Alert archive / Michigan / Gale Warnings in 2019

Gale Warning 22, NWS Gaylord, MI

October 15, 2019

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this gale warning at Oct 15, 2019, 3:09 AM EDT. It took effect at Oct 16, 2019, 5:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 22 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 15, 2019, 3:09 AM EDT (07:09 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 16, 2019, 5:00 AM EDT
Expired
Oct 17, 2019, 3:19 AM EDT
In force
22 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI

The text

As transmitted.

947 
WHUS73 KAPX 150709
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
309 AM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

LMZ323-342-344>346-151700-
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.191015T1500Z-191016T0300Z/
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0009.191016T0900Z-191017T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0022.191016T0900Z-191017T0000Z/
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
309 AM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

The National Weather Service in Gaylord has issued A Gale
Warning...which is in effect from 5 AM to 8 PM EDT Wednesday. A
Small Craft Advisory has also been issued. This Small Craft
Advisory is in effect from 11 AM this morning to 11 PM EDT this
evening. The Gale Watch is no longer in effect. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and
properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners
without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset
of gale conditions.

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$

LMZ341-151700-
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.191015T1500Z-191016T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0022.191016T0900Z-191017T0000Z/
Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
309 AM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

The National Weather Service in Gaylord has issued A Gale
Warning...which is in effect from 5 AM to 8 PM EDT Wednesday. A
Small Craft Advisory has also been issued. This Small Craft
Advisory is in effect from 11 AM this morning to 11 PM EDT this
evening. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and
properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners
without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset
of gale conditions.

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$

LHZ347>349-151700-
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.191015T1800Z-191016T0300Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0009.191016T1800Z-191017T0600Z/
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
309 AM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Gaylord has issued A Small Craft
Advisory...which is in effect from 2 PM this afternoon to 11 PM
EDT this evening. A Gale Watch remains in effect from Wednesday
afternoon through late Wednesday night. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A gale watch is issued when the risk of gale force winds of 34 to
47 knots has significantly increased...but the specific timing
and/or location is still uncertain. It is intended to provide
additional lead time for mariners who may wish to consider
altering their plans. 

$$

LSZ321-322-151700-
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.191015T1800Z-191016T0300Z/
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
309 AM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Gaylord has issued A Small Craft
Advisory...which is in effect from 2 PM this afternoon to 11 PM
EDT this evening. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$

LHZ345-346-151700-
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.191015T1800Z-191016T0300Z/
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
309 AM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Gaylord has issued A Small Craft
Advisory...which is in effect from 2 PM this afternoon to 11 PM
EDT this evening. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$
10 follow-up statements
296 
WHUS73 KAPX 151558
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1158 AM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-160000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191016T0300Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0022.191016T0900Z-191017T0000Z/
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
1158 AM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

A Gale Warning remains in effect from 5 AM to 8 PM EDT Wednesday.
A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 11 PM EDT this
evening. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and
properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners
without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset
of gale conditions.

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$

LHZ347>349-160000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.191015T1800Z-191016T0300Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0009.191016T1800Z-191017T0600Z/
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
1158 AM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 11 PM EDT this
evening. A Gale Watch remains in effect from Wednesday afternoon
through late Wednesday night. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A gale watch is issued when the risk of gale force winds of 34 to
47 knots has significantly increased...but the specific timing
and/or location is still uncertain. It is intended to provide
additional lead time for mariners who may wish to consider
altering their plans. 

$$

LSZ321-322-160000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.191015T1800Z-191016T0300Z/
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
1158 AM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 11 PM EDT this
evening. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$

LHZ345-346-160000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.191015T1800Z-191016T0300Z/
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
1158 AM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 11 PM EDT this
evening. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$
145 
WHUS73 KAPX 151905
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
305 PM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-160315-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191016T0300Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0022.191016T0900Z-191017T0000Z/
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
305 PM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

A Gale Warning remains in effect from 5 AM to 8 PM EDT Wednesday.
A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 11 PM EDT this
evening. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and
properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners
without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset
of gale conditions.

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$

LHZ347>349-160315-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191016T0300Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0009.191016T1800Z-191017T0600Z/
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
305 PM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 11 PM EDT this
evening. A Gale Watch remains in effect from Wednesday afternoon
through late Wednesday night. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A gale watch is issued when the risk of gale force winds of 34 to
47 knots has significantly increased...but the specific timing
and/or location is still uncertain. It is intended to provide
additional lead time for mariners who may wish to consider
altering their plans. 

$$

LSZ321-322-160300-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191016T0300Z/
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
305 PM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 11 PM EDT this
evening. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$

LHZ345-346-160300-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191016T0300Z/
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
305 PM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 11 PM EDT this
evening. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$
799 
WHUS73 KAPX 151920
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
320 PM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-160330-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191016T0300Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0022.191016T0900Z-191017T0000Z/
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
320 PM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Gaylord has cancelled the Small
Craft Advisory. A Gale Warning remains in effect from 5 AM to
8 PM EDT Wednesday. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and
properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners
without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset
of gale conditions.

$$

LHZ347>349-160330-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191016T0300Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0009.191016T1800Z-191017T0600Z/
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
320 PM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Gaylord has cancelled the Small
Craft Advisory. A Gale Watch remains in effect from Wednesday
afternoon through late Wednesday night. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A gale watch is issued when the risk of gale force winds of 34 to
47 knots has significantly increased...but the specific timing
and/or location is still uncertain. It is intended to provide
additional lead time for mariners who may wish to consider
altering their plans. 

$$

LSZ321-322-160330-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191017T1200Z/
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
320 PM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THURSDAY...

The Small Craft Advisory is now in effect until 8 AM EDT
Thursday. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$

LHZ345-346-160330-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191017T1200Z/
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
320 PM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THURSDAY...

The Small Craft Advisory is now in effect until 8 AM EDT
Thursday. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$
724 
WHUS73 KAPX 160253
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1053 PM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

LHZ347>349-161100-
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0009.191016T1800Z-191017T0600Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.GL.W.0022.191016T1800Z-191017T0600Z/
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
1053 PM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM WEDNESDAY TO 2 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

The National Weather Service in Gaylord has issued A Gale
Warning...which is in effect from 2 PM Wednesday to 2 AM EDT
Thursday. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and
properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners
without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset
of gale conditions.

$$

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-161100-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0022.191016T0900Z-191017T0000Z/
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
1053 PM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

A Gale Warning remains in effect from 5 AM to 8 PM EDT Wednesday.

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and
properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners
without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset
of gale conditions.

$$

LSZ321-322-161100-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191017T1200Z/
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
1053 PM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 8 AM EDT Thursday.

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$

LHZ345-346-161100-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191017T1200Z/
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
1053 PM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 8 AM EDT Thursday.

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$
259 
WHUS73 KAPX 160656
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
256 AM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-161915-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0022.191016T0900Z-191017T0000Z/
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
256 AM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

A Gale Warning remains in effect until 8 PM EDT this evening. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and
properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners
without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset
of gale conditions.

$$

LHZ347>349-161915-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0022.191016T1800Z-191017T0600Z/
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
256 AM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
2 AM EDT THURSDAY...

A Gale Warning remains in effect from 2 PM this afternoon to 2 AM
EDT Thursday. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and
properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners
without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset
of gale conditions.

$$

LSZ321-322-161915-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191017T1200Z/
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
256 AM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 8 AM EDT Thursday.

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$

LHZ345-346-161915-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191017T1200Z/
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
256 AM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 8 AM EDT Thursday.

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$
606 
WHUS73 KAPX 161553
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1153 AM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-170000-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-191017T0000Z/
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
1153 AM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

A Gale Warning remains in effect until 8 PM EDT this evening. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and
properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners
without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset
of gale conditions.

$$

LHZ347>349-170000-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0022.191016T1800Z-191017T0600Z/
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
1153 AM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT THURSDAY...

A Gale Warning remains in effect until 2 AM EDT Thursday. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and
properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners
without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset
of gale conditions.

$$

LSZ321-322-170000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191017T1200Z/
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
1153 AM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 8 AM EDT Thursday.

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$

LHZ345-346-170000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191017T1200Z/
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
1153 AM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 8 AM EDT Thursday.

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$
847 
WHUS73 KAPX 162000
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
400 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-170000-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-191017T0000Z/
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
400 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

A Gale Warning remains in effect until 8 PM EDT this evening. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and
properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners
without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset
of gale conditions.

$$

LHZ347>349-170400-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-191017T0600Z/
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
400 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT THURSDAY...

A Gale Warning remains in effect until 2 AM EDT Thursday. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and
properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners
without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset
of gale conditions.

$$

LSZ321-322-170400-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191017T1200Z/
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
400 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 8 AM EDT Thursday.

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$

LHZ345-346-170400-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191017T1200Z/
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
400 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 8 AM EDT Thursday.

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$
547 
WHUS73 KAPX 162356
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
756 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

LMZ341-170800-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-191017T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191017T1200Z/
Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
756 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Gaylord has issued A Small Craft
Advisory...which is in effect until 8 AM EDT Thursday. The Gale
Warning has been cancelled. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$

LMZ323-342-344>346-170400-
/O.EXT.KAPX.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-191017T0400Z/
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
756 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

The Gale Warning is now in effect until midnight EDT tonight. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and
properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners
without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset
of gale conditions.

$$

LHZ347>349-170600-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-191017T0600Z/
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
756 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT THURSDAY...

A Gale Warning remains in effect until 2 AM EDT Thursday. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and
properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners
without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset
of gale conditions.

$$

LSZ321-322-170800-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191017T1200Z/
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
756 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 8 AM EDT Thursday.

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$

LHZ345-346-170800-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191017T1200Z/
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
756 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 8 AM EDT Thursday.

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$
542 
WHUS73 KAPX 170347
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1147 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

LMZ323-342-344>346-171200-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-191017T0400Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191017T1600Z/
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
1147 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Gaylord has issued A Small Craft
Advisory...which is in effect until noon EDT Thursday. The Gale
Warning has been cancelled. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$

LHZ347>349-170900-
/O.EXT.KAPX.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-191017T0900Z/
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
1147 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT THURSDAY...

The Gale Warning is now in effect until 5 AM EDT Thursday. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and
properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners
without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset
of gale conditions.

$$

LSZ321-322-171200-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191017T2200Z/
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
1147 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THURSDAY...

The Small Craft Advisory is now in effect until 6 PM EDT
Thursday. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$

LHZ345-346-171200-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191017T1200Z/
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
1147 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 8 AM EDT Thursday.

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$

LMZ341-171200-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191017T1200Z/
Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
1147 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 8 AM EDT Thursday.

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$
776 
WHUS73 KAPX 170719
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
319 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019

LHZ347>349-171700-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-191017T0900Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191017T2200Z/
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
319 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Gaylord has issued A Small Craft
Advisory...which is in effect until 6 PM EDT this evening. The
Gale Warning has been cancelled. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$

LMZ341-170830-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191017T1200Z/
Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
319 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Gaylord has cancelled the Small
Craft Advisory. 

$$

LHZ345-346-171600-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191017T1600Z/
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
319 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

The Small Craft Advisory is now in effect until noon EDT today. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$

LMZ323-342-344>346-171700-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191017T2200Z/
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
319 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

The Small Craft Advisory is now in effect until 6 PM EDT this
evening. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$

LSZ321-322-171700-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191017T2200Z/
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
319 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 6 PM EDT this
evening. 

* Please see the latest marine forecasts for more detailed 
  information. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 15, 2:59 AM EDT, 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 15, 2:59 AM EDT, 10 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
259 AM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

.NEAR TERM...(Today through Tonight)
Issued at 257 AM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...More rain on the way...

High impact weather potential: Minimal. Perhaps isolated
thunderstorms this afternoon and evening.

Pattern synopsis/forecast: In typical northern Michigan Fall
fashion...as one system exits another is quick on its heels as large
area of low pressure finally relinquishes its grip on our weather as
it rotates off into Quebec, while Alberta Clipper like system digs
southeast into the northern Plains. In-between is shortwave ridging
that is building into the western Great Lakes, bringing a well
deserved break from the recent windy and wet (at times white)
weather.

As mentioned above, break in the weather will be a short one as that
upstream wave and developing surface low continue to dig southeast,
reaching northern Michigan tonight. Combination of initial surge of
warm, moist advection today, followed by arrival of deepening mid
level wave/surface low tonight, will bring another round of showers
to the Northwoods.

Primary forecast concerns/challenges: Addressing next round of
showers and potential isolated thunder threat.

Details: Expect the threat for showers to expand east into the area
later this morning as forced isentropic upglide on nose of 30+ knot
low level jet races into northern Michigan. Not a great pre-system
moisture connection, but breadth of forcing should compensate
nicely, spreading the threat for showers across the entire area this
afternoon and evening. While all areas will see the threat for
showers, strongest forced ascent/greatest moisture convergence
expected to reside across the north half of the area, and expect
that is where showers will be the most widespread. Not completely
out of the question to hear a rumble of thunder or two this
afternoon into early this evening as plume of enhanced mid level
lapse rates (up and over 7 C/km) and weak elevated instability slide
overhead along and just ahead of maturing cold front. While not
expecting anything severe, not impossible to get some brief gusty
winds with any thunderstorms given deep layer shear in excess of 50
knots. As system pivots overhead and deepens tonight, deformation
dynamics will take over, producing the threat for additional
showers, especially across eastern upper Michigan. Areas south of
the bridge may actually get dry-slotted for a time later this
evening into the early overnight, producing a lull in shower
chances, before deformation and possible development of lake
processes within cold air advection pattern return rain chances
toward Wednesday morning. Not a big rain-maker, with quarter to half
inch totals expected by sunrise Wednesday. A bit milder weather
regime, with highs today much closer to normal levels in the upper
40s to middle 50s, and lows tonight mostly in the lower and middle
40s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Wednesday through Thursday)
Issued at 257 AM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...More Lakeshore Flooding Possible...

High Impact Weather Potential...Lakeshore flooding possible as Gale
force winds move over the Great Lakes Wednesday.

Pattern Forecast and Concerns...Our rain storm, that has been move
over the Upper Great Lakes, moves to the east by 00z/Thu, which then
puts us into the tighter gradient on the back side of the low.
Sustained winds are expected to be over 20-25 knots, with Gale gusts
(35-40 kts) expected through the evening. Wind gusts along the
lakeshore look to be near 40kts (~45 mph) on some of the guidance.
Will probably need to have a wind advisory for Wednesday, mainly for
the lakeshore counties with the main threat being near the
lakeshore. This will likely produce lakeshore flooding, due to the
high lake levels this year.

There is some threat in the NNW and N flow regions of E Upper
and NW Lower Michigan (maybe NE Lower as well). The 850 mb
temperatures remain around -2c to -4c and the RH level in the 850-
700 mb layer around 50-70%. This threat looks to continue until
Thursday afternoon, when the 1000-850 mb wind ridge axis begins to
move into N Lake Michigan, and the 850 mb temperatures begin to warm
to over 0c.

Dry air and warmer 850 mb temperatures continue into Thursday night
and Friday morning.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Monday)
Issued at 257 AM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

High Impact Weather Potential...Minimal.

Extended (Friday through Monday)...Friday looks to be a dry day as
the 500 mb ridge axis moves through the region. It's when the next
500 trough begins to moves into the region Friday night/Saturday
morning, that the chance of rain begins to increase. At this point,
the ECMWF and GFS both bring rain into the region after 12z/Sat and
then take it out of here by 06z/Sun. Sunday, looks to be dry during
the day, but rain is expected to move into the region sometime
Sunday night. The GFs has the rain during the evening, while the
ECMWF is slower with the rain overnight. Monday rain will be over
the region, but the details are a bit muddled as the ECMWF has a
large cut off low at 500 mb over the Upper Great Lakes, while the
GFS has a shallower, more progressive trough that looks to move out
during Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 140 AM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

Next area of low pressure will move into and through the area
later today and tonight, bringing more showers along with it.
Expect mainly VFR conditions today under a slowly lowering cloud
base, with the shower threat increasing from west to east later
this morning and afternoon. Cigs likely to drop to MVFR this
evening after cold frontal passage.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 257 AM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

Well deserved break in the winds early this morning will not last
long as deepening low pressure to our west pivots into and through
the region today through Wednesday. South to southeast winds will be
on the increase today, producing small craft advisory conditions on
our nearshore waters. Winds swing around to northwest and further
increase in speed by later tonight, and especially Wednesday into
Wednesday evening. Widespread small craft advisory conditions
expected during this period, with increasing chances for gale gusts
on portions of northern Lake Michigan and Lake Huron. Those gale
gusts will also bring more lakeshore flooding concerns to much of
the Lake Michigan shoreline of northwest lower Michigan. Winds will
gradually subside heading through later Wednesday night into
Thursday.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY from 5 AM to 8 PM EDT Wednesday for
     MIZ020-021-025-026-031-099.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY from 2 PM this afternoon to 11 PM EDT this
     evening for LHZ345>349.
     GALE WATCH from Wednesday afternoon through late Wednesday night
     for LHZ347>349.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY from 11 AM this morning to 11 PM EDT this
     evening for LMZ323-341-342-344>346.
     GALE WARNING from 5 AM to 8 PM EDT Wednesday for LMZ323-341-342-
     344>346.
LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY from 2 PM this afternoon to 11 PM EDT this
     evening for LSZ321-322.
&&

NEAR TERM...MB
SHORT TERM...JL
LONG TERM...JL
AVIATION...MB
MARINE...MB
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 15, 3:04 AM EDT, 5 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
304 AM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ016>018-020>036-
041-042-086>088-095>099-160715-
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-Emmet-
Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-Alpena-
Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-Manistee-
Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-Beaver Island-Charlevoix-
304 AM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for northern Lower Michigan...
eastern Upper Michigan...and adjacent nearshore waters of Lake
Michigan...Lake Huron and Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

A few thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and evening across
northern lower Michigan. Severe weather is not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Gale force wind gusts are likely Wednesday on portions of Lake
Michigan and Lake Huron nearshore waters. Please see the latest
marine headlines and forecasts for additional details.

Minor lakeshore flooding is expected along much of the Lake
Michigan shoreline of northwest lower Michigan Wednesday. Please
see the latest lakeshore flood advisory for additional details.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

&&

For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 15, 3:08 AM EDTLakeshore Flood AdvisoryAPXAntrim, Benzie, Charlevoix, Grand Traverse, Leelanau, Manistee12 hr
Oct 15, 3:09 AM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAPX71 hr
Oct 15, 3:21 PM EDTLakeshore Flood WarningAPXAntrim, Benzie, Charlevoix, Grand Traverse, Leelanau, Manistee33 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Michigan, 2019Every gale warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.