Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2019
Small Craft Advisory 10, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Jan 23, 2019, 9:48 PM EST. It took effect at Jan 24, 2019, 10:00 AM EST. It was in force for 44 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 23, 2019, 9:48 PM EST (02:48 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 24, 2019, 10:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Jan 26, 2019, 6:22 AM EST
- In force
- 44 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
The text
As transmitted.
474 WHUS71 KBUF 240248 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 948 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019 LEZ040-041-241100- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190124T1100Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0010.190124T1500Z-190126T0000Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 948 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Small Craft Advisory, which is in effect from 10 AM Thursday to 7 PM EST Friday. The Small Craft Advisory has been cancelled. * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...4 to 7 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ042-241100- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0010.190124T1500Z-190126T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 948 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Small Craft Advisory, which is in effect from 10 AM Thursday to 7 PM EST Friday. * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...4 to 7 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ045-241100- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 948 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WINDS...South 15 to 25 knots tonight becoming west and increasing to 30 knots. * WAVES...5 to 8 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ043-044-241100- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- 948 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WINDS...South 15 to 25 knots becoming west and increasing to 30 knots. * WAVES...6 to 9 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$
12 follow-up statements
175 WHUS71 KBUF 240839 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 339 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019 LOZ045-241645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 339 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...9 to 12 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ043-044-241645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- 339 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...10 to 13 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LEZ040-041-241645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0010.190124T1500Z-190126T0000Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 339 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...7 to 10 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ042-241645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0010.190124T1500Z-190126T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 339 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...7 to 10 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ Hitchcock
600 WHUS71 KBUF 241636 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1136 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019 LOZ045-250045- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T0500Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 1136 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST FRIDAY NIGHT... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...9 to 12 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ043-044-250045- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T1100Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- 1136 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...10 to 13 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LEZ040-041-250045- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190126T0900Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 1136 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...7 to 10 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ042-250045- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190126T1100Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 1136 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...7 to 10 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$
648 WHUS71 KBUF 242342 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 642 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019 LOZ045-250745- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T0500Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 642 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST FRIDAY NIGHT... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...9 to 12 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ043-044-250745- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T1100Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- 642 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...10 to 13 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LEZ040-041-250745- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190126T0900Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 642 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...9 to 12 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ042-250745- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190126T1100Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 642 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...7 to 10 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$
205 WHUS71 KBUF 250724 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 224 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 LOZ045-251530- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T0500Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 224 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...9 to 12 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ043-044-251530- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T1100Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- 224 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...10 to 13 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LEZ040-041-251530- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190126T0900Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 224 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...9 to 12 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ042-251530- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190126T1100Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 224 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...7 to 10 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$
325 WHUS71 KBUF 250823 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 323 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 LOZ045-251630- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T0500Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 323 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...8 to 11 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ043-044-251630- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T1100Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- 323 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...9 to 12 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LEZ040-041-251630- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190126T0900Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 323 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...8 to 11 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ042-251630- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190126T1100Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 323 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...6 to 9 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ Hitchcock
481 WHUS71 KBUF 250832 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 332 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 LEZ020-LOZ030-251645- /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 332 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Small Craft Advisory, which is in effect until 7 PM EST this evening. * WINDS...West 20 to 25 knots. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ045-251645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T0500Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 332 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...8 to 11 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ043-044-251645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T1100Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- 332 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...9 to 12 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LEZ040-041-251645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190126T0900Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 332 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...8 to 11 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ042-251645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190126T1100Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 332 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...6 to 9 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ Hitchcock
831 WHUS71 KBUF 251444 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 944 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 LEZ040-041-252245- /O.NEW.KBUF.UP.W.0002.190125T1444Z-190126T0300Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190126T0900Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 944 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY... The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Heavy Freezing Spray Warning, which is in effect until 10 PM EST this evening. * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...8 to 11 feet. * FREEZING SPRAY...Winds of up to 30 knots and waves greater than 8 feet will create conditions favorable for heavy freezing spray. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the warning area. A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ045-252245- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T0500Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 944 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...8 to 11 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ043-044-252245- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T1100Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- 944 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...9 to 12 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ042-252245- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190126T1100Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 944 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...6 to 9 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-252245- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 944 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...West 20 to 25 knots. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$
657 WHUS71 KBUF 251743 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1243 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 LEZ040-041-260145- /O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190126T0300Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190126T0900Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 1243 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...Southwest to 30 knots. * WAVES...8 to 11 feet. * FREEZING SPRAY...Winds of up to 30 knots and waves greater than 8 feet will create conditions favorable for heavy freezing spray. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the warning area. A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ045-260145- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T0500Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 1243 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...8 to 11 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ043-044-260145- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T1100Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- 1243 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...Southwest to 30 knots. * WAVES...9 to 12 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ042-260145- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190126T1100Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 1243 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...West to 30 knots. * WAVES...6 to 9 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-260000- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 1243 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...Southwest 15 to 20 knots. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$
422 WHUS71 KBUF 260128 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 828 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 LEZ040-041-260900- /O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190126T0300Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190126T0900Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 828 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...Southwest 20 to 25 knots. * WAVES...5 to 8 feet. * FREEZING SPRAY...Winds of up to 30 knots and waves greater than 8 feet will create conditions favorable for heavy freezing spray. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the warning area. A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-260300- /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190126T0300Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 828 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Small Craft Advisory, which is in effect until 10 PM EST this evening. * WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 knots. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ045-260600- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T0600Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 828 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...West 15 to 20 knots. * WAVES...6 to 9 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ043-044-260930- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T1100Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- 828 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...Southwest 20 to 25 knots. * WAVES...7 to 10 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ042-260930- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190126T1100Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 828 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...West 20 to 25 knots. * WAVES...3 to 6 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$
024 WHUS71 KBUF 260234 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 934 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 LEZ040-041-261045- /O.CAN.KBUF.UP.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190126T0300Z/ /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190126T1500Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 934 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IS CANCELLED... The National Weather Service in Buffalo has cancelled the Heavy Freezing Spray Warning. * WINDS...Southwest to 30 knots. * WAVES...4 to 7 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-260345- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190126T0300Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 934 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... The National Weather Service in Buffalo has cancelled the Small Craft Advisory. $$ LOZ045-261045- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 934 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...Southwest 15 to 20 knots. * WAVES...5 to 8 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ043-044-261045- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- 934 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...Southwest 20 to 25 knots. * WAVES...6 to 9 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ042-261045- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190126T1500Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 934 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY... * WINDS...Southwest to 30 knots. * WAVES...3 to 6 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$
837 WHUS71 KBUF 260831 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 331 AM EST Sat Jan 26 2019 LOZ045-261645- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T2100Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 331 AM EST Sat Jan 26 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...Southwest 15 to 20 knots. * WAVES...3 to 6 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ043-044-261645- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T2100Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- 331 AM EST Sat Jan 26 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...Southwest 15 to 20 knots. * WAVES...4 to 7 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LEZ040-041-261500- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190126T1500Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 331 AM EST Sat Jan 26 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WINDS...West 15 to 20 knots. * WAVES...3 to 6 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ042-261500- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190126T1500Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 331 AM EST Sat Jan 26 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WINDS...West 20 to 25 knots. * WAVES...3 to 6 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ Hitchcock
780 WHUS71 KBUF 261122 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 622 AM EST Sat Jan 26 2019 LEZ040-041-LOZ042-261230- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190126T1500Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 622 AM EST Sat Jan 26 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... The National Weather Service in Buffalo has cancelled the Small Craft Advisory. Winds and waves will continue to subside this morning. $$ LOZ045-261930- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T2100Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 622 AM EST Sat Jan 26 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...Southwest 15 to 20 knots. * WAVES...3 to 6 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LOZ043-044-261930- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190126T2100Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- 622 AM EST Sat Jan 26 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...Southwest 15 to 20 knots. * WAVES...3 to 6 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ Hitchcock
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 23, 6:54 PM EST, 2 hours 54 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 23, 6:54 PM EST, 2 hours 54 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
654 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019
.SYNOPSIS...
An area of low pressure will track from the Great Lakes into
southern Quebec tonight with rain this evening changing over to
snow before ending Thursday morning. Cold air will build in
behind this system, with lake effect snow developing east and
southeast of the lakes Thursday night through Saturday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
An elongated mid-level trough extending down the Mississippi valley
early this evening will gradually move east tonight. Meanwhile,
surface low pressure will track from Lake Huron into southern Quebec
with a surface trough and cold front extending south from the
surface low. A 65kt LLJ will be ahead of this trough and across our
region this evening before its axis shifts east late tonight. Most
of these winds will not mix to the surface, but there still
will be gusts to 35 mph this evening. This has also resulted in
warm air advection with temperatures above freezing across the
region. As a result, the Winter Weather Advisory east of Lake
Ontario was allowed to expire at 6 p.m.
A cold front will move into western Lake Erie this evening. Rain
will continue to move across western and north central NY. Southwest
winds will continue to produce a lull in rainfall amounts across the
Finger Lakes and southern shore of Lake Ontario due to downsloping,
which will eventually fill in with the arrival of the cold front
late tonight. Also, there will be locally higher rainfall amounts
along the south-face of the Tug Hill where the LLJ will result in
upsloping. This will produce a soaking rain with 1.5 to 2 inches
tonight, but with temperatures only slightly above freezing and lots
of snow pack this should only cause the Black River to rise to
around action stage at Boonville with lesser rises at other forecast
points. There also will be some fog along and ahead of this
front. This will be most widespread northeast of the lakes,
potentially resulting in a few hours with visibility below a
half mile in Buffalo late tonight.
Cold air advection will drop temperatures and result in rain
transitioning to snow showers. Unlike most cases, where dry air
rushes in behind the cold front, a mid-level shortwave trough will
ride along the front into Thursday morning. This coupled with deep
layer moisture will result in widespread light snow to continue
through the morning hours across western NY. The cold front will
cross the North Country around 12z Thursday so rain will have just
transitioned to snow. Temperatures will fall below freezing
around daybreak across western New York, which may freeze up
slush or wet spots on untreated roadways.
Light snow will end from west to east across western NY by afternoon
and persist into the afternoon across the North Country. Minor
accumulations are expected from late tonight through Thursday
afternoon with 2-3 inches across the higher terrain of the western
Southern Tier and east of Lake Ontario. Expect a dusting to 2
inches most everywhere else, including the Buffalo and
Rochester Metros.
Temperatures will fall back to "winter-like" temperatures tonight
and Thursday. Temperatures will drop into the mid to upper 20's
across the higher terrain to the low 30's tonight. The high
temperature will likely be met Thursday morning as temperatures fall
into the 20's through the day.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
...Significant lake snows possible Thursday night through
Saturday morning...
Conditions favorable for lake effect snow set up ENE of Lake Erie
Thursday night, and later Friday/Friday night east of Lake Ontario.
The event can be broken up into two distinct periods - one before an
arctic boundary that will blast through the region on Friday, and
one following the boundary.
East of Lake Erie...A lake band should begin to organize Thursday
Night. This one will be tricky, with a WSW flow focused on the
Southtowns to near the Buffalo Metro region near the Friday morning
rush hour. Snow rates may reach 1-2"/hr with this band, but models
have yet to fully lock into this idea. The atmospheric profile is
favorable though, with a cap above 7500' along with a saturated and
cold airmass together with a full lake fetch. This band may drop
several inches of snow until the above mentioned arctic boundary
forces the band inland with eventual reorganization over the higher
terrain to the east in the afternoon and evening. Later Friday
evening, the band or multiple bands will probably keep going east of
the lake, peaking at roughly 1"/hr and then weaken rapidly on
Saturday as flow quickly backs to the south during the morning.
Current forecasts have storm totals reaching 8-16" under the
heaviest snows, with of course much less outside of lake bands.
East of Lake Ontario...There are some models that try to generate a
lake band SE of Lake Ontario (ex the Canadian), but most models have
primarily a WSW flow without much of a response until Friday. With
borderline temperatures aloft together with backing winds with time
as the arctic boundary approaches, will hold off on any watches and
higher snow rates until Friday. Some lake enhancement or general
upslope flow should generate at least some snow accumulations across
the Tug Hill Plateau during the morning, but a full fledged band may
in fact have a hard time getting going until the frontal passage.
After this point though, expect a band to blossom over and then move
to the south of the Tug Hill.
A band may then become quite intense Friday night along the Southern
Lake Ontario shore from about Wayne County to Oswego County with
snow rates in excess of 2"/hr as is often the case with increased
convergence at night. There is the possibility that the band may
hug Monroe County as well. These types of bands however typically
remain just north of the Rochester Metro area and sometimes even
have a slight concave appearance on radar. Regardless, this will
probably be the most intense and interesting part of this particular
lake effect event. The band should begin to weaken and move to the
north on Saturday as winds back with time.
For other areas, the main event will likely be a short-lived burst
of snow with the arctic front on Friday. This may drop a quick inch
or two of snow in the afternoon, probably before the evening
commute. The boundary will disrupt or interact with the lake bands,
and may evolve into a squall line as it moves ESE across the state.
But otherwise most areas outside of lake effect regions will only
see a chance of snow showers.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Throughout this period a classic coupled +PNA/-NAO pattern will
remain firmly anchored in place...with a strong upper level ridge
entrenched off the west coast of North America...and a second upper
ridge extending from the central Atlantic northward to Greenland.
These two ridges will help to lock a huge closed low and its
associated deep pool of bitterly cold air in place over central and
eastern Canada...with a large-scale cross-polar flow also helping to
continually recharge this cold air supply. For our region...all of
this will ensure that temperatures will average out decidedly below
normal right through this period and into the beginning of February.
Digging further into the day-to-day details...on Sunday a
potent shortwave trough will dig across the Upper Great
Lakes...with its attendant surface reflection rippling across
Quebec Province and pushing its trailing cold front through our
region in the process. At this juncture it appears that this
boundary will be accompanied by enough moisture and lift to
bring a period of fairly numerous snow showers and minor snow
accumulations to the region...for which PoPs have been bumped up
to likely.
In the wake of this front...a fresh shot of bitterly cold air
(850 mb temps ranging from the lower negative teens across the
Southern Tier to negative mid twenties across the North Country)
will pour across our region Sunday night. While this will guarantee
at least some some form of a lake response...this may turn out to be
fairly muted given the increasingly dry nature of the incoming
airmass...building low level ridging...and a commensurate increase
in shear. Otherwise the incoming colder airmass will easily drive
temps back down into the single digits...which have been knocked
back significantly from continuity.
On Monday the axis of the surface ridge will quickly push from
our region into New England...while the next mid level trough
and its attendant organizing surface low push into the western
Great Lakes. This will result in any lingering lake effect snow
showers giving way to increasing chances for some light snow across
far western New York into the afternoon...as warm air advection
begins to take shape aloft out ahead of the next surface wave.
Otherwise...it will be a cold day with afternoon highs mostly
running between 15 and 20.
After that...the medium range guidance packages remain in rather
good agreement on the aforementioned trough/surface low becoming
increasingly better organized and tracking across our region between
Monday night and Tuesday. Given all this...have bumped PoPs up a bit
further into the high likely range for this period. Depending upon
the exact track of this system (which currently ranges from directly
over to a little west of our region in the various guidance packages)...
it is possible that enough warm air could get drawn northward into
our region to result in a period of mixed precipitation or even
rain during Tuesday...though for now have kept the forecast ptype all
snow out of consideration for the overall pattern and our forecast
continuity.
Following the passage of this second system...it still appears all
but certain that a pronounced surge of arctic air will then pour
across our region for not only the end of this period but right
through the end of next week. This will result in temperatures
returning to bitterly cold levels once again...along with another
possible round of lake effect snow.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A strong low-level jet will persist across western and north-central
NY this evening. Most of this is not mixing to the surface,
resulting in low level wind shear at most TAF sites this
evening. Flight conditions will mainly be VFR/MVFR through 03Z.
After this, a cold front will approach and move across the
region late tonight. High confidence in cigs lowering to IFR or
lower with this boundary, with locally dense fog a concern
northeast of the lakes at KBUF and KART. Expect widespread IFR
conditions late tonight and into Thursday morning before a
modest improvement to MVFR mid to late afternoon. Colder air
will transition rain to snow from west to east late tonight and
Thursday morning.
Outlook...
Friday and Saturday...VFR to MVFR in scattered to numerous snow
showers, with IFR possible in more numerous snow showers east of the
lakes.
Sunday and Monday...A chance of snow showers. MVFR likely.
&&
.MARINE...
Low pressure will move across the Central Great Lakes this evening.
Strong southwest winds will cause winds and waves to stay
elevated through tonight. A cold front will track across the
eastern Great Lakes tonight and Thursday. Small Craft Advisories
are in effect for most of the nearshore waters with the
exception of western Lake Ontario. Winds may briefly diminish
Thursday, but then will increase in advance of the next system
which is likely to require more small craft headlines through
the end of the week.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Winter Storm Watch from Friday morning through late Friday
night for NYZ007-008.
Winter Storm Watch from Friday morning through Saturday
morning for NYZ006.
Winter Storm Watch from Friday evening through Saturday
morning for NYZ004-005.
Winter Storm Watch from late Thursday night through Saturday
morning for NYZ019-020-085.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EST Thursday for LEZ040-041.
Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Thursday for
LOZ043-044.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EST Thursday for LOZ045.
&&
SYNOPSIS...Apffel
NEAR TERM...Apffel/HSK
SHORT TERM...Zaff
LONG TERM...JJR
AVIATION...Apffel/HSK
MARINE...Apffel/HSKHazardous weather outlook, Jan 23, 6:03 PM EST, 3 hours 45 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Buffalo NY 603 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019 NYZ001>003-010>014-021-242315- Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston- Ontario-Allegany- 603 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...Tonight. The chance for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. There will be lake effect snow Thursday night through Friday night, with light to moderate snow accumulation of a few inches likely. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ007-008-242315- Jefferson-Lewis- 603 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York. .DAY ONE...Tonight. The probability of widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ006-242315- Oswego- 603 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York. .DAY ONE...Tonight. The probability of widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ020-LOZ030-SLZ022-024-242315- Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 603 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake Ontario and Saint Lawrence River. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-242315- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 603 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ019-020-085-242315- Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie- 603 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ004-005-242315- Wayne-Northern Cayuga- 603 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north central New York. .DAY ONE...Tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf Apffel
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jan 23, 3:54 PM EST, 5 hours 54 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
354 PM EST WED JAN 23 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0130 PM FREEZING RAIN 2 NW TONAWANDA 43.00N 78.90W
01/23/2019 M0.02 INCH ERIE NY TRAINED SPOTTER
CHANGED OVER TO ALL RAIN NOW.
&&
EVENT NUMBER BUF1900432
KRAThe office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 12:57 PM EST | Winter Storm Warning | BUF | Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Jefferson, Lewis and 2 more | 48 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2019Every small craft advisory in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.