Alert archive / New York / Special Weather Statements in 2019

Special Weather Statement, NWS Buffalo, NY

August 9, 2019Jefferson County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this special weather statement at Aug 9, 2019, 3:04 PM EDT for Jefferson County, New York. It was in force for 41 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 9, 2019, 3:04 PM EDT (19:04 UTC)
Expired
Aug 9, 2019, 3:45 PM EDT
In force
41 min
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

County Jefferson County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 7.1 hours before the alert went out and 267 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2019-08-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2019-08-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 23 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1383 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
23 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
94 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Aug 9, 2:01 PM EDT, 1 hour 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 9, 2:01 PM EDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before
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<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
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        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
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Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 9, 5:08 AM EDT, 9 hours 56 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
508 AM EDT Fri Aug 9 2019

NYZ001>003-008-010>014-020-021-100900-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Lewis-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-
Livingston-Ontario-Cattaraugus-Allegany-
508 AM EDT Fri Aug 9 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ004>007-100900-
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-
508 AM EDT Fri Aug 9 2019

...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lakeshore Flood Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ019-085-100900-
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
508 AM EDT Fri Aug 9 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH
THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ040-041-100900-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
508 AM EDT Fri Aug 9 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a slight chance of waterspouts this afternoon and tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

There is a slight chance of waterspouts Saturday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LOZ042>045-062>065-100900-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
508 AM EDT Fri Aug 9 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a chance of waterspouts this afternoon and tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

There is a chance of waterspouts Saturday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-LOZ030-100900-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
508 AM EDT Fri Aug 9 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake
Ontario.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

SLZ022-024-100900-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
508 AM EDT Fri Aug 9 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of the
Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

JJR

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 9, 3:04 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
304 PM EDT Fri Aug 9 2019

NYZ007-091945-
Jefferson-
304 PM EDT Fri Aug 9 2019

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHERN JEFFERSON
COUNTY...

At 303 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from near Wellesley Island State Park to 11
miles west of Cedar Point State Park. Movement was east at 35 mph.

Winds in excess of 35 mph and half inch hail are possible with these
storms.

Locations impacted include...
Fort Drum, Clayton, Wellesley Island State Park, Cedar Point State
Park, Redwood, Kring Point State Park, Philadelphia, Alexandria Bay,
Theresa, Antwerp, Evans Mills, Millen Bay, Grindstone, Fishers
Landing, La Fargeville, Perch Lake, Plessis, Oxbow, Depauville and
Muskellunge Lake.

This includes Interstate 81 between exits 49 and 52.

LAT...LON 4440 7583 4439 7584 4422 7545 4412 7553
      4405 7562 4415 7634 4420 7631 4420 7624
      4424 7617 4429 7615 4430 7610 4435 7601
      4435 7595 4440 7586
TIME...MOT...LOC 1903Z 273DEG 30KT 4439 7606 4425 7642

Welch

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 9, 4:31 AM EDTBeach Hazards StatementBUFChautauqua, Erie18 hr
Aug 9, 2:54 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF51 min
Aug 9, 5:38 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFWayne52 min
Aug 9, 6:29 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFWayne31 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in New York, 2019Every special weather statement in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.