Flash Flood Warning 18, NWS Cleveland, OH

481 
WGUS71 KCLE 210119
FFSCLE

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
919 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2019

OHC055-133-210215-
/O.CON.KCLE.FF.W.0018.000000T0000Z-190621T0215Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Portage OH-Geauga OH-
919 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2019

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM EDT FOR
NORTHERN PORTAGE AND SOUTHERN GEAUGA COUNTIES...

At 907 PM EDT, flooding continued across the warned area. One to two 
inches of rain fell across the warned area earlier today. Light 
rainfall will continue overnight but additional rainfall will be a 
quarter inch of less. Rises are expected to continue on area rivers, 
creeks, and streams into tonight.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.  Be especially cautious at night when it 
is harder to recognize the dangers of flooding.

Please report flooding to your local law enforcement agency when you
can do so safely.


&&

LAT...LON 4146 8100 4121 8100 4115 8139 4142 8139
      4142 8137 4145 8110

$$

Clark

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
151 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
An area of low pressure will move along a stalled front today
across the region. The low will move to the east of the area tonight
and force a cold front south across the area. High pressure
will build east across the area Friday followed by a warm front
that will lift northeast across the area Saturday night. Another
area of low pressure will impact the region with unsettled
weather next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Showers and thunderstorms have lined up along a warm front that
is arching across northern ohio. Heaviest rain will remain
focused along this boundary through the evening then should sag
southeast with the frontal boundary late evening into the
overnight.

We are thinking about extending the eastern portion of the
flash flood watch later into the evening. Also considering
adding NW PA for the evening.

Previous Discussion...
We are seeing widespread light to occasionally moderate showers
across the area this morning ahead of a low pressure system.
The low was located across western Indiana as of this discussion
and is moving east- northeastward. Regional radars show a more
concentrated area of rain and embedded isolated thunder closer
to the low pressure system which will be moving across northern
Ohio and northwest later today. The current Flash Flood Watch
still looks good at this time and no changes need to be made. We
are still looking at a storm total rainfall of 1 to 2 inches
with isolated higher amounts with this weather event. Obviously,
additional rainfall is the last thing we need and any higher
rainfall rates may cause additional flash flooding today.

As the area of low pressure exits the area this evening and
moves east, a cold front will move south across the area and
winds will shift to a northerly direction 5 to 10 mph. Showers
will gradually end from west to east this evening but hang on a
little longer for our far eastern counties overnight. We will
start out mostly cloudy Friday morning with a break in the cloud
cover by late morning and the afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Friday night begins with a ridge across eastern OH and wrn PA.  To
our west a warm front will extend from IA through KY to SC. The air
will be fairly dry across the region although models continue to
hint at convection developing overnight along and north of the warm
front.  The preferred motion of any convection would be to the
southeast along the thermal gradient so do not see convection
encroaching into much of the area.  For now will have chance pops
for the far west for after midnight but otherwise will keep the area
dry. By Saturday the high will pivot, extending from Lake Huron
across northeast OH into central PA.  The warm front will move a bit
closer but still should remain west and south of the immediate CWA.
The threat for convection should remain across the western most
counties with dry conditions elsewhere. saturday night the warm
front moves into the area and the NAM depicts convection dropping
ese across the area through the night. The GFS is less aggressive.
For now will boost pops to likely west and go with a chance pop for
the rest of northern OH.  Still looks dry across nwrn PA. Sunday the
upper ridge breaks down just a bit as the axis drifts east across
the area.  Will continue with likely pops west and chance pops
elsewhere. Highs Saturday in the mid and upper 70s.  Highs Sunday in
the lower 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Monday models show the upper ridge moving east as a short wave
trough approaches the area from the west. Would expect a decent
chance for showers and thunderstorms with the upper support moving
through so will have likely pops in place for Monday and likely east
for early Monday night.  Drier air will move in from the west Monday
night so will drop pops to chance through the night from the west.
Zonal flow Tuesday will lift into a broad upper ridge by Thursday
centered from the western lakes into the upper midwest. Will carry
chance pops Tuesday and Wednesday mainly for afternoon convection
but the Tuesday through Thursday time frame doesn't look all that
bad.  Highs around 80 each day.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Thursday THROUGH Monday/...
MVFR/IFR conditions will continue through the afternoon with a
stationary front located over the area. There will be periods of
showers and thunderstorms that move across each TAF site. Drier
air begins to move into the region tonight but we may end up
seeing some MVFR/IFR fog develop for a few hours before
sunrise. VFR conditions should be common on Friday. Winds will
becoming northerly this afternoon and evening at 5 to 10 knots.

OUTLOOK...Non-VFR possible Saturday through Monday.

&&

.MARINE...
Still looking for northeast flow to increase to around 15 knots this
morning before shifting to north this afternoon.  North to northwest
flow will continue tonight diminishing slowly. Conditions will
approach small craft levels central and east basins in northerly
flow this afternoon and evening and there may be times where waves
do reach 4 feet but believe conditions will, on balance, remain just
below. Still will be a bumpy day in the nearshore waters in the
north flow.  After tonight however, winds decrease on the lake and
remain mostly 10 to 15 knots or less through Monday.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Flash Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for OHZ003-
     006>013-017>023-027>033-036>038-047.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Griffin
NEAR TERM...Griffin/MM
SHORT TERM...TK
LONG TERM...TK
AVIATION...MM
MARINE...TK

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
238 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2019

OHZ009>014-019>023-029>033-038-047-089-PAZ001>003-211845-
Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Huron-Medina-
Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Holmes-
Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-Southern Erie-Crawford-
238 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast
Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

OHZ003-006>008-017-018-027-028-036-037-211845-
Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Hancock-Seneca-Wyandot-Crawford-Marion-
Morrow-
238 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio and
northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-211845-
Lake Erie open waters from Ripley to Buffalo NY-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Lake Erie open waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie open waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
238 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
143 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2019

PAZ002-003-202000-
Southern Erie-Crawford-
Including the cities of Edinboro and Meadville
143 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2019

...PATCHY DENSE FOG OVER THE HILLS...

Patchy dense fog continues over the higher terrain of inland Erie
and Crawford counties. Visibilities across the higher terrain may
dip to a quarter mile or less at times.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
210 PM EDT THU JUN 20 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0138 PM     FLOOD            5 SSW SANDUSKY SOUTH    41.35N 82.73W
06/20/2019                   ERIE               OH   PUBLIC

            FLOODING OVER ROADWAYS REPORTED IN ERIE
            COUNTY. FLOWING WATER OVER MASON ROAD.

&&

RC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
216 PM EDT THU JUN 20 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0216 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 N TIFFIN              41.15N 83.18W
06/20/2019  M2.50 INCH       SENECA             OH   PUBLIC

&&

PS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
246 PM EDT THU JUN 20 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0232 PM     FLOOD            BELLEVUE                41.27N 82.84W
06/20/2019                   SANDUSKY           OH   PUBLIC

            WATER OVER SEVERAL ROADWAYS IN BELLEVUE.

&&

PS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
301 PM EDT THU JUN 20 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0258 PM     FLOOD            FOSTORIA                41.16N 83.41W
06/20/2019                   SENECA             OH   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL ROADS FLOODED IN THE CITY OF
            FOSTORIA.

&&

RC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
307 PM EDT THU JUN 20 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0303 PM     HEAVY RAIN       5 NNE WAKEMAN           41.32N 82.37W
06/20/2019  M1.50 INCH       ERIE               OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            CREEK HAS COME OUT OF ITS BANKS IN THE
            BACKYARD.

&&

RC