Alert archive / New York / Winter Weather Advisories in 2019

Winter Weather Advisory 13, NWS Buffalo, NY

February 5, 201916 counties in New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this winter weather advisory at Feb 5, 2019, 1:44 PM EST for 16 counties in New York. It took effect at Feb 6, 2019, 7:00 AM EST. It was in force for 39 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 5, 2019, 1:44 PM EST (18:44 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 6, 2019, 7:00 AM EST
Expired
Feb 7, 2019, 9:47 PM EST
In force
39 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Wayne County, NY, Wyoming County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 6.7 hours before the alert went out and 87 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2019-02-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2019-02-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 92 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
582 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
70 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
92 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
145 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

909 
WWUS41 KBUF 051844
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
144 PM EST Tue Feb 5 2019

NYZ001>003-010-011-060300-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.190206T1200Z-190207T0600Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, and Batavia
144 PM EST Tue Feb 5 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM
EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations of one 
  tenth to three tenths of an inch expected.

* WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Northern Erie, and Genesee 
  counties.

* WHEN...From 7 AM Wednesday to 1 AM EST Thursday. The most
  significant icing will occur Wednesday morning and afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Power outages and tree damage are likely
  due to the ice. Travel could be extremely difficult, especially
  the Wednesday evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of freezing rain will result in slick roads. Slow down
and use caution while driving.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ012-013-019>021-085-060300-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.190206T1200Z-190206T2100Z/
Wyoming-Livingston-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Warsaw, Geneseo, Jamestown, Olean, 
Wellsville, Orchard Park, and Springville
144 PM EST Tue Feb 5 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations of a few
  hundredths of an inch to around a tenth of an inch expected.

* WHERE...Wyoming, Livingston, Chautauqua, Cattaraugus, 
  Allegany, and Southern Erie counties.

* WHEN...From 7 AM to 4 PM EST Wednesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The hazardous conditions could impact later
  portions of the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of freezing rain will result in slick roads. Slow down
and use caution while driving.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ004>006-014-060300-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.190206T1500Z-190207T0300Z/
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Ontario-
Including the cities of Newark, Fair Haven, Oswego, 
and Canandaigua
144 PM EST Tue Feb 5 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations of one to
  two tenths of an inch expected.

* WHERE...Wayne, Northern Cayuga, Oswego, and Ontario counties.

* WHEN...From 10 AM to 10 PM EST Wednesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Power outages and tree damage are likely
  due to the ice. Travel could be extremely difficult, especially
  during the Wednesday evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of freezing rain will result in slick roads. Slow down
and use caution while driving.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-060300-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.190206T1500Z-190207T0900Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
144 PM EST Tue Feb 5 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM
EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations of around
  a quarter inch expected. Precipitation may start off mixed with
  sleet.

* WHERE...Jefferson and Lewis counties.

* WHEN...From 10 AM Wednesday to 4 AM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Power outages and tree damage are likely
  due to the ice. Travel could be very difficult, especially the
  Wednesday evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of freezing rain will result in slick roads. Slow down
and use caution while driving.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

Apffel
12 follow-up statements
870 
WWUS41 KBUF 060403
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1103 PM EST Tue Feb 5 2019

NYZ001>003-010-011-061215-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.190206T1200Z-190207T0600Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, and Batavia
1103 PM EST Tue Feb 5 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY
TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations of one 
  tenth to three tenths of an inch expected.

* WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Northern Erie, and Genesee 
  counties.

* WHEN...From 7 AM Wednesday to 1 AM EST Thursday. The most 
  significant icing will occur Wednesday morning and afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Power outages and tree damage are likely 
  due to the ice. Travel could be extremely difficult, 
  especially the Wednesday evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of freezing rain will result in slick roads. Slow down
and use caution while driving.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ012-013-019>021-085-061215-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.190206T1200Z-190206T2100Z/
Wyoming-Livingston-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Warsaw, Geneseo, Jamestown, Olean, 
Wellsville, Orchard Park, and Springville
1103 PM EST Tue Feb 5 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations of a 
  few hundredths of an inch to around a tenth of an inch 
  expected.

* WHERE...Wyoming, Livingston, Chautauqua, Cattaraugus, 
  Allegany, and Southern Erie counties.

* WHEN...From 7 AM to 4 PM EST Wednesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The hazardous conditions could impact 
  later portions of the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of freezing rain will result in slick roads. Slow down
and use caution while driving.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ004>006-014-061215-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.190206T1500Z-190207T0300Z/
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Ontario-
Including the cities of Newark, Fair Haven, Oswego, 
and Canandaigua
1103 PM EST Tue Feb 5 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations of one 
  to two tenths of an inch expected.

* WHERE...Wayne, Northern Cayuga, Oswego, and Ontario counties.

* WHEN...From 10 AM to 10 PM EST Wednesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Power outages and tree damage are likely 
  due to the ice. Travel could be extremely difficult, 
  especially during the Wednesday evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of freezing rain will result in slick roads. Slow down
and use caution while driving.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-061215-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.190206T1500Z-190207T0900Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
1103 PM EST Tue Feb 5 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY
TO 4 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations of 
  around a quarter inch expected. Precipitation may start off 
  mixed with sleet.

* WHERE...Jefferson and Lewis counties.

* WHEN...From 10 AM Wednesday to 4 AM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Power outages and tree damage are likely 
  due to the ice. Travel could be very difficult, especially the 
  Wednesday evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of freezing rain will result in slick roads. Slow down
and use caution while driving.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$
958 
WWUS41 KBUF 060903
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
403 AM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

NYZ001>003-010-011-061715-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.190206T1200Z-190207T0600Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, and Batavia
403 AM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS
MORNING TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations of up to
  four tenths of an inch expected. Greatest ice accumulation
  likely to the north of the Niagara Escarpment.

* WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Northern Erie, and Genesee 
  counties.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 1 AM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Power outages and tree damage are possible
  due to the ice. Travel could be extremely difficult, especially
  the evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of freezing rain will result in slick roads. Slow down
and use caution while driving.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ012-013-019>021-085-061715-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.190206T1200Z-190206T2100Z/
Wyoming-Livingston-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Warsaw, Geneseo, Jamestown, Olean, 
Wellsville, Orchard Park, and Springville
403 AM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS
MORNING TO 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations of a 
  few hundredths of an inch to around a tenth of an inch 
  expected.

* WHERE...Wyoming, Livingston, Chautauqua, Cattaraugus, 
  Allegany, and Southern Erie counties.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 4 PM EST this afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The hazardous conditions could impact 
  later portions of the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of freezing rain will result in slick roads. Slow down
and use caution while driving.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ004>006-014-061715-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.190206T1500Z-190207T0300Z/
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Ontario-
Including the cities of Newark, Fair Haven, Oswego, 
and Canandaigua
403 AM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS
MORNING TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations of 
  around one quarter of an inch expected.

* WHERE...Wayne, Northern Cayuga, Oswego, and Ontario counties.

* WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 10 PM EST this evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The weight of ice will weigh down tree
  branches and power lines, with isolated power outages possible
  due to the ice. Travel could be extremely difficult, especially
  during the evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of freezing rain will result in slick roads. Slow down
and use caution while driving.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-061715-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.190206T1500Z-190207T0900Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
403 AM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS
MORNING TO 4 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations of around
  a third of an inch expected. Precipitation may start off mixed 
  with a little snow or sleet with little or no accumulation.

* WHERE...Jefferson and Lewis counties.

* WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 4 AM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The weight of ice will weigh down tree
  branches and power lines, with isolated power outages possible
  due to the ice. Travel could be very difficult, especially the
  evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of freezing rain will result in slick roads. Slow down
and use caution while driving.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$
623 
WWUS41 KBUF 061710
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1210 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

NYZ020-021-061815-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190206T2100Z/
Cattaraugus-Allegany-
Including the cities of Olean and Wellsville
1210 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Temperatures have warmed above freezing, so the threat of
icing has ended.

$$

NYZ001>003-010-011-070115-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190207T0600Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, and Batavia
1210 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing rain. Additional ice accumulations of around two
  tenths of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph.

* WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Northern Erie, and Genesee 
  counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The hazardous conditions could impact the 
  evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of freezing rain will result in slick roads. Slow down
and use caution while driving.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ012-013-019-085-062100-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190206T2100Z/
Wyoming-Livingston-Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Warsaw, Geneseo, Jamestown, Orchard Park,
and Springville
1210 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Freezing rain. Additional ice accumulations of a few
  hundredths of an inch, especially along the Lake Erie shoreline
  in Chautauqua and Erie coutnies and in the low spots of 
  Livingston and Wyoming counties.

* WHERE...Wyoming, Livingston, Chautauqua, and Southern Erie 
  counties.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EST this afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of freezing rain will result in slick roads. Slow down
and use caution while driving.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ004>006-014-070115-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190207T0300Z/
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Ontario-
Including the cities of Newark, Fair Haven, Oswego, 
and Canandaigua
1210 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Freezing rain. Additional ice accumulations of around 
  one quarter of an inch.

* WHERE...Wayne, Northern Cayuga, Oswego, and Ontario counties.

* WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The hazardous conditions could impact the 
  evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of freezing rain will result in slick roads. Slow down
and use caution while driving.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-070115-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190207T0900Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
1210 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing rain. Ice accumulations of around one quarter 
  of an inch.

* WHERE...Jefferson and Lewis counties.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Power outages and tree damage are likely 
  due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of freezing rain will result in slick roads. Slow down
and use caution while driving.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$
814 
WWUS41 KBUF 061848
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
148 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

NYZ012-013-019-085-062000-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190206T2100Z/
Wyoming-Livingston-Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Warsaw, Geneseo, Jamestown, Orchard Park,
and Springville
148 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Temperatures have warmed above freezing, and the threat for
additional icing has ended.

$$

NYZ001>003-010-011-070300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190207T0600Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, and Batavia
148 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing rain. Additional ice accumulations of around one
  tenth of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. Temperatures
  may rise above freezing later this afternoon and evening but
  then fall back toward freezing overnight with additional
  freezing drizzle possible.

* WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Northern Erie, and Genesee 
  counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The hazardous conditions could impact the 
  evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of freezing rain will result in slick roads. Slow down
and use caution while driving.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ004>006-014-070300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190207T0300Z/
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Ontario-
Including the cities of Newark, Fair Haven, Oswego, 
and Canandaigua
148 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Freezing rain. Additional ice accumulations of around
  three tenths of an inch. Temperatures may rise above freezing 
  later this afternoon and evening but then fall back toward 
  freezing overnight with additional freezing drizzle possible.

* WHERE...Wayne, Northern Cayuga, Oswego, and Ontario counties.

* WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Power outages and tree damage are likely 
  due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of freezing rain will result in slick roads. Slow down
and use caution while driving.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-070300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190207T0900Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
148 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing rain. Additional ice accumulations of two tenths
  to four tenths of an inch.

* WHERE...Jefferson and Lewis counties.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Power outages and tree damage are likely 
  due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of freezing rain will result in slick roads. Slow down
and use caution while driving.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$
004 
WWUS41 KBUF 062346
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
646 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

NYZ001>003-010-011-070800-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190207T1300Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, and Batavia
646 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...light freezing rain and drizzle. Additional ice 
  accumulations of a few hundredths of an inch.

* WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Northern Erie, and Genesee 
  counties.

* WHEN...Until 8 AM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The hazardous conditions could impact the
  morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Leftover light freezing rain or freezing drizzle will result in 
icy conditions on untreated surfaces such as roads and sidewalks.
Slow down and use caution while driving.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-070800-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190207T1300Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
646 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing rain and drizzle. Additional ice accumulations 
  of around one tenth of an inch.

* WHERE...Jefferson and Lewis counties.

* WHEN...Until 8 AM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The hazardous conditions could impact the
  morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Leftover light freezing rain or freezing drizzle will result in 
icy conditions on untreated surfaces such as roads and sidewalks.
Slow down and use caution while driving.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ004>006-014-070300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190207T0300Z/
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Ontario-
Including the cities of Newark, Fair Haven, Oswego, 
and Canandaigua
646 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Freezing rain. Additional ice accumulations of around 
  one tenth of an inch.

* WHERE...Wayne, Northern Cayuga, Oswego, and Ontario counties.

* WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The hazardous conditions could impact the 
  remainder of the evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of freezing rain will result in slick roads. Slow down
and use caution while driving.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$
883 
WWUS41 KBUF 070251
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
951 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

NYZ004>006-014-070400-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190207T0300Z/
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Ontario-
Including the cities of Newark, Fair Haven, Oswego, 
and Canandaigua
951 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

$$

NYZ001>003-010-011-071100-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190207T1300Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, and Batavia
951 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing light rain and drizzle. Additional ice 
  accumulations of a few hundredths of an inch.

* WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Northern Erie, and Genesee 
  counties.

* WHEN...Until 8 AM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The hazardous conditions could impact the 
  morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of freezing rain will result in slick roads and sidewalks.
Slow down and use caution while driving.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-071100-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190207T1300Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
951 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing rain. Additional ice accumulations of a few 
  hundredths of an inch.

* WHERE...Jefferson and Lewis counties.

* WHEN...Until 8 AM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The hazardous conditions could impact the 
  morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of freezing rain will result in slick roads and sidewalks.
Slow down and use caution while driving.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$
241 
WWUS41 KBUF 070847
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
347 AM EST Thu Feb 7 2019

NYZ001>003-010-011-071300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190207T1300Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, and Batavia
347 AM EST Thu Feb 7 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Freezing drizzle.

* WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Northern Erie, and Genesee 
  counties.

* WHEN...Until 8 AM EST this morning.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The hazardous conditions could impact the 
  morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of freezing drizzle will result in slick roads. Slow down
and use caution while driving.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-071300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190207T1300Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
347 AM EST Thu Feb 7 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Freezing rain. Additional ice accumulations of a few 
  hundredths of an inch.

* WHERE...Jefferson and Lewis counties.

* WHEN...Until 8 AM EST this morning.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The hazardous conditions could impact the 
  morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of freezing rain will result in slick roads. Slow down
and use caution while driving.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$
123 
WWUS41 KBUF 071041
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
541 AM EST Thu Feb 7 2019

NYZ004>006-012>014-085-071700-
/O.EXB.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190207T1700Z/
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-
Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Newark, Fair Haven, Oswego, Warsaw, 
Geneseo, Canandaigua, Orchard Park, and Springville
541 AM EST Thu Feb 7 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

* WHAT...Light freezing rain and freezing drizzle. Additional ice
  accumulation a trace to a few hundredths. 

* WHERE...Wayne, Northern Cayuga, Oswego, Wyoming, Livingston, 
  Ontario, and Southern Erie counties.

* WHEN...Until noon EST today.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The hazardous conditions could impact the 
  morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Leftover light freezing rain or freezing drizzle will result in 
icy conditions on untreated surfaces such as roads and sidewalks.
Slow down and use caution while driving.

Submit snow and ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ001>003-008-010-011-071700-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190207T1700Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Lewis-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Lowville, Buffalo, and Batavia
541 AM EST Thu Feb 7 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

* WHAT...Light freezing rain and freezing drizzle. Additional ice
  accumulation a trace to a few hundredths.

* WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Lewis, Northern Erie, and 
  Genesee counties.

* WHEN...Until noon EST today.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The hazardous conditions could impact the 
  morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Leftover light freezing rain or freezing drizzle will result in 
icy conditions on untreated surfaces such as roads and sidewalks.
Slow down and use caution while driving.

Submit snow and ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ007-071845-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190208T0300Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
541 AM EST Thu Feb 7 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Light freezing rain and freezing drizzle. Additional ice
  accumulation a trace to a few hundredths. 

* WHERE...Jefferson county this morning. Across the Saint 
  Lawrence Valley through this evening.

* WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The hazardous conditions could impact the 
  morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Light freezing rain or freezing drizzle will result in icy 
conditions on untreated surfaces such as roads and sidewalks. Slow
down and use caution while driving.

Submit snow and ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

Thomas
095 
WWUS41 KBUF 071549
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1049 AM EST Thu Feb 7 2019

NYZ001>006-008-010>014-085-072000-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190207T2000Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Lewis-
Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, Newark,
Fair Haven, Oswego, Lowville, Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Geneseo, 
Canandaigua, Orchard Park, and Springville
1049 AM EST Thu Feb 7 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Freezing drizzle. Additional ice accumulation a trace.

* WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Wayne, Northern Cayuga, 
  Oswego, Lewis, Erie, Genesee, Wyoming, Livingston, and Ontario 
  counties.

* WHEN...Until 3 PM EST this afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Untreated roadways will be slippery in
  spots. Also, walkways, parking lots will be very slick until 
  temperatures rise above freezing late this afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Leftover freezing drizzle will result in icy conditions on 
untreated surfaces such as roads and sidewalks. Slow down and use 
caution while driving.

Submit snow and ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ007-080000-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190208T0300Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
1049 AM EST Thu Feb 7 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Light freezing rain and freezing drizzle. Additional 
  ice accumulation a trace to a few hundredths.

* WHERE...Jefferson county this morning. Across the Saint 
  Lawrence Valley through this evening.

* WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The hazardous conditions could impact the 
  morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Light freezing rain or freezing drizzle will result in icy
conditions on untreated surfaces such as roads and sidewalks.
Slow down and use caution while driving.

Submit snow and ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$
278 
WWUS41 KBUF 071808
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
108 PM EST Thu Feb 7 2019

NYZ001>006-008-010>014-085-071915-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190207T2000Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Lewis-
Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, Newark,
Fair Haven, Oswego, Lowville, Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Geneseo, 
Canandaigua, Orchard Park, and Springville
108 PM EST Thu Feb 7 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Freezing drizzle has ended for areas south of Lake Ontario. There
are a few places that are still below freezing however. Untreated
roads and sidewalks may continue to be slippery this afternoon.  

$$

NYZ007-080215-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190208T0300Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
108 PM EST Thu Feb 7 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Light freezing rain and freezing drizzle. Additional 
  ice accumulation a trace to a few hundredths.

* WHERE...Jefferson County into the Saint Lawrence Valley through
  this evening.

* WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The hazardous conditions could impact the evening
  commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Light freezing rain or freezing drizzle will result in icy
conditions on untreated surfaces such as roads and sidewalks.
Slow down and use caution while driving.

Submit snow and ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$
001 
WWUS41 KBUF 072224
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
524 PM EST Thu Feb 7 2019

NYZ007-080300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190208T0300Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
524 PM EST Thu Feb 7 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Light freezing rain and freezing drizzle. Additional ice
  accumulation should just be a trace amount.

* WHERE...Jefferson county.

* WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The hazardous conditions could impact the 
  evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Light freezing rain or freezing drizzle will result in icy 
conditions on untreated surfaces such as roads and sidewalks. Slow
down and use caution while driving.

Submit snow and ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$
332 
WWUS41 KBUF 080247
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
947 PM EST Thu Feb 7 2019

NYZ007-080400-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190208T0300Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
947 PM EST Thu Feb 7 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Temperatures have climbed above freezing across the region...so
precipitation during the remainder of the night will just fall as
rain.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter weather advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter weather advisory went out at Feb 5, 1:31 PM EST, 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 5, 1:31 PM EST, 13 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
131 PM EST Tue Feb 5 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will slide east of the area this afternoon,
followed by high pressure and cooler temperatures and dry conditions
through this evening. The next system should bring wintry mix to the
region Wednesday into Thursday, with yet another wet system by
Friday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Early this afternoon a cold front has moved east of the area,
with dry conditions but lingering cloud cover. This boundary
will usher in cooler temperatures this afternoon. Highs for
most locations have already been reached today, with
temperatures falling to the lower 30s and upper 20s by late
afternoon.

A large area of high pressure will move into northern Ontario this
evening and extend south into the eastern Great Lakes. Cold, dry air
at the surface will filter into the region tonight. A brief clearing
and winds diminishing will also help temperatures fall to the
low to mid 20s in most areas, except around 10 across the North
Country. By late tonight, the next system will move northward
towards the Ohio River Valley. Warm air advection aloft will
begin across far western NY by Wednesday morning. The dry
airmass in place will keep a majority of the region dry however
a chance for freezing rain will enter the western Southern Tier
by 12z Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
High pressure centered over western Quebec will maintain a flow of
cold air into the eastern Great Lakes Wednesday. A southern
stream low moving through the Ohio Valley and associated surface
warm front will bring increasing chances for precipitation. A
period of freezing rain looks increasingly likely Wednesday as
warm/moist isentropic ascent generates precipitation which will
fall into cold surface airmass residing over across western New
York. Consensus model precipitation amounts suggesting totals
amounts under a quarter inch. Storm total ice between the 0.1"
to 0.2" range. This will make for icy road conditions. North to
south thermal graident will be setting up through the day as
warmer air continues to push in from the south, with areas
along and south of the Thruway warming enough to change the
precipitation to rain before noon. The area from the Thruway
northward will remain colder longer and will have the better
chances to see the higher end glazing amounts, although these
amounts could be tempered downward a bit with some potential for
sleet or even some snow mixing in especially across the North
Country.

There will be a brief lull in widespread precipitation Wednesday
night into at least the first half of Thursday.

The pacific trough will begin moving over the Rockies resulting in
lee cyclogenesis across the plains Thursday. This system will
bring warm/moist advection aided by a stout low level jet.
Precipitation will once again break out across the area, starting
across far western New York by mid to late afternoon. if not a
bit sooner. then spread quickly east across the remainder of
the area through Thursday night. Strong warm air advection will
develop into the area as the surface low moves west of the area
across the western Great Lakes. Temperatures Thursday look to
be a solid 15 to 20 degrees above normal with most highs in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. The rainfall associated with this system
will need to be monitored closely as this could be a more
significant rainfall event with amounts potentially nearing an
inch. Rainfall amounts of this magnitude could certainly bring
some hydrologic concerns.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
The long term portion of the forecast will start with a strong
system moving from the Upper Great Lakes to Quebec Friday. A strong
trailing cold front will sweep across the eastern Great Lakes early
Friday morning. Any lingering rain showers will end from west to
east with the passage of the cold front. Strong cold advection will
bring falling temperatures through the day, and may generate some
lake effect snow showers east and northeast of the lakes by midday
or afternoon as the cold air deepens. The 12Z guidance has trended
much stronger with this system than the models yesterday, with a low
deepening to below 980mb by Friday afternoon across Quebec. The
track of the rapidly deepening low, strong cold advection, and
strong post-frontal winds aloft suggest the potential for a strong
wind event on Friday, especially in the typical areas northeast of
Lakes Erie and Ontario.

Lake effect snow showers will continue Friday night east of the
lakes, eventually moving to southeast of the lakes as boundary layer
flow becomes northwest. At this early juncture the setup for Lake
Ontario looks better than Erie, especially given the amount of ice
now found on Lake Erie. A few lake effect snow showers may linger
into Saturday morning southeast of Lake Ontario. High pressure will
then bring mainly dry conditions from late Saturday through Sunday.

Model guidance begins to diverge by early next week. The 12Z GFS
continues to show an elongated east/west frontal wave which would
bring a chance of snow Sunday night and Monday, while the ECMWF
keeps this wave suppressed well to the south with mainly dry
conditions. Given the model uncertainty, for now just introduced a
chance of snow for early next week.

Temperatures will fall to below normal later Friday through Saturday
night before trending to near normal by Sunday and Monday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Drier air has moved in behind a cold front, with improving
visibly region-wide. There still is some lingering stratus,
resulting in mainly MVFR conditions which will last well into
this afternoon.

High pressure in Canada will build south into the region
tonight, with conditions improving to VFR. Low pressure will
track to our south, with surface high pressure to the north
locking in cold air at the surface. This will result in several
hours of freezing rain south of Lake Ontario on Wednesday
morning. Precipitation will spread east Wednesday afternoon,
with temperatures very slowly warming above freezing south of
Lake Ontario.

Outlook...

Wednesday night...MVFR. Rain or freezing rain likely.
Thursday...IFR/MVFR with rain and possibly a thunderstorm.
Friday...IFR/MVFR windy with rain to snow. Saturday..VFR/MVFR
with a chance of snow showers. Sunday...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
Moderate westerly winds will gradually diminish through this
evening. Small Craft Advisories are in place through this
evening, before high pressure briefly builds in tonight with
lighter winds. Several additional systems will move through the
region later this week. The most significant will track north of
the area Thursday night, possibly resulting in gales on the
lakes late Thursday night and Friday.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Temperatures are now cooling after two days with very warm
temperatures. A sizable amount of our snowpack across western
New York has runoff in areas rivers and creeks.

Despite all of the melting snow, only very modest rises in flow
has occurred on area creeks and rivers. Rainfall which moved
through overnight was fairly light, with amounts less than a
quarter inch. Although the low rainfall amounts was good news
for the area, as it did not add significantly to runoff into
rivers and streams, a bit more rainfall getting into the creeks
could have helped to flush out some of the ice jams which are
currently in place on the Buffalo and Cazenovia creeks.

Ice jams remain in place on area creeks and rivers this morning,
with at least one on Buffalo Creek near West Seneca. Another
jam resides along Cazenovia Creek in West Seneca with
significant water into Cazenovia Park Bowl, but no private
property is being impacted.

Flows are expected to remain steady through today as additional
runoff lessens due to the cooling temperatures.

A Flood Watch remains in effect for Niagara, Orleans, Erie,
Genesee, Wyoming, Chautauqua and Cattaraugus counties through
late Wednesday night. The risk for ice jams is non-zero for
areas outside the Watch area and will be closely monitored. At
this stage, it seems like ice jams that do occur outside the
Watch area will be more isolated.

Other susceptible areas to ice jams besides the Buffalo area
creeks, are Cattaraugus Creek, and the upper Allegany River,
although they can happen anywhere.

IMPORTANT NOTE: Users should be wary of unrepresentative gauge
readings with ice as hydro gauges are designed to measure for
ice free conditions. High levels seen on many of the Buffalo
Area Creek gauges are not representative of the true flow of
water. Ice buildup around the gauge can result in much higher
readings than are actually occuring on the river as a whole.
For these reasons, gauge readings due to ice jams are not
counted as records.

Outside of ice jams, the flood risk is minimal.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Flood Watch through late Wednesday night for NYZ001-002-
     010>012-019-020-085.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM EST this evening for
         LOZ042>045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Apffel
NEAR TERM...Apffel
SHORT TERM...TMA
LONG TERM...Hitchcock
AVIATION...Apffel
MARINE...Apffel
HYDROLOGY...Hitchcock/Apffel/TMA
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 5, 1:44 PM EST, 0 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
144 PM EST Tue Feb 5 2019

NYZ001-002-010-011-061845-
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-
144 PM EST Tue Feb 5 2019

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST
THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

Another strong cold front will cross the area late Thursday night
through early Friday. Gusty west-southwest winds in its wake will be
common across much of western and north central New York through
Friday afternoon. Wind advisories may be necessary.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ003-061845-
Monroe-
144 PM EST Tue Feb 5 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST
THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

Another strong cold front will cross the area late Thursday night
through early Friday. Gusty west-southwest winds in its wake will be
common across much of western and north central New York through
Friday afternoon. Wind advisories may be necessary.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ019-085-061845-
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
144 PM EST Tue Feb 5 2019

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

Another strong cold front will cross the area late Thursday night
through early Friday. Gusty west-southwest winds in its wake will be
common across much of western and north central New York through
Friday afternoon. Wind advisories may be necessary.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ008-061845-
Lewis-
144 PM EST Tue Feb 5 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM
EST THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ013-021-061845-
Livingston-Allegany-
144 PM EST Tue Feb 5 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ004>006-014-061845-
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Ontario-
144 PM EST Tue Feb 5 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ012-020-061845-
Wyoming-Cattaraugus-
144 PM EST Tue Feb 5 2019

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ007-061845-
Jefferson-
144 PM EST Tue Feb 5 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM
EST THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

Another strong cold front will cross the area Friday morning. Gusty
west-southwest winds in its wake will be common across much of
western and north central New York through Friday afternoon. Wind
advisories may be necessary.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-061845-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lower Niagara River-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
144 PM EST Tue Feb 5 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of Lake
Erie, Lake Ontario, and the Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Another strong cold front will cross the lower Great Lakes Thursday
night through early Friday. Gusty west-southwest winds in its wake
will be common through Friday afternoon. Gale warnings may be
necessary.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 4, 7:43 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningBUFErie12 hr
Feb 5, 6:55 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningBUFErie12 hr
Feb 5, 6:51 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningBUFErie9 hr

Nearby

Winter Weather Advisories in New York, 2019Every winter weather advisory in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.