1300Z/ Lucas- Including the city of Toledo 229 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019 ...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Significant icing expected. Total snow accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of up to a quarter inch expected. * WHERE...Lucas county. * WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 8 AM EST Tuesday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on icy road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact travel overnight and through the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... An Ice Storm Warning means significant amounts of ice accumulation will make travel dangerous or impossible. Travel is strongly discouraged. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Snapped power lines and falling tree branches are also possible. The latest road conditions can be obtained from the Department of Transportation web site. && $$ OHZ009-017-018-120330- /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0015.190211T2300Z-190212T0500Z/ Erie-Hancock-Seneca- Including the cities of Sandusky, Findlay, and Tiffin 229 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of a light glaze expected. * WHERE...Hancock, Erie and Seneca counties. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to midnight EST tonight. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. The latest road conditions can be obtained from the Department of Transportation web site. && $$ OHZ006>008-120330- /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0015.190212T0100Z-190212T1300Z/ Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky- Including the cities of Bowling Green, Port Clinton, and Fremont 229 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of between 1 and 2 tenths of an inch expected. * WHERE...Ottawa, Wood and Sandusky counties. * WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 8 AM EST Tuesday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on icy road conditions. The hazardous conditions will travel overnight and through the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. The latest road conditions can be obtained from the Department of Transportation web site. && $$ PAZ001>003-120330- /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0015.190212T0400Z-190212T1800Z/ Northern Erie-Southern Erie-Crawford- Including the cities of Erie, Edinboro, and Meadville 229 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch expected. * WHERE...Crawford, Northern Erie and Southern Erie counties. * WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Tuesday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. The latest road conditions can be obtained from the Department of Transportation web site. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://www.weather.gov/cle
5 follow-up statements
099 WWUS41 KCLE 120301 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1001 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019 ...Wintry mix and icing expected... .Precipitation is expected to overspread the area tonight as a warm front lifts north into the area. In northwest Ohio, precipitation will start out as a mix before transitioning to primarily freezing rain. Accumulations of ice in the greater Toledo area could be significant and reach a quarter inch.Precipitation will transition to all rain Tuesday morning. Northern Pennsylvania will see mixed precipitation develop towards midnight and continue overnight, eventually changing to mainly freezing rain. The freezing rain will linger into Tuesday before changing to all rain. OHZ003-121115- /O.CON.KCLE.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190212T1300Z/ Lucas- Including the city of Toledo 1001 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019 ...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Significant icing. Total snow or sleet accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of up to a quarter inch. * WHERE...Lucas county. * WHEN...Until 8 AM EST Tuesday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. East to northeast winds of 10 to 20 mph will gust to around 25 mph. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... An Ice Storm Warning means significant amounts of ice accumulation will make travel dangerous or impossible. Travel is strongly discouraged. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Snapped power lines and falling tree branches are also possible. The latest road conditions can be obtained from the Department of Transportation web site. && $$ OHZ009-017-018-120900- /O.EXT.KCLE.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-190212T0900Z/ Erie-Hancock-Seneca- Including the cities of Sandusky, Findlay, and Tiffin 1001 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Total snow and sleet accumulation of less than one inch and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Hancock, Erie and Seneca counties. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Tuesday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. The latest road conditions can be obtained from the Department of Transportation web site. && $$ OHZ006>008-121115- /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-190212T1300Z/ Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky- Including the cities of Bowling Green, Port Clinton, and Fremont 1001 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Total snow and sleet accumulation of less than inch inch and ice accumulations of one tenth to two tenths of an inch. * WHERE...Ottawa, Wood and Sandusky counties. * WHEN...Until 8 AM EST Tuesday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. The latest road conditions can be obtained from the Department of Transportation web site. && $$ PAZ001>003-121115- /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0015.190212T0400Z-190212T1800Z/ Northern Erie-Southern Erie-Crawford- Including the cities of Erie, Edinboro, and Meadville 1001 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of around one inch and ice accumulations of one to two tenths of an inch expected. * WHERE...Crawford, Northern Erie and Southern Erie counties. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Tuesday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. The latest road conditions can be obtained from the Department of Transportation web site. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://www.weather.gov/cle
151 WWUS41 KCLE 120824 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 324 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019 ...Wintry mix and icing continues... .Precipitation continues across the area early this morning, with warm air and the transition to all rain slowly working northward. Freezing rain will continue to transition to rain through mid morning from south to north across northwest Ohio, with slippery road conditions possibly lingering for an hour or two after the transition to all rain. The highest ice accumulation totals are expected in northwest Lucas county, with an additional one quarter inch possible through mid morning. The transition from mixed precipitation to rain will occur a few hours later across northwest Pennsylvania. OHZ003-121600- /O.EXT.KCLE.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190212T1600Z/ Lucas- Including the city of Toledo 324 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019 ...ICE STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Significant icing. Additional ice accumulations around one quarter of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph. * WHERE...Lucas county. * WHEN...Until 11 AM EST this morning. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... An Ice Storm Warning means significant amounts of ice accumulation will make travel dangerous or impossible. Travel is strongly discouraged. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Snapped power lines and falling tree branches are also possible. The latest road conditions can be obtained from the Department of Transportation web site. && $$ OHZ009-017-018-121200- /O.EXT.KCLE.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-190212T1200Z/ Erie-Hancock-Seneca- Including the cities of Sandusky, Findlay, and Tiffin 324 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Freezing rain. Additional ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Hancock, Erie and Seneca counties. * WHEN...Until 7 AM EST this morning. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. The latest road conditions can be obtained from the Department of Transportation web site. && $$ OHZ006>008-121400- /O.EXT.KCLE.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-190212T1400Z/ Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky- Including the cities of Bowling Green, Port Clinton, and Fremont 324 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Freezing rain. Additional ice accumulations of one tenth to one quarter of an inch, with the highest amounts in northern Wood and western Ottawa counties. * WHERE...Ottawa, Wood and Sandusky counties. * WHEN...Until 9 AM EST this morning. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. The latest road conditions can be obtained from the Department of Transportation web site. && $$ PAZ001>003-121630- /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-190212T1800Z/ Northern Erie-Southern Erie-Crawford- Including the cities of Erie, Edinboro, and Meadville 324 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of up to two tenths of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Crawford, Northern Erie and Southern Erie counties. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. The latest road conditions can be obtained from the Department of Transportation web site. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://www.weather.gov/cle
592 WWUS41 KCLE 121157 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 657 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019 OHZ009-017-018-121300- /O.EXP.KCLE.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-190212T1200Z/ Erie-Hancock-Seneca- Including the cities of Sandusky, Findlay, and Tiffin 657 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 AM EST THIS MORNING... Precipitation has transitioned to rain this morning as temperatures rose above freezing, therefore the advisory will be allowed to expire. Untreated surfaces may remain slippery for another hour or two. Use caution if traveling this morning. $$ OHZ003-121600- /O.CON.KCLE.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190212T1600Z/ Lucas- Including the city of Toledo 657 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019 ...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Significant icing. Additional ice accumulations around a tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Lucas county. * WHEN...Until 11 AM EST this morning. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... An Ice Storm Warning means significant amounts of ice accumulation will make travel dangerous or impossible. Travel is strongly discouraged. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Snapped power lines and falling tree branches are also possible. The latest road conditions can be obtained from the Department of Transportation web site. && $$ OHZ006>008-121400- /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-190212T1400Z/ Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky- Including the cities of Bowling Green, Port Clinton, and Fremont 657 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Freezing rain. Additional ice accumulations around a trace to a tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Ottawa, Wood and Sandusky counties. * WHEN...Until 9 AM EST this morning. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. The latest road conditions can be obtained from the Department of Transportation web site. && $$ PAZ001>003-121800- /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-190212T1800Z/ Northern Erie-Southern Erie-Crawford- Including the cities of Erie, Edinboro, and Meadville 657 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of around two tenths of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Crawford, Northern Erie and Southern Erie counties. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. The latest road conditions can be obtained from the Department of Transportation web site. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://www.weather.gov/cle
571 WWUS41 KCLE 121359 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 859 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019 PAZ001>003-121500- /O.CAN.KCLE.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-190212T1800Z/ Northern Erie-Southern Erie-Crawford- Including the cities of Erie, Edinboro, and Meadville 859 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... Temperatures have warmed to 33 and 34 degrees across Erie and Crawford counties in Pennsylvania. Therefore, the winter weather advisory has been cancelled. Keep in mind, untreated surfaces may be ice covered and motorists and those walking should exercise caution and be alert for ice on surfaces. $$ OHZ006>008-121500- /O.CAN.KCLE.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-190212T1400Z/ Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky- Including the cities of Bowling Green, Port Clinton, and Fremont 859 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... Temperatures have warmed to 33 and 34 degrees across the area. Therefore, the winter weather advisory has been cancelled. Keep in mind, untreated surfaces may be ice covered and motorists and those walking should exercise caution and be alert for ice on surfaces. $$ OHZ003-121600- /O.CON.KCLE.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190212T1600Z/ Lucas- Including the city of Toledo 859 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019 ...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Significant icing. * WHERE...Lucas county. * WHEN...Until 11 AM EST this morning. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Temperatures remain around 32 degrees across Lucas county. Light freezing rain is also present across the area and this will continue for the next couple hours. Additional ice accumulations around a tenth of an inch can be expected. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... An Ice Storm Warning means significant amounts of ice accumulation will make travel dangerous or impossible. Travel is strongly discouraged. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Snapped power lines and falling tree branches are also possible. The latest road conditions can be obtained from the Department of Transportation web site. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://www.weather.gov/cle
696 WWUS41 KCLE 121604 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1104 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019 OHZ003-121715- /O.EXP.KCLE.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190212T1600Z/ Lucas- Including the city of Toledo 1104 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019 ...ICE STORM WARNING HAS EXPIRED... Temperatures continue to warm into the lower and middle 30s across the area. Therefore, the Ice Storm Warning has been allowed to expire. Untreated surfaces may still have ice accumulated on them and motorists and walkers should be alert for ice covered surfaces. $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://www.weather.gov/cle
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this ice storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this ice storm warning went out at Feb 11, 12:00 PM EST, 2 hours 29 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 11, 12:00 PM EST, 2 hours 29 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1200 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019
.SYNOPSIS...
A warm front over the area will weaken today. Low pressure will
track towards the Great Lakes tonight into Tuesday, lifting
another warm front into the area. The low will move northeast
out of the Great Lakes Tuesday night into Wednesday forcing a
cold front through the area. High pressure will build east
across the region Wednesday through Thursday night.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Update...Added another tier of counties south for the winter
weather advisory in northwest Ohio. Event starting 6pm of just
after lasting through midnight until the warmer air gets in.
Also reworked wx grids through the night.
Original discussion...
A weakening warm front remains draped west to east across the
area from near Findlay to Youngstown. This is providing enough
forcing for some light precip across the area early this
morning, with little ice in the cloud layer, leading to more
freezing drizzle than snow. This will continue into the morning
before low level forcing becomes weaker, however areas of fog
will persist near and south of the front through the morning
hours. A period of relatively dry conditions is expected later
this morning through this afternoon across the area surface
ridging hold across the Great Lakes and low/mid level
frontogenesis remains just south of the area. However, this
forcing will work northward into the area later this afternoon
through tonight as low pressure deepens and tracks northeast
towards the area in response to a digging mid level longwave
trough across the central CONUS. This will bring precip into the
area from the south this afternoon through tonight. Have
generally slowed down the arrival of likely/cat pops this
afternoon/evening across the area with the latest models
trending drier during this period. However, deeper moisture will
quickly move into the area near/after 00Z with pops ramping up
to near 100% tonight into Tuesday. Precip type evolution remain
complicated and somewhat lower confidence, however expecting a
generally quick transition from snow to rain for most areas
tonight. The exception remains northwest Ohio and northwest PA.
Stronger northeast flow across northwest Ohio will keep
temperatures cooler through tonight, with a deeper cold layer
allowing for freezing rain/sleet to persist for a longer period
of time. Surface temps will remain colder across the higher
terrain in northwest PA. This combined with a later warming of
temps aloft will lead to a similar prolonged period of snow,
sleet and freezing rain. Have opted for Winter Weather
Advisories for these areas, with light snow/ice accumulations
expected. There may be a need to expand the advisory further
south and east in northwest Ohio depending on the evolution of
surface temperatures this afternoon through the overnight.
Generally expecting a tenth of an inch or less of ice
accumulation tonight into tomorrow for the advisory areas.
Surface temps will rise sharply above freezing through the night
and Tuesday morning from south to north as the low moves into
the Great Lakes lifting a warm front into the area. Expecting a
transition to all rain to be complete by mid morning in the
advisory areas and earlier south. Broad low/mid level forcing
and good support aloft/combined with high moisture values with
PWATS nearing 1 inch across the area will lead to rainfall
amounts from three quarters to an inch and a quarter across the
area. This could lead to renewed flooding along area rivers/low
lying areas, however held off on any flood headlines at this
time. Temps will rise into the mid/upper 40s across much of the
area on Tuesday, with low 40s across northwest Ohio and
northwest PA.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Low pressure just north-northwest of Lake Erie Tuesday evening will
usher in cold temperatures on gusty winds. Still looking at the
potential for wind advisory level wind Tuesday night/early Wednesday
with strong west winds. For now will cap the winds at 45 mph.
Cyclonic flow and wrap around moisture will keep precipitation
chances high across all of the area for Tuesday night and across the
east half of the area on Wednesday. Temperatures are expected to
fall into the mid/upper 20s with little recovery on Wednesday.
Precipitation expected to cleanly transition from rain to snow with
light accumulations. Snow chances linger into Wednesday with lake
effect. High pressure resides overhead for Thursday although some
guidance shows a weak shortwave moving through the flow and light
precip with an early developing warm front. Will hold off on
meaningful precip chances until Thursday night. Temperatures will be
moderating between Thursday and Thursday night with rain the primary
precip type and a mix across the far north.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Broadly and generally speaking another panhandle low makes its way
to the Great Lakes for Friday. There remains plenty of differences
in track that have a significant impact on the sensible weather
across our area. With the broad envelope of solutions have pulled
back on temperatures for the weekend. The operational guidance is
some of the warmest solutions. The low/cold front crosses Friday
evening/Friday night. Regardless of track, precip chances remain
categorical with rain changing over to snow. Colder for the
remainder of the weekend with high pressure building in late.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z Monday THROUGH Friday/...
IFR conditions will persist through the period as a warm front
lingers across the area. Some light -FZDZ may impact the
terminals early this morning before diminishing. The warm front
will remain stationary until tonight, then lift north of the
area towards the end of the period. Precipitation will
overspread the area generally after 21Z, with the potential for
mixed precip at the onset before transitioning to all rain at
the end/beyond the TAF period. KFDY and KTOL have the greatest
risk for FZRA after 00Z, otherwise the remaining terminals
should see either precipitation beginning as rain or a quick
transition from snow to rain. Winds will be light and easterly
south of the front, northeasterly north of the front, today.
Winds will increase tonight becoming more southeasterly and
gusty.
OUTLOOK...Non-VFR possible Monday through Tuesday night.
&&
.MARINE...
Another active week on the lake with low pressure passing near the
lake both Tuesday and Friday. Deepening low pressure will move
northeast just west of Lake Erie and across lower Ontario Tuesday
afternoon/Tuesday night and sweep a cold front across Lake Erie.
Have raised a Gale Watch for this time period. This track and
trajectory would be favorable for west-southwest gales in the wake
of the low with the cold air advection. Winds subside Wedneday
evening and high pressure shifts overhead for Thursday. The next low
has a similar track although at this time range, there is larger
differences in timing and position relative to Lake Erie and these
details would have a significant effect on winds.
&&
.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Winter Weather Advisory from 6 PM this evening to midnight EST
tonight for OHZ009-017-018.
Winter Weather Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 8 AM EST
Tuesday for OHZ003-006>008.
PA...Winter Weather Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 1 PM EST
Tuesday for PAZ001>003.
MARINE...Gale Watch from Tuesday evening through Wednesday evening for
LEZ142>149-162>169.
&&
SYNOPSIS...Greenawalt
NEAR TERM...Greenawalt/TK
SHORT TERM...Oudeman
LONG TERM...Oudeman
AVIATION...Greenawalt
MARINE...OudemanHazardous weather outlook, Feb 11, 4:40 AM EST, 9 hours 49 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Cleveland OH 440 AM EST Mon Feb 11 2019 OHZ009>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-120945- Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca- Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland- Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox- Ashtabula Lakeshore- 440 AM EST Mon Feb 11 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast Ohio and northwest Ohio. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. A brief wintry mix is possible this afternoon through tonight as precipitation overspreads the area from the south. This could briefly cause hazardous travel conditions on untreated roadways before the precipitation transitions to rain. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Wind gusts may approach 45 mph Tuesday night into Wednesday as strong low pressure moves across the Great Lakes. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. OHZ003-006>008-120945- Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky- 440 AM EST Mon Feb 11 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EST TUESDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Ohio. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. Wind gusts may approach 45 mph Tuesday night into Wednesday as strong low pressure moves across the Great Lakes. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. PAZ001>003-120945- Northern Erie-Southern Erie-Crawford- 440 AM EST Mon Feb 11 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. Wind gusts may approach 45 mph Tuesday night into Wednesday as strong low pressure moves across the Great Lakes. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. LEZ061-142>149-162>169-120945- Lake Erie open waters from Ripley to Buffalo NY- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH- Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY- Lake Erie open waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH- Lake Erie open waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH- Lake Erie open waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH- Lake Erie open waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH- Lake Erie open waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH- Lake Erie open waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH- Lake Erie open waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH- Lake Erie open waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY- 440 AM EST Mon Feb 11 2019 ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Feb 11, 8:54 AM EST, 5 hours 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
854 AM EST MON FEB 11 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM SNOW DALTON 40.80N 81.70W
02/11/2019 M3.0 INCH WAYNE OH TRAINED SPOTTER
12-HOUR SNOWFALL.
&&
EVENT NUMBER CLE1900863
THOMPSONLocal storm report, Feb 11, 10:17 AM EST, 4 hours 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1017 AM EST MON FEB 11 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM SNOW 1 NW POLAND 41.03N 80.62W
02/11/2019 M2.0 INCH MAHONING OH TRAINED SPOTTER
12-HOUR SNOWFALL.
&&
EVENT NUMBER CLE1900864
THOMPSONLocal storm report, Feb 11, 10:55 AM EST, 3 hours 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1055 AM EST MON FEB 11 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0500 AM SNOW BELLEVUE 41.28N 82.84W
02/11/2019 M2.6 INCH HURON OH COCORAHS
24-HOUR SNOWFALL.
0600 AM SNOW 4 WNW CHESTERVILLE 40.51N 82.76W
02/11/2019 M2.2 INCH MORROW OH COCORAHS
24-HOUR SNOWFALL.
0700 AM SNOW 4 SW DALTON 40.75N 81.75W
02/11/2019 M3.0 INCH WAYNE OH COCORAHS
24-HOUR SNOWFALL.
0700 AM SNOW 4 SE MARION 40.53N 83.09W
02/11/2019 M2.3 INCH MARION OH COCORAHS
24-HOUR SNOWFALL.
0700 AM SNOW 3 WSW ASHLAND 40.83N 82.38W
02/11/2019 M2.1 INCH ASHLAND OH COCORAHS
24-HOUR SNOWFALL.
0700 AM SNOW 1 W HILLS AND DALES 40.83N 81.48W
02/11/2019 M2.5 INCH STARK OH COCORAHS
24-HOUR SNOWFALL.
0700 AM SNOW 4 NNW FREDERICKTOWN 40.54N 82.56W
02/11/2019 M2.2 INCH KNOX OH COCORAHS
24-HOUR SNOWFALL.
0700 AM SNOW 1 W GALION 40.73N 82.81W
02/11/2019 M2.5 INCH CRAWFORD OH COCORAHS
24-HOUR SNOWFALL.
0700 AM SNOW 3 S BERKEY 41.67N 83.84W
02/11/2019 M2.0 INCH LUCAS OH COCORAHS
24-HOUR SNOWFALL.
0715 AM SNOW WOOSTER EXP STATION 40.78N 81.92W
02/11/2019 M2.3 INCH WAYNE OH CO-OP OBSERVER
24-HOUR SNOWFALL.
&&
EVENT NUMBER CLE1900865
EVENT NUMBER CLE1900866
EVENT NUMBER CLE1900867
EVENT NUMBER CLE1900868
EVENT NUMBER CLE1900869
EVENT NUMBER CLE1900870
EVENT NUMBER CLE1900871
EVENT NUMBER CLE1900872
EVENT NUMBER CLE1900873
EVENT NUMBER CLE1900874
THOMPSONLocal storm report, Feb 11, 11:27 AM EST, 3 hours 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1127 AM EST MON FEB 11 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1126 AM SNOW 1 WSW SHAKER HEIGHTS 41.47N 81.56W
02/11/2019 M2.0 INCH CUYAHOGA OH TRAINED SPOTTER
24-HOUR SNOWFALL.
&&
EVENT NUMBER CLE1900875
THOMPSONLocal storm report, Feb 11, 12:49 PM EST, 1 hour 40 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1249 PM EST MON FEB 11 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM SNOW GREER 40.52N 82.20W
02/11/2019 M2.0 INCH KNOX OH PUBLIC
24 HOUR SNOWFALL.
&&
THOMPSONThe office that day
Everything else NWS Cleveland, OH issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 3:42 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | CLE | Erie, Hancock, Lucas, Ottawa, Sandusky, Seneca and 1 more | 29 hr |
| Feb 11, 3:49 AM EST | Gale Watch | CLE | 24 hr | |
| Feb 11, 2:53 PM EST | Flood Watch | CLE | Ashland, Ashtabula, Crawford, Cuyahoga, Erie, Geauga and 22 more | 32 hr |
Nearby
Ice Storm Warnings in Ohio, 2019Every ice storm warning in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.