Wind Advisory 3, NWS Wakefield, VA

640 
WWUS71 KAKQ 241948
NPWAKQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
248 PM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

MDZ021>025-250800-
/O.CON.KAKQ.WI.Y.0003.190224T2100Z-190225T2100Z/
Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-
Including the cities of Cambridge, Salisbury, Crisfield, 
Princess Anne, Snow Hill, and Ocean City
248 PM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY...

* AREAS AFFECTED: The lower Maryland eastern shore.

* WINDS: West 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 40 to 50 mph.

* TIMING: The strongest winds will generally be during two 
  distinct periods, first late this afternoon into early this 
  evening from about 4 pm to 8 pm, with a longer period during 
  the day Monday from about 9 am until 4 pm.

* IMPACTS: Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power 
  lines. Isolated to scattered power outages will be possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be
31 to 39 mph or gusts will range between 46 and 57 mph.  Winds of
these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra
precautions. Motorists in high profile vehicles should use
caution until the winds subside.

&&

$$

762 
WWUS71 KAKQ 250258
NPWAKQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
958 PM EST Sun Feb 24 2019


MDZ021>025-251100-
/O.CON.KAKQ.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190225T2100Z/
Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-
Including the cities of Cambridge, Salisbury, Crisfield, 
Princess Anne, Snow Hill, and Ocean City
958 PM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY...

* AREAS AFFECTED: The Lower Maryland Eastern Shore.

* WINDS: West 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 40 to 50 mph.

* TIMING: The strongest winds will be during the day Monday from 
  about 9 am until 4 pm.

* IMPACTS: Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power 
  lines. Isolated to scattered power outages will be possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be
31 to 39 mph or gusts will range between 46 and 57 mph.  Winds of
these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra
precautions. Motorists in high profile vehicles should use
caution until the winds subside.

&&

$$

430 
WWUS71 KAKQ 250854
NPWAKQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
354 AM EST Mon Feb 25 2019


VAZ075-077-078-099-100-252100-
/O.EXA.KAKQ.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190225T2100Z/
Westmoreland-Northumberland-Lancaster-Accomack-Northampton-
Including the cities of Sandy Point, Westmoreland, 
Colonial Beach, Leedstown, Oak Grove, Potomac Beach, 
Potomac Mills, Lewisetta, Alfonso, Beanes Corner, Brook Vale, 
Kilmarnock, Lancaster, Lively, Regina, Chincoteague, 
Wallops Island, Melfa, Exmore, Cape Charles, Cheapside, 
Fishermans Island, Kiptopeke, Kiptopeke State Park, 
and Plantation
354 AM EST Mon Feb 25 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect until 4 PM EST this afternoon.

* AREAS AFFECTED: Portions of the Virginia northern Neck and the
  Virginia eastern shore.

* WINDS: West 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 40 to 45 mph.

* TIMING: The strongest winds will be from about 9 am until 1 pm.

* IMPACTS: Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power 
  lines. Isolated to scattered power outages will be possible.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be
31 to 39 mph or gusts will range between 46 and 57 mph.  Winds of
these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra
precautions. Motorists in high profile vehicles should use
caution until the winds subside.

&&

$$

MDZ021>025-252100-
/O.CON.KAKQ.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190225T2100Z/
Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-
Including the cities of Cambridge, Salisbury, Crisfield, 
Princess Anne, Snow Hill, and Ocean City
354 AM EST Mon Feb 25 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* AREAS AFFECTED: The Lower Maryland Eastern Shore.

* WINDS: West 25 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* TIMING: The strongest winds will be from about 9 am until 2 pm.

* IMPACTS: Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power 
  lines. Isolated to scattered power outages will be possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be
31 to 39 mph or gusts will range between 46 and 57 mph.  Winds of
these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra
precautions. Motorists in high profile vehicles should use
caution until the winds subside.

&&

$$

836 
WWUS71 KAKQ 251444
NPWAKQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
944 AM EST Mon Feb 25 2019

MDZ021>025-VAZ075-077-078-099-100-252100-
/O.CON.KAKQ.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190225T2100Z/
Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-
Westmoreland-Northumberland-Lancaster-Accomack-Northampton-
Including the cities of Cambridge, Salisbury, Crisfield, 
Princess Anne, Snow Hill, Ocean City, Sandy Point, Westmoreland, 
Colonial Beach, Leedstown, Oak Grove, Potomac Beach, 
Potomac Mills, Lewisetta, Alfonso, Beanes Corner, Brook Vale, 
Kilmarnock, Lancaster, Lively, Regina, Chincoteague, 
Wallops Island, Melfa, Exmore, Cape Charles, Cheapside, 
Fishermans Island, Kiptopeke, Kiptopeke State Park, 
and Plantation
944 AM EST Mon Feb 25 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* AREAS AFFECTED: Portions of the Virginia Northern Neck, Virginia
  Eastern Shore, and the Lower Maryland Eastern Shore.

* WINDS: West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* TIMING: The strongest winds will be from about 9 am until 2 pm.

* IMPACTS: Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power 
  lines. Isolated to scattered power outages will be possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be
31 to 39 mph or gusts will range between 46 and 57 mph.  Winds of
these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra
precautions. Motorists in high profile vehicles should use
caution until the winds subside.

&&

$$

Butner

331 
WWUS71 KAKQ 252036
NPWAKQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
336 PM EST Mon Feb 25 2019

MDZ021>025-VAZ075-077-078-099-100-252145-
/O.EXP.KAKQ.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190225T2100Z/
Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-
Westmoreland-Northumberland-Lancaster-Accomack-Northampton-
Including the cities of Cambridge, Salisbury, Crisfield, 
Princess Anne, Snow Hill, Ocean City, Sandy Point, Westmoreland, 
Colonial Beach, Leedstown, Oak Grove, Potomac Beach, 
Potomac Mills, Lewisetta, Alfonso, Beanes Corner, Brook Vale, 
Kilmarnock, Lancaster, Lively, Regina, Chincoteague, 
Wallops Island, Melfa, Exmore, Cape Charles, Cheapside, 
Fishermans Island, Kiptopeke, Kiptopeke State Park, 
and Plantation
336 PM EST Mon Feb 25 2019

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

Wind gusts have diminished below 45 mph and will continue to
diminish through this evening. 

$$

Butner

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
117 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure will move north along the Delmarva Peninsula
tonight, before moving northeast and away from the region
Sunday morning. A warm front approaches from the south Sunday
morning with a strong cold front crossing the area in the
afternoon. Dry and cool weather expected Monday through Tuesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
As of 900 PM EST Saturday...

Latest MSAS has the zipper low near Va Beach and will continue
to move ne along the ern shore tonight then off to the ne erly
Sun. The steady rain with this feature is currently confined to
areas along and east of the Ches Bay. High res data continues
to support cat PoPs thru about 06Z then a "lull" for a few hrs
with the next batch of rain ahead of the apprchg warm and cold
fronts overspreading the local area N-S after 06Z. In between,
will keep likely PoPS mainly for light rain / drizzle. Some
warmer air will try to accompany the low along coastal sections,
but the north winds on back side of the low will lock in the
north winds and low level cold air wedge west of the Bay overnight.
Little temp change from current values except along the coast
where readings will fluctuation due to the movement of the low.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 225 PM EST Saturday...

Increased wind gusts Sunday afternoon with gusts up to 40+ mph
in the afternoon and early evening from 2 pm through 5 pm.

The warm front will struggle to push north across the fa FA Sun
morning...but still expecting significant/widespread coverage
of clouds and an area of RA to be hanging around. Lo pres
tracking towards SE Canada will push its associated cold front
across the mountains early...then through the local area early-
mid afternoon. SSW winds a bit gusty...esp near the coast Sun
morning as temperatures/dew points continue to rise. Clearing
and lowering PoPs Sun afternoon as SW winds increase and become
gusty to 40+ mph as conditions dry out. Going a bit lower than
guidance for high temperatures (in case clearing begins a tad
later)...though readings should still reach well through the 60s
into the m70s.

Rainfall totals into Sun afternoon will range from 1-1.5"...except
0.5-1" near/S of the VA-NC border. River flood warnings continue
for the James, Nottoway, and Meherrin rivers due to this extended
period of precip. See the Hydro section below for further
details.

Drying out...cooling down and remaining breezy (highest speeds
near the coast) Sun night w/ lows from the l30s far NW to the l40s
SE. Sunny and cool Mon w/ breezy W winds...gusty to 30-40 mph
still on the ern shore. Highs in the l-m50s at the coast to the
u50s-around 60F elsewhere. Clear w/ calming winds Mon night. Lows
in the u20s-l30s inland...m-u30s along the coast in SE VA-NE NC.
Partly sunny N/mostly sunny S Tue w/ highs from the u40s-l50s
near the coast to the u50s-l60s inland.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 130 PM EST Saturday...

Zonal flow aloft W-E across the CONUS will dominate the
extended forecast period. Blend of the guidance shows a few
potential pcpn events...late Wed into Thu...late Thu night into
Fri...then again next Sat. 00Z/23 ECMWF was drier than most other
models but given the strong wly flow aloft through the period...can't
count on any extended period of dry wx during the next week. There
will also be a gradual pressing of colder air ESE from the plains
states/Canada...resulting in temperatures average near to slightly
blo normal.

Lows tue night from the u20s N to the m-u30s SE. Highs Wed from
the m-u40s near the coast to the m-u50s inland. Lows Wed night
in the l-m30s N to the u30s-around 40F SE. Highs Thu from 45-50F
near the coast to the m-u50s inland. Lows Thu night from the
l-m30s N and NW (where there might be a RA/SN mix late) to the
l40s SE. Highs Fri from the l-m40s N to around 50F in NE NC.
Lows Fri night in the l30s NW to the l40s SE. Highs Sat from the
u40s to m50s.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 1225 AM EST Sunday...

Low pressure lifting quickly north along the Delmarva Peninsula
then ne of the region by morning. Widespread IFR/LIFR
conditions continue across the region along with areas of rain,
fog and drizzle. IFR conditions continue into the morning as a
second batch of rain overspreads the area late tonight and Sun
morning ahead of an approaching warm front from the south and
cold front the west.

Rapid drying occurs Sun afternoon behind the cold front. Low
clouds quickly scour out with the remainder of the column
drying after 18Z. Tightening pressure gradient results in a
quick ramp up in winds late morning into the afternoon. SW
winds become W at 20-30 kts with locally higher gusts possible.
In addition, some LLWS up to 45 KTS will develop in the lowest
2K FT due to the gusty winds.

OUTLOOK...
VFR conditions expected Mon and Tue as high pressure builds into
the area. Gusty winds continue Sun night and Mon morning before
slowly diminishing Mon afternoon and evening.

&&

.MARINE...
As of 100 AM EST Sunday...

Sfc low pressure currently pushing ENE farther off the eastern
VA coast early this morning. Winds have shifted to NW in the Bay
and increased to 15 kt with higher gusts for awhile, but are
beginning to diminish slowly now. With the higher winds, fog has
not been able to develop so have dropped the Marine Dense Fog
Advisory. There is some potential that fog may begin to develop
towards daybreak and through midday if winds do not increase
from the south as quickly as forecast (current model trends are
suggesting this might occur).

With the approach of a cold front from the west later today and
a significant tightening of the pressure gradient, expect SCA
conditions to develop over all zones by late morning or aftn (SW
winds sustained to 20-25 kt with gusts to around 30+ kt). SCAs
now in effect for this. The front is expected to move across the
region late Sun aftn into Sun evening, with a brief surge of
potentially higher winds possible in the immediate wake of the
front with pressure rises of 7-9 mb/6hr for the period ending
Sun evening. Winds could be quite gusty later Sun afternoon into
early evening especially from the Lower Bay north including
area rivers. A Gale Warning is in effect the coastal waters N of
Parramore Island for Sun eve through Mon where a prolonged
period of W to NW winds gusting to ~40 kt is expected. For the
remainder of the area, opted to stay with an SCA given only the
brief period of potentially higher winds with the front late Sat
aftn/evening. The offshore flow will keep seas from building
much above 5-6 ft. For Mon, a gradual diminishing of the
winds/seas is expected, with the strongest winds over the
northern coastal waters. By Monday night, high pressure is
building into the area and with the cold advection weakening,
should see conditions relaxing below SCA levels. This area of
high pressure will slowly track across the region through the
mid week time period with generally benign conditions expected
through midweek.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
As of 645 PM EST Saturday...

Flood warnings cont portions of the James, Nottoway and Meherrin
rivers into early next week. Richmond Westham now expected to
go to moderate flooding. Potential for Mattoax on the
Appomattox and Cartersville on the James to reach minor flooding
as well. See FLWAKQ / FLSAKQ for details.

&&

.CLIMATE...
As of 330 AM EST Saturday...

Very warm temperatures are expected on Sunday but record highs
are currently not forecast. For reference they are listed below:

* Site: Record High for Sun 2/24

* RIC:  82 (1985)
* ORF:  82 (2012)
* SBY:  77 (2012)
* ECG:  79 (1985)

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 1 PM EST
     Monday for ANZ633-635>638-654-656.
     Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 4 PM EST
     Monday for ANZ630>632-634.
     Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 7 PM EST this
     evening for ANZ650-652.
     Gale Warning from 7 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Monday for
     ANZ650-652.
     Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Monday for ANZ658.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TMG/RHR
NEAR TERM...MPR
SHORT TERM...ALB
LONG TERM...ALB
AVIATION...RHR
MARINE...JDM/LKB/JAO
HYDROLOGY...AKQ
CLIMATE...AKQ

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
904 PM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ048-060>062-064>069-075>090-092-093-
095>098-509>525-250215-
Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-
Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans-Eastern Currituck-Fluvanna-Prince Edward-
Cumberland-Goochland-Caroline-Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia-
Powhatan-Westmoreland-Richmond-Northumberland-Lancaster-Brunswick-
Dinwiddie-Prince George-Charles City-New Kent-Gloucester-Middlesex-
Mathews-Greensville-Sussex-Surry-James City-Southampton-
Isle of Wight-Norfolk/Portsmouth-Suffolk-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach-
Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-Eastern Hanover-
Western Chesterfield-Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-
Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico-
Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen-
Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-York-Newport News-
Hampton/Poquoson-
904 PM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina,
central Virginia, east central Virginia, eastern Virginia, north
central Virginia, south central Virginia and southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

A second round of rain will develop later tonight. The runoff from
this rain may produce ponding of water on roadways as well as minor
flooding of low lying and poor drainage areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Periods of rain continue Sunday morning. Due to the already saturated
grounds, the additional rainfall will result in additional rises in
mainstem river levels. Flood warnings continue along the James, Meherrin
and Nottoway rivers this weekend.

Southwest to west winds will gust between 30 to 40 mph Sunday afternoon.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MDZ021>025-VAZ099-100-250215-
Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-
Accomack-Northampton-
904 PM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, eastern
Virginia and southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Steady rainfall tonight may result in ponding of water on roadways
as well as minor flooding of low lying and poor drainage areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Southwest to west winds will gust between 30 to 40 mph Sunday
afternoon and west to northwest winds will gust to 35 to 40 mph
Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.