River Flood Warning 48, NWS La Crosse, WI

323 
WGUS83 KARX 190956
FLSARX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
456 AM CDT Sun May 19 2019

...Minor Flooding Expected along the Turkey River at Spillville...

.Recent rainfall will cause Turkey River at Spillville to rise above 
minor flood stage today.

River forecasts take into account both observed and forecast 
precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars into flooded areas. Remember, it only takes two 
feet of water to float most automobiles, including sport utility 
vehicles. Turn Around, Don't Drown!

Additional river and weather information is available at...
http://www.weather.gov/lacrosse .

&&

IAC191-200055-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0048.190519T0954Z-190520T1942Z/
/SPLI4.1.ER.190519T0855Z.190519T1800Z.190520T0142Z.NO/
456 AM CDT Sun May 19 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Turkey River at Spillville.
* from early this morning to Monday afternoon...Or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  4:30 AM Sunday the stage was 9.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 9.5 feet by 
  today. The river will fall below flood stage this evening.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4328 9206 4328 9199 4321 9190 4317 9192 4317 9198

$$

Boyne

251 
WGUS83 KARX 191524
FLSARX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
1024 AM CDT Sun May 19 2019

River forecasts take into account both observed and forecast 
precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars into flooded areas. Remember, it only takes two 
feet of water to float most automobiles, including sport utility 
vehicles. Turn Around, Don't Drown!

Additional river and weather information is available at...
http://www.weather.gov/lacrosse .

&&

MNC157-WIC011-200623-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0049.190520T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/WABM5.1.ER.190520T1800Z.190526T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1024 AM CDT Sun May 19 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Mississippi River at Wabasha.
* from Monday afternoon until further notice...Or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  9:15 AM Sunday the stage was 11.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Monday and continue to rise to
  near 13.7 feet by Saturday evening. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* Impact...At 13.5 feet...Water begins to go over highway 60. Flooding
  also impacts the lower level of slippery's restaurant.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4445 9207 4442 9200 4435 9192 4433 9200 4439 9209

$$

IAC005-043-WIC023-043-200623-
/O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCGI4.2.RS.190318T1530Z.190426T1830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1024 AM CDT Sun May 19 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Mississippi River at McGregor.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:45 AM Sunday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Monday and continue to rise to
  near 16.7 feet by Thursday evening. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding begins, and access to
  parks near the river in Prairie du Chien is affected.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4321 9109 4300 9111 4298 9119 4316 9121 4324 9115

$$

IAC043-WIC043-200623-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0050.190522T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GTTI4.1.ER.190522T0000Z.190526T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1024 AM CDT Sun May 19 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Mississippi River at Guttenberg Dam 10.
* from Tuesday evening until further notice...Or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At 10:00 AM Sunday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Monday and continue to rise to
  near 15.2 feet by Thursday evening. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding begins to occur.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4300 9111 4270 9090 4265 9090 4271 9112 4298 9119

$$

IAC191-191554-
/O.CAN.KARX.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-190520T1942Z/
/SPLI4.1.ER.190519T0855Z.190519T1030Z.190519T1204Z.NO/
1024 AM CDT Sun May 19 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Turkey River at Spillville.
* At  9:30 AM Sunday the stage was 8.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  7:04 AM Sunday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 6.1 feet by Monday 
  morning.


$$

MEA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
610 PM CDT Sat May 18 2019

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 225 PM CDT Sat May 18 2019

Forecast concerns include heavy rain/severe potential late this
afternoon into tonight.

Deep southerly flow extends into the area this afternoon ahead of
mid-level troughing over the high plains. A broad surface trough
was situated from northwest IA south across the plains. A warm
front was located from far southwest MN back through east central
IA.

With a shortwave lifting north into the area, expect showers and
storms to develop northward over the area late today into tonight.
There is still a rather short window for possibly a few severe
storms south of I-90 before convective overturning quickly erodes
remaining CAPE through the evening. It remains somewhat unclear if
any sustained surface based storms will develop this afternoon as
cloud cover is quickly overspreading the warm sector. Low-level
shear profiles are pretty anemic in the warm sector but some
increase in deep layer shear will occur through early evening as
the shortwave approaches. If any severe storms develop, the
primary threats would be hail and strong winds. Later through the
evening and tonight, expect widespread showers and a few storms as
stronger forcing/height falls traverse the region. Locally heavy
rains remain a concern into tonight with pwats nearing 1.5 inches
and warm cloud depths to 3.5 km leading to fairly efficient rain
producers. See the hydro section below.

As the surface low works northeast from IA towards northern Lake
Michigan on Sunday, bands of rain will continue to impact the
region. However, with little instability and stronger moisture
transport shifting to the east, rainfall rates should not be as
high. Cool high temps ranging from the 40s in north central WI to
the low 60s in southwest WI are expected.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 225 PM CDT Sat May 18 2019

Active pattern to continue through the week with multiple rounds of
showers/storms possible.

A brief break in the wetter pattern is expected for Monday with mid-
level shortwave ridging across the area. However, by Monday night
another potent trough will begin to eject across the
southern/central plains while a surface low lifts slowly north
across the plains on Tuesday. Stronger synoptic lift will arrive
Tuesday night with diffluent mid level flow ahead of the trough
and and an intense 125 kt upper level jet streak nosing into the
area. As a result, expect showers/storms to increase Tuesday into
Tuesday night. Despite the strong dynamics,right now the highest
severe threat is expected south of the area with instability
limited over the area north of the warm front. Temps on Tuesday
may stay in the 50s for most of the area.

Global models continue to favor southwest flow aloft over the
Midwest through the rest of the week as strong ridging develops
over the southeast US and longwave troughing remains anchored over
the western US. As a result, expect continued chances for
showers/storms at times for mid to late next week. With the
amplifying upper ridge, warmer temps/instability may return north
during this time, but uncertainty in frontal placement/convection
and orientation of synoptic flow pattern limit confidence right
now.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 610 PM CDT Sat May 18 2019

Showers and storms are quickly approaching from the south as of
early evening, and will overspread all areas the next few hours,
with periods of rain and thunderstorms expected right on through
the night. Several bouts of heavy rain are likely, with
conditions eventually trending to IFR levels for most locations
later this evening, with those IFR conditions holding firm through
Sunday morning as showers continue at times. Some improvement in
ceilings is expected as a cold front arrives into early Sunday
afternoon, though with widespread MVFR conditions still around.
Winds from the east 10-15 knots will shift northwest behind the
front Sunday morning or early afternoon, with gusts around 25
knots through the afternoon hours.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 225 PM CDT Sat May 18 2019

Widespread showers and storms are expected tonight with periods of
showers continuing into Sunday. Rainfall totals will vary across
the area with the thunderstorm activity, but some areas may
receive up to 2 or locally 3+ inches through Sunday with potential
for rises or flooding on rivers where heavier rains fall. Although
widespread flash flood is not expected, localized flash flooding
could occur if multiple thunderstorms impact a particular area.
The heaviest rainfall is expected this evening into tonight.

&&

.ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
MN...None.
IA...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...JM
LONG TERM...JM
AVIATION...Lawrence
HYDROLOGY...JM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
429 AM CDT Sat May 18 2019

IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ032>034-
041>044-053>055-061-191000-
Mitchell-Howard-Winneshiek-Allamakee-Floyd-Chickasaw-Fayette-
Clayton-Wabasha-Dodge-Olmsted-Winona-Mower-Fillmore-Houston-
Buffalo-Trempealeau-Jackson-La Crosse-Monroe-Juneau-Adams-Vernon-
Crawford-Richland-Grant-
429 AM CDT Sat May 18 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for parts of southeast
Minnesota...northeast Iowa and southwest into central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Periods of thunderstorms. Heavy rain is possible, with stronger
storms capable of producing hail. Rises on some waterways is
likely, with the potential for more river flooding. Flash flooding
could result in areas where storms repeat. In addition, isolated
severe storms are also possible from late afternoon into the
evening, with a higher threat across northeast Iowa. Large hail is
the main threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Scattered storms remain possible Sunday.

Another round of storms looks likely for Tuesday and Tuesday
night, with additional storm chances Thursday and Friday. It is
too early to discern the risk for severe weather.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

While widespread spotter activation is not anticipated, but a few
local groups may be needed late this afternoon and evening.
Rainfall, or any severe reports, are appreciated.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

No webinar is scheduled.

WIZ017-029-191000-
Taylor-Clark-
429 AM CDT Sat May 18 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for parts of north central
Wisconsin

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Periods of thunderstorms. Heavy rain is possible, with stronger
storms capable of producing small hail. Rises on some waterways is
likely, with the potential for river flooding. Flash flooding
could result in areas where storms repeat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Another round of storms looks likely for Tuesday and Tuesday
night, with additional storm chances Thursday and Friday. It is
too early to discern the risk for severe weather.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Rainfall reports are appreciated.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

No webinar is scheduled.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
607 PM CDT Sat May 18 2019

IAZ009>011-019-029-190000-
Winneshiek-Chickasaw-Howard-Fayette-Allamakee-
607 PM CDT Sat May 18 2019

...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST IOWA...

A cluster of strong thunderstorms is moving across portions of
northeast Iowa. These storms will impact portions of Chickasaw,
southeast Howard, Winneshiek, northwest Fayette, and northwest
Allamakee counties. The storms are moving northeast at 20 mph.

Lightning, winds in excess of 30 mph, and pea size hail are possible
with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Decorah, Waukon, Cresco, New Hampton, Calmar, Fredericksburg,
Spillville, Fort Atkinson, Jerico, Castalia, St. Lucas, Jackson
Junction, and Vernon Springs County Park.

If outdoors, seek shelter inside a building if storms approach your
location.

LAT...LON 4291 9246 4321 9235 4350 9208 4350 9131
      4308 9161 4291 9208
TIME...MOT...LOC 2305Z 245DEG 18KT 4332 9174

Batzek

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
653 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0650 PM     HAIL             NEW HAMPTON             43.06N 92.31W
05/18/2019  E0.88 INCH       CHICKASAW          IA   PUBLIC

            DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL IN NEW HAMPTON.
            REPORTED BY TWO STORM SPOTTERS.

&&

LAWRENCE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
654 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0653 PM     HEAVY RAIN       NEW HAMPTON             43.06N 92.31W
05/18/2019  M2.25 INCH       CHICKASAW          IA   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC CALLED TO REPORT HEAVY RAINFALL.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
718 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0718 PM     HEAVY RAIN       NEW HAMPTON             43.06N 92.32W
05/18/2019  M2.80 INCH       CHICKASAW          IA   PUBLIC

            HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING ON GRASSY AREAS.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
757 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0757 PM     FLASH FLOOD      NEW HAMPTON             43.06N 92.31W
05/18/2019                   CHICKASAW          IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MANY REPORTS OF HIGH WATER IN TOWN, AND
            WATER COVERING HIGHWAY 63 NORTH OF NEW
            HAMPTON. SANDBAGGING TAKING PLACE IN PARTS
            OF TOWN.

&&

LAWRENCE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
940 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 ENE RANDALIA          42.88N 91.83W
05/18/2019  M0.70 INCH       FAYETTE            IA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            SINCE 9:30 PM.

&&