Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Warnings in 2019

Winter Storm Warning 3, NWS Gaylord, MI

January 24, 20197 counties in Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this winter storm warning at Jan 24, 2019, 4:22 AM EST for 7 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Jan 24, 2019, 12:00 PM EST. It was in force for 22 hr. 19 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jan 24, 2019, 4:22 AM EST (09:22 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 24, 2019, 12:00 PM EST
Expired
Jan 25, 2019, 9:33 AM EST
In force
22 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI

Counties Antrim County, MI, Benzie County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Leelanau County, MI, Otsego County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jan 24, 5:45 PM ESTSNOW 3.52 Ene Maple City, MICO-OP OBSERVER STATION MAPM4, MAPLE CITY 1E.
Jan 24, 7:30 PM ESTSNOW 6Empire, MI12HR TOTAL THRU 7PM.
Jan 24, 7:39 PM ESTSNOW 132 Ne Mancelona, MI12HR TOTAL THRU 7PM.
Jan 24, 7:44 PM ESTSNOW 22 Se Mancelona, MI1HR TOTAL FROM 6PM TO 7PM.
Jan 24, 8:30 PM ESTSNOW 44 Nne Grawn, MI3HR TOTAL THROUGH 8PM.
Jan 24, 8:37 PM ESTSNOW 4.81 E Grawn, MI12HR TOTAL THRU 830PM.
Jan 24, 8:39 PM ESTSNOW 2Beulah, MI12HR TOTAL THRU 8PM.
Jan 24, 8:40 PM ESTSNOW 7North Long Lake, MI12HR TOTAL THRU 8PM.
Jan 24, 8:45 PM ESTSNOW 3Benzonia, MI12HR TOTAL THRU 8PM.
Jan 24, 8:46 PM ESTSNOW 8Benzonia, MI24HR TOTAL THRU 8 PM.
Jan 24, 8:53 PM ESTSNOW 8.5Lake Ann, MI12HR TOTAL THRU 8PM.
Jan 24, 9:26 PM ESTSNOW 6.51 E Kingsley, MI12HR TOTAL THRU 8PM.
Jan 24, 9:58 PM ESTSNOW 82 Se Mancelona, MI12HR TOTAL THRU 930PM.
Jan 24, 10:36 PM ESTSNOW 47&4 Studio Traverse Cit, MI12HR TOTAL THRU 10PM.
Jan 24, 11:13 PM ESTSNOW 42 Sw Greilickville, MI12HR TOTAL THRU 10PM. 7&4 NEWS STUDIOS.
Jan 24, 11:25 PM ESTSNOW 3.53 N Interlochen, MI10HR TOTAL THRU 10PM.
Jan 25, 12:37 AM ESTSNOW 5.89 Ssw Gaylord, MI12HR TOTAL THRU MIDNIGHT.
Jan 25, 8:00 AM ESTSNOW 4.53 Nne North Higgins Lak, MI
Jan 25, 9:00 AM ESTSNOW 116 Ne Elmira, MI

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 00:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 224 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2019-01-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2019-01-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -38 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
816 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-38 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-10 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

833 
WWUS43 KAPX 240922
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
422 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019


MIZ020-025-026-242300-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.190124T1700Z-190126T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0003.190124T1700Z-190125T1600Z/
Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-
Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, and Traverse City
422 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 11 AM EST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...An arctic cold front will bring a period of heavy snow to
  the region later this afternoon. Heavy lake effect snow showers
  will follow tonight into Friday. Total snow accumulations of 6
  to 9 inches are expected with locally higher amounts possible.

* WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie and Grand Traverse Counties.

* WHEN...From noon today to 11 AM EST Friday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions. Winds
  gusting 20 to 30 mph tonight and Friday will cause blowing and 
  drifting snow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you
must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your
vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

MIZ016>018-023-024-242300-
/O.EXA.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.190124T1700Z-190126T0000Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Montmorency-Alpena-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Rogers City, 
Atlanta, and Alpena
422 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...An arctic cold front will bring a period of heavy snow to
  the region later this afternoon. Lake effect snow showers will
  follow tonight and Friday. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5
  inches are expected, with locally higher amounts possible. 

* WHERE...Emmet, Cheboygan, Presque Isle, Montmorency and Alpena 
  Counties.

* WHEN...From noon today to 7 PM EST Friday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Expect
  reduced visibilities at times. Winds gusting 20 to 30 mph 
  tonight and Friday will cause blowing and drifting snow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

&&

$$

MIZ015-242300-
/O.EXA.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.190124T1700Z-190126T0000Z/
Mackinac-
Including the city of St. Ignace
422 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...An arctic cold front will bring a period of heavy snow to
  the region this afternoon. Lake effect snow showers will follow
  tonight and Friday particularly across the western part of the
  county. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches are expected.

* WHERE...Mackinac County.

* WHEN...From noon today to 7 PM EST Friday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions, 
  including during the evening commute. Expect reduced 
  visibilities at times. The cold wind chills as low as 20 below 
  zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 
  minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

&&

$$

MIZ029-034-242300-
/O.EXA.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.190124T1700Z-190126T0000Z/
Oscoda-Roscommon-
Including the cities of Mio and Houghton Lake
422 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...An arctic cold front will bring a period of heavy snow to
  the region later this afternoon. Lake effect snow showers will
  follow tonight and Friday. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 
  inches are expected.

* WHERE...Oscoda and Roscommon Counties.

* WHEN...From noon today to 7 PM EST Friday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Expect
  reduced visibilities at times. Winds gusting 20 to 30 mph 
  tonight and Friday will cause some blowing and drifting snow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

&&

$$

MIZ031>033-242300-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.190124T1700Z-190126T0000Z/
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-
Including the cities of Manistee, Cadillac, and Lake City
422 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...An arctic cold front will bring a period of heavy snow to
  the region later this afternoon. Lake effect snow showers will
  follow tonight and Friday. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 7
  inches are expected with locally higher amounts possible.

* WHERE...Manistee, Wexford and Missaukee Counties.

* WHEN...From noon today to 7 PM EST Friday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions and
  reduced visibilities. Winds gusting 20 to 30 mph tonight and 
  Friday will produce some blowing and drifting snow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

&&

$$

MIZ008-242300-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.190124T1700Z-190126T0000Z/
Chippewa-
Including the city of Sault Ste. Marie
422 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...An arctic cold front will bring a period of heavy snow to
  the region this afternoon. Lake effect snow showers will follow
  tonight and Friday particularly across the western part of the
  county. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches are expected
  with locally higher amounts possible. 

* WHERE...Chippewa County.

* WHEN...From noon today to 7 PM EST Friday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions,
  including during the evening commute. Expect reduced 
  visibilities at times. The cold wind chills as low as 25 below 
  zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 
  minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

&&

$$

MIZ019-021-022-027-028-242300-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.190124T1700Z-190126T0000Z/
Charlevoix-Antrim-Otsego-Kalkaska-Crawford-
Including the cities of Charlevoix, Mancelona, Gaylord, Kalkaska,
and Grayling
422 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...An arctic cold front will bring a period of heavy snow to
  the region later this afternoon. Lake effect snow showers will
  follow tonight and Friday. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 7
  inches are expected, with locally higher amounts possible.

* WHERE...Charlevoix, Antrim, Otsego, Kalkaska and Crawford 
  Counties.

* WHEN...From noon today to 7 PM EST Friday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions and
  reduced visibilities. Winds gusting 20 to 30 mph tonight and 
  Friday will produce some blowing and drifting snow.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
5 follow-up statements
921 
WWUS43 KAPX 241446
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
946 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

MIZ020-025-026-250000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.190124T1700Z-190125T1600Z/
Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-
Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, and Traverse City
946 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...An arctic cold front will bring a period of heavy snow 
  to the region later this afternoon. Heavy lake effect snow 
  showers will follow tonight into Friday. Total snow 
  accumulations of 6 to 9 inches are expected with locally 
  higher amounts possible.

* WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie and Grand Traverse Counties.

* WHEN...From noon today to 11 AM EST Friday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions. 
  Winds gusting 20 to 30 mph tonight and Friday will cause 
  blowing and drifting snow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you
must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your
vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

MIZ016>018-023-024-250000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.190124T1700Z-190126T0000Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Montmorency-Alpena-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Rogers City, 
Atlanta, and Alpena
946 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...An arctic cold front will bring a period of heavy snow 
  to the region later this afternoon. Lake effect snow showers 
  will follow tonight and Friday. Total snow accumulations of 3 
  to 5 inches are expected, with locally higher amounts possible.

* WHERE...Emmet, Cheboygan, Presque Isle, Montmorency and Alpena 
  Counties.

* WHEN...From noon today to 7 PM EST Friday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Expect 
  reduced visibilities at times. Winds gusting 20 to 30 mph 
  tonight and Friday will cause blowing and drifting snow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

&&

$$

MIZ031>033-250000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.190124T1700Z-190126T0000Z/
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-
Including the cities of Manistee, Cadillac, and Lake City
946 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...An arctic cold front will bring a period of heavy snow 
  to the region later this afternoon. Lake effect snow showers 
  will follow tonight and Friday. Total snow accumulations of 4 
  to 7 inches are expected with locally higher amounts possible.

* WHERE...Manistee, Wexford and Missaukee Counties.

* WHEN...From noon today to 7 PM EST Friday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions and 
  reduced visibilities. Winds gusting 20 to 30 mph tonight and 
  Friday will produce some blowing and drifting snow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

&&

$$

MIZ008-015-250000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.190124T1700Z-190126T0000Z/
Chippewa-Mackinac-
Including the cities of Sault Ste. Marie and St. Ignace
946 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...An arctic cold front will bring a period of heavy snow 
  to the region this afternoon. Lake effect snow showers will 
  follow tonight and Friday particularly across the western part 
  of the county. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches are 
  expected.

* WHERE...Mackinac County.

* WHEN...From noon today to 7 PM EST Friday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions, 
  including during the evening commute. Expect reduced 
  visibilities at times. The cold wind chills as low as 20 below 
  zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 
  minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

&&

$$

MIZ019-021-022-027>029-034-250000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.190124T1700Z-190126T0000Z/
Charlevoix-Antrim-Otsego-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Roscommon-
Including the cities of Charlevoix, Mancelona, Gaylord, Kalkaska,
Grayling, Mio, and Houghton Lake
946 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...An arctic cold front will bring a period of heavy snow 
  to the region later this afternoon. Lake effect snow showers 
  will follow tonight and Friday. Total snow accumulations of 4 
  to 7 inches are expected, with locally higher amounts possible.

* WHERE...Charlevoix, Antrim, Otsego, Kalkaska and Crawford 
  Counties.

* WHEN...From noon today to 7 PM EST Friday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions and 
  reduced visibilities. Winds gusting 20 to 30 mph tonight and 
  Friday will produce some blowing and drifting snow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
465 
WWUS43 KAPX 242033
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
333 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

MIZ019-021-022-027-250445-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/
Charlevoix-Antrim-Otsego-Kalkaska-
Including the cities of Charlevoix, Mancelona, Gaylord, 
and Kalkaska
333 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...An arctic cold front will bring a period of heavy snow to
  the region later this afternoon and evening. Heavy lake effect
  snow showers will follow later tonight through Friday. Total 
  snow accumulations of 5 to 8 inches are expected with locally 
  higher amounts possible.

* WHERE...Charlevoix, Antrim, Otsego and Kalkaska Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Friday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions. 
  Winds gusting as high as 30 mph will cause patchy blowing and 
  drifting snow. The cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero 
  could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 
  minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you
must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your
vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

MIZ020-025-026-250445-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190125T1600Z/
Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-
Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, and Traverse City
333 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...An arctic cold front will bring a period of heavy snow to
  the region later this afternoon and evening. Heavy lake effect
  snow showers will follow tonight into Friday morning. Total 
  snow accumulations of 6 to 9 inches are expected with locally 
  higher amounts possible.

* WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie and Grand Traverse Counties.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EST Friday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions. 
  Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will cause patchy blowing and 
  drifting snow. The cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero 
  could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 
  minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you
must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your
vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

MIZ016>018-023-024-028-029-034-250445-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Montmorency-Alpena-Crawford-Oscoda-
Roscommon-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Rogers City, 
Atlanta, Alpena, Grayling, Mio, and Houghton Lake
333 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...An arctic cold front will bring a period of heavy snow to
  the region later this afternoon and evening. Lake effect snow 
  showers will follow tonight and Friday. Total snow accumulations
  of 2 to 5 inches are expected, with locally higher amounts 
  possible.

* WHERE...Emmet, Cheboygan, Presque Isle, Montmorency, Alpena,
  Crawford, Oscoda, and Roscommon Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Friday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Expect
  reduced visibilities at times. Winds gusting 20 to 30 mph
  tonight and Friday will cause blowing and drifting snow. The
  cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero could cause frostbite
  on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

&&

$$

MIZ031>033-250445-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-
Including the cities of Manistee, Cadillac, and Lake City
333 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...An arctic cold front will bring a period of heavy snow to
  the region later this afternoon and evening. Lake effect snow 
  showers will follow tonight and Friday. Total snow accumulations
  of 4 to 7 inches are expected with locally higher amounts 
  possible.

* WHERE...Manistee, Wexford and Missaukee Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Friday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions and
  reduced visibilities. Winds gusting 20 to 30 mph tonight and
  Friday will produce some blowing and drifting snow. The cold
  wind chills as low as 20 below zero could cause frostbite on
  exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

&&

$$

MIZ008-015-250445-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/
Chippewa-Mackinac-
Including the cities of Sault Ste. Marie and St. Ignace
333 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...An arctic cold front will bring a period of heavy snow to
  the region this afternoon and evening. Lake effect snow showers
  will follow later tonight and Friday, particularly across the
  western part of the county. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4
  inches are expected, with locally higher amounts possible.

* WHERE...Chippewa and Mackinac Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Friday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions, 
  including during the evening commute. Expect reduced 
  visibilities at times. The cold wind chills as low as 20 below 
  zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 
  minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
397 
WWUS43 KAPX 250308
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1008 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019


MIZ028-251115-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/
Crawford-
Including the city of Grayling
1008 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow showers will occur through Friday.
  Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches are expected, with the
  highest amounts west of I-75. 

* WHERE...Crawford County.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Friday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions. Winds
  gusting as high as 30 mph will cause patchy blowing and drifting
  snow. The cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero could cause
  frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you
must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your
vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

MIZ020-025-026-251115-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190125T1600Z/
Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-
Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, and Traverse City
1008 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow showers will occur into Friday 
  morning. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 9 inches are expected 
  with locally higher amounts possible.

* WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie and Grand Traverse Counties.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EST Friday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions,
  including during the morning commute on Friday. Winds gusting as
  high as 35 mph will cause patchy blowing and drifting snow. The
  cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero could cause frostbite
  on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you
must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your
vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

MIZ019-021-022-027-251115-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/
Charlevoix-Antrim-Otsego-Kalkaska-
Including the cities of Charlevoix, Mancelona, Gaylord, 
and Kalkaska
1008 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow showers will occur through Friday.
  Total snow accumulations of 5 to 9 inches are expected with
  locally higher amounts possible. 

* WHERE...Charlevoix, Antrim, Otsego and Kalkaska Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Friday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions. 
  Winds gusting as high as 30 mph will cause patchy blowing and 
  drifting snow. The cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero 
  could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 
  minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you
must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your
vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

MIZ016>018-023-024-029-034-251115-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Montmorency-Alpena-Oscoda-Roscommon-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Rogers City, 
Atlanta, Alpena, Mio, and Houghton Lake
1008 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 6 
  inches are expected, with locally higher amounts possible.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Friday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Expect
  reduced visibilities at times. Winds gusting 20 to 30 mph
  tonight and Friday will cause blowing and drifting snow. The
  cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero could cause frostbite
  on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

&&

$$

MIZ031>033-251115-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-
Including the cities of Manistee, Cadillac, and Lake City
1008 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...lake effect snow. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 7 
  inches are expected.

* WHERE...Manistee, Wexford and Missaukee Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Friday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions, 
  including during the morning commute on Friday. In addition, 
  some reductions to visibility are likely. Winds gusting as 
  high as 30 mph will cause patchy blowing and drifting snow. 
  The cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero could cause 
  frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

&&

$$

MIZ008-015-251115-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/
Chippewa-Mackinac-
Including the cities of Sault Ste. Marie and St. Ignace
1008 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches, with
  localized higher amounts well west of I-75.

* WHERE...Chippewa and Mackinac Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Friday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions, 
  including during the evening commute on Friday. Expect reduced 
  visibilities at times. The cold wind chills as low as 25 below 
  zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 
  minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
880 
WWUS43 KAPX 250850
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
350 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

MIZ020-025-026-251600-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190125T1600Z/
Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-
Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, and Traverse City
350 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Periods of snow with areas of blowing snow and reduced
  visibilities. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches,
  except locally higher within heavier snow bands. 

* WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie and Grand Traverse Counties.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EST this morning.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on hazardous travel conditions, 
  including during the morning commute. Winds gusting as high as 
  30 mph will cause areas of blowing and drifting snow with low 
  visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you
must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your
vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

MIZ019-021-022-027-028-251700-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/
Charlevoix-Antrim-Otsego-Kalkaska-Crawford-
Including the cities of Charlevoix, Mancelona, Gaylord, Kalkaska,
and Grayling
350 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Periods of snow, possibly heavy at times. Additional snow
  accumulations of 2 to 5 inches, with locally 6+ inches in the 
  heaviest snow bands.

* WHERE...Charlevoix, Antrim, Otsego, Kalkaska and Crawford 
  Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on hazardous travel conditions, 
  including during the morning commute. Expect significant 
  reductions in visibility at times with areas of blowing and 
  drifting snow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you
must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your
vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

MIZ016>018-023-024-029-034-251700-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Montmorency-Alpena-Oscoda-Roscommon-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Rogers City, 
Atlanta, Alpena, Mio, and Houghton Lake
350 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Occasional snow showers with areas of blowing snow and
  low wind chills. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 2 inches,
  with locally higher amounts within the heaviest snow bands.
  Gusty winds will create areas of blowing snow with reduced
  visibility. Wind chill readings as low as -10 degrees. 

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions, including
  during the morning commute. Expect reduced visibilities at
  times, especially in exposed areas due to blowing snow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

&&

$$

MIZ031>033-251700-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-
Including the cities of Manistee, Cadillac, and Lake City
350 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Occasional snow showers with areas of blowing snow and
  low wind chills. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches,
  with locally higher amounts within the heaviest snow bands.
  Gusty winds will create areas of blowing snow with reduced
  visibility. Wind chill readings as low as -10 degrees. 

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions, including
  during the morning commute. Expect reduced visibilities at
  times, especially in exposed areas due blowing snow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

&&

$$

MIZ008-015-251700-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/
Chippewa-Mackinac-
Including the cities of Sault Ste. Marie and St. Ignace
350 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Periods of snow and areas of low visibility with blowing
  snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 2 inches, with
  locally higher amounts in heavier snow bands west of Interstate
  75.  
 
* WHERE...Chippewa and Mackinac Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions, including
  during the morning commute. Expect reduced visibilities at times
  due to blowing and drifting snow. Wind chills as low as 25 
  below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as
  30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
787 
WWUS43 KAPX 251433
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
933 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019


MIZ019-021-022-260000-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/
Charlevoix-Antrim-Otsego-
Including the cities of Charlevoix, Mancelona, and Gaylord
933 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Periods of lake effect snow. Additional snow
  accumulations of 2 to 4 inches are expected, with locally 
  higher amounts possible.

* WHERE...Charlevoix, Antrim and Otsego Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Expect
  greatly reduced visibilities at times, with near whiteout
  conditions possible in the heavier snow bands.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for lake effect snow means lake effect
snow is forecast that will make travel difficult in some areas.
Use caution when traveling.

&&

$$

MIZ020-025-026-260000-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190125T1600Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/
Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-
Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, and Traverse City
933 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Periods of lake effect snow. Additional snow 
  accumulations of 1 to 3 inches are expected.

* WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie and Grand Traverse Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. In 
  addition, some reductions to visibility are likely. Winds 
  gusting as high as 25 mph will cause patchy blowing and 
  drifting snow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for lake effect snow means lake effect
snow is forecast that will make travel difficult in some areas.
Use caution when traveling.

&&

$$

MIZ027-028-260000-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/
Kalkaska-Crawford-
Including the cities of Kalkaska and Grayling
933 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Periods of lake effect snow. Additional snow 
  accumulations of 2 to 4 inches are expected.

* WHERE...Kalkaska and Crawford Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Expect 
  greatly reduced visibilities at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for lake effect snow means lake effect
snow is forecast that will make travel difficult in some areas.
Use caution when traveling.

&&

$$

MIZ015-024-029-034-251545-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/
Mackinac-Alpena-Oscoda-Roscommon-
Including the cities of St. Ignace, Alpena, Mio, 
and Houghton Lake
933 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Periods of lake effect snow will continue today. Localized snow 
accumulation up to 2 inches is possible, although most areas will
receive under an inch. Expect brief periods of greatly reduced 
visibility in any heavier snow showers.

$$

MIZ016>018-023-260000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Montmorency-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Rogers City, 
and Atlanta
933 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Periods of Lake effect snow. Additional snow
  accumulations of up to three inches are expected.

* WHERE...Emmet, Cheboygan, Presque Isle and Montmorency 
  Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions, 
  including during the evening commute. Expect reduced 
  visibilities at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for lake effect snow means lake effect
snow is forecast that will make travel difficult in some areas.
Use caution when traveling.

&&

$$

MIZ031>033-260000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-
Including the cities of Manistee, Cadillac, and Lake City
933 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Periods of lake effect snow. Additional snow
  accumulations of up to three inches are expected.

* WHERE...Manistee, Wexford and Missaukee Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Expect 
  reduced visibilities at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for lake effect snow means lake effect
snow is forecast that will make travel difficult in some areas.
Use caution when traveling.

&&

$$

MIZ008-260000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/
Chippewa-
Including the city of Sault Ste. Marie
933 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Periods of lake effect snow. Additional snow
  accumulations of up to three inches are expected, with the
  highest totals near Whitefish Point and Paradise.

* WHERE...Chippewa County.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions, including
  during the evening commute. Expect greatly reduced visibilities
  at times, with near whiteout conditions possible in the heavier
  snow bands.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for lake effect snow means lake effect
snow is forecast that will make travel difficult in some areas.
Use caution when traveling.

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Jan 24, 4:05 AM EST, 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 24, 4:05 AM EST, 17 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
405 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

.NEAR TERM...(Today through Tonight)
Issued at 404 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...Winter Storm has Passed, Time for the Lake Effect Machine...

High Impact Weather Potential: Accumulating lake effect snow across
the snowbelts to end the work week.

Pattern Synopsis/Forecast: Overnight composite analysis features
broad long wave troughing across the eastern two-thirds of the
CONUS. Shearing short-wave trough is progressing through the western
Great Lakes early this morning and has brought about a flare-up of
lake induced/enhanced snow to northern lower Michigan. At the
surface, departing surface low is across the Ontario/Quebec
border with attendant cold front stretching south through the
Appalachians. Sharp lake aggregate surface troughing extends back
along the north shore of the U.P. with some northerly flow lake
effect impacting parts of the U.P.

Further upstream, another short-wave trough is making it's way
through south central Canada in the northern plains. Weak surface
reflection is over SW Ontario with a true arctic cold front
extending down through the upper Midwest. Colder air has/is
horseshoeing it's way around the Great Lakes, slowed by the Great
Lakes heat plume. Really cold upstream air is on it's way.

Primary Forecast Concerns: Snow accumulations and headlines as
lake effect snow machine kicks into high gear.

Lead short-wave trough slides east of the region this morning with
a brief interlude of subsidence/drier air/lowering inversion
heights and downtick in lake induced snows this morning. Thus a
relatively quiet start to the day.

But...things will go downhill quickly as we get into the afternoon
and particularly tonight. Upstream short-wave trough/surface
reflection and sharp arctic boundary will slide through the
region through the afternoon/early evening with arctic air then
collapsing into northern Michigan tonight. As typically the case,
we will probably have a decent burst of lake enhanced/synoptic
snowfall along the sharp boundary as it moves through, which will
bring nearly all areas some snowfall, although better snow
accumulations will be across parts of eastern Michigan as well as
northwest lower Michigan with enhancement off the lakes and
terrain boost.

Behind the front, lake effect conditions improve dramatically as
temperatures plunge/inversion heights are nearly erased and
lake-H8 delta Ts climb well into the 20s. Bufkit forecast
soundings show equilibrium levels up over 12K feet and lake
induced CAPE values climbing up over 750 J/KG as we go through the
night, all supportive of a period of heavy lake effect snow later
this evening and overnight.

Right now it appears that areas right around Grand Traverse Bay
get the best synoptic/lake effect accumulations through tonight
as winds veer sharply NNW behind the front. Lighter snow
accumulations elsewhere, although with the anticipated burst of
snow along the front and gusty winds/lake effect that follows,
many areas will end up with impactful winter weather.

As far as headlines are concerned, Snow accumulations will likely
flirt with warning criteria across Leelanau/Benzie and Grand
Traverse counties with the combination of snowfall this afternoon
and lake effect focusing into that area tonight. Combined with
gusty winds/blowing snow developing later tonight, plan on
upgrading those counties to a warning. Will keep the rest of the
already issued advisories intact and add a few more counties into
the mix, again for the combination of snow showers/gusty winds
and blowing snow.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Friday through Saturday)
Issued at 404 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...Brutal cold with chances for snow...

High Impact Weather Potential: Wintry travel and extreme cold into
the weekend.

Primary Forecast Concerns/Challenges: Temperatures and snowfall
through the period.

Pattern Synopsis/Forecast...A deep upper trough will dig into the
region Friday and become anchored over the Great Lakes and upper
Midwest through the weekend. Mid level temperatures in this pattern
will quickly plummet to around -24c Friday and Saturday, which will
generate well below normal temperatures. Daytime highs will only be
in the single digits and overnight lows will near 10 below zero
across all of northern Michigan through the weekend. The cold
temperatures will be further heightened Thursday into Friday
afternoon as northwest winds 15 to 25 mph generate well below zero
wind chill readings across all of northern Michigan.

There will be several chances for snow heading into the weekend as
cyclonic flow lingers over the Great Lakes Friday on the backside of
a system exiting the eastern Great Lakes, before a second feature
drops into the state to begin the weekend. The most persistent snows
and most significant amounts will in favored snow belts of Lake
Michigan and Lake Superior through the period.

Highest snowfall amounts appears to be Friday night and early
Saturday as model soundings show northwest 925-850mb winds trending
west Friday afternoon and remaining nearly steady west into Saturday
morning. 925-850mb winds slowly trend southwest Saturday afternoon
in advance of the next clipper dropping into the state. Inversion
heights through the period will be around 7k to 9k ft. However
snowfall amounts will become hindered Saturday as the entire
vertical temp column cools to temps between temps of -15c and -23c.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 404 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

A wintry period to continue across the Great Lakes with well below
normal temperatures, along with several chances for snow. A 500mb
trough will dig into the Great Lakes over the weekend, forcing mid
lvl temps to fall to brutally cold readings near -32c Sunday, which
will keep daytime highs in the single digits. Temps remain below
normal across northern Michigan to begin the work week before the
coldest air of the season floods into the region Wed and Thursday
(mid lvl temps falling to around -34c). There will be several rounds
of snow over northern Michigan during the period, as a system pushes
over the state Sunday before a second system affects the region
Tuesday and Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)
Issued at 1145 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019

Low pressure will continue to pull NE away from Michigan overnight.
A secondary arctic cold front will sweep thru Michigan on
Thursday...bringing extremely cold air into our region that will
last thru the weekend and thru much of next week. NW flow lake
effect snow showers will continue to develop as colder air
arrives tonight into Thursday. Overall conditions will remain
MVFR...dropping to IFR within heavier snow showers. NW winds AOB
10 kts overnight into Thursday morning will strengthen to 10 to
20 kts with higher gusts Thursday afternoon with the arrival of
the arctic front.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 404 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

Gusty winds develop across the region late this afternoon and
tonight across much of the nearshore areas. Plan to hoist small
craft advisory headlines for most areas.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY from noon today to 7 PM EST Friday for
     MIZ008-015>019-021>024-027>029-031>034.
     WINTER STORM WARNING from noon today to 11 AM EST Friday for
     MIZ020-025-026.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY from 1 AM to 4 PM EST Friday for LHZ345-
     347>349.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY from 7 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Friday
     for LMZ323-342-344.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY until 6 AM EST Friday for LMZ345-346.
&&

NEAR TERM...BA
SHORT TERM...SR
LONG TERM...SR
AVIATION...MR
MARINE...BA
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 23, 7:09 PM EST, 9 hours 13 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
709 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-
042-242130-
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-Chippewa-
Mackinac-Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Charlevoix-Leelanau-Antrim-
Otsego-Montmorency-Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-
Oscoda-Alcona-Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-
Gladwin-Arenac-
709 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for northern Lower Michigan...
eastern Upper Michigan...and adjacent nearshore waters of Lake
Michigan...Lake Huron and Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Very cold temperatures will result in rapid ice development and
potential ice jam formation on area rivers.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Accumulating lake effect snow, gusty winds, areas of blowing snow
with poor visibility, and low wind chill temperatures are
expected Thursday afternoon on through the weekend, especially in
the snowbelts of eastern upper and northwest lower Michigan. Please
see latest winter weather advisories for details.

There is potential for widespread accumulating snow across all of
northern Michigan from a system passing through the region Monday
into Tuesday.

Very cold temperatures will result in rapid ice development and
potential ice jam formation on area rivers.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report snowfall amounts to the
National Weather Service. Reports may be made one of three ways:

Online:    weather.gov/gaylord
Facebook: facebook.com/nwsgaylord
Twitter:  twitter.com/nwsgaylord

&&

For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 23, 11:27 PM EST, 4 hours 55 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1127 PM EST WED JAN 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1126 PM     SNOW             FAIRVIEW                44.72N 84.05W
01/23/2019  M9.2 INCH        OSCODA             MI   PUBLIC

            24HR TOTAL THRU 8PM.

&&

SWR
Local storm report, Jan 23, 11:51 PM EST, 4 hours 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1151 PM EST WED JAN 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1150 PM     SNOW             HUBBARD LAKE            44.81N 83.59W
01/23/2019  M6.0 INCH        ALCONA             MI   PUBLIC

            24 TO 30HR TOTAL THRU 8PM.

&&

SWR
Local storm report, Jan 24, 1:17 AM EST, 3 hours 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
117 AM EST THU JAN 24 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0117 AM     SNOW             LUPTON                  44.43N 84.02W
01/24/2019  M6.0 INCH        OGEMAW             MI   PUBLIC

            24 TO 30HR TOTAL THRU 9PM.

&&

SWR
Local storm report, Jan 24, 1:20 AM EST, 3 hours 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
120 AM EST THU JAN 24 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0807 PM     SNOW             ROYSTON                 45.16N 83.92W
01/23/2019  M14.0 INCH       MONTMORENCY        MI   PUBLIC

            24 TO 30 HR TOTAL THRU 6PM.

0741 PM     SNOW             HESSEL                  46.01N 84.42W
01/23/2019  M12.5 INCH       MACKINAC           MI   BROADCAST MEDIA

            24 TO 30 HR TOTAL THRU 6PM.

0739 PM     SNOW             CHEBOYGAN               45.64N 84.47W
01/23/2019  M12.0 INCH       CHEBOYGAN          MI   BROADCAST MEDIA

            24HR TOTAL THRU 7PM.

1126 PM     SNOW             FAIRVIEW                44.72N 84.05W
01/23/2019  M9.2 INCH        OSCODA             MI   PUBLIC

            24HR TOTAL THRU 8PM.

0748 PM     SNOW             HIGGINS LAKE            44.47N 84.74W
01/23/2019  M8.0 INCH        ROSCOMMON          MI   PUBLIC

            24HR TOTAL THRU 5PM.

0756 PM     SNOW             LUZERNE                 44.62N 84.27W
01/23/2019  M7.0 INCH        OSCODA             MI   PUBLIC

            24HR TOTAL THRU 730 PM.

0600 PM     SNOW             2 N TOPINABEE           45.52N 84.60W
01/23/2019  M7.0 INCH        CHEBOYGAN          MI   BROADCAST MEDIA

            24HR TOTAL THRU 6PM.

0600 PM     SNOW             4 SSE BLACK LAKE        45.43N 84.23W
01/23/2019  M6.8 INCH        PRESQUE ISLE       MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            CO-OP OBSERVER STATION ONAM4, ST PR.

0921 PM     SNOW             INDIAN RIVER            45.42N 84.62W
01/23/2019  M6.6 INCH        CHEBOYGAN          MI   PUBLIC

            30HR TOTAL THRU 9PM. SNOW DEPTH 12 INCH.

0743 PM     SNOW             PETOSKEY                45.37N 84.96W
01/23/2019  M6.5 INCH        EMMET              MI   PUBLIC

            24HR TOTAL THRU 5PM.

1150 PM     SNOW             HUBBARD LAKE            44.81N 83.59W
01/23/2019  M6.0 INCH        ALCONA             MI   PUBLIC

            24 TO 30HR TOTAL THRU 8PM.

0117 AM     SNOW             LUPTON                  44.43N 84.02W
01/24/2019  M6.0 INCH        OGEMAW             MI   PUBLIC

            24 TO 30HR TOTAL THRU 9PM.

0801 PM     SNOW             2 NW EAST JORDAN        45.18N 85.15W
01/23/2019  M5.5 INCH        CHARLEVOIX         MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            30HR TOTAL THRU 730PM.

0215 PM     SNOW             2 ENE ALGER             44.13N 84.07W
01/23/2019  M5.3 INCH        ARENAC             MI   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS STATION MI-AR-2, 2 ENE ALGER.

0730 PM     SNOW             GLADWIN                 44.00N 84.49W
01/23/2019  M5.0 INCH        GLADWIN            MI   BROADCAST MEDIA

            24HR TOTAL THRU 5PM.

0737 PM     SNOW             HALE                    44.39N 83.81W
01/23/2019  M5.0 INCH        IOSCO              MI   BROADCAST MEDIA

            24HR TOTAL THRU 6 PM.

0500 PM     SNOW             STERLING                44.05N 84.02W
01/23/2019  M4.5 INCH        ARENAC             MI   BROADCAST MEDIA

            24HR TOTAL THRU 5PM.

&&

SWR

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 23, 7:07 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryAPXAlpena, Antrim, Benzie, Cheboygan, Crawford, Emmet and 11 more57 hr
Jan 24, 4:37 AM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryAPX48 hr
Jan 24, 1:26 PM ESTGale WarningAPX15 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2019Every winter storm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.