Wind Advisory 1, NWS Fairbanks, AK

453 
WWAK73 PAFG 121859
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
959 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

AKZ222-122100-
/O.NEW.PAFG.FG.Y.0001.190112T1859Z-190112T2100Z/
Middle Tanana Valley-
Including Fairbanks, Fort Wainwright, Eielson AFB, Ester, 
North Pole, Moose Creek, Two Rivers, Fox, Chatanika, 
Chena Hot Springs, and Sourdough Camp
959 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST TODAY...

The National Weather Service in Fairbanks has issued a Dense Fog
Advisory, which is in effect until noon AKST today. 

* LOCATION...In Valleys from Fairbanks to Eielson AFB.

* VISIBILITY...One quarter mile or less at times in dense ice fog. 

* TIMING...Areas of dense ice fog will start to thin by noon today
  as temperatures begin to rise. Ice fog should dissipate
  completely by 3pm today. 
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Dense Fog Advisory means visibilities are frequently reduced to
near zero. Reduce vehicle speed when driving and use low beam
headlights.

&&

$$

AKZ226-130300-
/O.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0001.190113T1500Z-190114T0600Z/
Eastern Alaska Range-
Including Mentasta Lake, Black Rapids, Donnelly Dome, 
Trims DOT Camp, Eagle Trail, and Mineral Lake
959 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM AKST
SUNDAY...

* LOCATION...Through the Passes West of the Tok Cutoff.

* WINDS...South Winds 30 to 40 mph with gust to 55 mph.

* TIMING...Winds will increase Sunday morning and continue into 
  Sunday evening. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that strong winds are occurring or
expected. Travel may be difficult. Secure loose objects which may
be blown about by the wind.

&&

$$

788 
WWAK73 PAFG 122111
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1211 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

AKZ222-122215-
/O.EXP.PAFG.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190112T2100Z/
Middle Tanana Valley-
Including Fairbanks, Fort Wainwright, Eielson AFB, Ester, 
North Pole, Moose Creek, Two Rivers, Fox, Chatanika, 
Chena Hot Springs, and Sourdough Camp
1211 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

Fog is now thinning and visibility has improved. 

$$

AKZ226-131500-
/O.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0001.190113T1500Z-190114T0600Z/
Eastern Alaska Range-
Including Mentasta Lake, Black Rapids, Donnelly Dome, 
Trims DOT Camp, Eagle Trail, and Mineral Lake
1211 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM AKST
SUNDAY...

* LOCATION...Through the Passes West of the Tok Cutoff.

* WINDS...South Winds 30 mph with gust to 55 mph.

* TIMING...Winds will increase Sunday morning and continue into 
  Sunday evening. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that strong winds are occurring or
expected. Travel may be difficult. Secure loose objects which may
be blown about by the wind.

&&

$$

796 
WWAK73 PAFG 130028
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
328 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

AKZ226-131500-
/O.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0001.190113T1500Z-190114T0600Z/
Eastern Alaska Range-
Including Mentasta Lake, Black Rapids, Donnelly Dome, 
Trims DOT Camp, Eagle Trail, and Mineral Lake
328 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM AKST
SUNDAY...

* LOCATION...Through the Passes West of the Tok Cutoff.

* WINDS...South Winds 30 mph with gust to 55 mph.

* TIMING...Winds will increase Sunday morning and continue into 
  Sunday evening. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that strong winds are occurring or
expected. Travel may be difficult. Secure loose objects which may
be blown about by the wind.

&&

$$

658 
WWAK73 PAFG 130610
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
910 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

AKZ223-131545-
/O.EXB.PAFG.WI.Y.0001.190113T0610Z-190113T2100Z/
Deltana and Tanana Flats-
Including Salcha, Delta Junction, Fort Greely, 
Harding/Birch Lake, Dry Creek, Dot Lake, and Healy Lake
910 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Fairbanks has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect until noon AKST Sunday. 

* LOCATION...East of Birch Lake.

* WINDS...Southeast winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 50 mph.

* TIMING...Strong winds will persist through late Sunday morning.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that strong winds are occurring or
expected. Travel may be difficult. Secure loose objects which may
be blown about by the wind.

&&

$$

AKZ226-131545-
/O.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0001.190113T1500Z-190114T0600Z/
Eastern Alaska Range-
Including Mentasta Lake, Black Rapids, Donnelly Dome, 
Trims DOT Camp, Eagle Trail, and Mineral Lake
910 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM AKST
SUNDAY...

* LOCATION...Through the Passes West of the Tok Cutoff.

* WINDS...South winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 55 mph.

* TIMING...Winds will increase Sunday morning and continue into 
  Sunday evening. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that strong winds are occurring or
expected. Travel may be difficult. Secure loose objects which may
be blown about by the wind.

&&

$$

580 
WWAK73 PAFG 131152
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
252 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

AKZ223-132100-
/O.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190113T2100Z/
Deltana and Tanana Flats-
Including Salcha, Delta Junction, Fort Greely, 
Harding/Birch Lake, Dry Creek, Dot Lake, and Healy Lake
252 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST TODAY...

* LOCATION...East of Birch Lake.

* WINDS...Southeast winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 50 mph.

* TIMING...Strong winds will persist through late this morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that strong winds are occurring or
expected. Travel may be difficult. Secure loose objects which may
be blown about by the wind.

&&

$$

AKZ226-132100-
/O.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0001.190113T1500Z-190114T0600Z/
Eastern Alaska Range-
Including Mentasta Lake, Black Rapids, Donnelly Dome, 
Trims DOT Camp, Eagle Trail, and Mineral Lake
252 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM
AKST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...Through the Passes West of the Tok Cutoff.

* WINDS...South winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 55 mph.

* TIMING...Winds will increase this morning and continue into this 
  evening. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that strong winds are occurring or
expected. Travel may be difficult. Secure loose objects which may
be blown about by the wind.

&&

$$

225 
WWAK73 PAFG 132054
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1154 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

AKZ223-140300-
/O.EXT.PAFG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190114T0300Z/
Deltana and Tanana Flats-
Including Salcha, Delta Junction, Fort Greely, 
Harding/Birch Lake, Dry Creek, Dot Lake, and Healy Lake
1154 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...Near Delta Junction.

* WINDS...Southeast winds gusting to 50 mph.

* TIMING...Strong winds will persist through late this afternoon.
 Winds will decrease this evening. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that strong winds are occurring or
expected. Travel may be difficult. Secure loose objects which may
be blown about by the wind.

&&

$$

AKZ226-140600-
/O.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190114T0600Z/
Eastern Alaska Range-
Including Mentasta Lake, Black Rapids, Donnelly Dome, 
Trims DOT Camp, Eagle Trail, and Mineral Lake
1154 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...Through the Passes West of the Tok Cutoff.

* WINDS...South winds gusting to 55 mph.

* TIMING...Strong winds will continue into this evening. Winds
  will decrease late tonight. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that strong winds are occurring or
expected. Travel may be difficult. Secure loose objects which may
be blown about by the wind.

&&

$$

196 
WWAK73 PAFG 140039
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
339 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

AKZ223-140600-
/O.EXT.PAFG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190114T0600Z/
Deltana and Tanana Flats-
Including Salcha, Delta Junction, Fort Greely, 
Harding/Birch Lake, Dry Creek, Dot Lake, and Healy Lake
339 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...Near Delta Junction.

* WINDS...Southeast winds gusting to 50 mph.

* TIMING...Strong winds will persist into this evening. Winds will
  decrease late tonight. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that strong winds are occurring or
expected. Travel may be difficult. Secure loose objects which may
be blown about by the wind.

&&

$$

AKZ226-140600-
/O.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190114T0600Z/
Eastern Alaska Range-
Including Mentasta Lake, Black Rapids, Donnelly Dome, 
Trims DOT Camp, Eagle Trail, and Mineral Lake
339 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...Through the Passes West of the Tok Cutoff.

* WINDS...South winds gusting to 55 mph.

* TIMING...Strong winds will continue into this evening. Winds 
  will decrease late tonight. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that strong winds are occurring or
expected. Travel may be difficult. Secure loose objects which may
be blown about by the wind.

&&

$$

247 
WWAK73 PAFG 140231 AAA
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
531 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

AKZ225-140600-
/O.EXB.PAFG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190114T1200Z/
Denali-
Including Healy, Denali National Park, Carlo Creek, and Kantishna
531 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM AKST MONDAY...

The National Weather Service in Fairbanks has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect until 3 AM AKST Monday. 

* LOCATION...Through the Passes West of the Tok Cutoff.

* WINDS...South winds gusting to 55 mph.

* TIMING...Strong winds will continue into this evening. Winds 
  will decrease late tonight. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that strong winds are occurring or
expected. Travel may be difficult. Secure loose objects which may
be blown about by the wind.

&&

$$

AKZ223-140600-
/O.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190114T0600Z/
Deltana and Tanana Flats-
Including Salcha, Delta Junction, Fort Greely, 
Harding/Birch Lake, Dry Creek, Dot Lake, and Healy Lake
531 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...Near Delta Junction.

* WINDS...Southeast winds gusting to 50 mph.

* TIMING...Strong winds will persist into this evening. Winds 
  will decrease late tonight. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that strong winds are occurring or
expected. Travel may be difficult. Secure loose objects which may
be blown about by the wind.

&&

$$

AKZ226-140600-
/O.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190114T0600Z/
Eastern Alaska Range-
Including Mentasta Lake, Black Rapids, Donnelly Dome, 
Trims DOT Camp, Eagle Trail, and Mineral Lake
531 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...Through the Passes West of the Tok Cutoff.

* WINDS...South winds gusting to 55 mph.

* TIMING...Strong winds will continue into this evening. Winds 
  will decrease late tonight. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that strong winds are occurring or
expected. Travel may be difficult. Secure loose objects which may
be blown about by the wind.

&&

$$

889 
WWAK73 PAFG 140556
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
856 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

AKZ223-226-140700-
/O.CAN.PAFG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190114T0600Z/
Deltana and Tanana Flats-Eastern Alaska Range-
Including Salcha, Delta Junction, Fort Greely, 
Harding/Birch Lake, Dry Creek, Dot Lake, Healy Lake, 
Mentasta Lake, Black Rapids, Donnelly Dome, Trims DOT Camp, 
Eagle Trail, and Mineral Lake
856 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Fairbanks has cancelled the Wind
Advisory. 

Wind gusts have subsided and will continue subside through the
remainder of the overnight hours.

$$

AKZ225-141200-
/O.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190114T1200Z/
Denali-
Including Healy, Denali National Park, Carlo Creek, and Kantishna
856 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM AKST MONDAY...

* LOCATION...Through the Passes West of the Tok Cutoff.

* WINDS...South winds gusting to 55 mph.

* TIMING...Strong winds will continue into this evening. Winds 
  will decrease late tonight. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that strong winds are occurring or
expected. Travel may be difficult. Secure loose objects which may
be blown about by the wind.

&&

$$

799 
WWAK73 PAFG 140857
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1157 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

AKZ225-141000-
/O.CAN.PAFG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190114T1200Z/
Denali-
Including Healy, Denali National Park, Carlo Creek, and Kantishna
1157 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Fairbanks has cancelled the Wind
Advisory. 


$$

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
333 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

.DISCUSSION...

Synopsis...Warmer temperatures area coming starting Sunday as we
see a big pattern change to start the week. The stratus and light
snow or flurries over the Central and Eastern Interior just keep
hanging in, but they should finally erode away later this evening
with skies clearing over the area and temperatures falling. The
West Coast and Western Interior will remain COLD for another day,
but will start warming tomorrow as a weather front is pushed
northeast across the Bering Sea into the southwest mainland. The
Arctic Coast will start warming slowly Saturday with high
temperatures in the single digits by Tuesday.

Models...Solutions appear to be a little more in sync with each
other in both the short term and extended periods. There is still
quite a bit of variance in the details, but the big picture is
pretty similar. 11/12Z surface solutions initialized well against
the local 11/18Z surface analysis for the most part. The solutions
are not picking up the trough just north of the Eastern Arctic
Coast, but they do develop one tonight. Aloft the 850 hpa
temperatures initialized a couple 2 to 4 degrees warmer than
observed values at McGrath, Fairbanks and Ft. Greeley this
morning. Will be going with the same blend of NAM/SREF solutions
for precipitation for the short term. Temperatures will be a real
battle as the big warmup will not match any diurnal trend through
mid week.

Aloft...At 500 hpa...497 dam low is over Livengood this afternoon
and will continue to move northeast as it elongates into a trough
with a 505 dam low south of the Gulf of Anadyr, and the primary
low over the Yukon Territory by Saturday morning. Ridging
continues to build northwest over the state as the low moves out,
and the long wave trough remains near the Dateline. A 514 dam low
will move to Sand Point Saturday morning as it pushes into the
ridge to lie from Cape Newenham to Kodiak City and southeast by
Saturday evening, and by Sunday afternoon it will lie from Elim to
Fairbanks to Northway as it pushes through the ridge. Troughing
to the north will continue to stretch out and be pushed north over
the Arctic nearshore waters by Saturday afternoon, and over the
offshore waters by Sunday afternoon. The primary ridge axis lies
from the Southeast Panhandle, over the Gulf of Alaska coast, and
extends west over the Pribilofs this afternoon. By Sunday
afternoon it will lie from the Southeast Panhandle over Yakutat to
Nenana to Koyuk, and by Monday afternoon it will be over the
Eastern Yukon Territory to Kaktovik, and northwest across the
Arctic as strong south flow develops over the state. At 850
hpa...The -20C isotherm is south of the forecast area, but is
starting to move back to the north and will be closely followed by
the -10C isotherm. So, by Sunday afternoon the -20C isotherm will
be north of the Arctic coast, and the -10C isotherm will lie
along the south slopes of the Brooks Range. There may even be a
few patches of near 0C over the Upper Kuskokwim Valley.

Surface...Inverted trough is starting to fall apart, and the
clouds and snow associated with it are dissipating slowly. Broad
area of weak low pressure is taking hold over the interior with
high pressure in the Yukon Territory, low pressure in the Gulf of
Alaska and the Bering Sea, and high pressure around a 1040 mb
high stretching across the Arctic offshore. By Saturday afternoon
broad low pressure over the Bering Sea starts pushing in over the
state and pushing the high further offshore in the Arctic. A
weather front will move over the southwest mainland Sunday morning
and continues to move up the West Coast and Western Interior
through Monday. High pressure will persist over the Yukon
Territory with cold air continuing to flow down the Tanana Valley,
and Tanana Valley Jet in place. This will inhibit Chinook winds
from developing and pushing into the interior very far, but there
will be some gap winds gusting to 45 mph near the passes. Strong
winds and Chinook developing west of Denali in the Alaska Range
will produce winds gusting to around 50 mph Sunday morning into
Monday morning.

Arctic Coast and Brooks Range...Cold will hold on, and there is
some stratus showing up on the NPP VIIRS SPoRT 24 hour
Microphysics RGB at 11/1953Z and it is being reported on most of
the observations. Stratus will hold on over the area through the
night, then expect some clearing during the day Saturday. Not much
change in the temperatures until Saturday night when they will
start rising. Winds west and south of Deadhorse northeast at 5 to
15 mph, while a trough offshore has turned winds from the
southwest at 5 to 10 mph from Deadhorse east along the coast and
it should stay that way through Saturday morning before they turn
from the southwest. Winds have diminished in the Brooks Range, so
will cancel the Wind Chill Warnings, but will maintain Wind Chill
advisories for zone 203 and 204.

West Coast and Western Interior...COLD for another day or so, and
with winds increasing Wind Chill Advisories have been issued for
most of the area for Wind Chill to 55 below. Approaching weather
front will bring clouds to the Lower Yukon Delta and St Lawrence
Island early Saturday spreading north through the day, and
temperatures will start rising. Snow developing late Saturday in
the Lower Yukon Delta, and spreading north through the day Sunday.
Some heavy snow Sunday from the Seward Peninsula south with up to
6 inches of accumulation in the Nulato Hills, and the Bendeleben
Mountains.

Central and Eastern Interior...Patchy stratus and flurries in the
Interior will dissipate overnight in most areas, but expect some
light accumulations. With clearing skies temperatures will be
bottoming out tonight. Hoarfrost developing on objects as the
atmosphere wrings out what little moisture there is available.
Tanana Valley Jet setting up with cold air in Yukon Territory
flowing down the valley. Winds in Delta Junction increasing
Saturday and Saturday night to 20 to 30 mph gusting to 45 mph.
Some gap winds developing as well, but not too strong, and not
strong enough to overcome the Tanana Valley Jet, but expect south
winds to 50 mph near the Alaska Range Passes.

&&

Extended forecast for days 4 to 7...Will be warmer across the
area, with more snow for the Lower Yukon Delta and St Lawrence
Island. A second front will move through the area Monday night
and Tuesday spreading snow north to the Seward Peninsula. Will be
pretty quiet in the Interior and on the Arctic.

&&

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

Wind Chill Advisory for AKZ203-AKZ204-AKZ207-AKZ208-AKZ209-
AKZ212-AKZ213-AKZ214-AKZ215-AKZ217-AKZ218.

Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225.

&&

SDB JAN 19