Alert archive / Massachusetts / Winter Storm Warnings in 2019

Winter Storm Warning 3, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

February 12, 20194 counties in Massachusetts

NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this winter storm warning at Feb 12, 2019, 3:05 AM EST for 4 counties in Massachusetts. It took effect at Feb 12, 2019, 1:00 PM EST. It was in force for 9 hr. 60 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Feb 12, 2019, 3:05 AM EST (08:05 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 12, 2019, 1:00 PM EST
Expired
Feb 12, 2019, 10:01 PM EST
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Boston/Norton, MA

Counties Essex County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Middlesex County, MA, Worcester County, MA

The radar

The Boston radar (KBOX), 77 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Feb 12, 1:51 PM ESTSNOW 1North Grafton, MA
Feb 12, 2:05 PM ESTSNOW 2Heath, MA
Feb 12, 2:56 PM ESTSNOW 1.9Westborough, MA
Feb 12, 3:00 PM ESTSNOW 1.3Framingham, MA
Feb 12, 3:16 PM ESTSNOW 2.5Deerfield, MA
Feb 12, 3:44 PM ESTSNOW 1.5Sterling, MA
Feb 12, 3:45 PM ESTSNOW 1.3Lunenburg, MA
Feb 12, 4:00 PM ESTSNOW 1.4Lexington, MA
Feb 12, 4:02 PM ESTSNOW 1.8Natick, MA
Feb 12, 4:05 PM ESTSNOW 1.4Lexington, MA
Feb 12, 4:05 PM ESTSNOW 3Leyden, MA
Feb 12, 4:06 PM ESTSNOW 3.3Deerfield, MA
Feb 12, 4:07 PM ESTSNOW 1.3Dracut, MA
Feb 12, 4:09 PM ESTSNOW 1Cambridge, MA
Feb 12, 4:13 PM ESTSNOW 2Framingham, MA
Feb 12, 4:31 PM ESTSNOW 2.5Holden, MA
Feb 12, 4:36 PM ESTSNOW 2South Natick, MA
Feb 12, 4:37 PM ESTSNOW 2.5Gardner, MA
Feb 12, 4:44 PM ESTSNOW 2.1Leominster, MA
Feb 12, 4:52 PM ESTSNOW 1.5Natick, MA
Feb 12, 4:54 PM ESTSNOW 2Hopkinton, MA
Feb 12, 4:57 PM ESTSNOW 1.5Wilmington, MA
Feb 12, 4:59 PM ESTSNOW 2.1Arlington Heights, MA
Feb 12, 5:00 PM ESTSNOW 1.9Lexington, MA
Feb 12, 5:13 PM ESTSNOW 2Hopkinton, MA
Feb 12, 5:23 PM ESTSNOW 3Westminster, MA
Feb 12, 5:25 PM ESTSNOW 3Fitchburg, MA
Feb 12, 5:33 PM ESTSNOW 3Lunenburg, MA
Feb 12, 5:34 PM ESTSNOW 3Boylston, MA
Feb 12, 5:42 PM ESTSNOW 4.5Leicester, MA
Feb 12, 5:43 PM ESTSNOW 3West Peabody, MA
Feb 12, 5:44 PM ESTSNOW 2.5Holden, MA
Feb 12, 5:51 PM ESTSNOW 2.7Milford, MA
Feb 12, 5:56 PM ESTSNOW 3Gardner, MA
Feb 12, 6:00 PM ESTSNOW 2.6Lexington, MA
Feb 12, 6:03 PM ESTSNOW 3.3Westborough, MA
Feb 12, 6:04 PM ESTSNOW 3Framingham, MA
Feb 12, 6:04 PM ESTSNOW 3Framingham, MA
Feb 12, 6:09 PM ESTSNOW 4Worcester, MA
Feb 12, 6:21 PM ESTSNOW 2.5Bradford, MA
Feb 12, 6:22 PM ESTSNOW 1.9East Boxford, MA
Feb 12, 6:23 PM ESTSNOW 4.3Deerfield, MA
Feb 12, 6:34 PM ESTSNOW 2Spencer, MA
Feb 12, 6:41 PM ESTSNOW 2.8Watertown, MA
Feb 12, 6:41 PM ESTSNOW 3Dracut, MA
Feb 12, 6:45 PM ESTSNOW 2Haverhill, MA
Feb 12, 6:46 PM ESTSNOW 2.8Malden, MA
Feb 12, 6:55 PM ESTSNOW 2.6Tewksbury, MA
Feb 12, 7:00 PM ESTSNOW 2.9Lexington, MA
Feb 12, 7:00 PM ESTSNOW 3North Reading, MA
Feb 12, 7:05 PM ESTSNOW 4Westminster, MA
Feb 12, 7:06 PM ESTSNOW 2.9Lexington, MA
Feb 12, 7:09 PM ESTSNOW 4.1Fitchburg, MA
Feb 12, 7:10 PM ESTSNOW 3.1Littleton, MA
Feb 12, 7:12 PM ESTSNOW 2.8Auburn, MA
Feb 12, 7:12 PM ESTSNOW 2.8Auburn, MA
Feb 12, 7:15 PM ESTSNOW 4.1Lunenburg, MA
Feb 12, 7:21 PM ESTSNOW 3North Chelmsford, MA
Feb 12, 7:24 PM ESTSNOW 3Hudson, MA
Feb 12, 7:25 PM ESTSNOW 3.1Framingham, MA

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Chatham, MA (KCHH), launched 00:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 170 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Chatham, MA at 00:00Z on 2019-02-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Chatham, MA at 00:00Z on 2019-02-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -150 square meters per square second.1939587897117136156Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1621 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
81 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-150 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-50 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

583 
WWUS41 KBOX 120805
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
305 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...WINTER WEATHER IMPACTS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING COMMUTE...

.Onset snow will transition to a wintry mix of mostly sleet then
to freezing rain across interior Southern New England beginning
between noon and 3 pm Today, ending early to mid morning 
Wednesday. Along the coast, will see snow transition to sleet 
before mixing with and changing over to rain. Biggest concern are 
the impacts for the late day/evening commute. Hazardous travel 
conditions with slick roadways, especially if left untreated, are 
expected. Also reductions in visibility with any snow or sleet, 
especially as snowfall rates of around an inch an hour are 
forecast shortly after the onset.

MAZ005>007-014-121615-
/O.UPG.KBOX.WS.A.0003.190212T1900Z-190213T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.WS.W.0003.190212T1700Z-190213T1200Z/
Central Middlesex MA-Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-
Southeast Middlesex MA-
Including the cities of Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence, Gloucester,
and Cambridge
305 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TODAY TO 7 AM EST 
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow
  accumulations of 4 to 7 inches and ice accumulations of a light
  glaze expected. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Central Middlesex MA, Western Essex MA, Eastern Essex MA
  and Southeast Middlesex MA Counties. This also includes the
  cities and towns of Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence, Gloucester,
  and Cambridge.

* WHEN...From 2 PM today to 7 AM EST Wednesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be very difficult. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening 
  commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet
and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. 

&&

$$

MAZ002>004-026-121615-
/O.UPG.KBOX.WS.A.0003.190212T1700Z-190213T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.WS.W.0003.190212T1700Z-190213T1200Z/
Western Franklin MA-Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-
Northern Middlesex MA-
Including the cities of Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, Barre, 
Fitchburg, and Ayer
305 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow 
  accumulations of 4 to 7 inches and ice accumulations of around 
  two tenths of an inch expected.

* WHERE...Western Franklin MA, Eastern Franklin MA, Northern
  Worcester MA and Northern Middlesex MA Counties. This also
  includes the cities and towns of Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange,
  Barre, Fitchburg, and Ayer.

* WHEN...From noon today to 7 AM EST Wednesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be very difficult. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening 
  commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet
and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. 

&&

$$

MAZ013-015-016-121615-
/O.UPG.KBOX.WS.A.0003.190212T1900Z-190213T0600Z/
/O.EXB.KBOX.WW.Y.0009.190212T1900Z-190213T0600Z/
Western Norfolk MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-
Including the cities of Foxborough, Norwood, Boston, and Quincy
305 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations 
  of 3 to 5 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze 
  expected.

* WHERE...Western Norfolk MA, Suffolk MA and Eastern Norfolk MA
  Counties. This also includes the cities and towns of Foxborough,
  Norwood, Boston, and Quincy.

* WHEN...From 2 PM this afternoon to 1 AM EST Wednesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

&&

$$

MAZ008>012-121615-
/O.UPG.KBOX.WS.A.0003.190212T1700Z-190213T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KBOX.WW.Y.0009.190212T1900Z-190213T0600Z/
Western Hampshire MA-Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-
Eastern Hampden MA-Southern Worcester MA-
Including the cities of Chesterfield, Blandford, Amherst, 
Northampton, Springfield, Milford, and Worcester
305 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations 
  of 3 to 5 inches and ice accumulations of around one tenth of 
  an inch expected.

* WHERE...Western Hampshire MA, Western Hampden MA, Eastern
  Hampshire MA, Eastern Hampden MA and Southern Worcester MA
  Counties. This includes the cities and towns of Chesterfield,
  Blandford, Amherst, Northampton, Springfield, Milford, and
  Worcester.

* WHEN...From 2 PM this afternoon to 1 AM EST Wednesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be very difficult. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening 
  commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

&&

$$

MAZ017>022-RIZ001>007-121615-
/O.CON.KBOX.WW.Y.0009.190212T1500Z-190213T0300Z/
Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-
Southern Bristol MA-Southern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-
Northwest Providence RI-Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-
Eastern Kent RI-Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI-
Including the cities of Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, Fall River, 
New Bedford, Mattapoisett, Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown, 
Foster, Smithfield, Providence, Coventry, West Greenwich, 
East Greenwich, Warwick, West Warwick, Bristol, Narragansett, 
Westerly, and Newport
305 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS
MORNING TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of
  1 to 4 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze expected.

* WHERE...Portions of southeastern Massachusetts and northern 
  and southern Rhode Island.

* WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 10 PM EST this evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

&&

$$

CTZ002>004-121615-
/O.CON.KBOX.WW.Y.0009.190212T1500Z-190213T1200Z/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon, 
Putnam, and Willimantic
305 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS
MORNING TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations 
  of 2 to 4 inches and ice accumulations of up to two tenths of 
  an inch expected.

* WHERE...Tolland CT, Hartford CT and Windham CT Counties. This
  also includes the cities and towns of Hartford, Windsor Locks,
  Union, Vernon, Putnam, and Willimantic.

* WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 7 AM EST Wednesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening 
  commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

&&

$$

Nocera
4 follow-up statements
597 
WWUS41 KBOX 121020
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
520 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...WINTER WEATHER IMPACTS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING COMMUTE...

.Snow will transition to sleet before changing over to freezing
rain across interior Southern New England, transitioning over to
sleet then to rain along the coast. Beginning around noon to 2 pm
today, ending early morning Wednesday. Greatest concern are the
expected impacts for the afternoon into evening commute. Moderate
to heavy snow occurring at the height of rush hour, accumulating
easily even on treated roads. Expect slowed commutes, long drives
home, especially with snow covered roadways and any accidents.
Reduced visibility with any snow or sleet, especially as snowfall
rates of around an inch an hour are forecast shortly after the
onset.

MAZ002>007-014-026-121830-
/O.EXT.KBOX.WS.W.0003.190212T1800Z-190213T1200Z/
Western Franklin MA-Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-
Central Middlesex MA-Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-
Southeast Middlesex MA-Northern Middlesex MA-
Including the cities of Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, Barre, 
Fitchburg, Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence, Gloucester, Cambridge, 
and Ayer
520 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Initial snow transitioning over to sleet and then mixing
  with freezing rain before ending. Snow and sleet accumulations 
  of 4 to 7 inches and ice accumulations of one to two tents are 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of northern and northeastern Massachusetts.

* WHEN...From 1 pm this afternoon to 7 am Wednesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Expect significant travel impacts this
  afternoon into evening. Prepare accordingly and plan on slippery
  road conditions, slowed commutes, long drives home and reduced 
  visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet
and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. 

&&

$$

CTZ002>004-MAZ008>012-121830-
/O.EXT.KBOX.WW.Y.0009.190212T1600Z-190213T1200Z/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Hampshire MA-
Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-
Southern Worcester MA-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon, 
Putnam, Willimantic, Chesterfield, Blandford, Amherst, 
Northampton, Springfield, Milford, and Worcester
520 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 AM EST 
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Initial snow transitioning over to sleet and then mixing
  with freezing rain before ending. Snow and sleet accumulations 
  of 3 to 5 inches and ice accumulations of one to two tents are 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of northern Connecticut and central
  Massachusetts.

* WHEN...From 11 am this morning to 7 am Wednesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Expect significant travel impacts this
  afternoon into evening. Prepare accordingly and plan on slippery
  road conditions, slowed commutes, long drives home and reduced 
  visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

&&

$$

MAZ013-015-016-RIZ001-121830-
/O.EXT.KBOX.WW.Y.0009.190212T1800Z-190213T0600Z/
Western Norfolk MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-
Northwest Providence RI-
Including the cities of Foxborough, Norwood, Boston, Quincy, 
Foster, and Smithfield
520 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM EST 
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Initial snow transitioning over to sleet and then mixing
  with freezing rain then to rain. Snow and sleet accumulations 
  of 3 to 5 inches and ice accumulations of a trace up to a tenth 
  of an inch are forecast. 

* WHERE...Portions of east coastal Massachusetts including the
  Boston metro area, as well as northwest Rhode Island. 

* WHEN...From 1 pm this afternoon to 1 am Wednesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Expect significant travel impacts this
  afternoon into evening. Prepare accordingly and plan on slippery
  road conditions, slowed commutes, long drives home and reduced
  visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

&&

$$

MAZ017>022-RIZ002>007-121830-
/O.EXT.KBOX.WW.Y.0009.190212T1800Z-190213T0400Z/
Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-
Southern Bristol MA-Southern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-
Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-
Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI-
Including the cities of Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, Fall River, 
New Bedford, Mattapoisett, Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown, 
Providence, Coventry, West Greenwich, East Greenwich, Warwick, 
West Warwick, Bristol, Narragansett, Westerly, and Newport
520 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM EST 
THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Initial snow transitioning over to sleet, briefly mixing
  with freezing rain, and then changing over to all rain. Snow 
  and sleet accumulations of 2 to 4 inches and ice accumulations 
  of a coating are possible wherever freezing rain may occur 
  immediately away from the coast.

* WHERE...Nearly all of Rhode Island including the Providence
  metro area, as well as southeast Massachusetts. 

* WHEN...From 1 pm this afternoon to 11 pm this evening. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Expect significant travel impacts this
  afternoon into evening. Prepare accordingly and plan on slippery
  road conditions, slowed commutes, long drives home and reduced
  visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

&&

$$

Sipprell
024 
WWUS41 KBOX 121712
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
1212 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...WINTER WEATHER IMPACTS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING COMMUTE...

.Snow will transition to sleet before changing over to freezing
rain across interior Southern New England, transitioning over to
sleet then to rain along the coast. Snow will overspread southern
New England through 3 PM today. Precipitation should end early 
morning Wednesday. Greatest concern are the expected impacts for 
the upcoming afternoon into evening commute. Moderate to heavy 
snow occurring at the height of rush hour, accumulating easily, 
even on treated roads. Expect slowed commutes, especially with 
snow-covered roadways and any accidents. Reduced visibility with 
any snow or sleet, especially as snowfall rates of around an inch 
an hour are forecast shortly after the onset.

MAZ002>007-014-026-130115-
/O.CON.KBOX.WS.W.0003.190212T1800Z-190213T1200Z/
Western Franklin MA-Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-
Central Middlesex MA-Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-
Southeast Middlesex MA-Northern Middlesex MA-
Including the cities of Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, Barre, 
Fitchburg, Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence, Gloucester, Cambridge, 
and Ayer
1212 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Initial snow transitioning over to sleet, and then 
  mixing with freezing rain before ending. Snow and sleet 
  accumulations of 4 to 7 inches and ice accumulations of one to 
  two tenths inch are expected.

* WHERE...Portions of northern and northeastern Massachusetts.

* WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 7 AM Wednesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Expect significant travel impacts this
  afternoon and evening. Prepare accordingly, and plan on slippery
  road conditions, slowed commutes, and reduced visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet
and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. 

&&

$$

CTZ002>004-MAZ008>012-130115-
/O.CON.KBOX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190213T1200Z/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Hampshire MA-
Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-
Southern Worcester MA-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon, 
Putnam, Willimantic, Chesterfield, Blandford, Amherst, 
Northampton, Springfield, Milford, and Worcester
1212 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Initial snow transitioning over to sleet, and then 
  mixing with freezing rain before ending. Snow and sleet 
  accumulations of 3 to 5 inches and ice accumulations of one to 
  two tenths inch are expected.

* WHERE...Portions of northern Connecticut and central 
  Massachusetts.

* WHEN...Through 7 AM Wednesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Expect significant travel impacts this
  afternoon and evening. Prepare accordingly, and plan on slippery
  road conditions, slowed commutes, and reduced visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

&&

$$

MAZ013-015-016-RIZ001-130115-
/O.CON.KBOX.WW.Y.0009.190212T1800Z-190213T0600Z/
Western Norfolk MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-
Northwest Providence RI-
Including the cities of Foxborough, Norwood, Boston, Quincy, 
Foster, and Smithfield
1212 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Initial snow transitioning over to sleet, and then mixing
  with freezing rain, then to rain. Snow and sleet accumulations
  of 3 to 5 inches and ice accumulations of a trace up to a tenth
  inch are forecast.

* WHERE...Portions of east coastal Massachusetts, including the 
  Boston metro area, as well as northwest Rhode Island.

* WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 1 AM Wednesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Expect significant travel impacts this
  afternoon and evening. Prepare accordingly, and plan on slippery
  road conditions, slowed commutes, and reduced visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

&&

$$

MAZ017>022-RIZ002>007-130115-
/O.CON.KBOX.WW.Y.0009.190212T1800Z-190213T0400Z/
Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-
Southern Bristol MA-Southern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-
Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-
Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI-
Including the cities of Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, Fall River, 
New Bedford, Mattapoisett, Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown, 
Providence, Coventry, West Greenwich, East Greenwich, Warwick, 
West Warwick, Bristol, Narragansett, Westerly, and Newport
1212 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Initial snow transitioning over to sleet, briefly 
  mixing with freezing rain, and then changing over to all rain. 
  Snow and sleet accumulations of 2 to 4 inches and ice 
  accumulations of a coating are possible wherever freezing rain 
  may occur immediately away from the coast.

* WHERE...Nearly all of Rhode Island, including the Providence 
  metro area, as well as southeast Massachusetts.

* WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 11 PM this evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Expect significant travel impacts this 
  afternoon into evening. Prepare accordingly and plan on 
  slippery road conditions, slowed commutes, long drives home 
  and reduced visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

&&

$$
801 
WWUS41 KBOX 122058
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
358 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

MAZ002>007-014-026-130500-
/O.CON.KBOX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190213T1200Z/
Western Franklin MA-Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-
Central Middlesex MA-Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-
Southeast Middlesex MA-Northern Middlesex MA-
Including the cities of Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, Barre, 
Fitchburg, Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence, Gloucester, Cambridge, 
and Ayer
358 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow transitioning over to sleet this evening, and then
  mixing with freezing rain before ending overnight. Snow and 
  sleet accumulations of 4 to 7 inches and ice accumulations of 
  one to two tenths inch are expected.

* WHERE...Portions of northern and northeastern Massachusetts.

* WHEN...Through 7 AM Wednesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Expect significant travel impacts this 
  afternoon and evening. Prepare accordingly, and plan on 
  slippery road conditions, slowed commutes, and reduced 
  visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet
and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. 

&&

$$

CTZ002>004-MAZ008>012-130500-
/O.CON.KBOX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190213T1200Z/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Hampshire MA-
Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-
Southern Worcester MA-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon, 
Putnam, Willimantic, Chesterfield, Blandford, Amherst, 
Northampton, Springfield, Milford, and Worcester
358 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Sleet and snow transitioning to sleet and freezing rain
  before ending overnight. Snow and sleet accumulations of 3 to 5
  inches and ice accumulations of one to two tenths inch are 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of northern Connecticut and central 
  Massachusetts.

* WHEN...Through 7 AM Wednesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Expect significant travel impacts this 
  afternoon and evening. Prepare accordingly, and plan on 
  slippery road conditions, slowed commutes, and reduced 
  visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

&&

$$

MAZ013-015-016-RIZ001-130500-
/O.CON.KBOX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190213T0600Z/
Western Norfolk MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-
Northwest Providence RI-
Including the cities of Foxborough, Norwood, Boston, Quincy, 
Foster, and Smithfield
358 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow transitioning over to sleet early this evening, and
  then mixing with freezing rain, then to rain. Snow and sleet 
  accumulations of 3 to 5 inches and ice accumulations of a trace 
  up to a tenth inch are forecast.

* WHERE...Portions of east coastal Massachusetts, including the 
  Boston metro area, as well as northwest Rhode Island.

* WHEN...Through 1 AM Wednesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Expect significant travel impacts this 
  afternoon and evening. Prepare accordingly, and plan on 
  slippery road conditions, slowed commutes, and reduced 
  visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

&&

$$

MAZ017>022-RIZ002>007-130400-
/O.CON.KBOX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190213T0400Z/
Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-
Southern Bristol MA-Southern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-
Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-
Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI-
Including the cities of Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, Fall River, 
New Bedford, Mattapoisett, Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown, 
Providence, Coventry, West Greenwich, East Greenwich, Warwick, 
West Warwick, Bristol, Narragansett, Westerly, and Newport
358 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Snow transitioning over to sleet early this evening, then
  briefly mixing with freezing rain before changing over to all 
  rain. Snow and sleet accumulations of 2 to 4 inches and ice 
  accumulations of a coating are possible wherever freezing rain 
  may occur immediately away from the coast.

* WHERE...Nearly all of Rhode Island, including the Providence 
  metro area, as well as southeast Massachusetts.

* WHEN...Through 11 PM this evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Expect significant travel impacts this 
  afternoon into evening. Prepare accordingly and plan on 
  slippery road conditions, slowed commutes, long drives home 
  and reduced visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

&&

$$
392 
WWUS41 KBOX 130301
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
1001 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

MAZ002>007-014-026-131115-
/O.CAN.KBOX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190213T1200Z/
/O.EXA.KBOX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190213T1200Z/
Western Franklin MA-Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-
Central Middlesex MA-Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-
Southeast Middlesex MA-Northern Middlesex MA-
Including the cities of Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, Barre, 
Fitchburg, Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence, Gloucester, Cambridge, 
and Ayer
1001 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...A mix of freezing rain, drizzle and sleet. Ice
  accumulations between a trace and two tenths of an inch.

* WHERE...Mainly northern Massachusetts, along and north of Route
  2.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Wednesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...As snow transitions to mainly freezing rain
  and sleet, expect conditions to become icy through the overnight
  hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

&&

$$

MAZ017>022-RIZ002>007-130600-
/O.EXT.KBOX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190213T0600Z/
Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-
Southern Bristol MA-Southern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-
Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-
Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI-
Including the cities of Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, Fall River, 
New Bedford, Mattapoisett, Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown, 
Providence, Coventry, West Greenwich, East Greenwich, Warwick, 
West Warwick, Bristol, Narragansett, Westerly, and Newport
1001 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...A mix of rain and sleet, with pockets of freezing rain
  will continue until after midnight. Light ice accumulations 
  expected.

* WHERE... Rhode Island and Southeastern Massachusetts

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The mix of freezing rain and sleet will
  lead to icy conditions until temperatures fully warm above
  freezing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of freezing rain
will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads. Slow down
and use caution while driving. 

&&

$$

CTZ002>004-MAZ008>012-131115-
/O.CON.KBOX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190213T1200Z/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Hampshire MA-
Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-
Southern Worcester MA-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon, 
Putnam, Willimantic, Chesterfield, Blandford, Amherst, 
Northampton, Springfield, Milford, and Worcester
1001 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Sleet and snow transitioning to sleet and freezing rain.
  Up to two tenths of an inch of ice are expected.

* WHERE...Portions of northern Connecticut and central 
  Massachusetts.

* WHEN...Through 7 AM Wednesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow transitioning to a mix of sleet and
  freezing rain, will maintain slippery conditions through the
  overnight hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

&&

$$

MAZ013-015-016-RIZ001-130600-
/O.CON.KBOX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190213T0600Z/
Western Norfolk MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-
Northwest Providence RI-
Including the cities of Foxborough, Norwood, Boston, Quincy, 
Foster, and Smithfield
1001 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Portions of northern Rhode Island and Norfolk County in
  Massachusetts.

* WHERE...A mix of rain, freezing rain and sleet will lead to
  slippery conditions over the next few hours.

* WHEN...Through 1 AM Wednesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Pockets of light icing will make for
  slippery travel conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 12, 12:54 AM EST, 2 hours 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 12, 12:54 AM EST, 2 hours 11 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
1254 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Dry and seasonably cold conditions will continue through
tonight as high pressure ridge builds to the north. A storm
system will bring snow changing to ice and rain Tuesday
afternoon into Tuesday night with a significant impact to the
evening commute. Leftover rain across the coastal plain
Wednesday, with a wintry mix inland will taper off during the
afternoon. Temperatures will be near seasonal levels, but will
be brisk late Wednesday into Thursday. Another low will pass
north and west of the region, but will bring another round of
rain that may cause nuisance flooding late Friday into
Saturday. A return to colder temperatures arrives Sunday into
Monday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...

1 AM Update...

No significant changes to the forecast overnight. Short wave
exiting Maine provides a reinforcing surge of cold air via gusty
north winds across the area overnight. Dew pts continue to fall
below zero across northern MA into northern CT. An indication of
low level CAA is well underway. Meanwhile mid/high clouds
continue to stream up and over this cold dome at the surface.
Previous discussion below.

================================================================

Northern stream short wave trough moving across Maine late this
evening is providing a reinforcing surge of cold air into
southern New England. Dew pts continue to drop with -4 at Boston
now at 10 pm. SPC mesoanalysis has 925 mb temps down to about
-8C across the region with -19C along the VT/NH Canadian border
 being advected southward. Thus cold air advection continues
 overnight across the region, setting up for a very interesting
 and challenging forecast Tue afternoon and evening. Only change
 to the overnight forecast was to lower temps/mins. Otherwise
 dry cold weather prevails.

00z Model Guidance Update...

New 00z NAM/ARW and NMM have trended colder Tuesday afternoon
and evening, holding onto the cold air longer. This is likely
due to northern stream short wave moving across Maine this
evening providing a reinforcing surge of cold/dry air into
southern New England overnight. This short wave also amplifies
the mid level trough over the northwest Atlc which in turn
amplifies the cold ridge over New England and Quebec tonight and
delays its departure Tue. Thus snow may linger a few hours
longer Tue evening before a changeover occurs, possibly
resulting in higher snow totals. However no changes to headlines
as we still have to review all 00z guidance overnight.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...

*/ Highlights...

 - Winter storm brings accumulating snow Tue afternoon which will
   have significant impact to evening commute

 - Snow changes to sleet then rain from south to north late Tue/Tue
   night, with a period of freezing rain across the interior

*/ Overview...

We continue to forecast a winter storm to impact southern New
England on Tuesday into Wednesday morning. Looking at the big
picture a deep mid level trough and parent surface low pressure
system swing through the Great Lakes region early Tuesday.
While this system stays to our northwest, a secondary low spins
up along the frontal boundary as it traverses the mid- Atlantic
and this low crosses the PVD-BOS corridor. This, as has been
the case recently, will be a mixed bag event. A preceding large
high pressure center to our north over Canada will allow for
snow at the onset, and lingering cold air at the surface. The
problem comes with a warm nose aloft. Given the along shore
track of the surface low and especially the far northwest track
of the 850 mb low, a strong southerly LLJ will push warm air up
and over the colder air lingering at the surface leading to a
period of sleet and some freezing rain before changing to rain.
The exact timing of the changeover is still not 100% certain, a
wavering of 1-2 hours could have significant impact on snow
amounts. This contributed to the decision to hang onto the
Winter Storm Watch for another period and reevaluate with more
of the hi-res guidance available tonight.

1) Timing / Ptype / Impacts

Snow starts over western MA/CT mid-late morning and expands to
eastern MA by early afternoon. Plenty of moisture available
with this event, PWATs approaching 1" and a saturated DGZ. Lots
of forcing for ascent on the front end of this event with a
strong WAA signature, isentropic lift, and a good band of low
level frontogenesis moving through. HREF guidance indicates
robust probabilities of snowfall rates >1"/hr before the warm
nose changes things over. The better chance for these rates
looks to be the further north you are, but everyone has a
chance. This will certainly disrupt the Tuesday evening
commute. Heavy snows are expected to cause hazardous conditions,
especially on untreated roads.

Snow transitions to sleet from the south coast by late
afternoon, moving north. Areas north of the Mass Pike are
expected to change over to sleet after 23-03Z. This event is
a bit unusual in that northwestern MA is likely to change to a
wintry mix before northeastern MA given the wind and trajectory
of the warm air. While a brief period of freezing rain is
possible across the region, the best chance will be over
interior MA...this will depend on how long that cold drainage
flow can hold on at the surface before being overcome. As warmer
air expands we'll change over to rain. The transition line
moves north and west until by early Wednesday morning the all
except for the high terrain of the Berkshires will be purely
rain.

2) Snow and Ice Amounts and Headlines

Snowfall and ice forecasts are holding generally steady, if
adjusted up slightly in some locations. Still expecting 1-2
inches along the south coast, 2-4 inches south of the Mass
Pike, and 4-8 inches to the north. As noted previously, given
the heavy snowfall rates, a small shift in timing of changeover
can have a significant effect on snowfall totals. While
confidence is increasing, given the marginal nature of the
event, a Winter Storm Watch was continued for northern MA while
a Winter Weather Advisory continues for CT, RI, and southeast
MA. Ice accumulations are generally expected to be 0.10" or less
with patchy spots up to 0.25" in interior MA. Accumulations
like these aren't expected to cause widespread damage.

3) Coastal Flooding

Not expecting much in the way of coastal flooding with this
system. Astronomical tides are quite low which helps. A Gale
Warning has been issued for the eastern waters for wind gusts of
35-40 kts which could cause a storm surge of 1.5 to 2 ft. With
seas forecast to only reach 12-14 ft we don't expect flooding to
occur. At most we may see some splashover or very minor flooding
on the east coast during the Tue night high tide.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...

Highlights...

* Leftover rain and/or mixed precip lingers into Wednesday
  morning
* Seasonal temperatures but brisk winds move in late Wednesday
  through Thursday
* Another low passing NW of the region brings more rainfall,
  possible localized flooding late Friday through Saturday
* Cold air moves back in late this weekend into early next week

Overview...
12Z model suite starts off in good agreement, with mid level
long wave trough/cutoff H5 low center will push NE out of the
eastern Great Lakes into Quebec Wed/Wed night. The associated
surface lows will lift into northern New England by late Wed.
Blustery west winds will linger into Thursday but, with the
cold air locked across Canada, temps should remain near
seasonal levels.

Continue to see signals of another digging mid level trough
across the central U.S., which looks to trigger another
developing low and frontal boundary late this week which could
tap the Gulf of Mexico or SW Atlc ocean and bring another round
of locally heavy rainfall across central and eastern areas,
along with some mixed precip well inland.

Mid level pattern across the lower 48 remains amplified but
progressive into next week, with another cutoff H5 low sweeps
across the region Fri night or early Sat. Model solutions
diverge quite a bit behind this system, yielding quite a spread
in the timing and track of surface and mid level systems.
However, it does look like temperatures will return to near or
below seasonal levels late in this timeframe.

Details...

Wednesday into Thursday...
Low pressure crosses the central and eastern Great Lakes around
12Z Wed with a second low developing as it crosses the region.
Leftover rain and/or a mix of freezing rain and snow lingers
across N central and W Mass through a good chunk of the day
before lifting.

As the lows push N-NE, will see excellent mixing push in by
around midday Wed as low level lapse rates run around 9-9.5C/km
from H95 to H85 pass across the region. Low level jet up to
40-50 kt all the way down to H95 along S coastal areas. So,
could see gusts up to 30-40 kt across N CT/RI/SE Mass where best
mixing is forecast.

Mixing remains very good across the coastal waters Wed night
with the high LL lapse rates continuing, but these will lower
after across the land areas so winds should diminish. CLouds
will linger across central and northern areas, but will break
along the S coast.

Cyclonic westerly flow lingers on Thursday, so will see a mix
of sun and clouds except more diurnal clouds will develop inland
during the late morning and afternoon.

Expect high temps in the upper 30s to mid 40s on Wed, then a
few degrees cooler on Thu, but will remain slightly above
seasonal normals.

Thursday night through Saturday night...
With the progressive pattern continuing, will see another
somewhat amplified mid level trough in the northern stream flow
shifting E-NE late Thu night/Fri. The associated surface low
will remain across the northern Great Lakes into western Quebec
as a trailing front will swing toward the region during Friday.
GEFS ensembles signal a tropical connection from the Gulf of
Mexico ahead of and with this front, with PWATs running about 1
to 2 SD above normal for mid February on SW winds. QPF amounts
could be around 0.6 to 1 inch Fri night and Sat.

Model members begin to show some solution spread by around 12Z
Saturday with the mid level features and track, but appear to
keep the general movement of the passing front into Sat night.

Sunday and Monday...
Model members showing quite a large solution spread during this
timeframe, so have high uncertainty in specifics especially the
faster 12Z GFS run. Used a non-GFS blend for this portion of
the forecast, which was pretty close to the previous forecast.
Should see dry conditions with temperatures running around 5
degrees below seasonal levels.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Short Term /through Wednesday/...

06Z update...

Thru 16Z...

VFR, dry weather and modest north winds becoming northeast.

This afternoon...high confidence in trends, lower in exact
details

Snow overspreads the region 17Z-20Z from west to east and
quickly becomes moderate to heavy with widespread IFR/LIFR by
21z in heavy snow. However the heavy snow is short lived with
snow transitioning to sleet/ice pellets 21z-00z from southwest
to northeast.

Tonight...high confidence in trends, lower in exact details.

Widespread IFR/LIFR in mixed wintry precip (snow, sleet and
freezing rain) transitioning to plain rain along the coast
including KBOS to KPVD. Not a lot of snow more ice (sleet and
freezing rain) especially northwest of KBOS-KPVD. Marginal LLWS
possible along the coast.

KBOS Terminal...High confidence in TAF. Snow begins 19z to 21z
pm then briefly heavy before mixing/changing to sleet 21z-00z.
Then changing to all rain 00z-03z.

KBDL Terminal...High confidence in TAF. Snow begins around 17z
then quickly becomes heavy but also mixes with sleet and then
prolong period of sleet and freezing rain likley tonight.

Outlook /Wednesday Night through Saturday/...

Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Strong winds
with local gusts up to 40 kt. Chance FZRA, slight chance RA.

Wednesday Night: VFR. Windy with gusts up to 35 kt.

Thursday: VFR. Windy with areas of gusts up to 30 kt.

Thursday Night: VFR. Breezy. Slight chance FZRA.

Friday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Breezy. Chance
RA, slight chance FZRA.

Friday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Breezy. RA
likely, FZRA likely.

Saturday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Windy with
local gusts up to 30 kt. RA likely, FZRA likely.

&&

.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Short Term /through Wednesday/...High confidence.

Through Tonight...Winds and seas below Small Craft with north
winds shifting to NE tonight.

Tuesday and Tuesday night...Increasing easterly winds should
reach gale force across the southern waters Tue afternoon and
across the eastern waters Tue night. Winds shift to S-SW across
the S coastal waters late Tue night. Gale Warnings in effect.
Visibility lowers Tue afternoon in developing snow/sleet, then
changing to rain. Seas build up to 8 to 13 ft.

Outlook /Wednesday Night through Saturday/...

Wednesday: Moderate risk for gale force winds with gusts up to
40 kt. Rough seas up to 15 ft. Slight chance of rain.

Wednesday Night: Moderate risk for gale force winds with gusts
up to 40 kt. Rough seas up to 15 ft.

Thursday: Low risk for gale force winds with gusts up to 35 kt.
Areas of rough seas.

Thursday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas
approaching 5 ft.

Friday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft.
Slight chance of rain.

Friday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Local rough seas. Rain
likely.

Saturday: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up
to 30 kt. Areas of rough seas. Rain likely.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Winter Weather Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 7 AM EST
     Wednesday for CTZ002>004.
MA...Winter Weather Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 10 PM EST
     this evening for MAZ017>022.
     Winter Storm Watch from this afternoon through late tonight
     for MAZ005>007-013>016.
     Winter Storm Watch from noon EST today through Wednesday
     morning for MAZ002>004-008>012-026.
RI...Winter Weather Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 10 PM EST
     this evening for RIZ001>007.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST
     Wednesday for ANZ232>237.
     Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST
     Wednesday for ANZ230-231.
     Gale Warning from 10 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Wednesday for
     ANZ250-251-254.
     Gale Warning from 4 PM this afternoon to 11 PM EST this
     evening for ANZ255-256.

&&

SYNOPSIS...EVT/BW
NEAR TERM...Nocera
SHORT TERM...BW
LONG TERM...EVT
AVIATION...Nocera/EVT
MARINE...EVT/BW
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 11, 4:08 PM EST, 10 hours 57 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
408 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

MAZ002>004-008>012-026-122115-
Western Franklin MA-Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-
Western Hampshire MA-Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-
Eastern Hampden MA-Southern Worcester MA-Northern Middlesex MA-
408 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Massachusetts,
eastern Massachusetts and western Massachusetts.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MAZ005>007-013>016-122115-
Central Middlesex MA-Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-
Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-Suffolk MA-
Eastern Norfolk MA-
408 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Massachusetts and
northeastern Massachusetts.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

CTZ002>004-122115-
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-
408 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Connecticut.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MAZ017>022-RIZ001>007-122115-
Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-
Southern Bristol MA-Southern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-
Northwest Providence RI-Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-
Eastern Kent RI-Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI-
408 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM EST
TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Massachusetts,
northern Rhode Island and southern Rhode Island.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MAZ023-024-RIZ008-122115-
Dukes MA-Nantucket MA-Block Island RI-
408 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Massachusetts
and southern Rhode Island.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Noon Tuesday through Tuesday night...

Accumulating snow and sleet will develop west to east. While exact
snow and sleet accumulations remain uncertain, a significant impact
is possible across the Cape and Islands during the Tuesday afternoon
into evening commute.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ255-256-122115-
Coastal Waters extending out to 25 nm South of Marthas Vineyard and
Nantucket-
Coastal Waters from Montauk NY to Marthas Vineyard extending out to
20 nm South of Block Island-
408 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TO 11 PM EST TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters
and Rhode Island coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

Late Wednesday possibly through Thursday...

Westerly gales are possible across all waters.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ250-251-254-122115-
Coastal waters east of Ipswich Bay and the Stellwagen Bank National
Marine Sanctuary-Massachusetts Bay and Ipswich Bay-
Coastal waters from Provincetown MA to Chatham MA to Nantucket MA
out 20 nm-
408 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM TUESDAY TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ230>237-122115-
Boston Harbor-Cape Cod Bay-Nantucket Sound-Vineyard Sound-
Buzzards Bay-Rhode Island Sound-Narragansett Bay-Block Island Sound-
408 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters
and Rhode Island coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Late Wednesday possibly through Thursday...

Westerly gales are possible across all waters.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

For the latest updates, please visit our webpage at
www.weather.gov/boston

You can follow us on Facebook at
www.facebook.com/NWSBoston

You can follow us on Twitter at
@NWSBoston

The office that day

Everything else NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 12, 12:29 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBOXBarnstable, Bristol, Franklin, Middlesex, Norfolk, Plymouth and 1 more2 hr
Feb 12, 3:50 PM ESTGale WarningBOX36 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Massachusetts, 2019Every winter storm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.