Alert archive / Alabama / Frost Advisories in 2019

Frost Advisory 1, NWS Birmingham, AL

November 1, 201919 counties in Alabama

NWS Birmingham, AL issued this frost advisory at Nov 1, 2019, 3:59 AM CDT for 19 counties in Alabama. It took effect at Nov 1, 2019, 11:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 1, 2019, 3:59 AM CDT (08:59 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 1, 2019, 11:00 PM CDT
Expired
Nov 2, 2019, 9:00 AM CDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS Birmingham, AL

Counties Autauga County, AL, Bibb County, AL, Chambers County, AL, Chilton County, AL, Coosa County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Elmore County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Lee County, AL, Lowndes County, AL, Macon County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Montgomery County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pickens County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Tallapoosa County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL

The radar

The Birmingham radar (KBMX), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Birmingham, AL (KBMX), launched 00:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 55 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Birmingham, AL at 00:00Z on 2019-11-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Birmingham, AL at 00:00Z on 2019-11-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -200 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
912 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
75 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-200 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-219 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this frost advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Birmingham, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this frost advisory went out at Oct 31, 11:58 PM CDT, 4 hours 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 31, 11:58 PM CDT, 4 hours 1 minute before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1158 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2019

.UPDATE...
For 06Z Aviation.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
/Updated at 0220 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2019/

The cold front exited Central Alabama around 18Z, and only some
light showers remain east of Interstate 65. The rain should end by
22Z-23Z. The biggest impact on the trick-or-treaters will be the cold
and windy conditions. Temperatures are already in the 40s/50s and
will continue to drop into the upper 30s and 40s by 7 PM. NW
winds will be sustained around 10-15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph
through the remainder of the afternoon, with speeds slowly
decreasing through the evening. Make sure those little ones are
bundled up tonight! But, who are we kidding, the kids will
probably fair better with the cold than the adults. They know
there's a ton of candy out there waiting for them.

No real changes were made to the forecast beyond tonight. Lows
will once again dip into the 30s Friday night, but confidence in a
freeze is just not high enough to warrant a Freeze Watch at this
time. However, frost is definitely likely across portions of the
forecast area.

19

.LONG TERM...
/Updated at 0307 AM CDT Thu Oct 31 2019/

Friday through Wednesday...

Overall a fairly benign pattern in regards to rain potential. We
will see a second front move through on Saturday, but this front
will be dry. Southerly flow resumes on Monday night into Tuesday.
The extended models agree on the overall flow, but disagree on the
amplification. Thus the amount of precipitation is different. To
account for this added in a slight chance of rain for Tuesday
into Tuesday night timeframe. Otherwise dry and fairly seasonable
temperatures.

In regards to temperatures, Friday night will be a little tricky.
Model trends have been a touch warmer than previous, but winds
will calm down, so radiational cooling will be the highest. With
that said have opted to keep the cold wording in the HWO, but not
issue a second freeze watch. In fact it is highly possible that we
wind up going with a frost advisory versus freeze warning. Either
way, you need to take precaution for these cold temperatures.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF Discussion.

A cold northerly flow will prevail thru the period. Patchy clouds
will bases arnd 3000 feet agl over northeast Alabama may impact
KANB thru 08z, otherwise clear skies thru the forecast period with
north winds 5-8 kts.

58/rose

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

A much colder and drier airmass will continue to spread across
Central Alabama in the wake of this morning's cold front. The
remaining showers in the east will exit by this evening with dry
conditions persisting area wide through the weekend. Minimum RH
values will remain above 30 percent.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     29  55  33  56  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
Anniston    30  56  34  57  35 /  10   0   0   0   0
Birmingham  32  56  35  57  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  33  55  35  57  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
Calera      32  56  34  58  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
Auburn      33  58  37  60  37 /  10   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  35  60  37  61  38 /  10   0   0   0   0
Troy        34  59  37  62  37 /  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES/...
Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT Friday for the following counties:
Blount...Calhoun...Cherokee...Clay...Cleburne...Etowah...
Fayette...Jefferson...Lamar...Marion...Pickens...Randolph...
Shelby...St. Clair...Talladega...Tuscaloosa...Walker...Winston.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Birmingham, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 1, 3:59 AM CDTFreeze WarningBMXBlount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Clay, Cleburne, Etowah and 10 more29 hr

Nearby

Frost Advisories in Alabama, 2019Every frost advisory in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.