Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2019

Storm Warning 61, NWS Anchorage, AK

February 16, 2019

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Feb 16, 2019, 3:35 AM AKST. It was in force for 48 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 16, 2019, 3:35 AM AKST (12:35 UTC)
Expired
Feb 18, 2019, 3:34 AM AKST
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

239 
FZAK52 PAFC 161235
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
335 AM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-170200-
335 AM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A Pacific low crosses the Alaska Peninsula tonight, reaching 59N 
162W Sunday morning at 998 mb, before moving onshore by early 
Sunday afternoon. At the same time, a 973 mb low at 270 nm south
of Shemya, sending a front into the western Aleutians. This low 
moves to 60 nm north of Saint Paul at 985 mb Monday morning, with 
a front moving into the eastern Bering and Alaska Peninsula.

$$

PKZ150-170200-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
335 AM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ155-170200-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
335 AM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 15 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.MON...W wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ160-170200-
Bristol Bay-
335 AM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ165-170200-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
335 AM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.MON...W wind 45 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ170-170200-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
335 AM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt becoming NE 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 11 ft. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 45 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 30 ft.
.MON...W wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ171-170200-
Unalaska Bay-
335 AM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Snow showers and 
widespread rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-170200-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
335 AM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow and rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft
building to 21 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 30 ft.
.MON...W wind 40 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ173-170200-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
335 AM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 10 ft. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...S wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft building to 23 ft in the afternoon. Widespread snow and 
rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 30 ft.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ174-170200-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
335 AM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow showers and rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...S wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft building to 28 ft in the
afternoon. Widespread snow showers and rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 37 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ175-170200-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
335 AM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 19 ft. Widespread rain and snow
showers.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ176-170200-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
335 AM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt becoming NW 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 13 ft. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming S 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 55 kt. Seas 26 ft building to 40 ft in the
afternoon. Rain showers and widespread snow showers.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 55 kt. Seas 40 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ177-170200-
Adak to Kiska-
335 AM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 45 kt after midnight. 
Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 50 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Bering side,
seas 16 ft. Pacific side, seas 26 ft building to 33 ft in the 
afternoon. Widespread snow and rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ178-170200-
Kiska to Attu-
335 AM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SE 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 15 ft. Snow showers.
.SUN...NE wind 40 kt except NW 25 kt from Shemya W. Seas 16 ft.
Snow showers.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ179-170200-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
335 AM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow showers.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 35 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 10 ft. Widespread snow showers.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON...W wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ180-170200-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
335 AM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ181-170200-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
335 AM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming NE after midnight. 
Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft.

$$

PKZ185-170200-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
335 AM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 30 kt. W of Saint
Matthew Island, SW wind 40 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 24 ft.
.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 25 kt becoming SW 15
kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, SW wind 25 kt. 
Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... SW 25 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$
4 follow-up statements
584 
FZAK52 PAFC 170054
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
354 PM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-171345-
354 PM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 998 mb low 135 nm southwest of Cold Bay moves to 70 nm south of 
Unalakleet at 995 mb by Sun afternoon. Its front wraps over Southwest
Alaska through Mon afternoon. A 973 mb low 250 nm south of Kiska Sun
morning drives to Southwest Alaska at 1000 mb by Mon afternoon. A 
997 mb low 260 nm west of Attu and its front approach the Western 
Aleutians for Mon afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-171345-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
354 PM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight.
Seas 14 ft building to 20 ft after midnight. Rain and snow.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ155-171345-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
354 PM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...W wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ160-171345-
Bristol Bay-
354 PM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt in the evening increasing to 30 kt. Seas 9
ft. Widespread snow showers.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ165-171345-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
354 PM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 26 ft after
midnight. From Port Moller E, seas 9 ft building to 15 ft after
midnight. Rain and snow.
.MON...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ170-171345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
354 PM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow and rain showers.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13
ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 30 ft.
.MON...W wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ171-171345-
Unalaska Bay-
354 PM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt in the evening increasing to 20 kt. Seas 7 
ft. Snow showers and rain showers.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft
building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Snow and rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-171345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
354 PM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft
building to 21 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 32 ft.
.MON...W wind 40 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ173-171345-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
354 PM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11
ft building to 23 ft in the afternoon. Snow and rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 30 ft.
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ174-171345-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
354 PM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt in the morning increasing to 50 kt. Seas 16 ft 
building to 28 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
38 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ175-171345-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
354 PM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 9 ft. Snow.
.SUN...SE wind 40 kt in the morning becoming S 50 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
Widespread rain showers and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 
21 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ176-171345-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
354 PM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming S 35 kt after midnight. Seas 13
ft. Snow.
.SUN...SW wind 55 kt. Seas 26 ft building to 40 ft in the
afternoon. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 55 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight.
Seas 39 ft subsiding to 30 ft after midnight.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ177-171345-
Adak to Kiska-
354 PM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 45 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft. Snow.
.SUN...SE wind 50 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Bering side,
seas 17 ft. Pacific side, seas 25 ft building to 33 ft in the 
afternoon. Widespread snow showers.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Bering side, seas 18 ft. Pacific side, seas 30 ft subsiding to 20
ft after midnight.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ178-171345-
Kiska to Attu-
354 PM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SE 40 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 40 kt except NW 25 kt from Shemya W. Seas 16 ft.
Snow showers.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ179-171345-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
354 PM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming N. Seas 11 ft. Snow
showers.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 35 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 10 ft. Widespread snow showers.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt becoming W 35 kt after midnight. Seas 19 
ft. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.MON...W wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ180-171345-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
354 PM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming N 20 kt after midnight. Seas 9
ft. Freezing spray N of Cape Newenham. Snow.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray in the morning N of 
Cape Newenham.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt in the evening increasing to 35 kt. Seas 
7 ft building to 13 ft after midnight. Freezing spray after midnight 
N of Cape Newenham. Widespread snow and rain showers.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ181-171345-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
354 PM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas in 
ice free waters 6 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt in the evening increasing to 30 kt. Seas 
in ice free waters 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.

$$

PKZ185-171345-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
354 PM AKST Sat Feb 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...S 25 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... SW 25 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray N of Saint
Matthew Island.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$
327 
FZAK52 PAFC 171250
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-180145-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 970 mb low 240 nm southeast of Shemya will move to 75 nm east of
St. Paul at 986 mb Mon morning. The low will then move inland 
over Bristol Bay Mon afternoon. A front associated with a 998 mb 
Kamchatka low will move over the western Aleutians Mon afternoon 
then dissipate Tue morning. 


$$

PKZ150-180145-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 19 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ155-180145-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ160-180145-
Bristol Bay-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Widespread snow showers.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Widespread snow showers.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ165-180145-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft building to 21 ft after
midnight. From Port Moller E, seas 13 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ170-180145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft building to 29 ft after
midnight.
.MON...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 28 ft subsiding to 21 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ171-180145-
Unalaska Bay-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-180145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt becoming S 45 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 13 ft building to 19 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 30 ft.
.MON...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 28 ft subsiding to 22 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ173-180145-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 10 ft building to 21 ft in the afternoon. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.MON...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 23 ft subsiding to 16 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ174-180145-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 50 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 25 ft in the
afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 55 kt becoming W 45 kt after midnight. 
Seas 34 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 25 ft subsiding to 19 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ175-180145-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft. Widespread rain showers and
snow.
.TONIGHT...W wind 50 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ176-180145-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 50 kt becoming SW 60 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 23 ft building to 35 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...W wind 55 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 36 ft subsiding to 28 ft after midnight.
.MON...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 21 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft.

$$

PKZ177-180145-
Adak to Kiska-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 50 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Bering side,
seas 15 ft. Pacific side, seas 24 ft building to 31 ft in the
afternoon. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Bering side, seas 16 ft. Pacific side, seas 29 ft subsiding to 21 ft
after midnight.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 29 ft.

$$

PKZ178-180145-
Kiska to Attu-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt becoming NW 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 15 ft. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.

$$

PKZ179-180145-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 9 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 17 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ180-180145-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft after
midnight. Widespread snow and rain showers.
.MON...S wind 35 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...E wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ181-180145-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming NE 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt becoming N 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas in ice free waters 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.

$$

PKZ185-180145-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
350 AM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... SW 25 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...E of Saint Matthew Island, NE wind 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt
in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, E wind 15 kt becoming 
SW in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$
599 
FZAK52 PAFC 180044
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-181345-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 974 mb low 110 nm north of Adak moves over Dillingham at 997 mb 
Mon afternoon then inland. Its front slides across Southwest Alaska 
through Tue afternoon. A 996 mb low 130 nm northwest of Attu Mon 
afternoon moves to North Kamchatka at 993 mb Tue afternoon. Its front
pushes into the Central Aleutians Tue afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-181345-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 40 kt after midnight. Seas
19 ft. Snow and rain.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ155-181345-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
From the Shumagin Islands E, W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after
midnight. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ160-181345-
Bristol Bay-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt in the evening increasing to 30 kt. Seas 8 
ft. Widespread snow showers.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 
16 ft subsiding to 11 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ165-181345-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 45 kt except S 35 kt from Port Moller E. Seas
11 ft building to 17 ft after midnight. Snow and rain showers.
.MON...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 
19 ft subsiding to 12 ft after midnight.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ170-181345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt in the evening increasing to 50 kt. Seas 20 
ft building to 28 ft after midnight.
.MON...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
27 ft subsiding to 21 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas 14 
ft.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ171-181345-
Unalaska Bay-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt in the evening becoming SW 45 kt. Seas 7 
ft. Rain showers.
.MON...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 
ft. Snow.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ172-181345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt in the evening increasing to 50 kt. Seas 29
ft.
.MON...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
27 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming SE after midnight. Seas 17 ft.
Snow.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ173-181345-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.MON...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
23 ft subsiding to 16 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Snow.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ174-181345-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 34 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
25 ft subsiding to 19 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming E 30 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft. Snow.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ175-181345-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 21
ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15
ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt in the evening increasing to 25 kt. Seas 
8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ176-181345-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 55 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
36 ft subsiding to 29 ft after midnight.
.MON...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 21
ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Snow.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft.

$$

PKZ177-181345-
Adak to Kiska-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Bering side, seas 16 ft. Pacific side, seas 29 ft subsiding to 21 ft
after midnight.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 29 ft.

$$

PKZ178-181345-
Kiska to Attu-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16
ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight. Seas
17 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft.

$$

PKZ179-181345-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 11 ft
building to 16 ft after midnight. Widespread snow and rain
showers.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ180-181345-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt in the evening increasing to 30 kt. Seas 10
ft. Widespread snow and rain showers.
.MON...E wind 25 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. S of Cape
Newenham, W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ181-181345-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt in the evening increasing to 25 kt. Seas in
ice free waters 5 ft. Freezing spray after midnight.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft. Freezing
spray in the morning.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft.

$$

PKZ185-181345-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
344 PM AKST Sun Feb 17 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt in the evening increasing to 25 kt. Seas 9 
ft.
.MON...E of Saint Matthew Island, N wind 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt
in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, E wind 15 kt becoming 
SW in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, SW wind 15 kt. W of Saint
Matthew Island, SW wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft.

$$
097 
FZAK52 PAFC 181234
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-190115-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 986 mb low 80 nm east of St. Paul will move inland over Bristol
Bay Mon afternoon. The associated front will persist over the
eastern Aleutians through Tue morning. A 997 mb north Pacific low
will move to 140 nm southeast of Adak Tue morning then it will 
move to 40 nm northwest of St. Paul at 984 mb Wed morning.

$$

PKZ150-190115-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ155-190115-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. From
the Shumagin Islands E, W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after
midnight. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, variable wind
10 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. Snow showers
and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ160-190115-
Bristol Bay-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ165-190115-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
17 ft subsiding to 12 ft after midnight.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 35 kt in the afternoon. From Port
Moller E, E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft. Snow showers.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ170-190115-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
25 ft subsiding to 19 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SE after midnight. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow showers and rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ171-190115-
Unalaska Bay-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming E after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Snow
showers.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ172-190115-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
28 ft subsiding to 21 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming SE after midnight. Seas 16 ft.
Snow showers.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ173-190115-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
21 ft subsiding to 14 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft. Snow showers.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow showers.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ174-190115-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
25 ft subsiding to 18 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming E 30 kt after midnight. Seas 14
ft. Snow showers.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 17 ft.
Snow.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ175-190115-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft.
Snow showers.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ176-190115-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
20 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft. Snow showers.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14
ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft.

$$

PKZ177-190115-
Adak to Kiska-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 29 ft.

$$

PKZ178-190115-
Kiska to Attu-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft.

$$

PKZ179-190115-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Snow showers.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ180-190115-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6
ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ181-190115-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Freezing
spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 13 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 12 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft.

$$

PKZ185-190115-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
334 AM AKST Mon Feb 18 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E of Saint Matthew Island, N wind 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt
in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, E wind 15 kt becoming
SW in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, SW wind 15 kt. W of Saint
Matthew Island, SW wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...E of Saint Matthew Island, variable wind 10 kt becoming SE
20 kt in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 30 kt.
Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Feb 15, 4:39 PM AKST, 10 hours 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 15, 4:39 PM AKST, 10 hours 56 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
439 PM AKST Fri Feb 15 2019

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A strong vertically stacked low positioned over the northern
Bering is the major weather maker today. The low is wrapped in
cold air and is advecting that cold air over the western and
central Bering. The meridional jet is experiencing the highest
wind speeds over the central Aleutians. These south-southwesterly
winds are reaching 160 kts at 30,000 ft. Southerly flow is
dominant over the southwest which is advecting slightly warmer
air into the eastern Bering. Ahead of the Bering low, a ridge is
building over the Gulf of Alaska and Southcentral.

At the surface, a front is pushing over the western mainland
bringing blowing snow conditions to the Kuskokwim Delta coastline.
Looking at visible satellite, the front can easily be identified
as a swath of clouds that spreads over the western mainland and
pushes into the northern Pacific. The front is trekking eastward
and is beginning to eat away at the weak surface ridge over the
Gulf. Dry, calm, and clear conditions prevail over Southcentral
which is helping to keep temperatures cooler. However, with the
approach of the incoming front, a more active pattern is
imminent. The next surface low pressure is advancing towards the
western Aleutians this evening from the North Pacific.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The models continue in general agreement on the synoptic pattern
and timing of systems. The area where they struggle are in the
surface waves embedded in the flow. This is particularity
noticeable in the QPF pattern as fronts pass through Southcentral
over the weekend. The NAM appears to have a better handle on
these fields and is used in part for the afternoon package. Out
west, Model differences overall are not as pronounced. Stay tuned.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds through tonight. MVFR or
potentially lower conditions are expected to develop Saturday
morning as snow moves into the area.

&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
A pattern change is on the way for Southcentral as a series of
frontal systems will move across the mainland from the south and
west and will usher in a return to more wintry conditions across
Southcentral through the weekend.

The first frontal system is lifting over Kodiak Island this
evening and will bring an initial burst of snow across the island
before quickly transitioning to rain as a southerly flow develops
and warmer air works its way in. This system then lifts over the
Kenai Peninsula overnight with areas of light snow overspreading
Southcentral from Cook Inlet to western Prince William Sound
through tomorrow as a southwesterly flow aloft overruns colder air
remaining entrenched at the surface. The southwesterly flow,
coupled with upper-level support in the form of the short wave to
the north, will help enhance snowfall along the Alaska Range north
into the Susitna Valley. The precipitation may briefly diminish
in intensity a bit over the Susitna Valley tomorrow afternoon as
the upper-level shortwave lifts away from the region; however
precipitation along the coast should continue as the first wave
stalls and becomes absorbed into a second frontal system stemming
from a low moving north near the AKPEN.

This second system will have a strong moist and southerly
component, ushering in another round of heavier snow across the
most of Southcentral late Saturday through Sunday before lifting
north. Warmer air advecting in from the Gulf will likely change
precipitation to rain for locations from Kachemak Bay to portions
of coastal eastern Kenai Peninsula and western Price William
Sound. Areas of enhanced snowfall are also expected along the
western Cook Inlet north through the Susitna Valley

For areas in the lee of the Chugach and Kenai Mountains,
precipitation will be limited as a southeasterly downsloping wind
develops ahead of each front. Winds in the favored gap areas will
also become quite gusty Saturday into Sunday as the pressure
gradient tightens.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2...Saturday and
Sunday)...
An active weather pattern will persist through the weekend for
Southwest Alaska. A front associated with a Bering low continues
to advance inland, bringing snow and gusty south to southeasterly
winds along the Southwest coast through this evening. By Sat
morning, another low moves up from the North Pacific, centered
near Cold Bay by Sat afternoon. Its associated front will lift
over Southwest Alaska, bringing another round of snow, with a mix
of snow and rain possible over the AKPEN. As southerly flow
advects warm air northward, precipitation will likely fall as rain
along the southern AKPEN. As the low tracks to the north through
Sat evening, cold air will wrap around the backside of the low
allowing any remaining precipitation to likely fall as snow. The
greatest snowfall amounts are expected north and west of King
Salmon, thus a Winter Weather Advisory was issued for that area
beginning Saturday afternoon. The one fly in the ointment is that
the latest run of the GFS model is showing snowfall over Bristol
Bay starting as early as tonight and continuing through Saturday.
This would lead to increased accumulations across interior Bristol
Bay. We will monitor the situation for possible updates.

By Sunday afternoon, a weak ridge brings a break in the weather
over Southwest before the next front associated with an
approaching low out west moves in for the beginning of the work
week.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
A storm force low has exited the Bering to the north. With ample
cold air wrapped around the backside of the low, west to southwest
gales will persist across the Bering through Sat morning.
Meanwhile, a developing North Pacific low will move in from the
south Sat afternoon, producing easterly winds over the eastern
Bering as the leading front lifts over the eastern Aleutians Sat
evening. Some northerly gale force winds are expected on the
backside of this low over the eastern Aleutians early Sun morning
as cold air begins to wrap in once again. Lastly, but most
importantly, yet another storm force low arrives over the western
Aleutians. The low will be centered near Shemya Sun morning. The
leading edge of the front will pack a large swath of southerly
gales with embedded storm force winds lasting through Sun
afternoon. This will produce periods of blowing snow for Atka and
Adak as the leading edge of precipitation moves in. As the low
lifts northward, ample cold air will once again wrap around the
low, enhancing winds on the backside with west to southwest gales
and pockets of storm force winds spreading across the Bering into
Sun evening. With the low currently expected to track east of
Shemya, this would lead to the far western Aleutians being
vulnerable to blizzard conditions. We will closely monitor the
situation for a possible Winter Storm Watch.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5/Monday through Wednesday)...
A relatively strong ~975mb low will be tracking west to east
across the central Bering Monday bringing widespread westerly
gales (and possible storm force winds) to the north side of the
Aleutians. This low will weaken as it moves onshore over the
western mainland Tuesday and winds and seas are both likely to
diminish through the day. Another low will approach the central
Aleutians from the south by early Wednesday morning. There remains
uncertainty with the exact track and well as intensity. Gales and
higher seas would likely occur on the east side of the low where
winds will be southerly, which would include areas generally east
of Dutch Harbor. Stronger high pressure building in behind the low
should force it out of the region quickly though again the timing
remains uncertain.

Marginal southwesterly gales and higher seas are possible over
the western Gulf near the Barren Islands Monday morning
associated with the same aforementioned low, but are expected to
diminish through the remainder of the day as the low weakens over
land. Gales have the potential to redevelop over the central Gulf
Tuesday as the pressure gradient tightens between a trough over
the mainland and ridge to the south. Model agreement begins to
degrade on Wednesday. One model solution gives widespread gales
over the western Gulf, but others keep them much further west over
the Bering. Confidence will remain low until the low's track is
better agreed upon.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
Partly to mostly cloudy skies with light scattered showers are
likely for the Aleutians Monday as a broad low departs to the
north. Strong winds will develop on the south side of the low over
the southern Bering with cold air wrapping around from the
northwest. With regards to the potential coastal surge threat, the
GFS and ECMWF indicate a more southerly flow earlier in the day,
gradually increasing in magnitude and veering to a more westerly
direction by the evening. NAM starts off more southeasterly in the
morning, but also gradually veers westerly by Monday afternoon.
Thus, we cannot rule out possible storm surge and rough surf over
the southwest coastline, especially Kuskokwim Bay where shorefast
ice is mostly absent. Winds will diminish Tuesday as the low
weakens over the mainland. A low and associated warm front will
approach the central Aleutians from the south on Tuesday evening
bringing moderate rain and increased winds to areas generally east
of Dutch Harbor, though confidence is low on its exact track. A
strong high building to the south will quickly push the low out of
the region through the afternoon and bring fair skies for much of
the central and eastern Aleutians Thursday into Friday. Models
are indicating a stronger low developing over the western Bering
Thursday with moderate precipitation possible into Friday along
the associated front.

A relatively active pattern appears likely for the mainland much
of next week. A warm front will lift northward Monday likely
bringing coastal rain and interior snow. The associated low will
move into western Alaska Tuesday and is expected to bring further
accumulating snow to that region. Another low will bring in strong
southwesterly flow to southern and western Alaska on Wednesday
and, as with Monday's system, accumulating rain/snow appears
likely though amounts will depend on the exact track which is
poorly agreed upon at this time. High pressure will begin to build
in from the south on Thursday and looks to somewhat dry
conditions out by Friday, however another low in the Bering may
bring precipitation to the western mainland.

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Weather Advisory 125,155(Blowing Snow) 161(Snow).
MARINE...Gale Warning 119 130 131 139 155 172 176>179 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...RA/RC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...TM
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KO
MARINE/LONG TERM...AP

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 15, 3:35 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC36 hr
Feb 15, 3:35 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr
Feb 15, 3:37 PM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFC50 hr
Feb 15, 3:47 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC60 hr
Feb 15, 3:55 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Feb 15, 3:55 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC72 hr
Feb 15, 3:59 PM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFC48 hr
Feb 16, 3:16 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC4 days
Feb 16, 3:35 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC60 hr
Feb 16, 3:35 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Feb 16, 4:01 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Feb 16, 4:01 AM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC11 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2019Every storm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.