Severe Thunderstorm Warning 85, NWS La Crosse, WI

325 
WWUS53 KARX 052307
SVSARX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
607 PM CDT Mon Aug 5 2019

MNC045-052317-
/O.CAN.KARX.SV.W.0085.000000T0000Z-190805T2315Z/
Fillmore MN-
607 PM CDT Mon Aug 5 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN FILLMORE COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has 
moved out of the area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
southeastern Minnesota.

LAT...LON 4388 9167 4390 9158 4390 9141 4384 9128
      4375 9125 4374 9126 4374 9173 4377 9173
TIME...MOT...LOC 2307Z 289DEG 26KT 4384 9143 

$$

MNC055-169-052315-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0085.000000T0000Z-190805T2315Z/
Winona MN-Houston MN-
607 PM CDT Mon Aug 5 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN WINONA AND NORTHERN HOUSTON COUNTIES...

At 607 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Dakota, or near
La Crescent, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe storm will be near...
  La Crescent and Hokah around 615 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include Nodine,
County 9 And Sather Valley Road, Perkins, Mound Prairie, Money Creek
and New Hartford.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly
from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the
basement or small central room in a sturdy structure.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4388 9167 4390 9158 4390 9141 4384 9128
      4375 9125 4374 9126 4374 9173 4377 9173
TIME...MOT...LOC 2307Z 289DEG 26KT 4384 9143 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

DL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
209 PM CDT Mon Aug 5 2019

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 209 PM CDT Mon Aug 5 2019

At 2 PM, temperatures were in the 70s across Clark and Taylor
counties in north-central Wisconsin and ranged from the mid-80s
to lower 90s across the remainder of the area. Strong to severe
storms had developed along an outflow boundary across central
Wisconsin. There was a report up to a tennis ball hail in the Twin
Cities from a left moving supercell. ML CAPES south of this
convection ranged from 2500 to 3500 J/kg. We currently have
favorable effective supercell shear, but as the 700-500 mb speed
maximum moves east into the the Great Lakes this shear will
weaken as we move into the evening. Expect these strong to severe
storms to move southeast through southeast Minnesota and along and
north of Interstate 90 in Wisconsin this afternoon. The main
severe weather threats will be large hail and damaging wind.
However, could not rule out the potential for an isolated
tornado.

The severe weather threat for this evening will be highly
dependent upon whether the convection is able to produce a robust
cold pool or not. If this does not develop, there will be more of
a concern of the potential for flooding from training storms as
the line moves at a slower speed to the southeast.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Monday)
Issued at 209 PM CDT Mon Aug 5 2019

On Wednesday afternoon and night, a shortwave trough will
move southeast through the area. Surface dewpoints ahead of the
surface front will climb into the lower 70s. This will allow ML
CAPES to climb to around 2000 J/kg range. Much of deep layer (0 to
6 km) shear is along or post frontal. Meanwhile, the 0-3 km shear
ranges from 25 to 35 knots. If severe weather happens to develop,
the primary threat would be damaging winds.

From Thursday through Saturday, high pressure will provide dry
weather. High temperatures will range from the lower 70s to lower
80s and low temperatures will range from the upper 40s to upper
50s.

From Saturday night into Sunday, another northern stream short
wave will move southeast through the region. This system will
another round of showers and storms. Still a bit too early to
evaluate the severe weather possibilities with this system.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 108 PM CDT Mon Aug 5 2019

An approaching cold front will interact with an unstable airmass
over the region this afternoon to trigger showers and
thunderstorms. Timing for these storms has been adjusted a bit,
with the storms now expected to become more numerous after 21Z
and heading into the evening hours. There remains potential for
some severe storms capable of producing damaging winds and hail,
not to mention heavy rainfall. Most of the activity is expected to
move out of the vicinity of LSE and RST by 03Z. Models also
continue to show potential for MVFR ceilings developing behind the
cold front this evening, lingering into tonight with some hints
for perhaps even some IFR late tonight. Something that will
continue to be monitored.

&&

.ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
MN...None.
IA...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Boyne
LONG TERM...Boyne
AVIATION...Kurz

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
357 AM CDT Mon Aug 5 2019

IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-
032>034-041>044-053>055-061-061000-
Mitchell-Howard-Winneshiek-Allamakee-Floyd-Chickasaw-Fayette-
Clayton-Wabasha-Dodge-Olmsted-Winona-Mower-Fillmore-Houston-
Taylor-Clark-Buffalo-Trempealeau-Jackson-La Crosse-Monroe-Juneau-
Adams-Vernon-Crawford-Richland-Grant-
357 AM CDT Mon Aug 5 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast
Minnesota...northeast Iowa and southwest into central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Strong to severe storms are likely this afternoon into the early
evening. Damaging winds and large hail are the main threats.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Storm chances return Wednesday. A few could be strong.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon into early
evening.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

No webinar is scheduled.

Rieck

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
407 PM CDT Mon Aug 5 2019

MNZ086-052145-
Dodge-
407 PM CDT Mon Aug 5 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT DODGE COUNTY THROUGH 530 PM...

At 405 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 7 miles northeast of
Ellendale, or 8 miles south of Owatonna, moving east at 20 mph.

Winds in excess of 30 mph and nickel size hail are possible with this
storm as it crosses southern Dodge County through 530 PM.

Locations possibly impacted include...

Dodge Center, Mantorville, Kasson, Hayfield, Claremont, Wasioja,
Oslo, and Eden.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
southeastern Minnesota.

LAT...LON 4413 9305 4413 9268 4385 9268 4385 9304
TIME...MOT...LOC 2105Z 284DEG 19KT 4396 9321

Lawrence

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
440 PM CDT MON AUG 5 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0437 PM     HAIL             PLAINVIEW               44.16N 92.17W
08/05/2019  M1.25 INCH       WABASHA            MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTERS REPORTED QUARTER TO HALF
            DOLLAR SIZE HAIL IN THE CITY OF PLAINVIEW.

&&

DTJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
442 PM CDT MON AUG 5 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     HAIL             NELSON                  44.42N 92.00W
08/05/2019  M0.70 INCH       BUFFALO            WI   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

CA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
513 PM CDT MON AUG 5 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0512 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     3 E SAINT CHARLES       43.97N 92.01W
08/05/2019                   WINONA             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD OF
            NEAR HIGHWAY 14 AND COUNTY ROAD 37.

&&

DTJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
515 PM CDT MON AUG 5 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0447 PM     HAIL             4 SE NELSON             44.38N 91.96W
08/05/2019  E2.00 INCH       BUFFALO            WI   PUBLIC

            PHOTO ON SOCIAL MEDIA RELAYED VIA BROADCAST
            MEDIA.

&&

CA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
526 PM CDT MON AUG 5 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0437 PM     HAIL             PLAINVIEW               44.17N 92.17W
08/05/2019  E1.00 INCH       WABASHA            MN   PUBLIC

            PHOTO ON SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

CA