Alert archive / Massachusetts / Winter Storm Warnings in 2019

Winter Storm Warning 8, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

December 29, 2019Middlesex County, Worcester County, Massachusetts

NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this winter storm warning at Dec 29, 2019, 4:01 AM EST for Middlesex County, Worcester County, Massachusetts. It took effect at Dec 29, 2019, 6:00 PM EST. It was in force for . No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 29, 2019, 4:01 AM EST (09:01 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 29, 2019, 6:00 PM EST
Expired
Dec 29, 2019, 3:38 PM EST
In force
Issued by
NWS Boston/Norton, MA

Counties Middlesex County, MA, Worcester County, MA

The radar

The Boston radar (KBOX), 67 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Chatham, MA (KCHH), launched 00:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 162 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Chatham, MA at 00:00Z on 2019-12-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Chatham, MA at 00:00Z on 2019-12-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -25 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1601 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
76 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-25 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
155 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

350 
WWUS41 KBOX 290901
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
401 AM EST Sun Dec 29 2019

MAZ002-008-009-291715-
/O.UPG.KBOX.WS.A.0007.191229T2300Z-191231T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.IS.W.0001.191229T2300Z-191231T1200Z/
Western Franklin MA-Western Hampshire MA-Western Hampden MA-
Including the cities of Charlemont, Chesterfield, and Blandford
401 AM EST Sun Dec 29 2019

...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Significant icing expected. Total snow accumulations of 
  up to two inches and ice accumulations of four tenths to three 
  quarters of an inch.

* WHERE...Western Franklin MA, Western Hampshire MA and Western
  Hampden MA Counties including the cities of Charlemont,
  Chesterfield and Blandford

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Expect power outages and tree damage due to the ice. 
  Travel could be impossible. The hazardous conditions could 
  impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel is strongly discouraged. If you must travel, keep an extra
flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an
emergency. Prepare for possible power outages. 

&&

$$

MAZ004-026-291715-
/O.UPG.KBOX.WS.A.0007.191229T2300Z-191231T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.WS.W.0008.191229T2300Z-191231T1200Z/
Northern Worcester MA-Northern Middlesex MA-
Including the cities of Barre, Fitchburg, and Ayer
401 AM EST Sun Dec 29 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow 
  accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of one 
  tenth to one half of an inch.

* WHERE...Northern Worcester MA and Northern Middlesex MA Counties
  including the cities of Barre, Fitchburg and Ayer.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the 
  ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

CTZ002>004-MAZ003-005-006-010>012-RIZ001-003-291715-
/O.UPG.KBOX.WS.A.0007.191229T2300Z-191231T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.WW.Y.0029.191229T2300Z-191231T1200Z/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Eastern Franklin MA-
Central Middlesex MA-Western Essex MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-
Eastern Hampden MA-Southern Worcester MA-Northwest Providence RI-
Western Kent RI-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon, 
Putnam, Willimantic, Greenfield, Orange, Framingham, Lowell, 
Lawrence, Amherst, Northampton, Springfield, Milford, Worcester, 
Foster, Smithfield, Coventry, and West Greenwich
401 AM EST Sun Dec 29 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of
  up to one inch and ice accumulations ranging from a trace to
  upwards of four tenths of an inch.

* WHERE...Portions of northern Connecticut, central, eastern,
  northeastern and western Massachusetts and northern Rhode
  Island. This includes the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks,
  Union, Vernon, Putnam, Willimantic, Greenfield, Orange,
  Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence, Amherst, Northampton, Springfield,
  Milford, Worcester, Foster, Smithfield, Coventry, and West
  Greenwich

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Isolated power outages and tree damage are possible
  due to the ice. The hazardous conditions could impact the 
  morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MAZ007-013>019-RIZ002-004-291715-
/O.NEW.KBOX.WW.Y.0029.191230T0000Z-191231T1200Z/
Eastern Essex MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-
Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-
Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Southeast Providence RI-
Eastern Kent RI-
Including the cities of Gloucester, Foxborough, Norwood, 
Cambridge, Boston, Quincy, Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, 
Providence, East Greenwich, Warwick, and West Warwick
401 AM EST Sun Dec 29 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations 
  of up to one inch and ice accumulations of a light glaze. 
  Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of eastern, northeastern and southeastern
  Massachusetts and northern Rhode Island. Including the cities of
  Gloucester, Foxborough, Norwood, Cambridge, Boston, Quincy,
  Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, Providence, East Greenwich,
  Warwick, and West Warwick

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$
2 follow-up statements
167 
WWUS41 KBOX 291454
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
954 AM EST Sun Dec 29 2019

MAZ002-008-009-292300-
/O.CON.KBOX.IS.W.0001.191229T2300Z-191231T1200Z/
Western Franklin MA-Western Hampshire MA-Western Hampden MA-
Including the cities of Charlemont, Chesterfield, and Blandford
954 AM EST Sun Dec 29 2019

...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Significant icing expected. Total snow accumulations of 
  up to two inches and ice accumulations of four tenths to three 
  quarters of an inch.

* WHERE...Western Franklin MA, Western Hampshire MA and Western 
  Hampden MA Counties including the cities of Charlemont, 
  Chesterfield and Blandford.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Expect power outages and tree damage due to the ice. 
  Travel could be impossible. The hazardous conditions could 
  impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel is strongly discouraged. If you must travel, keep an extra
flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an
emergency. Prepare for possible power outages.

&&

$$

MAZ004-026-292300-
/O.CON.KBOX.WS.W.0008.191229T2300Z-191231T1200Z/
Northern Worcester MA-Northern Middlesex MA-
Including the cities of Barre, Fitchburg, and Ayer
954 AM EST Sun Dec 29 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow 
  accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of one 
  tenth to one half of an inch.

* WHERE...Northern Worcester MA and Northern Middlesex MA 
  Counties including the cities of Barre, Fitchburg and Ayer.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the 
  ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

CTZ002>004-MAZ003-005-006-010>012-RIZ001-003-292300-
/O.CON.KBOX.WW.Y.0029.191229T2300Z-191231T1200Z/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Eastern Franklin MA-
Central Middlesex MA-Western Essex MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-
Eastern Hampden MA-Southern Worcester MA-Northwest Providence RI-
Western Kent RI-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon, 
Putnam, Willimantic, Greenfield, Orange, Framingham, Lowell, 
Lawrence, Amherst, Northampton, Springfield, Milford, Worcester, 
Foster, Smithfield, Coventry, and West Greenwich
954 AM EST Sun Dec 29 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations 
  of up to one inch and ice accumulations ranging from a trace 
  to upwards of four tenths of an inch.

* WHERE...Portions of northern Connecticut, central, eastern, 
  northeastern and western Massachusetts and northern Rhode 
  Island. This includes the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, 
  Union, Vernon, Putnam, Willimantic, Greenfield, Orange, 
  Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence, Amherst, Northampton, 
  Springfield, Milford, Worcester, Foster, Smithfield, Coventry, 
  and West Greenwich.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Isolated power outages and tree damage are possible 
  due to the ice. The hazardous conditions could impact the 
  morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

&&

$$

MAZ007-013>019-RIZ002-004-292300-
/O.CON.KBOX.WW.Y.0029.191230T0000Z-191231T1200Z/
Eastern Essex MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-
Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-
Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Southeast Providence RI-
Eastern Kent RI-
Including the cities of Gloucester, Foxborough, Norwood, 
Cambridge, Boston, Quincy, Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, 
Providence, East Greenwich, Warwick, and West Warwick
954 AM EST Sun Dec 29 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations 
  of up to one inch and ice accumulations of a light glaze. 
  Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of eastern, northeastern and southeastern 
  Massachusetts and northern Rhode Island. Including the cities 
  of Gloucester, Foxborough, Norwood, Cambridge, Boston, Quincy, 
  Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, Providence, East Greenwich, 
  Warwick, and West Warwick.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

&&

$$

NMB
218 
WWUS41 KBOX 292038
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
338 PM EST Sun Dec 29 2019

MAZ004-026-300445-
/O.UPG.KBOX.WS.W.0008.191229T2300Z-191231T1200Z/
/O.EXA.KBOX.IS.W.0001.191229T2300Z-191231T1200Z/
Northern Worcester MA-Northern Middlesex MA-
Including the cities of Barre, Fitchburg, and Ayer
338 PM EST Sun Dec 29 2019

...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Significant icing expected. Total ice accumulations of
  one quarter to one half inch, with pockets of three quarters of
  an inch of icing possible. Snow and sleet accumulations of up 
  to one inch.

* WHERE...Northern Worcester MA and Northern Middlesex MA 
  Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the 
  ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel is strongly discouraged. If you must travel, keep an extra
flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an
emergency. Prepare for possible power outages. 

&&in place 

$$

MAZ002-008-009-300445-
/O.CON.KBOX.IS.W.0001.191229T2300Z-191231T1200Z/
Western Franklin MA-Western Hampshire MA-Western Hampden MA-
Including the cities of Charlemont, Chesterfield, and Blandford
338 PM EST Sun Dec 29 2019

...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Significant icing expected. Total ice accumulations of
  one half to three quarters of an inch, with pockets of one inch
  ice accretion possible. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 
  up to two inches.
 
* WHERE...Western Franklin MA, Western Hampshire MA and Western 
  Hampden MA Counties including the cities of Charlemont, 
  Chesterfield and Blandford.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Expect power outages and tree damage due to the ice. 
  Travel could be impossible. The hazardous conditions could 
  impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel is strongly discouraged. If you must travel, keep an extra
flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an
emergency. Prepare for possible power outages.

&&

$$

CTZ002>004-MAZ003-005-006-010>012-RIZ001-003-300445-
/O.CON.KBOX.WW.Y.0029.191229T2300Z-191231T1200Z/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Eastern Franklin MA-
Central Middlesex MA-Western Essex MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-
Eastern Hampden MA-Southern Worcester MA-Northwest Providence RI-
Western Kent RI-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon, 
Putnam, Willimantic, Greenfield, Orange, Framingham, Lowell, 
Lawrence, Amherst, Northampton, Springfield, Milford, Worcester, 
Foster, Smithfield, Coventry, and West Greenwich
338 PM EST Sun Dec 29 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet
  accumulations of up to one inch, and ice accumulations ranging 
  from a trace to upwards of four tenths of an inch.

* WHERE...Portions of northern Connecticut, central, eastern, 
  northeastern and western Massachusetts and northern Rhode 
  Island. This includes the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, 
  Union, Vernon, Putnam, Willimantic, Greenfield, Orange, 
  Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence, Amherst, Northampton, 
  Springfield, Milford, Worcester, Foster, Smithfield, Coventry, 
  and West Greenwich.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Isolated power outages and tree damage are possible 
  due to the ice. The hazardous conditions could impact the 
  morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

&&

$$

MAZ007-013>019-RIZ002-004-300445-
/O.CON.KBOX.WW.Y.0029.191230T0000Z-191231T1200Z/
Eastern Essex MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-
Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-
Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Southeast Providence RI-
Eastern Kent RI-
Including the cities of Gloucester, Foxborough, Norwood, 
Cambridge, Boston, Quincy, Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, 
Providence, East Greenwich, Warwick, and West Warwick
338 PM EST Sun Dec 29 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet
  accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of a light
  glaze. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph along the east coastal MA
  shoreline. 

* WHERE...Portions of eastern, northeastern and southeastern 
  Massachusetts and northern Rhode Island. Including the cities 
  of Gloucester, Foxborough, Norwood, Cambridge, Boston, Quincy, 
  Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, Providence, East Greenwich, 
  Warwick, and West Warwick.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

&&

$$

NMB

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Dec 29, 3:55 AM EST, 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 29, 3:55 AM EST, 6 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
355 AM EST Sun Dec 29 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure crest over southern New England today bringing
dry weather, seasonable temperatures and light winds. Tonight
strong low pressure across the Great Lakes will bring a wintry
mix of precipitation across the region that will continue
through Tuesday. Significant icing is likely from the Worcester
Hills into the Berkshires and possibly into portions of northern
Connecticut. Slowly improving conditions during Tuesday as the
coastal low shifts northeast to the Maritimes. Large high
pressure brings dry conditions Wednesday into Thursday. Another
frontal system will push across Thursday night through Friday
night, with another chance for mixed precipitation inland.
Mainly dry and seasonable conditions return to start next
weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

355 AM Update...

Today ...

Deep layer ridge moves west to east across the region today
providing one more day of dry weather. Morning sunshine will fade
behind increasing mid/high clouds as the day progresses. Not as mild
as yesterday but temps will still manage to climb into the low 40s,
upper 30s high terrain. These values are still about 5 degs above
normal. Ridge of high pressure over the area will provide light
winds. Thus very pleasant by late December standards. Enjoy!

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...

355 AM update ...

*** Widespread sleet/ice pellets and freezing rain (except all rain
south coast of MA/RI) with significant icing Worcester Hills &
Berkshires ***

Overview ...

Classic cold air damming (CAD) setup with robust northern stream jet
across the Maritimes and in its wake 1030+ mb high builds southeast
from Quebec into Atlantic Canada. This will wedge cold air into
southern New England with model soundings indicating core of cold
air located around 3-4kft at about -6C! Shallow cold air likely gets
replenished later Mon into Mon night as frontal wave emerges off the
NJ coast.  This will increase low level northerly ageostrophic flow
across southern New England. The net effect will be for the high
terrain of the Worcester county and the east slopes of the
Berkshires to remain at or below freezing for much of the upcoming
qpf event (1+ inches likely). Thus significant amounts of sleet/ice
pellets and freezing rain likely high terrain of Worcester county
and east slopes of the Berkshires. Therefore we have upgraded these
areas from a watch to a warning based on high confidence for
significant icing (0.50 inch or greater). Given the highest
elevations exist in the Berks will upgrade to an ice storm warning
for highest confidence of ice exceeding 0.50 inches, with Worcester
county more of a combination of sleet and freezing rain, not quite
as impactful as straight freezing rain. Thus Winter Storm Warning
for Worcester county. Risk for isolated power outages as well here
but will hinge on amount of sleet/ice pellets vs freezing rain. More
freezing rain and less sleet/ice pellets = increased threat for
power outages. Thus greatest risk for power outages will be east
slopes of Berks with lower threat Worcester county.

Details ...

Ptype...Sleet/ice pellets and freezing rain overspread most of the
region this evening from west to east, except south coast of MA/RI
where it should be warm enough to support rain. Although Cape Cod may
see a period of sleet. Towards Monday morning warm nose around 800-
750 mb warms to about +6C per model soundings. This should support
sleet/ice pellets transitioning to freezing rain overnight and
toward Monday morning. Then on Monday as warm nose increases to +6C
or so ptype should be mainly freezing rain inland and a chilly rain
elsewhere closer to the coast. Definitely impact to the Monday
morning commute. Precip will be moderate to heavy at times Monday
along with low risk of elevated convection as mid level lapse rates
steepen.

Any snow should be confined to northeast MA especially Essex county
where deeper cold air resides. Although this will be short lived
given impressive warm nose advecting across the region. Model
soundings in northeast MA indicate deep isothermal layer which would
support a period of heavy snow. However it will be a fine line
between heavy snow and sleet. Thus big bust potential here so will
word it as 1-4" of possible snow accumulation.

Rainfall ...

Southern RI into south coast MA ptype will be mainly rain and heavy
at times with storm total rainfall of 1-2 inches possible. Thus poor
drainage flooding likely. By later Monday will see a wind driven
rain along and near the coast with east winds gusting up to 35-40
mph.

Models ...

Given the shallow cold air derived surface temps and ptype from Hi
Res guidance and accounted for evaporative cooling tonight with
onset of precip.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...

Details...

Monday night through Tuesday night...

The majority of the 12Z model suite remained in good agreement
from the previous runs as well as showed good continuity on the
prolonged winter weather event that will linger into Tuesday.

Most models continued to signal a mix of rain and sleet across
most of northern and eastern areas, except for FZRA across some
of the southern Worcester hills and E slopes of the Berkshires
to start off on Monday, then will gradually change over to rain
along the coast from south of Boston across to SE Mass into RI
and most of N CT from midday through the afternoon.

Still quite a bit of uncertainty on the changeover to rain
across the coastal plain during Monday, along with non-diurnal
temp trends across central and eastern areas with the onshore
flow Monday night, as well as the extent and severity of the
icing across interior areas. The greatest threat for extended
ice accretion will likely occur across the Worcester Hills and E
slopes of the Berkshires, but could see some icing across some
of the lower terrain of central and W Mass into N CT continue
into Tuesday.

The big issue will be the potential of a prolonged period of
freezing rain across the interior, especially across the
Worcester Hills and E slopes of the Berkshires, hence the
extension of the Winter Storm Watch through Tuesday night.

The warm front will remain S of the region as a secondary low
develops off the NJ coast Monday night, then will slowly move
NE toward Cape Cod during Tuesday. With the positions of the
main low over the western Great Lakes along with the second low
S of Long Island, will see a renewal of the cold air damming
well inland which could enhance the ice accretion Monday into
Monday night. This is when the highest QPF is expected, on the
order of 1 to 1.4 inches, highest along S coastal areas. Once
the low moves offshore Tuesday morning, winds back to N-NE
inland, which will bring a precip change to a light mix of
rain/snow before tapering off Tuesday evening.

Winter storm watches remain in effect through 12Z Tuesday for
most of the region, except E coastal areas to the Boston-
Providence corridor and along the S coast. However, with the
precarious thermal structure, PTYPE issues will ensue. There is
still the potential for significant icing with possible tree
damage, power outages and transportation impacts around the
watch area.

Wednesday through Saturday...

Some leftover snow showers may linger on New Years Day across
the E slopes of the Berkshires. Otherwise, should see generally
dry conditions with temperatures running close to seasonal
normals for January 1.

Will see a N-S longitudinal ridge shift steadily E for Wed
night into Thursday with continued dry conditions. May see
another system shift NE out of the southern stream Thu night
through Friday night, bringing another chance for mainly rain,
though there could be a mix with freezing rain across the
interior at the onset Thu night. Lower than average confidence
with this feature, however, as there are timing issues due to
wide model solution spread.

Conditions should improve during Saturday, but clouds could
linger.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

06z update ...

Today ... VFR, dry runways and light winds.

Tonight ... VFR to start but IFR by midnight as a wintry mix
overspreads the region from west to east during the evening,
mainly a mix of sleet/ice pellets and freezing rain with just
rain along the south coast of RI/MA. Snow will be confined to
northeast MA where 1-4" is possible before a changeover to sleet
and freezing rain toward 12z Monday.

Monday ... Widespread IFR with LIFR high terrain but possibly
lifting to MVFR later in the day. Mainly freezing rain and sleet/ice
pellets except rain south coast of MA/RI. Significant ice
accumulations especially high terrain. East winds increasing to
30 kt late in the day along the coast.

KBOS Terminal...VFR. Dry runways and light winds today with
possible seabreeze late in the day. Dry weather lingers into
Sunday evening with snow/sleet arriving around midnight.

KBDL Terminal...VFR and dry weather. Sleet/ice pellets and
freezing rain arrives 01-02z.

Outlook /Monday Night through Thursday/...

Monday Night: Mainly IFR, with areas MVFR possible. Strong
winds with local gusts up to 45 kt. RA, PL, FZRA.

Tuesday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Windy with local
gusts up to 30 kt. Chance RA, FZRA.

Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Breezy.

New Years Day through Thursday: VFR. Breezy.

&&

.MARINE...

355 AM update ...

Today ... tranquil wind and seas with ridge of high pres cresting
over the area. Dry weather and good vsby too.

Tonight ... developing east wind and rain overspreading southern
waters with snow and sleet eastern MA waters.

Monday ... easterly gales all waters by days end. Poor vsby in rain
mixed with sleet-ice pellets eastern MA waters.

Outlook /Monday Night through Thursday/...

Monday Night: Moderate risk for gale force winds with gusts up
to 40 kt. Rough seas up to 13 ft. Rain.

Tuesday: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up
to 30 kt. Rough seas up to 13 ft. Chance of rain.

Tuesday Night: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds
with gusts up to 25 kt. Rough seas up to 10 ft.

New Years Day: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds
with gusts up to 25 kt. Areas of rough seas.

Wednesday Night: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds
with gusts up to 30 kt. Areas of rough seas.

Thursday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Winter Weather Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 7 AM EST
     Tuesday for CTZ002>004.
MA...Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST
     Tuesday for MAZ007-013>019.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 7 AM EST
     Tuesday for MAZ003-005-006-010>012.
     Ice Storm Warning from 6 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Tuesday
     for MAZ002-008-009.
     Winter Storm Warning from 6 PM this evening to 7 AM EST
     Tuesday for MAZ004-026.
RI...Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST
     Tuesday for RIZ002-004.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 7 AM EST
     Tuesday for RIZ001-003.
MARINE...Gale Warning from 7 AM Monday to 6 AM EST Tuesday for ANZ232-
     233-235-237.
     Gale Watch from Monday evening through Tuesday morning for
     ANZ231.
     Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for ANZ231-
     251.
     Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM to 7 PM EST Monday for ANZ236.
     Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM Monday to 1 AM EST Tuesday for
     ANZ234.
     Gale Watch from Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning for
     ANZ250-254.
     Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for ANZ250.
     Gale Watch from late Monday night through Tuesday morning for
     ANZ251.
     Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EST this morning for ANZ254.
     Gale Warning from 7 AM Monday to 7 AM EST Tuesday for ANZ255-
     256.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Nocera
NEAR TERM...Nocera
SHORT TERM...Nocera
LONG TERM...EVT
AVIATION...Nocera/EVT
MARINE...Nocera/EVT
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 28, 4:15 PM EST, 11 hours 46 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
415 PM EST Sat Dec 28 2019

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>006-008>012-026-RIZ001-003-292115-
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Essex MA-Western Hampshire MA-Western Hampden MA-
Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-Southern Worcester MA-
Northern Middlesex MA-Northwest Providence RI-Western Kent RI-
415 PM EST Sat Dec 28 2019

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Connecticut, central
Massachusetts, eastern Massachusetts, northeastern Massachusetts,
western Massachusetts and northern Rhode Island.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

MAZ007-013>021-RIZ002-004>007-292115-
Eastern Essex MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-
Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-
Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Southern Bristol MA-
Southern Plymouth MA-Southeast Providence RI-Eastern Kent RI-
Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI-
415 PM EST Sat Dec 28 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Massachusetts,
northeastern Massachusetts, southeastern Massachusetts, northern
Rhode Island and southern Rhode Island.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

A period of light sleet and light freezing rain is possible during
Sunday night into Monday morning, before a changeover to rain is
expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

MAZ022>024-RIZ008-292115-
Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-Nantucket MA-Block Island RI-
415 PM EST Sat Dec 28 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Massachusetts
and southern Rhode Island.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

During Monday and Monday night, there is the potential for strong
wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph along the Cape and Islands, including
Block Island.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

ANZ256-292115-
Coastal Waters from Montauk NY to Marthas Vineyard extending out to
20 nm South of Block Island-
415 PM EST Sat Dec 28 2019

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE MONDAY
NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Rhode Island coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

ANZ255-292115-
Coastal Waters extending out to 25 nm South of Marthas Vineyard and
Nantucket-
415 PM EST Sat Dec 28 2019

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE MONDAY
NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

ANZ250-254-292115-
Coastal waters east of Ipswich Bay and the Stellwagen Bank National
Marine Sanctuary-
Coastal waters from Provincetown MA to Chatham MA to Nantucket MA
out 20 nm-
415 PM EST Sat Dec 28 2019

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

ANZ251-292115-
Massachusetts Bay and Ipswich Bay-
415 PM EST Sat Dec 28 2019

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

ANZ235-237-292115-
Rhode Island Sound-Block Island Sound-
415 PM EST Sat Dec 28 2019

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE MONDAY
NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Rhode Island coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ230-234-236-292115-
Boston Harbor-Buzzards Bay-Narragansett Bay-
415 PM EST Sat Dec 28 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters
and Rhode Island coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

ANZ233-292115-
Vineyard Sound-
415 PM EST Sat Dec 28 2019

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

ANZ232-292115-
Nantucket Sound-
415 PM EST Sat Dec 28 2019

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE MONDAY
NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

ANZ231-292115-
Cape Cod Bay-
415 PM EST Sat Dec 28 2019

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

For the latest updates...please visit our webpage at
www.weather.gov/boston

You can follow us on Facebook at
www.facebook.com/us.nationalweatherservice.boston.gov

You can follow us on Twitter at
@NWSBoston

The office that day

Everything else NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 28, 7:35 PM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryBOX13 hr
Dec 29, 3:32 AM ESTGale WarningBOX53 hr
Dec 29, 3:32 AM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryBOX6 days
Dec 29, 4:01 AM ESTIce Storm WarningBOXFranklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex, Worcester48 hr
Dec 29, 4:01 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBOXBristol, Essex, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex and 4 more51 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Massachusetts, 2019Every winter storm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.