Alert archive / New York / Wind Advisories in 2019

Wind Advisory 1, NWS Albany, NY

January 9, 2019Northwest Hills Planning Region, Connecticut; 13 counties in New York; Berkshire County, Massachusetts

NWS Albany, NY issued this wind advisory at Jan 9, 2019, 3:13 AM EST for Northwest Hills Planning Region, Connecticut; 13 counties in New York; Berkshire County, Massachusetts. It took effect at Jan 9, 2019, 6:02 AM EST. It was in force for 14 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 9, 2019, 3:13 AM EST (08:13 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 9, 2019, 6:02 AM EST
Expired
Jan 9, 2019, 8:00 PM EST
In force
14 hr
Issued by
NWS Albany, NY

Counties Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Berkshire County, MA, Albany County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Washington County, NY

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 9 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 14 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2019-01-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2019-01-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 178 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
566 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
178 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
207 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

974 
WWUS71 KALY 090813
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
313 AM EST Wed Jan 9 2019

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-047>054-058>061-063>066-082-084-
092200-
/O.NEW.KALY.WI.Y.0001.190109T1500Z-190110T0100Z/
Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire-
Southern Berkshire-Southern Herkimer-Southern Fulton-Montgomery-
Northern Saratoga-Schoharie-Western Schenectady-
Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-
Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer-
Western Greene-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-Eastern Columbia-
Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-Eastern Dutchess-
Northern Fulton-Southern Washington-
Including the cities of Torrington, Oakville, Gaylordsville, 
New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, 
Florida, North Adams, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, 
South Egremont, Ilion, Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, Frankfort,
Dolgeville, Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, Saratoga Lake, 
Saratoga Springs, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, 
Livingstonville, Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, 
Mariaville, Delanson, Duanesburg, Schenectady, Rotterdam, 
Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, Mechanicville, Clifton Park, 
Waterford, Westerlo, Altamont, Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, 
Albany, Troy, Berlin, Eagle Bridge, Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, 
Hunter, Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, Catskill, Coxsackie, 
Athens, Cairo, Jefferson Heights, Hudson, New Lebanon, 
Ellenville, Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, 
Napanoch, Sundown, Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie, Beacon, 
Arlington, Pawling, Wingdale, Dover Plains, Millbrook, 
Stanfordville, Pine Plains, Amenia, Caroga Lake, Hudson Falls, 
Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, and North Easton
313 AM EST Wed Jan 9 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Albany has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect from 10 AM this morning to 8 PM EST
this evening.

* Winds...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Timing...Late this morning into this evening.

* Impacts...Strong winds may knock down large tree limbs and a 
  few trees as well. Isolated power outages are possible.

* Location...Mohawk Valley, Saratoga Region, Schoharie Valley,
  Capital District, Helderbergs, eastern Catskills, mid Hudson
  Valley, Berkshires and Litchfield Hills.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of 31 to 39 mph are
expected, with gusts between 46 to 57 mph. Winds this strong are
capable of downing small tree limbs and branches, possibly
causing isolated power outages. Driving can also be difficult,
especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$
3 follow-up statements
401 
WWUS71 KALY 091102
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
602 AM EST Wed Jan 9 2019

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-047>054-058>061-063>066-082-084-
092200-
/O.EXT.KALY.WI.Y.0001.190109T1102Z-190110T0100Z/
Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire-
Southern Berkshire-Southern Herkimer-Southern Fulton-Montgomery-
Northern Saratoga-Schoharie-Western Schenectady-
Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-
Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer-
Western Greene-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-Eastern Columbia-
Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-Eastern Dutchess-
Northern Fulton-Southern Washington-
Including the cities of Torrington, Oakville, Gaylordsville, 
New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, 
Florida, North Adams, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, 
South Egremont, Ilion, Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, Frankfort,
Dolgeville, Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, Saratoga Lake, 
Saratoga Springs, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, 
Livingstonville, Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, 
Mariaville, Delanson, Duanesburg, Schenectady, Rotterdam, 
Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, Mechanicville, Clifton Park, 
Waterford, Westerlo, Altamont, Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, 
Albany, Troy, Berlin, Eagle Bridge, Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, 
Hunter, Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, Catskill, Coxsackie, 
Athens, Cairo, Jefferson Heights, Hudson, New Lebanon, 
Ellenville, Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, 
Napanoch, Sundown, Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie, Beacon, 
Arlington, Pawling, Wingdale, Dover Plains, Millbrook, 
Stanfordville, Pine Plains, Amenia, Caroga Lake, Hudson Falls, 
Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, and North Easton
602 AM EST Wed Jan 9 2019

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* Winds...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Timing...This morning into this evening.

* Impacts...Strong winds may knock down large tree limbs and a 
  few trees as well. Isolated power outages are possible.

* Location...Mohawk Valley, Saratoga Region, Schoharie Valley,
  Capital District, Helderbergs, eastern Catskills, Taconics, mid
  Hudson Valley, Berkshires and Litchfield Hills.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of 31 to 39 mph are
expected, with gusts between 46 to 57 mph. Winds this strong are
capable of downing small tree limbs and branches, possibly
causing isolated power outages. Driving can also be difficult,
especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$
581 
WWUS71 KALY 092050
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
350 PM EST Wed Jan 9 2019

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-047>054-058>061-063>066-082-084-
100100-
/O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190110T0100Z/
Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire-
Southern Berkshire-Southern Herkimer-Southern Fulton-Montgomery-
Northern Saratoga-Schoharie-Western Schenectady-
Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-
Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer-
Western Greene-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-Eastern Columbia-
Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-Eastern Dutchess-
Northern Fulton-Southern Washington-
Including the cities of Torrington, Oakville, Gaylordsville, 
New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, 
Florida, North Adams, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, 
South Egremont, Ilion, Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, Frankfort,
Dolgeville, Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, Saratoga Lake, 
Saratoga Springs, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, 
Livingstonville, Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, 
Mariaville, Delanson, Duanesburg, Schenectady, Rotterdam, 
Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, Mechanicville, Clifton Park, 
Waterford, Westerlo, Altamont, Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, 
Albany, Troy, Berlin, Eagle Bridge, Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, 
Hunter, Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, Catskill, Coxsackie, 
Athens, Cairo, Jefferson Heights, Hudson, New Lebanon, 
Ellenville, Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, 
Napanoch, Sundown, Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie, Beacon, 
Arlington, Pawling, Wingdale, Dover Plains, Millbrook, 
Stanfordville, Pine Plains, Amenia, Caroga Lake, Hudson Falls, 
Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, and North Easton
350 PM EST Wed Jan 9 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* Winds...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Timing...Through this evening.

* Impacts...Strong winds may knock down large tree limbs and a 
  few trees as well. Isolated power outages are possible.

* Location...Mohawk Valley, Saratoga Region, Schoharie Valley, 
  Capital District, Helderbergs, eastern Catskills, Taconics, 
  mid Hudson Valley, Berkshires and Litchfield Hills.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of 31 to 39 mph are
expected, with gusts between 46 to 57 mph. Winds this strong are
capable of downing small tree limbs and branches, possibly
causing isolated power outages. Driving can also be difficult,
especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$
412 
WWUS71 KALY 100106
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
806 PM EST Wed Jan 9 2019


CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-047>054-058>061-063>066-082-084-
100215-
/O.EXP.KALY.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190110T0100Z/
Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire-
Southern Berkshire-Southern Herkimer-Southern Fulton-Montgomery-
Northern Saratoga-Schoharie-Western Schenectady-
Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-
Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer-
Western Greene-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-Eastern Columbia-
Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-Eastern Dutchess-
Northern Fulton-Southern Washington-
Including the cities of Torrington, Oakville, Gaylordsville, 
New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, 
Florida, North Adams, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, 
South Egremont, Ilion, Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, Frankfort,
Dolgeville, Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, Saratoga Lake, 
Saratoga Springs, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, 
Livingstonville, Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, 
Mariaville, Delanson, Duanesburg, Schenectady, Rotterdam, 
Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, Mechanicville, Clifton Park, 
Waterford, Westerlo, Altamont, Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, 
Albany, Troy, Berlin, Eagle Bridge, Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, 
Hunter, Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, Catskill, Coxsackie, 
Athens, Cairo, Jefferson Heights, Hudson, New Lebanon, 
Ellenville, Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, 
Napanoch, Sundown, Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie, Beacon, 
Arlington, Pawling, Wingdale, Dover Plains, Millbrook, 
Stanfordville, Pine Plains, Amenia, Caroga Lake, Hudson Falls, 
Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, and North Easton
806 PM EST Wed Jan 9 2019

...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

Wind have dropped below advisory levels but are still expected to
remain gusty overnight. Wind gusts up to 35 mph remain possible. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Jan 9, 12:45 AM EST, 2 hours 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 9, 12:45 AM EST, 2 hours 28 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Albany NY
1245 AM EST Wed Jan 9 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Rain will transition to snow this morning, as a strong low
pressure system moves over upstate New York, and then redevelops
over eastern New England by daybreak. The snow will impact the
morning commute in some areas. The deepening and intensifying
cyclone will bring periods of snow and windy conditions during
the day. Blustery conditions with periods of snow showers will
continue along and over the higher terrain Wednesday night
through Thursday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 1235 AM EST...The latest RAP shows a 998 hPa low pressure
system moving over central NY with a secondary weak impulse
near coastal ME and NH. The mid and upper level trough is
becoming negatively tiled with a strong short-wave moving across
northeast PA into central NY. The mid level lapse rates are
very steep based on the latest SPC Meso-analysis page in the
7-8C/km. Some thunderstorms have popped up over Fairfield Co CT.
We placed a slight chance of thunderstorms in the forecast for
extreme southeast Dutchess and Litchfield Co the next few hours.
Monitoring for a tranistion to snow with band of moderate to
heavy pcpn. Many rain reports so far, and we believe some
graupel or ice pellets may have mixed in over the northern
Catskills. There could be some spotty freezing rain where temps
are hovering near freezing over the southern Dacks, southern
Greens and eventually eastern Windham Co. VT in a few more
hours. We retooled the POPs based on the radar trends, and tried
to stay consistent with the NAM colder profiles for a
transition to snow in the 4-7 am time frame due to the dynamic
cooling, and melting snow /latent heat of fusion/. Headlines
will remain in place with some adjustments later this morning
coming. Could see a quick inch or two of snow in the valley
areas. Better accums over the higher terrain.

Previous near term describes snow amounts in more detail...

The sfc wave will deepen and form a closed low from the surface
to 500 mb over central New England by daybreak Wednesday. Rain
will overspread the area around midnight, then transition over
to snow at higher elevations above 1000 feet as mid- level
cooling, dynamic cooling and cooling due to melting snow will
all be working to cool the atmosphere. We are expecting several
inches of snow over the higher elevations from the northwest
Catskills to southern Vermont by 12z Wednesday.

The precipitation-type forecast for the lower elevations in the
eastern Mohawk Valley into the Capital District and upper
Hudson Valley will be very difficult later tonight. The main
determining factor will probably be precipitation rate with a
period of moderate to heavy precipitation toward 12z probably
resulting in a change from rain to snow. Any snow may transition
back to light rain showers shortly after daybreak as the
precipitation becomes lighter again. Model agreement on the
thermal profiles is not very good for the Hudson Valley, with
the NAM / NAM nest significantly colder in the boundary layer
than the GFS and HRRR. All of these factors will result in
plenty of uncertainty for the forecast near the Capital District
around daybreak Wednesday, with possibilities ranging from some
light rain to a burst of heavy snow with up to a few inches of
accumulations. Our current forecast pretty much splits the
difference maybe leaning a bit toward the colder NAM. Previous
discussion is below.

Winter Weather Advisories have been issued for parts of the
Adirondacks, western Mohawk Valley, southern VT, the northern
Berkshires and the Taconics late tonight into Wednesday. See our
advisories for more details.

Although initial temperature profiles are not terribly cold,
strong lift is expected through a deep, saturated column which
should rapidly cool temperatures. Any initial rain or rain/snow
mix should quickly cool allowing a transition to all snow. Mid-
level lapse rates steepen impressively to 7-8C/km which suggest
that some graupel and even thunder is not ruled out. Snow rates
could also reach up to 1 inch per hour under this deformation
band with the greatest impacts expected from 09z - 15z
Wednesday along the I-90 corridor including the Mohawk Valley,
Greater Capital District into western New England. Morning
commuters should allow extra time to arrive to their
destinations and use caution due to possible high impacts from
this band. We used the HRRR and high res NAM to identify which
areas would have the best chance to experience this deformation
band but should it set up a bit further north or south, than
impacts will need to adjusted. Snow ratios initially should be
less than climatology and thus a wetter type of snow but as the
column cools dynamically with lift intersecting the dendritic
snow growth zone, ratios should reach up to 12 to even 13:1 near
or after 12z/Wednesday.

Overall, expecting 1 - 3 or 1-2 inches of snow in the
Catskills, Greater Capital District into the Mohawk Valley with
3 - 6 inches in northern Berkshires, southern VT, northern
Taconics and western Mohawk Valley where temperatures should be
colder. The mid- Hudson Valley and NW CT may miss out on the
deformation band and with more marginal temperatures down there,
only thinking coating up to 2 inches look possible.

The cyclone continues intensifying as it enters New England by
12z - 15z Wednesday so higher snowfall rates (1-2" per hour) are
possible in the Berkshires and southern VT. The central
pressure of the cyclone looks to deepen impressively to near
980-985mb once it reaches the Gulf of Maine by 18z/Wednesday and
with a 1040mb high in the Great Plains building eastward, very
strong winds 35 - 45mph are possible once the snow winds down
Wednesday morning. The tightest pressure gradient looks to set
up along and south of the I-90 corridor so the strongest gusts
are possible there. Wind headlines may ne needed to address the
threat for damaging winds mid morning Wednesday into potentially
Wednesday night. Strong northwest flow behind the departing
cyclone should then lead to upslope snow in the Adirondacks,
Greens and Taconics Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night.
Should the flow pick up lake moisture off Lake Ontario, then
some enhanced lake effect snow showers are also possible in the
Adirondacks, western Mohawk Valley and Schoharie County. We may
need to issue additional winter weather headlines to address
upslope/lake effect snowfall amounts.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Upper energy departs and deep cold advection strengthens Thursday
and Thursday night. Lake effect snows into the western Mohawk
Valley, southern Adirondacks amd eastern Catskills with gusty
northwest flow favoring multi bands. Some upslope snows into the
southern Green Mountains, Taconics and Berkshires will be
diminishing through the day Thursday. With the gusty winds Thursday,
more clouds than sun in many areas with highs in the 20s to lower
30s but upper teens northern areas.

Deeper subsidence and low level flow turning more northerly should
help clear more clouds out of the region Thursday night and Friday.
Strong high pressure builds into the region from Canada Friday as
the core of coldest air builds in. Highs Friday in the upper teens
to mid 20s but single numbers in northern areas.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
The long term is expected to be characterized by below-normal
temperatures, moderating to near normal by the end of the period.
Cold Canadian high pressure will be centered north of the forecast
area through the period, with a low pressure system passing to our
south. The airmass does not look excessively cold, with H850 temps
averaging around -15C at the beginning of the period (around -1
STDEV), moderating to around -8C by the end. As far as snowfall
chances, broad troughing looks to set up over the southern Plains,
with a lead impulse tracking through the Carolinas over the weekend.
A coastal low emerges off the Carolinas on Sunday, strengthening as
its consensus track keeps is southeast of 40N/70W. A few GEFS
members and the FV3-GFS are northern outliers, however, such that
they are depicting some snowfall in our southern zones. Will
maintain a dry forecast with sub-25 PoPs, but this system is worth
monitoring going forward.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A strengthening low pressure system moving eastward across our
region will continue to bring widespread precipitation to the
terminals overnight into this morning. Temperatures are warm
enough for plain rain initially, however as the column gradually
cools, rain will mix with then change to snow at
KALB/KGFL/KPSF. Changeover in valley sites KALB/KGFL will depend
on precipitation intensity, where snow will occur when
moderate/heavy precip is occurring by early in the morning.
Higher elevation site KPSF should remain snow once the
changeover occurs. Widespread IFR conditions will continue into
this morning, with periods of LIFR, especially once rain changes
to snow. A few hour burst of moderate/heavy snow is expected
between around 10Z-14Z at KALB/KGFL/KPSF. Precip should end at
KPOU before a changeover to snow can occur.

As low pressure intensifies as it shifts east into New England,
precip will end at the valley locations, however mainly light
snow will continue at KPSF through the morning and into the
early afternoon hours before tapering off. General improvement
to MVFR then VFR is expected, although KPSF will experience a
delayed improvement due to the upslope snow persisting.

Winds will initially be variable around 10 kt or less, then
becoming west-northwest and increasing to around 15-20 kt with
gusts of 30-35 kt at KALB/KPSF late this morning into the
afternoon.

Outlook...

Wednesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Windy Chance of SHSN.
Thursday: Moderate Operational Impact. Windy NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: Low Operational Impact. Breezy NO SIG WX.
Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
No widespread hydro issues are expected across the forecast area
the next several days.

Two storm systems are expected tonight into Wednesday bringing
rounds of rain and snow with some pockets of freezing rain and
sleet. Several inches of snow are expected over the southern
Adirondacks, southern Greens, northern Berkshires and Taconics
with lighter amounts over the rest of the region. Total QPF will
range from a few tenths of an inch up to one inch with the
highest amounts expected in the Adirondacks and higher
elevations of the Greens. Upslope snowfall will continue
Wednesday night into Thursday with additional snow
accumulations expected. Some minor rises are possible on the
main stem rivers but overall rivers will begin to recede in the
colder air mass moving into the region late Wednesday into the
weekend.

Colder and drier weather returns late in the week into the
weekend, which will allow for flows to lower some with some ice
formation on rivers, lakes, and streams.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed
and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our
website.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...Winter Weather Advisory until 2 PM EST this afternoon for
     NYZ054.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for NYZ032-
     033-042-082.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 11 AM EST this morning for
     NYZ038.
MA...Winter Weather Advisory until 2 PM EST this afternoon for
     MAZ001.
VT...Winter Weather Advisory until 2 PM EST this afternoon for
     VTZ013-014.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 2 PM EST this afternoon for
     VTZ015.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Speciale/Wasula
NEAR TERM...MSE/Speciale/Wasula
SHORT TERM...NAS
LONG TERM...Thompson
AVIATION...JPV
HYDROLOGY...Speciale/Wasula
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 8, 4:27 PM EST, 10 hours 46 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albany NY
427 PM EST Tue Jan 8 2019

NYZ033-042-082-091200-
Hamilton-Northern Warren-Northern Fulton-
427 PM EST Tue Jan 8 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Hamilton, northern Warren and
northern Fulton counties of east central New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

Additional snowfall is possible Wednesday night into Thursday,
across the southwest Adirondacks. Additional Winter Weather
headlines may be needed.

Strong west to northwest winds are expected Wednesday into Wednesday
Night. If the potential for gusts in excess of 45 mph increases,
then a wind advisory would be issued.

Very cold temperatures and gusty winds could lead to dangerously cold
wind chills across the higher terrain Thursday night into Friday
morning, and Friday night into Saturday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters should send reports of snow and ice accumulations to the
National Weather Service.

NYZ038-091200-
Southern Herkimer-
427 PM EST Tue Jan 8 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Herkimer County of
eastern New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

Additional snowfall is possible Wednesday night into Thursday.
Additional Winter Weather headlines may be needed.

Strong west to northwest winds are expected Wednesday into Wednesday
Night. If the potential for gusts in excess of 45 mph increases,
then a wind advisory would be issued.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters should send reports of snow and ice accumulations to the
National Weather Service.

VTZ015-091200-
Eastern Windham-
427 PM EST Tue Jan 8 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Windham County of
southern Vermont.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

Strong west to northwest winds are expected Wednesday into Wednesday
Night. If the potential for gusts in excess of 45 mph increases,
then a wind advisory would be issued.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters should send reports of snow and ice accumulations to the
National Weather Service.

MAZ001-NYZ054-VTZ013-014-091200-
Northern Berkshire-Eastern Rensselaer-Bennington-Western Windham-
427 PM EST Tue Jan 8 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 2 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Berkshire County of
western Massachusetts, the north central Taconics of east central
New York, and for southwest Vermont.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

Additional snowfall is possible Wednesday night into Thursday.
Additional Winter Weather headlines may be needed.

Strong west to northwest winds are expected Wednesday into Wednesday
Night. If the potential for gusts in excess of 45 mph increases,
then a wind advisory would be issued.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters should send reports of snow and ice accumulations to the
National Weather Service.

CTZ001-013-MAZ025-NYZ032-039>041-043-047>053-058>061-063>066-083-084-
091200-
Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Southern Berkshire-
Northern Herkimer-Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Northern Saratoga-
Northern Washington-Schoharie-Western Schenectady-
Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-Eastern Albany-
Western Rensselaer-Western Greene-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-
Eastern Columbia-Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-
Eastern Dutchess-Southeast Warren-Southern Washington-
427 PM EST Tue Jan 8 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Connecticut,
southern Berkshire County of western Massachusetts, and northern
Herkimer County, the central and eastern Mohawk Valley, the Greater
Capital District and Lake George Saratoga region, eastern Catskills
and Schoharie Valley of eastern New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

A period of snow is expected late tonight. A few inches of snowfall
could lead to slippery travel conditions toward daybreak, especially
close to and north of the Interstate 90 corridor.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

A period of snow is expected Wednesday morning. A few inches of
snowfall could lead to slippery travel conditions for the Wednesday
morning commute, especially close to and north of the Interstate 90
corridor.

Additional snowfall is possible Wednesday night into Thursday across
northern Herkimer County. Additional Winter Weather headlines may be
needed.

Strong west to northwest winds are expected Wednesday into Wednesday
Night. If the potential for gusts in excess of 45 mph increases,
then a wind advisory would be issued.

Very cold temperatures and gusty winds could lead to dangerously cold
wind chills across northern Herkimer County Thursday night into
Friday morning, and Friday night into Saturday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters should send reports of snow and ice accumulations to the
National Weather Service.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 8, 11:36 PM EST, 3 hours 37 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1136 PM EST TUE JAN 08 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1116 PM     SNOW             SAVOY                   42.60N  73.04W
01/08/2019  M2.0 INCH        BERKSHIRE          MA   WEATHERNET6

            WEATHERNET6

&&

EVENT NUMBER ALY1900118

JPV

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albany, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 9, 3:38 AM ESTWinter Storm WarningALYHerkimer27 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in New York, 2019Wind Advisories in Connecticut, 2019Wind Advisories in Massachusetts, 2019Every wind advisory in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.