Alert archive / New York / Wind Chill Warnings in 2019

Wind Chill Warning 1, NWS Albany, NY

January 20, 2019Bennington County, Windham County, Vermont; 14 counties in New York; Berkshire County, Massachusetts

NWS Albany, NY issued this wind chill warning at Jan 20, 2019, 3:55 AM EST for Bennington County, Windham County, Vermont; 14 counties in New York; Berkshire County, Massachusetts. It took effect at Jan 20, 2019, 6:00 PM EST. It was in force for 37 hr. 36 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jan 20, 2019, 3:55 AM EST (08:55 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 20, 2019, 6:00 PM EST
Expired
Jan 22, 2019, 7:00 AM EST
In force
37 hr
Issued by
NWS Albany, NY

Counties Berkshire County, MA, Albany County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Bennington County, VT, Windham County, VT

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 33 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jan 20, 6:00 PM ESTSNOW 19.2Queensbury, NY1.62 LIQUID EQUIVALENT
Jan 20, 6:02 PM ESTSNOW 15.8Gloversville, NY
Jan 20, 6:31 PM ESTSNOW 172 Wsw Hampton Manor, NY
Jan 20, 6:33 PM ESTSNOW 11.54 Se Chatham, NY
Jan 20, 6:39 PM ESTSNOW 19.5Fish House, NY
Jan 20, 6:41 PM ESTSNOW 14.5Greenville, NY
Jan 20, 6:42 PM ESTSNOW 22.55 Nnw Wells, NY
Jan 20, 6:44 PM ESTSNOW 14.2Tribes Hill, NY
Jan 20, 6:44 PM ESTSNOW 165 Se Argyle, NY
Jan 20, 6:47 PM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.3Ancram, NY
Jan 20, 7:00 PM ESTSNOW 13.9Albany Intl Ap, NYSTORM TOTAL AT ALBANY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
Jan 20, 7:34 PM ESTSNOW 162 S Clifton Park Center, NY
Jan 20, 8:00 PM ESTSNOW 15.5Schaghticoke, NY
Jan 20, 8:29 PM ESTSNOW 14.72 S Stillwater, NY
Jan 20, 8:30 PM ESTSNOW 15Windham, VT
Jan 20, 8:45 PM ESTSNOW 20Hague, NY
Jan 20, 8:59 PM ESTSNOW 17.4Saratoga Springs, NYWEATHERNET6
Jan 20, 9:45 PM ESTSNOW 26.3Lake Desolation, NYWEATHERNET6
Jan 20, 10:00 PM ESTSNOW 13Cambridge, NY
Jan 20, 10:40 PM ESTSNOW 12Richmondville, NYWEATHERNET6
Jan 20, 10:48 PM ESTSNOW 7Catskill, NYWEATHERNET6
Jan 20, 10:48 PM ESTSNOW 16Gilboa, NYWEATHERNET6
Jan 20, 10:49 PM ESTSNOW 17Malta, NYWEATHERNET6
Jan 20, 10:50 PM ESTSNOW 12.2Center Brunswick, NYWEATHERNET6
Jan 20, 10:50 PM ESTSNOW 17.2Amsterdam, NYWEATHERNET6
Jan 20, 10:53 PM ESTSNOW 20.3Savoy, MAWEATHERNET6
Jan 20, 10:58 PM ESTSNOW 13.8Amsterdam, NYWEATHERNET6
Jan 20, 11:01 PM ESTSNOW 19.8Landgrove, VTWEATHERNET6
Jan 20, 11:02 PM ESTSNOW 6.1Taghkanic, NYWEATHERNET6
Jan 20, 11:19 PM ESTSNOW 6.5Esopus, NY1.14 INCH LIQUID EQUIVALENT. ALSO 0.15 ICE ACCRETION
Jan 20, 11:23 PM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.15Esopus, NYALSO 6.5 INCHES SNOW/SLEET. 1.14 INCH LIQUID.
Jan 21, 4:40 AM ESTSNOW 23Hudson Falls, NYWEATHERNET6
Jan 21, 5:47 AM ESTSNOW 9West Arlington, VTWEATHERNET6
Jan 21, 5:58 AM ESTSNOW 14.5Piseco, NYWEATHERNET6
Jan 21, 5:59 AM ESTSNOW 17Hickeys Corners, NY
Jan 21, 8:30 AM ESTSNOW 16.92 Nne Round Lake, NY

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 20 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2019-01-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2019-01-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 339 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
502 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
64 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
339 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
428 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

240 
WWUS41 KALY 200855
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
355 AM EST Sun Jan 20 2019

MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047-048-051-054-058-061-063-082>084-
VTZ013-014-202200-
/O.NEW.KALY.WC.W.0001.190120T2300Z-190121T2300Z/
/O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190120T2100Z/
Northern Berkshire-Southern Berkshire-Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-
Southern Herkimer-Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Northern Saratoga-
Northern Warren-Northern Washington-Schoharie-Western Schenectady-
Western Albany-Eastern Rensselaer-Western Greene-Eastern Columbia-
Western Ulster-Northern Fulton-Southeast Warren-
Southern Washington-Bennington-Western Windham-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida, 
North Adams, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, South Egremont, 
Big Moose, Eagle Bay, McKeever, Old Forge, Atwell, Nobleboro, 
Northwood, Long Lake, Sabattis, Hoffmeister, Wells, Ilion, 
Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, Frankfort, Dolgeville, 
Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, Saratoga Lake, 
Saratoga Springs, Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, 
North River, Warrensburg, Hague, Huletts Landing, Whitehall, 
Granville, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, 
Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, Mariaville, Delanson, 
Duanesburg, Westerlo, Altamont, Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, 
Berlin, Eagle Bridge, Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Hunter, 
Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, New Lebanon, Ellenville, 
Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, Napanoch, 
Sundown, Caroga Lake, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, 
Hudson Falls, Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, 
North Easton, Stamford, Bennington, Woodford State Park, Pownal, 
Stratton, and Londonderry
355 AM EST Sun Jan 20 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow and mixed precipitation of sleet and some
  freezing rain. Dangerously cold wind chills expected. Additional
  snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches for the southern
  Adirondacks, western Mohawk Valley, Lake George Saratoga Region
  and portions of southern vermont. Additional 2 to 5 inches for
  the Eastern Catskills, Helderbergs, and the northern and central
  Taconics. Ice accumulations of a coating to two tenths of an 
  inch for the northern and central Taconics, eastern Catskills 
  and Berkshires. Wind chills of 25 to 40 below zero expected. 
  Winds will gust to 25 to 40 mph at times today into Monday. 

* WHERE...Bennington and western Windham Counties in southern
  Vermont, southern Adirondacks, the western Mohawk Valley, 
  Schoharie Valley, eastern Catskills, northern and central 
  Taconics, Helderbergs and the Lake George northern Saratoga 
  Region of east central New York and the Berkshires of western 
  Massachusetts.

* WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, until 4 PM EST this 
  afternoon. For the Wind Chill Warning, from 6 PM this evening 
  to 6 PM EST Monday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be very difficult to impossible
  across the region today with snow or ice covered roadways and 
  very low visibility in heavy snow. Snowfall rates will be 1 to 2
  inches an hour at times this morning. The hazardous conditions 
  could impact the morning or evening travel. The dangerously cold
  wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little 
  as 10 minutes. Accumulating ice could result in downed tree 
  limbs and isolated power outages.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet
and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. 

A Wind Chill Warning means the combination of very cold air and
the wind will create dangerously low wind chill values. Frostbite
can occur quickly and even hypothermia or death if precautions
are not taken. 

&&

$$

CTZ001-013-NYZ064>066-202200-
/O.NEW.KALY.WC.Y.0002.190120T2300Z-190121T2300Z/
/O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190120T2100Z/
Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Eastern Ulster-
Western Dutchess-Eastern Dutchess-
Including the cities of Torrington, Oakville, Gaylordsville, 
New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Kingston, New Paltz, 
Poughkeepsie, Beacon, Arlington, Pawling, Wingdale, Dover Plains,
Millbrook, Stanfordville, Pine Plains, and Amenia
355 AM EST Sun Jan 20 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation of sleet and freezing rain
  transitioning back to snow in the afternoon. Very cold wind
  chills expected. Additional snow and sleet accumulations of 1 to
  3 inches especially over the southern Taconics and ice
  accumulations of one tenth to two tenths of an inch. Wind chills
  15 to 24 degrees below zero expected. Winds will gust to 25 to 
  35 mph this afternoon into tomorrow. 

* WHERE...In Connecticut, Litchfield County. In New York, Dutchess
  and Ulster Counties.

* WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, until 4 PM EST this 
  afternoon. For the Wind Chill Advisory, from 6 PM this evening 
  to 6 PM EST Monday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The
  hazardous conditions could impact travel. The cold wind chills
  could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30
  minutes. Accumulating ice could result in downed tree limbs and
  isolated to scattered power outages.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet
and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. 

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will
combine to create low wind chills. Frostbite and hypothermia can
occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and
gloves. 

&&

$$

NYZ049-050-052-053-059-060-VTZ015-202200-
/O.NEW.KALY.WC.Y.0002.190120T2300Z-190121T2300Z/
/O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190120T2100Z/
Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-Eastern Albany-
Western Rensselaer-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-
Eastern Windham-
Including the cities of Schenectady, Rotterdam, Burnt Hills, 
Ballston Spa, Mechanicville, Clifton Park, Waterford, Albany, 
Troy, Catskill, Coxsackie, Athens, Cairo, Jefferson Heights, 
Hudson, Brattleboro, Guilford Center, West Brattleboro, 
and Bellows Falls
355 AM EST Sun Jan 20 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow with some mixed precipitation of sleet and
  freezing rain. Very cold wind chills expected. Additional snow
  and sleet accumulations of 3 to 8 inches and ice accumulations
  of a coating to around one tenth of an inch. Wind chills as low
  as 20 to 29 degrees below zero expected. Winds could gust to 25
  to 40 mph this afternoon through tomorrow. 

* WHERE...Eastern Windham County in southern Vermont and the
  Capital Region and portions of the mid Hudson Valley including 
  eastern Green and western Columbia County in east central New 
  York.

* WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, until 4 PM EST this 
  afternoon. For the Wind Chill Advisory, from 6 PM this evening 
  to 6 PM EST Monday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be very difficult due to snow
  and ice covered roads. Areas of blowing snow could significantly
  reduce visibility. Snowfall rates will be 1 to 2 inches an hour
  this morning. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning
  or evening travel. Accumulating ice could result in downed tree
  limbs and isolated power outages. The cold wind chills could 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet
and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. 

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will
combine to create low wind chills. Frostbite and hypothermia can
occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and
gloves. 

&&

$$
5 follow-up statements
189 
WWUS41 KALY 202111
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
411 PM EST Sun Jan 20 2019

MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047-048-051-054-058-061-063-082>084-
VTZ013-014-211000-
/O.EXP.KALY.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190120T2100Z/
/O.CON.KALY.WC.W.0001.190120T2300Z-190121T2300Z/
Northern Berkshire-Southern Berkshire-Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-
Southern Herkimer-Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Northern Saratoga-
Northern Warren-Northern Washington-Schoharie-Western Schenectady-
Western Albany-Eastern Rensselaer-Western Greene-Eastern Columbia-
Western Ulster-Northern Fulton-Southeast Warren-
Southern Washington-Bennington-Western Windham-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida, 
North Adams, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, South Egremont, 
Big Moose, Eagle Bay, McKeever, Old Forge, Atwell, Nobleboro, 
Northwood, Long Lake, Sabattis, Hoffmeister, Wells, Ilion, 
Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, Frankfort, Dolgeville, 
Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, Saratoga Lake, 
Saratoga Springs, Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, 
North River, Warrensburg, Hague, Huletts Landing, Whitehall, 
Granville, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, 
Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, Mariaville, Delanson, 
Duanesburg, Westerlo, Altamont, Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, 
Berlin, Eagle Bridge, Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Hunter, 
Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, New Lebanon, Ellenville, 
Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, Napanoch, 
Sundown, Caroga Lake, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, 
Hudson Falls, Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, 
North Easton, Stamford, Bennington, Woodford State Park, Pownal, 
Stratton, and Londonderry
411 PM EST Sun Jan 20 2019

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

* WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as 
  low as 40 below zero expected.

* WHERE...Eastern Catskills, Schoharie Valley, western and central
  Mohawk Valley, southern Adirondacks, Lake George Saratoga
  Region, southern Vermont, the Berkshires, and northern and
  Central Taconics.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 6 PM EST Monday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The dangerously cold wind chills could 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Warning means the combination of very cold air and
the wind will create dangerously low wind chill values. Frostbite
can occur quickly and even hypothermia or death if precautions
are not taken. 

&&

$$

CTZ001-013-NYZ049-050-052-053-059-060-064>066-VTZ015-211000-
/O.EXP.KALY.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190120T2100Z/
/O.CON.KALY.WC.Y.0002.190120T2300Z-190121T2300Z/
Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Eastern Schenectady-
Southern Saratoga-Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-
Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-
Eastern Dutchess-Eastern Windham-
Including the cities of Torrington, Oakville, Gaylordsville, 
New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Schenectady, Rotterdam, 
Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, Mechanicville, Clifton Park, 
Waterford, Albany, Troy, Catskill, Coxsackie, Athens, Cairo, 
Jefferson Heights, Hudson, Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie, 
Beacon, Arlington, Pawling, Wingdale, Dover Plains, Millbrook, 
Stanfordville, Pine Plains, Amenia, Brattleboro, Guilford Center,
West Brattleboro, and Bellows Falls
411 PM EST Sun Jan 20 2019

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low as 
  30 below zero expected.

* WHERE...Eastern Windham County in southern Vermont and the 
  Capital Region and portions of the mid Hudson Valley including 
  eastern Green and western Columbia County in east central New 
  York and Litchfield Hills of Connecticut.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 6 PM EST Monday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The cold wind chills could cause 
  frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will
combine to create low wind chills. Frostbite and hypothermia can
occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and
gloves. 

&&

$$
904 
WWUS41 KALY 210828
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
328 AM EST Mon Jan 21 2019

MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047-048-051-054-058-061-063-082>084-
VTZ013-014-212300-
/O.CON.KALY.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190121T2300Z/
Northern Berkshire-Southern Berkshire-Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-
Southern Herkimer-Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Northern Saratoga-
Northern Warren-Northern Washington-Schoharie-Western Schenectady-
Western Albany-Eastern Rensselaer-Western Greene-Eastern Columbia-
Western Ulster-Northern Fulton-Southeast Warren-
Southern Washington-Bennington-Western Windham-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida, 
North Adams, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, South Egremont, 
Big Moose, Eagle Bay, McKeever, Old Forge, Atwell, Nobleboro, 
Northwood, Long Lake, Sabattis, Hoffmeister, Wells, Ilion, 
Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, Frankfort, Dolgeville, 
Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, Saratoga Lake, 
Saratoga Springs, Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, 
North River, Warrensburg, Hague, Huletts Landing, Whitehall, 
Granville, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, 
Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, Mariaville, Delanson, 
Duanesburg, Westerlo, Altamont, Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, 
Berlin, Eagle Bridge, Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Hunter, 
Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, New Lebanon, Ellenville, 
Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, Napanoch, 
Sundown, Caroga Lake, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, 
Hudson Falls, Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, 
North Easton, Stamford, Bennington, Woodford State Park, Pownal, 
Stratton, and Londonderry
328 AM EST Mon Jan 21 2019

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills. Wind chills as low as 20 to 40
  below zero.

* WHERE...Eastern Catskills, Schoharie Valley, western and central
  Mohawk Valley, southern Adirondacks, Lake George Saratoga
  Region, Green Mountains of southern Vermont, the Berkshires, 
  and northern and Central Taconics.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM EST this evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The dangerously cold wind chills could 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Warning means the combination of very cold air and
the wind will create dangerously low wind chill values. Frostbite
can occur quickly and even hypothermia or death if precautions
are not taken. 

&&

$$

CTZ001-013-NYZ049-050-052-053-059-060-064>066-VTZ015-212300-
/O.CON.KALY.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-190121T2300Z/
Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Eastern Schenectady-
Southern Saratoga-Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-
Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-
Eastern Dutchess-Eastern Windham-
Including the cities of Torrington, Oakville, Gaylordsville, 
New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Schenectady, Rotterdam, 
Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, Mechanicville, Clifton Park, 
Waterford, Albany, Troy, Catskill, Coxsackie, Athens, Cairo, 
Jefferson Heights, Hudson, Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie, 
Beacon, Arlington, Pawling, Wingdale, Dover Plains, Millbrook, 
Stanfordville, Pine Plains, Amenia, Brattleboro, Guilford Center,
West Brattleboro, and Bellows Falls
328 AM EST Mon Jan 21 2019

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills. Wind chills as low as 15 to 30 
  below zero.

* WHERE...Eastern Windham County in southern Vermont, The Capital
  Region, southern Taconics and mid Hudson Valley of eastern New 
  York and Litchfield Hills of northwestern Connecticut.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM EST this evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The cold wind chills could cause  
  frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will
combine to create low wind chills. Frostbite and hypothermia can
occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and
gloves. 

&&

$$
745 
WWUS41 KALY 212034
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
334 PM EST Mon Jan 21 2019


MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047-048-051-054-058-061-063-082>084-
VTZ013-014-221000-
/O.EXT.KALY.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190122T1200Z/
Northern Berkshire-Southern Berkshire-Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-
Southern Herkimer-Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Northern Saratoga-
Northern Warren-Northern Washington-Schoharie-Western Schenectady-
Western Albany-Eastern Rensselaer-Western Greene-Eastern Columbia-
Western Ulster-Northern Fulton-Southeast Warren-
Southern Washington-Bennington-Western Windham-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida, 
North Adams, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, South Egremont, 
Big Moose, Eagle Bay, McKeever, Old Forge, Atwell, Nobleboro, 
Northwood, Long Lake, Sabattis, Hoffmeister, Wells, Ilion, 
Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, Frankfort, Dolgeville, 
Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, Saratoga Lake, 
Saratoga Springs, Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, 
North River, Warrensburg, Hague, Huletts Landing, Whitehall, 
Granville, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, 
Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, Mariaville, Delanson, 
Duanesburg, Westerlo, Altamont, Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, 
Berlin, Eagle Bridge, Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Hunter, 
Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, New Lebanon, Ellenville, 
Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, Napanoch, 
Sundown, Caroga Lake, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, 
Hudson Falls, Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, 
North Easton, Stamford, Bennington, Woodford State Park, Pownal, 
Stratton, and Londonderry
334 PM EST Mon Jan 21 2019

...WIND CHILL WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills. Wind chills as low as 15 
  to 40 below zero.

* WHERE...Eastern Catskills, Schoharie Valley, western and 
  central Mohawk Valley, southern Adirondacks, Lake George 
  Saratoga Region, Green Mountains of southern Vermont, the 
  Berkshires, and northern and Central Taconics.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday. Wind chills will be between 30
  below and 40 below zero through this evening. Winds will
  diminish between midnight and daybreak Tuesday when wind chills
  will still be dangerous, between 15 below and 30 below zero. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The dangerously cold wind chills could 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Warning means the combination of very cold air and
the wind will create dangerously low wind chill values. Frostbite
can occur quickly and even hypothermia or death if precautions
are not taken. 

&&

$$

CTZ001-013-NYZ049-050-052-053-059-060-064>066-VTZ015-221000-
/O.EXT.KALY.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-190122T1200Z/
Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Eastern Schenectady-
Southern Saratoga-Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-
Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-
Eastern Dutchess-Eastern Windham-
Including the cities of Torrington, Oakville, Gaylordsville, 
New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Schenectady, Rotterdam, 
Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, Mechanicville, Clifton Park, 
Waterford, Albany, Troy, Catskill, Coxsackie, Athens, Cairo, 
Jefferson Heights, Hudson, Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie, 
Beacon, Arlington, Pawling, Wingdale, Dover Plains, Millbrook, 
Stanfordville, Pine Plains, Amenia, Brattleboro, Guilford Center,
West Brattleboro, and Bellows Falls
334 PM EST Mon Jan 21 2019

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills. Wind chills as low as 15 to 30 
  below zero.

* WHERE...Eastern Windham County in southern Vermont, The 
  Capital Region, southern Taconics and mid Hudson Valley of 
  eastern New York and Litchfield Hills of northwestern 
  Connecticut.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday. Wind chills will be between 15
  below and 30 below zero through this evening. Winds will
  diminish between midnight and daybreak Tuesday when wind chills
  will still be dangerous, between 10 below and 20 below zero.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The cold wind chills could cause 
  frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will
combine to create low wind chills. Frostbite and hypothermia can
occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and
gloves. 

&&

$$
517 
WWUS41 KALY 220859
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
359 AM EST Tue Jan 22 2019

MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047-048-051-054-058-061-063-082>084-
VTZ013-014-221200-
/O.CON.KALY.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190122T1200Z/
Northern Berkshire-Southern Berkshire-Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-
Southern Herkimer-Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Northern Saratoga-
Northern Warren-Northern Washington-Schoharie-Western Schenectady-
Western Albany-Eastern Rensselaer-Western Greene-Eastern Columbia-
Western Ulster-Northern Fulton-Southeast Warren-
Southern Washington-Bennington-Western Windham-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida, 
North Adams, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, South Egremont, 
Big Moose, Eagle Bay, McKeever, Old Forge, Atwell, Nobleboro, 
Northwood, Long Lake, Sabattis, Hoffmeister, Wells, Ilion, 
Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, Frankfort, Dolgeville, 
Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, Saratoga Lake, 
Saratoga Springs, Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, 
North River, Warrensburg, Hague, Huletts Landing, Whitehall, 
Granville, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, 
Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, Mariaville, Delanson, 
Duanesburg, Westerlo, Altamont, Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, 
Berlin, Eagle Bridge, Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Hunter, 
Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, New Lebanon, Ellenville, 
Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, Napanoch, 
Sundown, Caroga Lake, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, 
Hudson Falls, Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, 
North Easton, Stamford, Bennington, Woodford State Park, Pownal, 
Stratton, and Londonderry
359 AM EST Tue Jan 22 2019

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills. Wind chills as low as 15 to
  30 below zero.

* WHERE...Eastern Catskills, Schoharie Valley, western and 
  central Mohawk Valley, southern Adirondacks, Lake George 
  Saratoga Region, Green Mountains of southern Vermont, the 
  Berkshires, and northern and Central Taconics.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST this morning.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The dangerously cold wind chills could 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Warning means the combination of very cold air and
the wind will create dangerously low wind chill values. Frostbite
can occur quickly and even hypothermia or death if precautions
are not taken. 

&&

$$

CTZ001-013-NYZ049-050-052-053-059-060-064>066-VTZ015-221200-
/O.CON.KALY.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-190122T1200Z/
Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Eastern Schenectady-
Southern Saratoga-Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-
Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-
Eastern Dutchess-Eastern Windham-
Including the cities of Torrington, Oakville, Gaylordsville, 
New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Schenectady, Rotterdam, 
Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, Mechanicville, Clifton Park, 
Waterford, Albany, Troy, Catskill, Coxsackie, Athens, Cairo, 
Jefferson Heights, Hudson, Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie, 
Beacon, Arlington, Pawling, Wingdale, Dover Plains, Millbrook, 
Stanfordville, Pine Plains, Amenia, Brattleboro, Guilford Center,
West Brattleboro, and Bellows Falls
359 AM EST Tue Jan 22 2019

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills. Wind chills as low as 10 to 20 
  below zero.

* WHERE...Eastern Windham County in southern Vermont, The 
  Capital Region, southern Taconics and mid Hudson Valley of 
  eastern New York and Litchfield Hills of northwestern 
  Connecticut.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST this morning.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The cold wind chills could cause 
  frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will
combine to create low wind chills. Frostbite and hypothermia can
occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and
gloves. 

&&

$$
434 
WWUS41 KALY 221152
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
652 AM EST Tue Jan 22 2019


MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047-048-051-054-058-061-063-082>084-
VTZ013-014-221300-
/O.EXP.KALY.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190122T1200Z/
Northern Berkshire-Southern Berkshire-Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-
Southern Herkimer-Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Northern Saratoga-
Northern Warren-Northern Washington-Schoharie-Western Schenectady-
Western Albany-Eastern Rensselaer-Western Greene-Eastern Columbia-
Western Ulster-Northern Fulton-Southeast Warren-
Southern Washington-Bennington-Western Windham-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida, 
North Adams, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, South Egremont, 
Big Moose, Eagle Bay, McKeever, Old Forge, Atwell, Nobleboro, 
Northwood, Long Lake, Sabattis, Hoffmeister, Wells, Ilion, 
Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, Frankfort, Dolgeville, 
Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, Saratoga Lake, 
Saratoga Springs, Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, 
North River, Warrensburg, Hague, Huletts Landing, Whitehall, 
Granville, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, 
Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, Mariaville, Delanson, 
Duanesburg, Westerlo, Altamont, Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, 
Berlin, Eagle Bridge, Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Hunter, 
Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, New Lebanon, Ellenville, 
Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, Napanoch, 
Sundown, Caroga Lake, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, 
Hudson Falls, Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, 
North Easton, Stamford, Bennington, Woodford State Park, Pownal, 
Stratton, and Londonderry
652 AM EST Tue Jan 22 2019

...WIND CHILL WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 AM EST THIS MORNING...

Winds are diminishing across the region so the wind chill warning
will be allowed to expire. However, actual air temperatures 
remain very cold, so continue to take precautions if you plan on 
being outdoors for an extended period of time this morning. 

$$

CTZ001-013-NYZ049-050-052-053-059-060-064>066-VTZ015-221300-
/O.EXP.KALY.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-190122T1200Z/
Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Eastern Schenectady-
Southern Saratoga-Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-
Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-
Eastern Dutchess-Eastern Windham-
Including the cities of Torrington, Oakville, Gaylordsville, 
New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Schenectady, Rotterdam, 
Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, Mechanicville, Clifton Park, 
Waterford, Albany, Troy, Catskill, Coxsackie, Athens, Cairo, 
Jefferson Heights, Hudson, Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie, 
Beacon, Arlington, Pawling, Wingdale, Dover Plains, Millbrook, 
Stanfordville, Pine Plains, Amenia, Brattleboro, Guilford Center,
West Brattleboro, and Bellows Falls
652 AM EST Tue Jan 22 2019

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 AM EST THIS MORNING...

Winds are diminishing across the region so the wind chill advisory will
be allowed to expire. However, actual air temperatures remain 
very cold, so continue to take precautions if you plan on being 
outdoors for an extended period of time this morning. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind chill warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind chill warning went out at Jan 20, 12:43 AM EST, 3 hours 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 20, 12:43 AM EST, 3 hours 12 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Albany NY
1243 AM EST Sun Jan 20 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Snow will increase in intensity and become heavy
this morning in advance of a warm front to a storm system moving out
of the Ohio Valley and then redeveloping and reaching the Jersey
Coast by daybreak. Some mixed precipitation of sleet and freezing
rain is possible from near the Capital Region and Berkshires and
points east and south, as the low pressure system moves towards Long
Island. The snow and mixed precipitation will diminish this
afternoon, as the cyclone moves into the Gulf of Maine. Dangerously
cold wind chills are expected  tonight through Monday with frigid
temperatures and blustery winds.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
Winter Storm Warning for Eastern NY and western New England
until 4 pm Sunday...

As of 1234 AM EST...Latest KENX radar and ground truth indicate
moderate to heavy snow is occurring across a large portion of
the Albany forecast area, as the strong baroclinic zone ahead of
the warm front is impacting the region. Some embedded laterally
transitioning mesoscale bands may be setting up documented in
the CSTAR research. We have an SPS out for some 1-2"/hr rates.
KALB has had 1"/hr hour snow increase group the past few hours.
Interesting, that the 00Z GFS has trended colder with perhaps
the ptype holding as mostly snow from KALB north and west. The
00Z NAM trended colder too, but still indicates a mixed pcpn
potential up to the Capital Region/Berkshires/northern Taconics
and possibly the southeast reaches of VT. The 00Z HREFs indicate
this mixed potential too. It must be stressed that the
northerly shallow cold air is going to be difficult to dislodge
in the lower elevations down the Hudson River Valley. It is 4F
at KGFL, 8F at KALB, 11F at Red Hook in the NYS Mesonet, 16F at
Beacon in the NYS mesonet, and it has dropped to 20F now at
KPOU. It is still possible that KPOU turns to sleet/freezing
rain between 08Z-12Z with ice accumulations close to a quarter
inch, and possibly a third of an inch in Litchfield Co. Snow
totals will continue rack up north and west of KALB with 12-20"
possible. See our PNS with the latest snow reports.

Previous near term....

Updated at 10 pm... Snow is increasing in intensity late this
evening as a strong system approaches from the southwest. We
still expect the heaviest precipitation to fall from about
midnight to 8 am as an axis of very strong low-level
frontogenesis and warm advection translates across the area on
the northeast flank of the system tracking from the Ohio Valley
across Pennsylvania. Precipitation type is still snow as far
south as northern NJ and central Pa late this evening, however
we expect the snow / sleet and freezing rain boundaries to
beginning moving north after midnight. Details on the exact
location of those boundaries as they reach their farthest
northward location around 12z Sunday continue to be the main
source of uncertainty with this forecast.

The models have not handled the low-level temperatures very
well this evening and this will likely effect the track of the
surface low as it tracks across the northern mid-Atlantic late
tonight. Temperatures have been colder than forecast especially
in the upper Hudson Valley and southern Adirondacks where
readings have dropped down into the single digits to near zero. The
latest 00z NAM forecast is a bit farther south with the track of
the surface low and is just a bit colder with its thermal
profiles than the previous couple of runs, however it would
still support a change from snow to sleet as far north as the
northern part of the Capital District around daybreak Sunday. We
suspect that when all is said and done sleet will mix with the
snow just about up to Saratoga Springs Sunday morning which will
cut back on snow amounts from that area south. South of Albany
there will be a stripe of freezing rain with the potential for
significant icing a quarter to half an inch from the Catskills
through the mid- Hudson Valley. Obviously with a forecast this
complex there are uncertainties but the current forecast seems
to handle things about as well as could be expected at this
point.

Previous near term...
Warm air aloft will change snow to sleet from about the Capital
District through central/northern Taconics to parts of southern
VT and points east and south. North surface winds will keep
surface temperatures quite cold across the region and the depth
of the coldest air will determine where there will be mostly
sleet and where there will be a period of freezing rain. The
best chance for the shallowest cold air is in areas just east of
the Catskills, through mid Hudson Valley, NW CT and southern
Berkshires, where some accumulating freezing rain is likely. The
sleet and freezing rain will begin before sunrise in all areas
that see the mix and end through the late morning and midday
Sunday. Somewhere in the freezing rain zone could see a third of
an inch of ice or greater.

The boundary layer warming being drawn north may be more of a
function of stronger boundary layer frontogenesis drawing warm
air northward but stronger anchoring of the cold airmass to the
north as well. There is a very impressive surface temperature
gradient across NY and New England right now seen in the NY
Mesonet and other data sources with below zero to the north and
solidly in the 30s in the south. Based on CSTAR research,
strong frontogenesis should set up from the western/central
Mohawk Valley through southern Adirondacks, Lake George Saratoga
Region to parts of southern VT supporting a lateral quasi
stationary mesoscale band with enhanced snowfall rates of
greater than 2 inches per hour. That is where yardsticks will
likely be needed to measure the storm total snows. Mixed
precipitation will reduce snow amounts in the Capital Region and
points east and south but still enough snow will fall for a
significant impact across the region.

Temperatures tonight will likely fall only a couple or few
degrees from current temperatures. Steadier snow will help
temperatures to fall in addition to in addition to northerly
surface winds and ageostrophic low level winds anchoring cold
air from the north.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Winter Storm Warning for eastern NY and western New England
until 4 pm Sunday

Precipitation tapers off rapidly through Sunday morning and ends
as snow showers Sunday afternoon as the cold air spreads from
northwest to southeast and winds pick up from the north and
northwest. The core of the northern stream upper low drops
through our region Sunday night through Monday with snow showers
and flurries mainly in the western Mohawk Valley, Schoharie
Valley and eastern Catskills but some flurries are possible
everywhere into Sunday night.

Extreme cold and gusty winds spread across the region Sunday
night and cold air is anchored over the region through Monday
night. Wind chills Sunday night and Monday drop to well below
zero and some wind chill headlines may be needed once the storm
begins to depart and once we can zero in on the specific areas
that will reach criteria.

Lows Sunday night below zero in many areas with single numbers
in southern areas. Highs Monday in the single numbers but below
zero in northern areas. Intervals of clouds and some flurries
are possible through Monday until the upper low exits.

The strong low level ridging approaches Monday night, the sky
will clear and winds trend to light by sunrise Tuesday. Lows
early Tuesday morning will be below zero again in most places.
Warm advection begins Tuesday with highs in the 20s but teens in
northern areas.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
The long term forecast period will begin with high pressure
departing to our east and an upper level trough approaching from the
west. This will result in increasing clouds from west to east
throughout the day on Wednesday. There will also be increasing
chances for precipitation throughout the day with a low pressure
system approaching from the Great Lakes region. The Capital Region
and locations to the south will see a chance for mixed precipitation
while locations to the North of I-90 will see a better chance for
all snow. The front draping to the south looks to stall out
somewhere along the East Coast late Wednesday into Thursday.
Guidance suggests the potential for cyclogenesis along this boundary
with low pressure translating from SW to NE along the boundary. This
will bring chances for snow and mixed precipitation Thursday and
Friday, primarily over western New England. The exact details will
have to be worked out as we head through the week seeing as there is
quite a bit of uncertainty within the guidance. Lingering upper
level cyclonic flow will be in place on Saturday so there will be a
chance for some snow showers across the region. Temperatures will
generally be near normal with highs in the 20s/30s and lows in the
teens/20s.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A complex winter storm continues to affect the area. Light to
moderate snow has overspread the TAF sites, lowering
visibilities and ceilings to LIFR. The snow will then change to
sleet from south to north after midnight and potentially make it
as far north as KALB. Sleet will then transition to freezing
rain at KPOU/KPSF later this morning as warmer air works its way
into the southern portion of the region. Meanwhile, GFL should
remain all snow throughout the event. The precipitation could
end as a little snow late this morning or early in the
afternoon at KALB/KPSF/KPOU, then clouds will break toward
evening. Winds will be from the north- northeast at 5 to 10 kts
through the early morning period, shifting to northwest at 10
to 15 kts with gusts to 25 kts this afternoon. Blowing snow will
be possible at all TAF sites later this morning into the
afternoon as well.

Outlook...

Sunday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Windy With Gusts To 33.0 NO SIG WX.
Martin Luther King Jr Day: Moderate Operational Impact. Windy With Gusts To 30.0 NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Windy With Gusts To 30.0 NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SN.
Wednesday: High Operational Impact. Likely RA...SN...SLEET.
Wednesday Night: High Operational Impact. Likely SN...SLEET.
Thursday: Moderate Operational Impact. Likely SN.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A potent winter storm will impact the region today into Sunday
afternoon. The precipitation type is expected to be mainly
snow, with a wintry mix possible across the southern Berkshires,
southeast Catskills, mid Hudson Valley, southern Taconics, and
northwest Connecticut. Total liquid equivalent precipitation
will generally be in the 1 to 1.5 inch range with some slightly
higher amounts over the southern most basins. This precipitation
will not have an immediate impact on area rivers and streams as
it will be frozen/freezing precipitation.

With the strong southeast flow, the tidal gauge at Poughkeepsie
may hit the caution stage late Sunday morning into the early
afternoon.

Very cold and mainly dry weather is expected Monday into
Tuesday. Another storm with snow or a wintry mix changing to
rain is expected late Tuesday night through Wednesday, although
precip amounts and precip types are still uncertain at this
time.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed
and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our
website.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Winter Storm Warning until 4 PM EST this afternoon for CTZ001-
     013.
NY...Winter Storm Warning until 4 PM EST this afternoon for NYZ032-
     033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-082>084.
MA...Winter Storm Warning until 4 PM EST this afternoon for MAZ001-
     025.
VT...Winter Storm Warning until 4 PM EST this afternoon for
     VTZ013>015.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NAS/Wasula
NEAR TERM...MSE/NAS/Wasula
SHORT TERM...NAS
LONG TERM...Cebulko
AVIATION...MSE/BGM/JLV
HYDROLOGY...NAS
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 19, 4:45 PM EST, 11 hours 10 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albany NY
445 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-201100-
Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire-
Southern Berkshire-Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Southern Herkimer-
Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Northern Saratoga-Northern Warren-
Northern Washington-Schoharie-Western Schenectady-
Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-Eastern Albany-
Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer-Western Greene-Eastern Greene-
Western Columbia-Eastern Columbia-Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster-
Western Dutchess-Eastern Dutchess-Northern Fulton-Southeast Warren-
Southern Washington-Bennington-Western Windham-Eastern Windham-
445 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Connecticut,
western Massachusetts, east central New York, eastern New York and
southern Vermont.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

The combination of gusty winds and a bitterly cold airmass will
lead to dangerous to life-threatening wind chill values Sunday night
into Monday, and also again Monday night into Tuesday. Wind Chill
Advisories or Warnings will be needed.

Another storm system will bring mixed precipitation to the region
including snow, sleet, freezing rain and rain Tuesday night through Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report snow and ice accumulations
to the National Weather Service.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 20, 3:11 AM EST, 44 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
311 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0145 AM     HEAVY SNOW       1 WNW DELMAR            42.63N  73.86W
01/20/2019  M7.5 INCH        ALBANY             NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ALY1900265

CS
Local storm report, Jan 20, 3:13 AM EST, 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
313 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 AM     HEAVY SNOW       EDINBURG                43.23N  74.09W
01/20/2019  M7.5 INCH        SARATOGA           NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            3 INCHES BETWEEN 1230AM AND 130AM

&&

EVENT NUMBER ALY1900266

CS
Local storm report, Jan 20, 3:14 AM EST, 41 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
314 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 AM     HEAVY SNOW       CLERMONT                42.09N  73.83W
01/20/2019  M6.2 INCH        COLUMBIA           NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ALY1900267

CS
Local storm report, Jan 20, 3:37 AM EST, 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
337 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 AM     HEAVY SNOW       DOLGEVILLE              43.10N  74.77W
01/20/2019  M10.3 INCH       HERKIMER           NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ALY1900268

CS
Local storm report, Jan 20, 3:41 AM EST, 14 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
341 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 AM     HEAVY SNOW       HOPEWELL JUNCTION       41.59N  73.80W
01/20/2019  M2.8 INCH        DUTCHESS           NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SNOW AND SLEET STORM TOTAL

&&

EVENT NUMBER ALY1900269

CS
Local storm report, Jan 20, 3:45 AM EST, 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
345 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 AM     HEAVY SNOW       KINGSTON                41.93N  74.00W
01/20/2019  M5.9 INCH        ULSTER             NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ALY1900270

CS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albany, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 20, 3:55 AM ESTWind Chill AdvisoryALYWindham51 hr
Jan 20, 7:57 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningALYDutchess, Ulster7 hr

Nearby

Wind Chill Warnings in New York, 2019Wind Chill Warnings in Vermont, 2019Wind Chill Warnings in Massachusetts, 2019Every wind chill warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.