Storm Warning 62, NWS Anchorage, AK

327 
FZAK52 PAFC 171250
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-180145-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 970 mb low 240 nm southeast of Shemya will move to 75 nm east of
St. Paul at 986 mb Mon morning. The low will then move inland 
over Bristol Bay Mon afternoon. A front associated with a 998 mb 
Kamchatka low will move over the western Aleutians Mon afternoon 
then dissipate Tue morning. 


$$

PKZ150-180145-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 19 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ155-180145-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ160-180145-
Bristol Bay-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Widespread snow showers.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Widespread snow showers.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ165-180145-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft building to 21 ft after
midnight. From Port Moller E, seas 13 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ170-180145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft building to 29 ft after
midnight.
.MON...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 28 ft subsiding to 21 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ171-180145-
Unalaska Bay-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-180145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt becoming S 45 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 13 ft building to 19 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 30 ft.
.MON...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 28 ft subsiding to 22 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ173-180145-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 10 ft building to 21 ft in the afternoon. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.MON...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 23 ft subsiding to 16 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ174-180145-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 50 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 25 ft in the
afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 55 kt becoming W 45 kt after midnight. 
Seas 34 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 25 ft subsiding to 19 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ175-180145-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft. Widespread rain showers and
snow.
.TONIGHT...W wind 50 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ176-180145-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 50 kt becoming SW 60 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 23 ft building to 35 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...W wind 55 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 36 ft subsiding to 28 ft after midnight.
.MON...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 21 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft.

$$

PKZ177-180145-
Adak to Kiska-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 50 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Bering side,
seas 15 ft. Pacific side, seas 24 ft building to 31 ft in the
afternoon. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Bering side, seas 16 ft. Pacific side, seas 29 ft subsiding to 21 ft
after midnight.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 29 ft.

$$

PKZ178-180145-
Kiska to Attu-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt becoming NW 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 15 ft. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.

$$

PKZ179-180145-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 9 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 17 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ180-180145-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft after
midnight. Widespread snow and rain showers.
.MON...S wind 35 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...E wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ181-180145-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming NE 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt becoming N 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas in ice free waters 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.

$$

PKZ185-180145-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... SW 25 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...E of Saint Matthew Island, NE wind 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt
in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, E wind 15 kt becoming 
SW in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

599 
FZAK52 PAFC 180044
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-181345-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 974 mb low 110 nm north of Adak moves over Dillingham at 997 mb 
Mon afternoon then inland. Its front slides across Southwest Alaska 
through Tue afternoon. A 996 mb low 130 nm northwest of Attu Mon 
afternoon moves to North Kamchatka at 993 mb Tue afternoon. Its front
pushes into the Central Aleutians Tue afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-181345-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 40 kt after midnight. Seas
19 ft. Snow and rain.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ155-181345-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
From the Shumagin Islands E, W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after
midnight. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ160-181345-
Bristol Bay-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt in the evening increasing to 30 kt. Seas 8 
ft. Widespread snow showers.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 
16 ft subsiding to 11 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ165-181345-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 45 kt except S 35 kt from Port Moller E. Seas
11 ft building to 17 ft after midnight. Snow and rain showers.
.MON...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 
19 ft subsiding to 12 ft after midnight.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ170-181345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt in the evening increasing to 50 kt. Seas 20 
ft building to 28 ft after midnight.
.MON...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
27 ft subsiding to 21 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas 14 
ft.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ171-181345-
Unalaska Bay-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt in the evening becoming SW 45 kt. Seas 7 
ft. Rain showers.
.MON...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 
ft. Snow.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ172-181345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt in the evening increasing to 50 kt. Seas 29
ft.
.MON...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
27 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming SE after midnight. Seas 17 ft.
Snow.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ173-181345-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.MON...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
23 ft subsiding to 16 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Snow.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ174-181345-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 34 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
25 ft subsiding to 19 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming E 30 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft. Snow.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ175-181345-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 21
ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15
ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt in the evening increasing to 25 kt. Seas 
8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ176-181345-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 55 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
36 ft subsiding to 29 ft after midnight.
.MON...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 21
ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Snow.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft.

$$

PKZ177-181345-
Adak to Kiska-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Bering side, seas 16 ft. Pacific side, seas 29 ft subsiding to 21 ft
after midnight.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 29 ft.

$$

PKZ178-181345-
Kiska to Attu-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16
ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight. Seas
17 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft.

$$

PKZ179-181345-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 11 ft
building to 16 ft after midnight. Widespread snow and rain
showers.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ180-181345-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt in the evening increasing to 30 kt. Seas 10
ft. Widespread snow and rain showers.
.MON...E wind 25 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. S of Cape
Newenham, W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ181-181345-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt in the evening increasing to 25 kt. Seas in
ice free waters 5 ft. Freezing spray after midnight.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft. Freezing
spray in the morning.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft.

$$

PKZ185-181345-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt in the evening increasing to 25 kt. Seas 9 
ft.
.MON...E of Saint Matthew Island, N wind 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt
in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, E wind 15 kt becoming 
SW in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, SW wind 15 kt. W of Saint
Matthew Island, SW wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft.

$$

097 
FZAK52 PAFC 181234
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-190115-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 986 mb low 80 nm east of St. Paul will move inland over Bristol
Bay Mon afternoon. The associated front will persist over the
eastern Aleutians through Tue morning. A 997 mb north Pacific low
will move to 140 nm southeast of Adak Tue morning then it will 
move to 40 nm northwest of St. Paul at 984 mb Wed morning.

$$

PKZ150-190115-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ155-190115-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. From
the Shumagin Islands E, W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after
midnight. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, variable wind
10 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. Snow showers
and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ160-190115-
Bristol Bay-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ165-190115-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
17 ft subsiding to 12 ft after midnight.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 35 kt in the afternoon. From Port
Moller E, E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft. Snow showers.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ170-190115-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
25 ft subsiding to 19 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SE after midnight. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow showers and rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ171-190115-
Unalaska Bay-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming E after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Snow
showers.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ172-190115-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
28 ft subsiding to 21 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming SE after midnight. Seas 16 ft.
Snow showers.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ173-190115-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
21 ft subsiding to 14 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft. Snow showers.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow showers.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ174-190115-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
25 ft subsiding to 18 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming E 30 kt after midnight. Seas 14
ft. Snow showers.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 17 ft.
Snow.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ175-190115-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft.
Snow showers.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ176-190115-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
20 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft. Snow showers.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14
ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft.

$$

PKZ177-190115-
Adak to Kiska-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 29 ft.

$$

PKZ178-190115-
Kiska to Attu-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft.

$$

PKZ179-190115-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Snow showers.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ180-190115-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6
ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ181-190115-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Freezing
spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 13 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 12 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft.

$$

PKZ185-190115-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E of Saint Matthew Island, N wind 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt
in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, E wind 15 kt becoming
SW in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, SW wind 15 kt. W of Saint
Matthew Island, SW wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...E of Saint Matthew Island, variable wind 10 kt becoming SE
20 kt in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 30 kt.
Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
534 AM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

The radar at King Salmon has been active all night and the radar
at Kenai is just now starting to ping into a band of precipitation
just south of Homer as of 4:02 AM or 1302Z. One of the satellite
instruments has detected a deep fetch of moisture from Lake
Iliamna to Kodiak and the Barren Islands, then extending it
southwestward south of 50N. The longwave pattern features a deep
and broad trough over NE Russia, the NW Pacific and the Bering
with a high amplitude ridge over the Gulf of Alaska and into the
North Slope. There is a deep surface low over NE Russia with an
occluded front spanning across the northern Bering and reaching as
far as SW Alaska. There is a secondary surface trough extending
from the aforementioned low which almost resembles a secondary
push of cold air advection for the Bering. There is a wave along
the frontal boundary south the the Aleutians and another low
spinning up east of Hokkaido. The latest ASCAT/advanced
scatterometer pass has detected gale force winds over the Bering
in association with the low over NE Russia.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

The ASCAT pass from 00:21z was used to evaluate the initialization
process with the ECMWF and the GFS, and showed both to be a skosh
off with the low position near Kamchatka. The global models look
decent at the surface depicting the synoptic features through 48
hrs. However, at 500 mb there is a myriad of embedded vorticity
lobes that are slightly displaced amongst the NAM/GFS/ECMWF and
Canadian even early on. Beyond 48 hrs there are some timing
differences at the surface in the Eastern Bering. Additionally,
the models are out of sync with the new low east of Kamchatka
early Monday. The era of robust confidence that we have enjoyed
the past several weeks is waning.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...There is a frontal boundary moving up Cook Inlet. The cloud
shield keeps advancing towards PANC. The TAF package will commence
as VFR, but expect the ceilings to lower today. In addition to
reduced cigs, snow is anticipated today and that will impact the
visibility, potentially lowering the visibility to MVFR or even
IFR conditions. The latest data from AMSU/advanced microwave
sounding unit (which is a satellite instrument) has the plume of
moisture associated with this front greater than 200 percent of
normal. Very confident that precipitation move over the runways at
PANC by 20z. As the TAF period unfolds, the model soundings imply
that wind shear will become an issue after 6z.

&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

The clear weather of the past few days is giving way to a complex
storm system that will send multiple fronts across the region
through Monday. The biggest forecast challenges are with whether
there will be significant downsloping in the lee of the Chugach
and Kenai Mountains, and precipitation type on Sunday and Monday
in the Cook Inlet region and north Gulf coast.

At this time it looks like there should be snow moving into the
area today with the heaviest sea level snow occurring in the
western Kenai Peninsula. The heaviest area of snow will be over
Cook Inlet, but areas from Sterling west will likely see 5 to 9
inches of snow from late this morning through the evening with
the heaviest amounts farther west near Kenai.

Snow and blowing snow are still expected in Portage Valley and
eastern Turnagain Arm as well as Turnagain Pass. There is a winter
weather advisory due to this.

Snow over Anchorage and the Matanuska Valley will be largely
dependent upon the downslope. While surface winds will be east to
southeast for much of this event, the upper levels from 850 mb on
up are all south-to-southwest with abundant moisture. This has the
ability to overwhelm the downslope and could bring more snowfall
than expected to Anchorage, but amounts in the forecast are the
most likely scenario at this point.

Perhaps the biggest forecast headache is actually with the winds
around Cook Inlet, including Anchorage for Sunday. Models and MOS
data all show southeasterly winds in Anchorage, which will bring
temperatures into the mid 30s or even upper 30s. The atmosphere
is still cold enough to support snow, and at this point if
southeasterly winds do occur, they will likely downslope out the
precipitation. However, there is an indication on the 06Z GFS that
the front moving up Cook Inlet Sunday will have a triple-point
low develop near the southern tip of the Kenai Peninsula (like
what happened about a week ago) which will keep winds in a
northerly direction in Cook Inlet. This would also keep
temperatures lower. All of this will need to be watched on the
next model run to see if adjustments are needed in the forecast.

The Susitna Valley is also in store for a prolonged snowfall
today through Monday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

The frontal system currently stretching across and bringing snow
to the lower Kuskokwim Valley and eastern Greater Bristol Bay
area will continue east to stall and then shear apart over the
Alaska Range this morning. The next frontal system will lift north
across the Alaska Peninsula midday today and then move into the
Bristol Bay area this afternoon. Snow will continue to expand
north into the lower Kuskokwim Valley this evening and over the
Kuskokwim Delta tonight.

Along the western periphery of the front where temperatures are
colder, blowing snow across the Kuskokwim Delta (and possibly the
western capes) with both northeasterly winds preceding the
surface low and southwesterly winds behind it, is a potential
concern. Further to the east, warmer temperatures will make
higher snow fall amounts and visibility reductions due to higher
snow fall rates the bigger impact although winds will be strong
and gusty as well. Precipitation will taper off from west to east
Sunday as the low and frontal system lift clear of the area.

The next front, which is tracking in from the Bering, looks to be
a rather strong one and will reach Southwest Alaska Sunday night.
The parent low will make landfall across the Kuskokwim Delta on
Monday with this farther south track (as compared to previous
model runs) pushing the strongest of the west to southwesterly
winds behind the low and accompanying larger seas into the Bristol
Bay area Monday and Monday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...

A complex frontal system is currently located south of the
eastern Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula with a secondary low center
further to the west, south of the central Aleutians. This multi-
center low pressure system will pivot today with the eastern low
tracking northeast across the western end of the Alaska Peninsula
this afternoon and then tracking onshore across Cape Newenham
tonight. The western low will continue to the east south of the
Alaska Peninsula.

A large, rapidly deepening North Pacific low will cross the
Aleutian chain near the 180 longitude line Sunday morning and
then continue east-north east across the Bering to reach the
Pribilof Islands Sunday night and the Kuskokwim Delta Coast
Monday. South of this low, a broad area of storm force winds will
track from west to east up the Aleutian chain Sunday through
Sunday night, with an area of strong Gales (possibly still
containing storm force gusts) pushing into the southeastern
Bering and Bristol Bay late Sunday night and Monday.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5/Monday through Wednesday)...

A relatively strong ~975mb low will be tracking west to east
across the south central Bering Sunday afternoon through Monday
morning bringing widespread gales to the Bering as well as a
swath of storm force winds tracking along the Aleutians. This low
will move onshore Monday afternoon and weaken as it moves further
inland Monday night with winds and seas diminishing in response
from west to east Monday night and Tuesday. Another low will
approach the central Aleutians from the south Tuesday, although
there remains uncertainty with the exact track and timing, well as
intensity. Gales and higher seas would likely occur on the east
side of the low where winds will be southerly, which would include
areas generally east of Dutch Harbor. Stronger high pressure
building in behind the low should force it out of the region
quickly though again the timing remains uncertain.

Marginal southwesterly gales and higher seas are possible over
the western Gulf near the Barren Islands Monday morning
associated with the same aforementioned low. Gales have the
potential to redevelop over the central Gulf Tuesday as the
pressure gradient tightens between a trough over the mainland and
ridge to the south. Model agreement begins to degrade on
Wednesday. One model solution gives widespread gales over the
western Gulf, but others keep them much further west over the
Bering. Confidence will remain low until the low's track is better
agreed upon.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

Partly to mostly cloudy skies with light scattered showers are
likely for the Aleutians Monday as a broad low departs to the
north. Strong winds will develop on the south side of the low
over the southern Bering with cold air wrapping around from the
northwest. Winds will diminish late Monday night through Tuesday
morning as the low weakens over the mainland. A low and associated
warm front will approach the central Aleutians from the south on
Tuesday bringing moderate rain and increased winds to areas
generally east of Dutch Harbor, though confidence is low on its
exact track. A strong high building to the south will quickly
push the low out of the region through the afternoon and bring
fair skies for much of the central and eastern Aleutians Thursday
into Friday. Models are indicating a stronger low developing over
the western Bering Thursday with moderate precipitation possible
into Friday along the associated front.

A relatively active pattern appears likely for the mainland much
of next week. A warm front will lift northward Sunday night and
Monday. The associated low will move into western Alaska Monday
afternoon through Monday night and is expected to bring further
accumulating snow to that region. Another low will bring in strong
southwesterly flow to southern and western Alaska on Wednesday
and, as with Monday's system, accumulating rain/snow appears
likely though amounts will depend on the exact track which is
poorly agreed upon at this time. High pressure will begin to build
in from the south on Thursday and looks to somewhat dry
conditions out by Friday, however another low in the Bering may
bring precipitation to the western mainland.

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Weather Advisory 121 125 145 155 161.
MARINE...Gale Warning 119 125 130 131 139 170 171 178 185 412 413 414.
         Storm Warning 172 173 174 175 176 177.
         Heavy Freezing Spray Warning 140.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...PS
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JER
MARINE/LONG TERM...AP