Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 1, NWS Brownsville, TX

April 7, 2019Starr County, Zapata County, Texas

NWS Brownsville, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 7, 2019, 6:49 AM CDT for Starr County, Zapata County, Texas. It was in force for 56 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 7, 2019, 6:49 AM CDT (11:49 UTC)
Expired
Apr 7, 2019, 7:45 AM CDT
In force
56 min
Issued by
NWS Brownsville, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Starr County, TX, Zapata County, TX

The radar

The Brownsville radar (KBRO), 181 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Apr 7, 1:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 00:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 191 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Corpus Christi, TX at 00:00Z on 2019-04-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2128 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Corpus Christi, TX at 00:00Z on 2019-04-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 67 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2128 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-136 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1337 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
67 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
59 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
1.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Brownsville, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 7, 3:45 AM CDT, 3 hours 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 7, 3:45 AM CDT, 3 hours 4 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Brownsville TX
345 AM CDT Sun Apr 7 2019

.SHORT TERM (Now through Monday): The conv complex that fired up
over north central Mexico is starting to expand eastwards towards
portions of southern TX. This area of conv is moving into a pretty
favorable environment with pretty high surface dewpoints. Also LAPS
CAPE values across much of southern and Deep South TX shows values
generally ranging from 2500-3000 J/KG early this morning. Meanwhile
aloft at 500 mb, a pretty strong and deep trough axis will dig
across much of southern TX this morning which will maintain good PVA
across the region which will also help drive the strengthening conv
across the region.

Once this 500mb trough axis clears the region to the east, the conv
potential will drop significantly as drier and more stable air
aloft moves into the region from the west. Accordingly expect near
zero pops to prevail after today for tonight into Mon.

SVR WW 40 will continue for the northern 4 Ranchland counties this
morning through 9 AM as the southern edge of the conv complex moving
out of Mexico could move through region resulting in some
potentially severe thunderstorms.

The high temps today will be held down somewhat by the conv expected
across the region. As drier air moves into the region overnight and
Mon, the high temps will rebound somewhat due to increased diurnal
effects. Will lean towards the warmer side of temp guidance
throughout the short term especially for Mon due to the stronger
diurnal heating.

.LONG TERM (Monday Night through Saturday): The mid-level
trough axis will move east of the region Monday night. Large
scale subsidence will prevail through much of the week as 500 mb
ridge builds overhead. This will generally lead to very warm to
hot and rain-free conditions through most of the period. Breezy
south winds are expected on Wednesday as the pressure gradient
strengthens as surface low pressure develops across the Plains. A
very dry cold front is expected to move into deep south Texas on
Thursday. Rain chances increase late Friday into the weekend as
southeast flow brings moisture back northward as the old frontal
boundary lingers across the area. Temperatures will be above
normal through much the period.

&&

.MARINE (Now through Monday): A generally light surface wind
regime will prevail throughout Mon due to a weak PGF. This will
hold down the Bay and Gulf swells below SCA levels. The conv
complex expected to move out over the lower TX Bay and Gulf waters
will be the most hazardous marine conditions of the short term
period with a increased potential for SMWs throughout the morning
hours today. No SCA conditions expected through Mon.

Monday night through Thursday night: Light winds and variable winds
are expected Monday night and Tuesday with high pressure across the
Western Gulf of Mexico. Winds will become southeast and increase
Tuesday night through Wednesday night as the pressure gradient
strengthens along the lower Texas coast. Small craft advisories may
be needed for the Laguna Madre Wednesday and the Gulf waters
Wednesday night. Winds are expected to decrease on Thursday as a
weak frontal boundary drifts into south Texas allowing the pressure
gradient to weaken across the area.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL  82  65  82  64 /  70  10  10   0
BROWNSVILLE          84  65  86  63 /  60  10  10   0
HARLINGEN            85  64  87  62 /  70  10  10   0
MCALLEN              86  66  91  64 /  60  10  10   0
RIO GRANDE CITY      87  64  91  63 /  60   0  10   0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND   75  66  75  66 /  70  10  10   0

&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

This product is also available on the web at:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV

Short Term...60
Long Term...63
Graphicast/Upper Air...67
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 7, 5:15 AM CDT, 1 hour 34 minutes before
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In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 7, 6:17 AM CDT, 32 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Brownsville TX
617 AM CDT SUN APR 7 2019

TXZ248-249-252-071245-
Jim Hogg TX-Zapata TX-Starr TX-
617 AM CDT SUN APR 7 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN JIM HOGG...NORTHWESTERN
STARR AND ZAPATA COUNTIES UNTIL 745 AM CDT...

At 615 AM CDT, National Weather Service Doppler radar was tracking
strong thunderstorms along a line extending from 27 miles southwest
of El Cenizo to 18 miles west of Falcon Mesa to 24 miles west of
Falcon Dam. Movement was east at 30 to 35 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Zapata, El Sauz, Viboras, Lopeno, Bustamante, Medina, New Falcon,
Zapata High School, Randado and Zapata Middle School.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 900 AM CDT for
Deep South Texas.

LAT...LON 2709 9943 2711 9944 2718 9943 2727 9945
      2727 9877 2689 9876 2650 9870 2650 9910
      2652 9913 2654 9917 2672 9921 2675 9924
      2684 9927 2687 9932 2692 9933 2694 9939
      2698 9938 2702 9942 2702 9945 2706 9945
TIME...MOT...LOC 1115Z 263DEG 25KT 2700 9976 2682 9959 2658 9956

60/SPEECE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Brownsville, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 7, 6:17 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementBROStarr, Zapata88 min
Apr 7, 7:00 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementBROBrooks, Jim Hogg60 min
Apr 7, 7:17 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROBrooks, Hidalgo, Jim Hogg, Starr58 min
Apr 7, 7:26 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryBROStarr, Zapata2 hr
Apr 7, 7:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROHidalgo, Starr63 min
Apr 7, 8:08 AM CDTSpecial Marine WarningBRO112 min
Apr 7, 8:19 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementBROKenedy41 min
Apr 7, 8:39 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementBROCameron, Hidalgo, Willacy66 min
Apr 7, 9:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROCameron, Willacy52 min
Apr 7, 9:59 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementBROCameron31 min
Apr 7, 10:04 AM CDTSpecial Marine WarningBRO116 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2019Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.