Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Warnings in 2019
Winter Storm Warning 1, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this winter storm warning at Jan 6, 2019, 2:50 PM EST. It took effect at Jan 7, 2019, 5:00 AM EST. It was in force for 19 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 6, 2019, 2:50 PM EST (19:50 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 7, 2019, 5:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Jan 7, 2019, 11:40 PM EST
- In force
- 19 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
The text
As transmitted.
071 WWUS43 KAPX 061950 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 250 PM EST Sun Jan 6 2019 MIZ008-015-070400- /O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.190107T1000Z-190108T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0001.190107T1000Z-190108T0600Z/ Chippewa-Mackinac- Including the cities of Sault Ste. Marie and St. Ignace 250 PM EST Sun Jan 6 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow is expected in Eastern Upper from Monday morning through Monday evening. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches, with locally higher amounts up to 11 inches. Snow will mix with or change over to rain Monday evening before coming to an end late Monday night. * WHERE...Chippewa and Mackinac Counties. * WHEN...From 5 AM Monday to 1 AM EST Tuesday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions, including the Monday morning commute. Winds gusting as high as 35 to 40 mph will cause patchy blowing and drifting snow, and reduced visibilities. Isolated power outages are also possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet or ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. && $$ MIZ041-070400- /O.EXA.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.190107T0900Z-190107T2100Z/ Gladwin- Including the city of Gladwin 250 PM EST Sun Jan 6 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of up to 2 inches and ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch are expected. * WHERE...Gladwin County. * WHEN...From 4 AM to 4 PM EST Monday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The snow and ice will result in difficult travel conditions, including during the evening commute on Monday. Expect reduced visibilities at times. Isolated power outages are also possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ MIZ042-070400- /O.EXA.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.190107T1000Z-190107T2100Z/ Arenac- Including the city of Standish 250 PM EST Sun Jan 6 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 4 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch are expected. * WHERE...Arenac County. * WHEN...From 5 AM to 4 PM EST Monday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The ice will result in difficult travel conditions, including during the evening commute on Monday. Expect reduced visibilities at times. Isolated power outages are also possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ MIZ020-025-026-031-032-070400- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.190107T0700Z-190107T2100Z/ Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Manistee-Wexford- Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, Traverse City, Manistee, and Cadillac 250 PM EST Sun Jan 6 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 4 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total wet snow accumulations of up to 2 inches and ice accumulations of one to two tenths of an inch are expected. * WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Manistee and Wexford Counties. * WHEN...From 2 AM to 4 PM EST Monday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The combination of snow and ice will result in difficult travel conditions, including during the morning commute on Monday. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will cause patchy blowing and drifting snow and reduced visibility. Isolated power outages are also possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ MIZ019-021-022-027-028-033-034-070400- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.190107T0900Z-190107T2100Z/ Charlevoix-Antrim-Otsego-Kalkaska-Crawford-Missaukee-Roscommon- Including the cities of Charlevoix, Mancelona, Gaylord, Kalkaska, Grayling, Lake City, and Houghton Lake 250 PM EST Sun Jan 6 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches, and ice accumulations of around one tenth of an inch are expected. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...From 4 AM to 4 PM EST Monday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The combination of snow and ice will result in difficult travel conditions, including during the evening commute on Monday. Expect reduced visibilities at times. Power outages are also possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ MIZ023-024-029-030-035-036-070400- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.190107T1000Z-190107T2100Z/ Montmorency-Alpena-Oscoda-Alcona-Ogemaw-Iosco- Including the cities of Atlanta, Alpena, Mio, Harrisville, West Branch, and Tawas City 250 PM EST Sun Jan 6 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 4 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch are expected. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...From 5 AM to 4 PM EST Monday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions, including during the evening commute on Monday. Expect reduced visibilities at times. Isolated power outages are also possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ MIZ016>018-070400- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.190107T0900Z-190108T0000Z/ Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle- Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, and Rogers City 250 PM EST Sun Jan 6 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch are expected. * WHERE...Emmet, Cheboygan and Presque Isle Counties. * WHEN...From 4 AM to 7 PM EST Monday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The ice will result in difficult travel conditions, including during the evening commute on Monday. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will cause patchy blowing and drifting snow and reduced visibility. Isolated power outages are also possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
9 follow-up statements
970 WWUS43 KAPX 070329 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1029 PM EST Sun Jan 6 2019 MIZ008-015-071130- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0001.190107T1000Z-190108T0600Z/ Chippewa-Mackinac- Including the cities of Sault Ste. Marie and St. Ignace 1029 PM EST Sun Jan 6 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow is expected in Eastern Upper from Monday morning through Monday evening. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches, with locally higher amounts up to 11 inches. Snow will mix with or change over to rain Monday evening before coming to an end late Monday night. * WHERE...Chippewa and Mackinac Counties. * WHEN...From 5 AM Monday to 1 AM EST Tuesday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions, including the Monday morning commute. Winds gusting as high as 35 to 40 mph will cause patchy blowing and drifting snow, and reduced visibilities. Isolated power outages are also possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. && $$ MIZ020-025-026-031-032-071130- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.190107T0700Z-190107T2100Z/ Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Manistee-Wexford- Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, Traverse City, Manistee, and Cadillac 1029 PM EST Sun Jan 6 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 4 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total wet snow accumulations of up to 3 inches and ice accumulations of one to two tenths of an inch are expected. * WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Manistee and Wexford Counties. * WHEN...From 2 AM to 4 PM EST Monday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The combination of snow and ice will result in difficult travel conditions, including during the morning commute on Monday. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will cause patchy blowing and drifting snow and reduced visibility. Isolated power outages are also possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ MIZ019-021-022-027-028-033-034-041-071130- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.190107T0900Z-190107T2100Z/ Charlevoix-Antrim-Otsego-Kalkaska-Crawford-Missaukee-Roscommon- Gladwin- Including the cities of Charlevoix, Mancelona, Gaylord, Kalkaska, Grayling, Lake City, Houghton Lake, and Gladwin 1029 PM EST Sun Jan 6 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches, and ice accumulations of around one tenth of an inch are expected. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...From 4 AM to 4 PM EST Monday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The combination of snow and ice will result in difficult travel conditions, including during the evening commute on Monday. Expect reduced visibilities at times. Power outages are also possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ MIZ023-024-029-030-035-036-042-071130- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.190107T1000Z-190107T2100Z/ Montmorency-Alpena-Oscoda-Alcona-Ogemaw-Iosco-Arenac- Including the cities of Atlanta, Alpena, Mio, Harrisville, West Branch, Tawas City, and Standish 1029 PM EST Sun Jan 6 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 4 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch are expected. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...From 5 AM to 4 PM EST Monday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions, including during the evening commute on Monday. Expect reduced visibilities at times. Isolated power outages are also possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ MIZ016>018-071130- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.190107T0900Z-190108T0000Z/ Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle- Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, and Rogers City 1029 PM EST Sun Jan 6 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch are expected. * WHERE...Emmet, Cheboygan and Presque Isle Counties. * WHEN...From 4 AM to 7 PM EST Monday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The ice will result in difficult travel conditions, including during the evening commute on Monday. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will cause patchy blowing and drifting snow and reduced visibility. Isolated power outages are also possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
845 WWUS43 KAPX 070757 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 257 AM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 MIZ008-015-071600- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0001.190107T1000Z-190108T0600Z/ Chippewa-Mackinac- Including the cities of Sault Ste. Marie and St. Ignace 257 AM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches, with locally higher amounts up to 11 inches. Snow will mix with or change over to rain this evening before coming to an end late Monday night. * WHERE...Chippewa and Mackinac Counties. * WHEN...From 5 AM today to 1 AM EST Tuesday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions. Winds gusting as high as 35 to 40 mph will cause patchy blowing and drifting snow, and reduced visibilities. Isolated power outages are also possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow will make travel very hazardous or impossible. && $$ MIZ020-025-026-031-032-071600- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190107T2100Z/ Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Manistee-Wexford- Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, Traverse City, Manistee, and Cadillac 257 AM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total wet snow accumulations of up to 2 inches, and ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch are expected. * WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Manistee and Wexford Counties. * WHEN...From 2 AM to 4 PM EST today. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The combination of snow and ice will result in difficult travel conditions. Expect reduced visibilities at times. Power outages are also possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ MIZ019-021-022-027-028-033-034-041-071600- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.190107T0900Z-190107T2100Z/ Charlevoix-Antrim-Otsego-Kalkaska-Crawford-Missaukee-Roscommon- Gladwin- Including the cities of Charlevoix, Mancelona, Gaylord, Kalkaska, Grayling, Lake City, Houghton Lake, and Gladwin 257 AM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 4 inches, and ice accumulations of around one tenth of an inch are expected. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...From 4 AM to 4 PM EST today. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The combination of snow and ice will result in difficult travel conditions. Expect reduced visibilities at times. Power outages are also possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ MIZ023-024-029-030-035-036-042-071600- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.190107T1000Z-190107T2100Z/ Montmorency-Alpena-Oscoda-Alcona-Ogemaw-Iosco-Arenac- Including the cities of Atlanta, Alpena, Mio, Harrisville, West Branch, Tawas City, and Standish 257 AM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches, and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch are expected. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...From 5 AM to 4 PM EST today. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The combination of snow and ice will result in difficult travel conditions. Expect reduced visibilities at times. Power outages are also possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ MIZ016>018-071600- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.190107T0900Z-190108T0000Z/ Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle- Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, and Rogers City 257 AM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches, and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch are expected. * WHERE...Emmet, Cheboygan and Presque Isle Counties. * WHEN...From 4 AM to 7 PM EST today. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The combination of snow and ice will result in difficult travel conditions. Expect reduced visibilities at times. Power outages are also possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
850 WWUS43 KAPX 071625 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1125 AM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 MIZ008-015-080000- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190108T0600Z/ Chippewa-Mackinac- Including the cities of Sault Ste. Marie and St. Ignace 1125 AM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow through the afternoon along with localized blizzard conditions. Storm total snow accumulations of 8 to 12 inches expected. * WHERE...Chippewa and Mackinac Counties. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Tuesday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on very difficult travel conditions. Tree branches could fall. Winds gusting up to 50 mph will cause areas of blowing and drifting snow. Power outages are also possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. Strong winds are also expected. && $$ MIZ020-025-026-031-032-072100- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190107T2100Z/ Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Manistee-Wexford- Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, Traverse City, Manistee, and Cadillac 1125 AM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Wet snow accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch are expected. * WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Manistee and Wexford Counties. * WHEN...Until 4 PM EST this afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The combination of snow and ice will result in difficult travel conditions. Expect reduced visibilities at times. Winds gusting up to 40 mph may cause power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ MIZ019-021-022-027-028-033-034-041-072100- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190107T2100Z/ Charlevoix-Antrim-Otsego-Kalkaska-Crawford-Missaukee-Roscommon- Gladwin- Including the cities of Charlevoix, Mancelona, Gaylord, Kalkaska, Grayling, Lake City, Houghton Lake, and Gladwin 1125 AM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze are expected. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...Until 4 PM EST this afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The combination of snow and ice will result in difficult travel conditions. Expect reduced visibilities at times. Winds gusting up to 40 mph may cause power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ MIZ023-024-029-030-035-036-042-072100- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190107T2100Z/ Montmorency-Alpena-Oscoda-Alcona-Ogemaw-Iosco-Arenac- Including the cities of Atlanta, Alpena, Mio, Harrisville, West Branch, Tawas City, and Standish 1125 AM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Periods of snow, gradually transitioning to a mix of sleet freezing rain and rain. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze are expected. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...Until 4 PM EST this afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The combination of snow and ice will result in difficult travel conditions. Expect reduced visibilities at times. Winds gusting up to 40 mph may cause power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ MIZ016>018-080000- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190108T0000Z/ Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle- Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, and Rogers City 1125 AM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Periods of snow, gradually transitioning to a mix of sleet freezing rain and rain. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze are expected. * WHERE...Emmet, Cheboygan and Presque Isle Counties. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The combination of snow and ice will result in difficult travel conditions. Expect reduced visibilities at times. Winds gusting up to 40 mph may cause power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
220 WWUS43 KAPX 071758 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1258 PM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 MIZ020-025-031-071900- /O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190107T2100Z/ Leelanau-Benzie-Manistee- Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, and Manistee 1258 PM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... Temperatures have warmed to back above freezing with mainly rain anticipated through the rest of the afternoon. $$ MIZ008-015-080200- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190108T0600Z/ Chippewa-Mackinac- Including the cities of Sault Ste. Marie and St. Ignace 1258 PM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow through the afternoon along with localized blizzard conditions. Storm total snow accumulations of 8 to 12 inches expected. * WHERE...Chippewa and Mackinac Counties. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Tuesday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on very difficult travel conditions. Tree branches could fall. Winds gusting up to 50 mph will cause areas of blowing and drifting snow. Power outages are also possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. Strong winds are also expected. && $$ MIZ026-032-072100- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190107T2100Z/ Grand Traverse-Wexford- Including the cities of Traverse City and Cadillac 1258 PM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Wet snow accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch are expected. * WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Manistee and Wexford Counties. * WHEN...Until 4 PM EST this afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The combination of snow and ice will result in difficult travel conditions. Expect reduced visibilities at times. Winds gusting up to 40 mph may cause power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ MIZ019-021-022-027-028-033-034-041-072100- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190107T2100Z/ Charlevoix-Antrim-Otsego-Kalkaska-Crawford-Missaukee-Roscommon- Gladwin- Including the cities of Charlevoix, Mancelona, Gaylord, Kalkaska, Grayling, Lake City, Houghton Lake, and Gladwin 1258 PM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze are expected. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...Until 4 PM EST this afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The combination of snow and ice will result in difficult travel conditions. Expect reduced visibilities at times. Winds gusting up to 40 mph may cause power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ MIZ023-024-029-030-035-036-042-072100- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190107T2100Z/ Montmorency-Alpena-Oscoda-Alcona-Ogemaw-Iosco-Arenac- Including the cities of Atlanta, Alpena, Mio, Harrisville, West Branch, Tawas City, and Standish 1258 PM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Periods of snow, gradually transitioning to a mix of sleet freezing rain and rain. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze are expected. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...Until 4 PM EST this afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The combination of snow and ice will result in difficult travel conditions. Expect reduced visibilities at times. Winds gusting up to 40 mph may cause power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ MIZ016>018-080000- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190108T0000Z/ Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle- Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, and Rogers City 1258 PM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Periods of snow, gradually transitioning to a mix of sleet freezing rain and rain. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze are expected. * WHERE...Emmet, Cheboygan and Presque Isle Counties. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The combination of snow and ice will result in difficult travel conditions. Expect reduced visibilities at times. Winds gusting up to 40 mph may cause power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
606 WWUS43 KAPX 072049 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 349 PM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 MIZ026-032-041-042-072200- /O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190107T2100Z/ Grand Traverse-Wexford-Gladwin-Arenac- Including the cities of Traverse City, Cadillac, Gladwin, and Standish 349 PM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... Temperatures have warmed to above freezing in most locations, with mainly rain anticipated into the evening. $$ MIZ008-015-080500- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190108T0600Z/ Chippewa-Mackinac- Including the cities of Sault Ste. Marie and St. Ignace 349 PM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow will continue, possibly mixing with rain or freezing rain before ending this evening. Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze are expected. * WHERE...Chippewa and Mackinac Counties. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Tuesday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on very difficult travel conditions. Tree branches could fall. Winds gusting up to 40 mph will cause areas of blowing and drifting snow. Power outages are also possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. && $$ MIZ019-021-022-027-028-033-034-080000- /O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190108T0000Z/ Charlevoix-Antrim-Otsego-Kalkaska-Crawford-Missaukee-Roscommon- Including the cities of Charlevoix, Mancelona, Gaylord, Kalkaska, Grayling, Lake City, and Houghton Lake 349 PM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Freezing rain and sleet will persist into early evening before changing to all rain. Additional wet snow accumulations of up to one half inch and ice accumulations of one to two tenths of an inch are expected. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The ice will result in difficult travel conditions, including during the evening commute. Expect reduced visibilities at times. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ MIZ023-024-029-030-035-036-080000- /O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190108T0000Z/ Montmorency-Alpena-Oscoda-Alcona-Ogemaw-Iosco- Including the cities of Atlanta, Alpena, Mio, Harrisville, West Branch, and Tawas City 349 PM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Freezing rain, sleet and snow will persist into early evening before changing to all rain. Additional wet snow accumulations of up to one half inch and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch are expected. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The ice will result in difficult travel conditions, including during the evening commute. Expect reduced visibilities at times. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ MIZ016>018-080000- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190108T0000Z/ Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle- Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, and Rogers City 349 PM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Snow, mixed with sleet and freezing rain will persist into the early evening before changing to all rain. Additional wet snow accumulations of up to two inches and ice accumulations of around one tenth are expected. * WHERE...Emmet, Cheboygan and Presque Isle Counties. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The ice will result in difficult travel conditions, including during the evening commute. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph will cause patchy blowing and drifting snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
069 WWUS43 KAPX 072347 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 647 PM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 MIZ033>036-080100- /O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190108T0000Z/ Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco- Including the cities of Lake City, Houghton Lake, West Branch, and Tawas City 647 PM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... $$ MIZ008-015-080600- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190108T0600Z/ Chippewa-Mackinac- Including the cities of Sault Ste. Marie and St. Ignace 647 PM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow will continue, possibly mixing with rain or freezing rain before ending this evening. Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze are expected. * WHERE...Chippewa and Mackinac Counties. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Tuesday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on extremely difficult travel conditions. Tree branches could fall. Winds gusting up to 40 mph will cause areas of blowing and drifting snow. Power outages are also possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. && $$ MIZ019-021>024-027>030-080400- /O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190108T0400Z/ Charlevoix-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-Alpena-Kalkaska-Crawford- Oscoda-Alcona- Including the cities of Charlevoix, Mancelona, Gaylord, Atlanta, Alpena, Kalkaska, Grayling, Mio, and Harrisville 647 PM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...A wintry mix of rain, freezing rain, sleet, and snow will turn to rain, even as precipitation diminishes late this evening. Light ice accumulations are possible this evening, especially over the higher elevations of northern lower Michigan. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...Until 11 PM EST this evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The ice will result in difficult travel conditions, including during the evening commute. Expect reduced visibilities at times. Many roads remain treacherous from earlier wintry precipitation. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ MIZ016>018-080400- /O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190108T0400Z/ Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle- Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, and Rogers City 647 PM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Snow, mixed with sleet, rain and freezing rain, will diminish late this evening. Additional wet snow accumulations of up to an inch and ice accumulations of less than a tenth of an inch are expected. * WHERE...Emmet, Cheboygan and Presque Isle Counties. * WHEN...Until 11 PM EST this evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The ice will result in difficult travel conditions, including during the evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
624 WWUS43 KAPX 080200 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 900 PM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 MIZ019-021-027>030-080300- /O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190108T0400Z/ Charlevoix-Antrim-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona- Including the cities of Charlevoix, Mancelona, Kalkaska, Grayling, Mio, and Harrisville 900 PM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... $$ MIZ008-015-080600- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190108T0600Z/ Chippewa-Mackinac- Including the cities of Sault Ste. Marie and St. Ignace 900 PM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Snow and mixed precipitation. Additional wet snow accumulations of up to one inch and light ice accumulations are expected. * WHERE...Chippewa and Mackinac Counties. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Tuesday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions. Expect significant reductions in visibility at times. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. && $$ MIZ022>024-080400- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190108T0400Z/ Otsego-Montmorency-Alpena- Including the cities of Gaylord, Atlanta, and Alpena 900 PM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Light rain and freezing rain will turn to just rain before ending. Side roads will remain icy and treacherous. * WHERE...Otsego, Montmorency and Alpena Counties. * WHEN...Until 11 PM EST this evening. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ MIZ016>018-080400- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190108T0400Z/ Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle- Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, and Rogers City 900 PM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Light snow, rain, and freezing rain will turn to just rain before ending. Additional wet snow accumulations of up to one half inch are expected, with ice accumulations less than a tenth of an inch. Side roads will remain treacherous. * WHERE...Emmet, Cheboygan and Presque Isle Counties. * WHEN...Until 11 PM EST this evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Expect reduced visibilities at times. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for wet snow means periods of wet snow will cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
446 WWUS43 KAPX 080333 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1033 PM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 MIZ016>018-022>024-080445- /O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190108T0400Z/ Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Otsego-Montmorency-Alpena- Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Rogers City, Gaylord, Atlanta, and Alpena 1033 PM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... $$ MIZ008-015-080600- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190108T0600Z/ Chippewa-Mackinac- Including the cities of Sault Ste. Marie and St. Ignace 1033 PM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Wintry precipitation ending. Additional wet snow accumulations of up to one inch and light ice accumulations are expected. * WHERE...Chippewa and Mackinac Counties. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Tuesday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions. Expect significant reductions in visibility at times. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. && $$ http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
809 WWUS43 KAPX 080440 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1140 PM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 MIZ008-015-080545- /O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190108T0600Z/ Chippewa-Mackinac- Including the cities of Sault Ste. Marie and St. Ignace 1140 PM EST Mon Jan 7 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... $$ http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Jan 6, 1:21 PM EST, 1 hour 29 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 6, 1:21 PM EST, 1 hour 29 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
121 PM EST Sun Jan 6 2019
.UPDATE...
Issued at 1004 AM EST Sun Jan 6 2019
Morning composite analysis reveals respectable mid level ridging
just upstream through the Midwest and attendant surface high
pressure centered across Ontario and stretching down through the
Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. Very strong subsidence on the
descending branch of an upper jet core overhead this morning...and
resulting dry air (surface dewpoints are below 0F across Ontario)
has/is settling into the Great Lakes and already producing quite
a few breaks in the lake induced cloud cover over northern
Michigan. A few "blips" of lake induced precip are still showing
up on KAPX radar, although those will be fairly short lived.
Surface high pressure/subsidence and very dry air spilling into
region from the north on veering low level flow should have decent
success in thinning out cloud cover today. That said, clearing
will be offset to some degree by lake stratus pressing in off
Lake Huron via eventual NE flow as well as increasing high cloud
cover coming in from the southwest. Have made some cosmetic tweaks
for forecast sky cover today with the greatest amount of sunshine
across Eastern Upper Michigan and down through interior Northern
Lower Michigan.
Otherwise, breezy and certainly cooler as compared to the last
couple of days, with highs in the middle 20s to lower 30s but a
touch of wind chill (teens and 20s) through the day.
&&
.NEAR TERM...(Today through Tonight)
Issued at 222 AM EST Sun Jan 6 2019
...Wintry mix to develop later tonight...
High impact weather potential: Wintry mix of snow, sleet, and
freezing rain to bring increasingly hazardous travel conditions
later tonight into Monday.
Pattern synopsis/forecast: An airmass at least a bit more resembling
typical northern Michigan January weather in the process of building
into the region as cold air advection further matures behind
departing shortwave trough and attendant weak surface reflection.
Low level winds veering more northerly on south side of large
western Ontario centered high pressure only helping the cooling
cause, with most areas now falling into the upper 20s and lower 30s.
Plenty of clouds out there with moisture trapped below a rather
stout low level subsidence inversion. Inversion top temperatures
just cold enough to entice a bit of lake moisture contribution,
helping kick off even a few scattered flurries/very light snow
showers.
Surface high pressure will build into and through the area today,
quickly followed by its mid level likeness this evening. Elongated
trough axis, currently moving across the west coast, will move
steadily east into the northern Plains by early Monday morning. A
rather vigorous elevated warm air advection regime will develop out
ahead of it, interacting with both Pacific and western Gulf of
Mexico moisture plumes to drum up what looks to be a rather
impactful winter storm for at least parts of the northern Great
Lakes by later tonight and Monday.
Primary forecast concerns/challenges: Addressing late night wintry
mix potential and snow accumulations. In coordination with short
term forecaster will need to address winter weather headline
concerns.
Details: Rather quiet for much of the near term as that surface high
and mid level ridge axis dominates our weather today into this
evening. Winds continue to steadily veer, becoming northeast and
easterly by later today, which will usher in a much drier low level
airmass (surface dewpoints well down into the teens). This should,
at least in theory, scour out much of the low clouds as we head
through the day. However, high clouds will be on the increase,
especially across northwest lower Michigan. While by no means cold,
airmass will be notably more chilly than the past few days, with
highs in the 20s to lower 30s.
Top-down saturation begins to ramp up tonight well ahead of that
approaching trough. Rapid maturation of low level jet should
complete the saturation process from west to east as we head through
the early morning hours, likely taking until near or shortly after
sunrise for precipitation to reach the surface across far northeast
lower and northeast sections of eastern upper Michigan.
Precipitation type remains a much more formidable forecast
challenge, with such strong warm air advection working over an
initially cool and very dry airmass. Gotta believe evaporational
cooling will result in mostly snow/ice pellets initially, with
further development of elevated warm nose bringing freezing rain
concerns by sunrise, especially for areas south of Grand Traverse
Bay. Heavier snow amounts and icing potential hold off until Monday
morning, but still could be looking at upwards of a half inch to
inch of new snow/sleet along and west of Interstate 75, along with
some very light ice accumulation where freezing rain occurs.
&&
.SHORT TERM...(Monday through Tuesday)
Issued at 222 AM EST Sun Jan 6 2019
High Impact Weather Potential: Accumulating snow transitioning to a
wintry mix is expected to lead to hazardous travel conditions across
much of northern Michigan Sunday night - Monday.
Pattern Synopsis/Forecast: Little change in overall thinking from 24
hours ago. By Monday morning, a fairly active upper-level pattern is
expected to be evident across the CONUS with ridging centered over
the eastern Great Lakes and longwave troughing anchored across
western NOAM. Closed upper-level low pressure is expected to be
trekking eastward across Saskatchewan with an elongated area of
attendant surface low pressure draped from south/southwest Canada
into the northern/central plains...set to impact the region locally
through the day Monday with a wintry mix of precipitation. A brief
reprieve from wintry weather is anticipated Monday night as mid-
level ridging quickly crosses the area overhead before troughing
reemerges over the western lakes Tuesday with increased chances for
lake effect/lake enhanced snow showers.
Primary Forecast Concerns/Challenges: PoPs, precip-type and snow/ice
amounts through the forecast period.
Primary focus continues to revolve around the aforementioned storms
system set to cross the region late tonight into Monday. Guidance
remains in fairly decent agreement with regards to isentropically
driven snow arriving from southwest to northeast across the forecast
area prior to sunrise Monday morning. This snow could certainly pack
a little punch for the Monday morning rush hour given formidable
isentropic ascent overhead, strong omega pegged squarely in a 6,000
ft. deep DGZ and deep moisture through the column. Primary threat
initially would be reduced visibilities in moderate to heavy snow
for at least a brief window of time. Also by early Monday morning, a
tightening pressure gradient is expected to lead to wind gusts of 25-
35 mph (highest near the Great Lakes shorelines), which are expected
to persist through much of the day. By mid-morning, latest trends
continue to suggest that precipitation will be gradually
transitioning from snow to freezing rain across our far southwestern
counties, which will continue to gradually spread northeastward as
the day wears on. Still wouldn't be surprised to see many locations,
primarily south of M-32, switch to all rain for a period of time
Monday afternoon before temperatures gradually cool on the backside
of the system as precipitation diminishes late Monday afternoon
eventually departs entirely Monday evening.
With respect to snow/ice accumulation, little change from
yesterday's thinking with an inch or two of heavy/wet snow near
Grand Traverse Bay and along the M-55 corridor, 1-3 inches from M-72
northward to M-32, and 2-5 inches north of M-32 to the Straits.
Across eastern upper, higher snowfall totals expected given lift
maximized across the far north and the dominant precip type
remaining mostly snow through much of the event, generally ranging
from 5-9 inches, although could foresee a couple spots exceeding
that in both eastern Chip/Mack. Do have some concern that strong
winds may decrease flake size and hinder accumulation to some
extent, but certainly in regards to snow accumulation, eastern upper
will feel the brunt of impact from that. However, northern lower's
greater impact may wind up coming from freezing rain during the day
Monday. Have bumped up ice accumulations more in line with
WPC...generally ranging from around a tenth of inch west of US-131
near GTV Bay (perhaps a few hundredths more than that) to less than
a tenth elsewhere. Primary impacts across the forecast area will be
low visibilities and slippery roadways leading to hazardous driving
conditions as a result of the snow/ice combination, but given the
wet/heavy nature of the snow (SLRs from 8-12:1) and ice accretion on
trees/power lines combined with increasingly gusty southeast winds,
suppose there could be an isolated power outage concern as well.
Have opted to issue a Winter Weather Advisory for much of the
forecast area given all of the above that runs generally from 09/10z
Monday through 21/00z. Only counties left out were Gladwin and
Arenac given sub-advisory snow and ice, but they may certainly be
added with the next forecast package as details continue to become
more refined.
Aforementioned brief reprieve in the wintry weather is expected
Monday night, although there could be a little lingering
drizzle/freezing drizzle in spots as mid-level moisture scours out,
although think this will wind up being more the exception rather
than the rule. Focus then transitions to another rather robust
incoming mid-level shortwave, progged to pinwheel from near
International Falls southeastward towards northern Michigan through
the day Tuesday. The result expected to be lake enhanced snow
showers, most numerous across northwest lower and eastern upper
Michigan. Additional snow accumulation of perhaps an inch or two,
mainly west of I-75 tapering to under an inch east of I-75.
.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Saturday)
Issued at 222 AM EST Sun Jan 6 2019
High Impact Weather Potential: Lake enhanced/lake effect snow
possible at times Tuesday night through the end of the forecast
period on Saturday.
Lake effect snow chances continue Tuesday night-Wednesday under
primarily northwesterly flow, aided occasionally by a subtle
shortwave or two pinwheeling around parent troughing. Tough to
pinpoint the hardest hit areas at this juncture given it'll be
largely driven by wind direction, although it does look like some
accumulation is certainly viable as forecast soundings suggests a
virtually non-existent subsidence inversion at times combined with
plenty of moisture extending upwards of 500 mb. Little change beyond
Wednesday with broad troughing continuing over the Great Lakes and
occasional perturbations bringing synoptic support and moisture to
the region.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 121 PM EST Sun Jan 6 2019
High pressure/dry air has thinned out a fair amount of lower cloud
cover across northern lower Michigan. SCT-BKN mostly VFR cigs
remain with thickening high cloud cover coming in from the SW.
Conditions will remain VFR this afternoon and most of tonight.
Then, potent storm system will lift out of the Central Plains up
through the western Great Lakes late tonight through Monday. This
system will bring wind/wintry mix of precipitation/MVFR-IFR
conditions to Northern Lower Michigan through the day Monday.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 222 AM EST Sun Jan 6 2019
No changes to inherited small craft headlines as winds
slowly decrease as they steadily veer to a northeast and east
direction today into this evening. Significant wind event still
expected across all the big waters late tonight through Monday as
low pressure crosses the region. Widespread gale conditions expected
during this period.
&&
.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY from 4 AM to 4 PM EST Monday for MIZ019-
021-022-027-028-033-034.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY from 2 AM to 4 PM EST Monday for MIZ020-
025-026-031-032.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY from 5 AM to 4 PM EST Monday for MIZ023-
024-029-030-035-036.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY from 5 AM to 7 PM EST Monday for MIZ008-
015.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY from 4 AM to 7 PM EST Monday for
MIZ016>018.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY until 5 PM EST this afternoon for LHZ348-
349.
GALE WARNING from 6 AM to 7 PM EST Monday for LHZ345>349.
LM...GALE WARNING from 4 AM to 6 PM EST Monday for LMZ323-341-342-
344>346.
LS...GALE WARNING from 4 AM to 6 PM EST Monday for LSZ321-322.
&&
UPDATE...BA
NEAR TERM...MB
SHORT TERM...MG
LONG TERM...MG
AVIATION...BA
MARINE...MBHazardous weather outlook, Jan 6, 10:13 AM EST, 4 hours 37 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1013 AM EST Sun Jan 6 2019 LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041- 042-071100- Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel- 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island- Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI- Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge- Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI- Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI- Manistee to Point Betsie MI- Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI- St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-Chippewa- Mackinac-Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Charlevoix-Leelanau-Antrim- Otsego-Montmorency-Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford- Oscoda-Alcona-Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco- Gladwin-Arenac- 1013 AM EST Sun Jan 6 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for northern Lower Michigan... eastern Upper Michigan...and adjacent nearshore waters of Lake Michigan...Lake Huron and Lake Superior. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Snow will spread into a good portion of Northern Lower Michigan during the overnight hours tonight. Snow will begin to transition to a wintry mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain toward Monday morning from around the Grand Traverse Bay region to Manistee, resulting in the development of hazardous driving conditions. Please see the latest winter weather advisories for additional details. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. A wintry mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain will continue across northern Michigan on Monday. Please see the latest winter weather advisories for additional details. Gale force wind gusts are expected on the Great Lakes on Monday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report snowfall and ice amounts to the National Weather Service. Reports may be made one of three ways: Online: weather.gov/gaylord Facebook: facebook.com/nwsgaylord Twitter: twitter.com/nwsgaylord && For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2:35 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | Alcona, Alpena, Antrim, Arenac, Benzie, Cheboygan and 16 more | 44 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2019Every winter storm warning in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.