Storm Warning 4, NWS Fairbanks, AK

479 
FZAK51 PAFG 252354
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
254 PM AKST Mon Nov 25 2019

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-261515-
254 PM AKST Mon Nov 25 2019

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A strong low will move to the Western Gulf of Anadyr by
Monday evening and deepen to 955 mb, then north along the 
Dateline to Wrangel Island Wednesday morning at 971 mb. The low 
in the Bering Sea will send a weather front to the southwest 
mainland coast Monday morning. Strong southwest flow will develop 
across the Central and Eastern Bering Sea Monday evening and 
persist through Wednesday.

$$

PKZ225-261515-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
254 PM AKST Mon Nov 25 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...
...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE winds 45 kt increasing to 55 kt. Seas 12 ft
building to 19 ft. Snow showers. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE...S winds 55 kt. Seas 19 ft. Blowing snow. Snow showers.
Vsby 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...S winds 45 kt. Seas 13 ft. Blowing snow. Snow
showers. Vsby 1 NM or less. Freezing spray. 
.WED...S winds 45 kt. Seas 13 ft. Blowing snow. Snow showers.
Vsby 1 NM or less. Freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU...W winds 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.  

$$

PKZ230-261515-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
254 PM AKST Mon Nov 25 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE winds 25 kt increasing to 35 kt. Seas 5 ft building
to 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE...SE winds 45 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...S winds 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED...S winds 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing fog and blowing snow.
Vsby 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU...W winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing fog. Snow showers.
Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.  

$$

PKZ235-261515-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
254 PM AKST Mon Nov 25 2019

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S winds 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt. 
.TUE...SE winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...S winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...S winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED NIGHT...S winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU...SW winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.FRI...W winds 25 kt. 
.SAT...E winds 25 kt.  

$$

PKZ240-261515-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
254 PM AKST Mon Nov 25 2019

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S winds 15 kt. 
.TUE...SE winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...S winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.WED NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.THU...SW winds 20 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. 
.FRI...SW winds 25 kt. 
.SAT...E winds 25 kt.  

$$

PKZ245-261515-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
254 PM AKST Mon Nov 25 2019

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...W winds 5 kt becoming E. 
.TUE...E winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...S winds 20 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...S winds 15 kt. 
.THU...SW winds 15 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 25 kt. 
.FRI...W winds 25 kt. 
.SAT...E winds 25 kt.  

$$

Nov 19

588 
FZAK51 PAFG 261405
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
505 AM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-270300-
505 AM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
Weak high pressure over the Central Arctic will move E. A strong 
954 mb low will move from just W of the Gulf of Anadyr to 100 nm 
NE of Wrangel Island by noon Wed at 978 mb. Troughing over the 
Arctic coast will lift NE across the area Wed afternoon. The low
will continue NE to 300 nm NW of Wainwright by Thu morning, and to
400 nm N of Prudhoe Bay Fri morning. High pressure will move over
the Southwest Arctic Thu night.

$$

PKZ225-270300-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
505 AM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE winds 55 kt becoming S 45 kt. Seas 19 ft. Snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...S winds 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Blowing snow. Snow showers.
Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...S winds 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing fog. Snow showers.
Freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow showers. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.THU...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow showers. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.  

$$

PKZ230-270300-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
505 AM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...S winds 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...S winds 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED...S winds 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing fog and blowing snow.
Vsby 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow showers. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.THU...W winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Snow showers. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.FRI...E winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.  

$$

PKZ235-270300-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
505 AM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE winds 40 kt. Blowing snow and freezing fog. Vsby 1 NM
or less. 
.TONIGHT...S winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...S winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU...SW winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.FRI...W winds 20 kt. 
.SAT...E winds 30 kt.  

$$

PKZ240-270300-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
505 AM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...SE winds 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
Vsby 1 NM or less.
.WED...S winds 15 kt. Blowing snow. 
.WED NIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Blowing snow. 
.THU...SW winds 20 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.FRI...W winds 20 kt. 
.SAT...E winds 30 kt.  

$$

PKZ245-270300-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
505 AM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...E winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby
1 NM or less.
.WED...S winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...SE winds 10 kt. 
.THU...W winds 20 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.FRI...W winds 20 kt. 
.SAT...E winds 30 kt.  

$$

SDB Nov 19

182 
FZAK51 PAFG 270132
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
432 PM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-271530-
432 PM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 965 mb low near Anadyr will move to 80 NM north of Wrangel 
Island as a 980 mb low by 3pm Wed, to 300 NM northwest of Point
Barrow as a 980 mb low by 3pm Thu, and to 400 NM north of Prudhoe
Bay as a 1000 mb low by 3pm Fri. 

$$

PKZ225-271530-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
432 PM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...S winds 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Blowing snow. Snow showers.
Vsby 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED...S winds 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Freezing fog. Snow showers.
Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Snow showers. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SAT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ230-271530-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
432 PM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...S winds 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 
NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED...S winds 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Freezing fog and blowing snow.
Vsby 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU...W winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Snow showers. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI...W winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SAT...E winds 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.  

$$

PKZ235-271530-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
432 PM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SE winds 35 kt becoming S 20 kt. Blowing snow. Snow.
Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...S winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU...W winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.FRI...W winds 20 kt. 
.FRI NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.SAT...E winds 30 kt. 
.SUN...E winds 25 kt.  

$$

PKZ240-271530-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
432 PM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SE winds 30 kt becoming S 20 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby
1 NM or less. 
.WED...S winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.WED NIGHT...SE winds 15 kt. Blowing snow. 
.THU...W winds 20 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.FRI...W winds 20 kt. 
.FRI NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. 
.SAT...E winds 30 kt. 
.SUN...E winds 30 kt.  

$$

PKZ245-271530-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
432 PM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E winds 25 kt becoming SE 15 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby
1 NM or less. 
.WED...S winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. 
.THU...W winds 25 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.FRI...W winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.FRI NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. 
.SAT...E winds 30 kt. 
.SUN...E winds 30 kt.  

$$

Nov 19

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
258 PM AKST Sun Nov 24 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
A strong storm moving through the Bering Sea will push a strong
front across the West Coast Monday evening into Tuesday. Along
with the front a surge of water will move to the coast producing
coastal flooding in the Norton Sound Region. The front will also
bring heavy snow and very strong winds to the area Tuesday, with a
mix of precipitation possible Tuesday night and Wednesday as
warmer air moves in behind the front over the Yukon Delta. Heavy
snow will move over the Western Interior Tuesday afternoon into
Wednesday.

Aloft...At 500 hpa..Models in good agreement through 84 hours.
We did a blend of the GFS and NAM for the afternoon forecast
package. Broad troughing over the state will give way to strong
southwest flow over the west coast Monday into Thursday. A strong
upper level 485 dam low will move over Eastern Russia on Tuesday
then track towards Wrangel Island on Wednesday.

Surface...A 996 mb low is near Central Kamchatka and will move
north. A rapidly moving low will move over the Kuril Islands
northeast to the Western Bering Sea at 980 mb, and to the Western
Gulf of Anadyr by Monday evening at 957 dam, then north along the
Dateline to Wrangel Island Wednesday morning at 971 mb. Weak high
pressure persists over the Southeast Panhandle, and Southcentral
Alaska. The low in the Bering Sea will send a weather front to the
southwest mainland coast Monday morning. Strong southwest flow
will develop across the Central and Eastern Bering Sea Monday
morning and persist through Wednesday.

Arctic Coast and Brooks Range...Light snow expected over most of
the area, but not expecting much accumulation. High pressure
building in north of the Brooks Range as the low pulls out of the
area, with cooler air settling into the area. Temperatures slowly
falling into the single digits below Monday for most of the area.
The temperatures in the plains will be falling to the teens below
by Tuesday morning. As a strong low moves towards Wrangel Island
on Tuesday, the western north slope could see near Blizzard
conditions from Wainwright west. A winter storm watch has been
issued for zone 201 for Tuesday into Wednesday morning. Strong
winds expected at Cape Lisburne with gusts to 80 mph.

West Coast and Western Interior...Coastal Flood Warnings are in
effect for the coast-lines and Winter Storm Warnings for the
remainder of the West Coast. A high surf advisory has also
been issued for Saint Lawrence Island and the Bering Strait.
Strong weather front will move to the coast Monday during the day
spreading heavy snow and very strong winds to the Lower Yukon
Delta and St Lawrence Island. Heavy snow will push inland along
with the strong winds that will work up the West Coast. Strongest
winds expected on the Capes and along the Chukchi Sea Coast. Winds
to 75 mph expected around Point Hope and Cape Romanzof, and along
the Bering Strait. Winds will be gusting to 45 mph or high at
most locations Tuesday into Wednesday.

For the coastal areas around Norton Sound, expecting 6 to 8 feet
above the normal high tide line. Flooding of low-lying coastal
areas and coastal erosion are expected. Flooding may cause
property damage or loss in the intertidal zone. In open water,
rough seas will make travel dangerous. In Golovin, the old runway
will be inundated along with low lying areas near it. For the Nome
area, rising waters will impact the Belmont Point area, and
travel along the Beach roads will be impacted. A coastal Flood
warning has also been issued for zone 207, for 3 to 5 feet above
the normal high tide line around Kivalina. Kotzebue will need to
be watched for the potential for water to be pushed into the
Lagoon area on Tuesday.

Central and Eastern Interior...Some heavy snow around American
Summit today with 4 to 7 inches of snow possible through 6AM
Monday. Winds generally light and variable. Winds do pick up in
the Alaska Range, and the Tanana Valley Jet will kick in Tuesday
as a strong low moves through the Bering Sea. Temperatures will
slowly fall and lows will be in the single digits for most
locations by Monday morning with highs in the teens. For Tuesday
morning, lows zero to 10 below.

Heavy snow will begin to spread across the Western Interior
Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday. Winter storm watches are in
effect for zones 218, 219 and 221 for the potential of 6 to 12
inches of snow.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...Coastal Flooding will be
receding and seas will be subsiding. None.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Coastal Flood Warning for AKZ207-AKZ211-AKZ212-AKZ214.

Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ224.

Winter Storm Warning for AKZ207-AKZ208-AKZ209-AKZ210-AKZ211-
AKZ212-AKZ213-AKZ214-AKZ215-AKZ216-AKZ217.

High Surf Advisory for AKZ213.

Winter Storm Watch for AKZ201-AKZ218-AKZ219-AKZ221.

Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230.

Gale Warning for PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ245.

Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ200-PKZ215.
&&

NOV 19