Storm Warning 49, NWS Anchorage, AK

936 
FZAK52 PAFC 081215
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
315 AM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-090100-
315 AM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A decaying front lingers from Western Alaska across the Alaska
Peninsula through Sat morning. A 960 mb low 450 nm Southwest of
Attu moves to 285 nm Northwest of Attu at 951 mb then drives into
the Russian Far East at 990 mb for Sat morning. Its front sweeps 
the Aleutians and Bering by Sat morning.

$$

PKZ150-090100-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
315 AM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ155-090100-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
315 AM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. W of Cold Bay, N wind 25 kt diminishing to 
15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. W of Cold Bay, variable wind 10 kt 
becoming SE after midnight. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ160-090100-
Bristol Bay-
315 AM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ165-090100-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
315 AM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ170-090100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
315 AM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 9 
ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft building 
to 15 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft.

$$

PKZ171-090100-
Unalaska Bay-
315 AM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-090100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
315 AM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. W of
Dutch Harbor, W wind 10 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt, E of Dutch Harbor, variable wind 10 kt
becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ173-090100-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
315 AM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...S wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 25 ft.

$$

PKZ174-090100-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
315 AM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
13 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 27 ft.

$$

PKZ175-090100-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
315 AM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt in the morning increasing to 45 kt. Seas 14 
ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...S wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 30 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

PKZ176-090100-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
315 AM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt in the morning increasing to 40 kt. Seas 18 
ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...S wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 37 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 28 ft.

$$

PKZ177-090100-
Adak to Kiska-
315 AM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
25 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 44 ft.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 26 ft.

$$

PKZ178-090100-
Kiska to Attu-
315 AM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 55 kt becoming SW 65 kt in the afternoon. Seas 28
ft building to 41 ft in the afternoon. Snow with rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 
36 ft subsiding to 28 ft after midnight.
.SAT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 55 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.MON...SW wind 55 kt. Seas 38 ft.
.TUE...S wind 45 kt. Seas 33 ft.

$$

PKZ179-090100-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
315 AM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 34 ft.

$$

PKZ180-090100-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
315 AM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6
ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt in the evening increasing to 30 kt. Seas 7 
ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ181-090100-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
315 AM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
in ice free waters 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt in the evening increasing to 40 kt. Seas in
ice free waters 10 ft.
.SAT...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas in
ice free waters 10 ft. Snow.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 15 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 16 ft.

$$

PKZ185-090100-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
315 AM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 20 kt becoming SE 35 kt
in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 30 kt becoming
SE 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft building to 18 ft in the
afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...S 55 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 23 ft building to 32 ft after midnight.
Snow and rain.
.SAT...E of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 30 kt. W of Saint Matthew
Island, S wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
35 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 31 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 32 ft.

$$

826 
FZAK52 PAFC 090032
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
332 PM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-091330-
332 PM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A strong front moves over the western Aleutians and Bering 
associated with a 952 mb low 270 nm northwest of Shemya Fri 
afternoon. The front moves east over the central Bering by Sat 
afternoon and then over the Alaska Peninsula by Sun afternoon. A 
new front approaches the western Aleutians by Sun afternoon 
associated with a 962 mb low 410 nm southwest of Shemya. 

$$

PKZ150-091330-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
332 PM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ155-091330-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
332 PM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ160-091330-
Bristol Bay-
332 PM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Snow.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ165-091330-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
332 PM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 15 ft. 
Rain.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ170-091330-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
332 PM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 15 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ171-091330-
Unalaska Bay-
332 PM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-091330-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
332 PM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ173-091330-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
332 PM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ174-091330-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
332 PM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ175-091330-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
332 PM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 30 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ176-091330-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
332 PM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 35 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ177-091330-
Adak to Kiska-
332 PM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 24 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 60 kt. Seas 31 ft.
.MON...SW wind 55 kt. Seas 42 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft.

$$

PKZ178-091330-
Kiska to Attu-
332 PM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
37 ft subsiding to 28 ft after midnight. Freezing spray after
midnight W of Shemya.
.SAT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft. Freezing spray in the morning W of
Shemya.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt after midnight. Seas
23 ft. Freezing spray after midnight W of Shemya.
.SUN...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 55 kt. Seas 33 ft.
.MON...W wind 50 kt. Seas 39 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 45 kt. Seas 33 ft.

$$

PKZ179-091330-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
332 PM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 19 ft.
Rain with snow.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 34 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 34 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ180-091330-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
332 PM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt, except 20 kt S of Cape Newenham. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ181-091330-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
332 PM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt in the evening increasing to 40 kt. Seas in
ice free waters 9 ft. Freezing spray near the ice edge.
.SAT...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas in
ice free waters 9 ft. Snow and rain.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Freezing
spray after midnight. Snow.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.MON...S wind 45 kt. Seas in ice free waters 15 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 16 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.

$$

PKZ185-091330-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
332 PM AKST Fri Feb 8 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft building to 31 ft after midnight.
Rain.
.SAT...E of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 30 kt. W of Saint Matthew
Island, S wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
35 ft. Snow.
.SAT NIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, SW wind 20 kt increasing
to 30 kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, SW wind 35 kt. 
Seas 25 ft. Freezing spray after midnight.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...S wind 45 kt. Seas 31 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 32 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

607 
FZAK52 PAFC 091217
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
317 AM AKST Sat Feb 9 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-100100-
317 AM AKST Sat Feb 9 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A strong front sweeps across the Aleutians and Bering into 
Western Alaska for Mon morning. A 969 mb low 760 nm Southwest of 
Attu Sun morning moves to 190 nm North of Shemya at 959 mb by Mon 
morning. Its front pushes over the Aleutians through Mon morning.

$$

PKZ150-100100-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
317 AM AKST Sat Feb 9 2019

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. W of
Chirikof Island, S wind 25 kt becoming W 40 kt after midnight. Seas 
14 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ155-100100-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
317 AM AKST Sat Feb 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming W 40 kt after midnight. Seas 11
ft building to 17 ft after midnight.
.SUN...W wind 35 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, W wind 45 kt
becoming NW 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ160-100100-
Bristol Bay-
317 AM AKST Sat Feb 9 2019

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 7 ft. Rain 
showers.
.SUN...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 
ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ165-100100-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
317 AM AKST Sat Feb 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming W 40 kt after midnight. Seas 13
ft building to 18 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.SUN...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 19 
ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ170-100100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
317 AM AKST Sat Feb 9 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 14 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 18
ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ171-100100-
Unalaska Bay-
317 AM AKST Sat Feb 9 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt in the evening increasing to 30 kt. Seas 5 
ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft
subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ172-100100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
317 AM AKST Sat Feb 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13
ft. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ173-100100-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
317 AM AKST Sat Feb 9 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt becoming W 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ174-100100-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
317 AM AKST Sat Feb 9 2019

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 15
ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14
ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ175-100100-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
317 AM AKST Sat Feb 9 2019

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 16
ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15
ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 33 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...S wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ176-100100-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
317 AM AKST Sat Feb 9 2019

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
17 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16
ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.MON...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 34 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ177-100100-
Adak to Kiska-
317 AM AKST Sat Feb 9 2019

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17
ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 60 kt. Seas 41 ft.
.MON...SW wind 55 kt. Seas 45 ft.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...S wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

PKZ178-100100-
Kiska to Attu-
317 AM AKST Sat Feb 9 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt after midnight. Seas
24 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt becoming E 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17
ft. Widespread snow showers and rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 60 kt. Seas 46 ft.
.MON...W wind 55 kt. Seas 42 ft.
.TUE...S wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.WED...S wind 45 kt. Seas 33 ft.

$$

PKZ179-100100-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
317 AM AKST Sat Feb 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 18
ft. Rain with snow.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt in the evening increasing to 35 kt. Seas 18 
ft.
.SUN...W wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20
ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 34 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ180-100100-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
317 AM AKST Sat Feb 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt in the evening becoming NW. Seas 11 ft. 
Rain and snow.
.SUN...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...S wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ181-100100-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
317 AM AKST Sat Feb 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
in ice free waters 9 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Freezing
spray. Snow.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 50 kt. Seas in ice free waters 20 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 45 kt. Seas in ice free waters 16 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.

$$

PKZ185-100100-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
317 AM AKST Sat Feb 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 30 kt diminishing to
20 kt in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 40 kt.
Seas 34 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... SW 30 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 24 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 31 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 29 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
452 AM AKST Thu Feb 7 2019

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A ridge continues to amplify across the North Pacific and the
mainland with abundant moisture streaming up between this feature
and a low over the western Bering. A similar pattern is reflected
at the surface with gusty winds surrounding the Bering low. A
front draped across the eastern Bering to the west coastal
locations is bringing continuous rain along the Kuskokwim Delta.
A warm maritime air mass has pushed across the Southwest with
temperatures in the mid 30 to near 40 degrees, meanwhile
Southcentral remains at or below freezing except for the southern
tip of the Kenai.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are generally in good agreement through the end of the week
keeping the most active weather pattern over the Bering and
Southwest mainland. There are some differences on how quickly the
ridge breaks down this weekend; however, kept Southcentral and the
Gulf in a drier pattern through Saturday as models agree with the
ridge axis over the Gulf. All models are showing a quick break
down of the ridge pattern heading into Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Low stratus and fog are expected to improve later this
afternoon with VFR for tonight. There is still some uncertainty on
this improvement lasting through tonight as moisture advects
north, so kept a minimal low level deck and will re-evaluate this
on the next TAF package. Winds will generally be light through
early Friday afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
High pressure will remain over Southcentral through Friday night.
Considerable moisture is trapped underneath this ridge, with
plenty of low stratus and some patchy fog. With the upper level
ridge axis near the Canadian border, there are also some high
clouds over the area. Most areas will not see any precipitation
for the next couple of days. The main exception is the Susitna
Valley, where some weak systems "topping" the ridge bring some
chances of snow. There is also a chance for some precipitation
this morning over the western Kenai Peninsula, as a weak system to
the west of the area moves north.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3; Thursday
through Saturday Night)...

An active weather pattern remains over southwest Alaska as the
region sits at the transition between the long wave trough axis
over the Bering and the ridge axis over the Gulf. This is
producing a long southwesterly fetch from the sub-tropical Pacific
north across the AKPEN and YK-Delta and bringing with it plenty of
moisture (PWAT of 0.59" at PABE at the 12z sounding) and warmer
air (current temps in the mid 30s to mid 40s for all but far
interior sections). A primarily rain event will continue today for
locations along the coast and across the Lower Kuskokwim Delta as
a surface low over the eastern Bering pushes a warm front north
of the region. Southerly winds will also remain gusty as a strong
low-level jet (62kts at 925mb over Bethel at 12z) continues to
race over the region. A trailing cold front then moves in tonight
with enough cold air behind it to change the rain back to snow,
especially for areas north of Dillingham. Only minor accumulations
are expected with this system; however, a brief period of
moderate to heavy snow cannot be ruled out for places like Bethel
as the front pushes through given the abundance of moisture and
strong upper-level dynamics.

Conditions then slowly improve for all but the AKPEN and Bristol
Bay regions on Friday as the front continues east and stalls
along the Alaska and Aleutians Ranges. A ridge settling in over
the YK Delta will bring clear and drier conditions while areas
south and east remain warmer and wet (with snow for the far
interior and higher elevations).

The next frontal system then moves toward the region for Saturday
bringing another surge of warm, moist air on strong southerly
winds. Much like the current system, a few sheltered valley
locations where colder air is trapped at the surface may see a
brief period of snow at the onset of precipitation. However, as
warmer air quickly moves in, this will become another primarily
rain event with temperatures again climbing into the mid 30s to
mid 40s. As the front moves across the region Saturday night,
colder air behind it will again change the rain back to snow.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3;
Thursday through Saturday Night)...

A trough digging through the Bering continues to bring warmer air,
rain, and gusty southerly winds to the eastern Aleutians. The
surface low associated with the upper-level trough will move north
today with its trailing cold front sliding east over the AKPEN,
ending the precipitation and gusty winds for the eastern half of
the chain. A compact gale-force low will skirt the western and
central Aleutians today, but weaken as it slides south of the
eastern Aleutians. Attention then shifts west to a rapidly
deepening low approaching the ALeutians west of Shemya tonight.
This system will bring a surge of warm air across the Aleutians
along with widespread storm-force winds and even hurricane-force
winds for the western-most zones Friday. This system lifts quickly
into the northern Bering as a second area of storm-force
southerly winds move across the central Bering along its occluded
front.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5)...

Beginning Friday, there is generally good confidence that a ~970
mb low will track just to the west of Attu bringing a wide swath
of southwesterly gale force winds to the Bering/Aleutians west of
the Pribilofs through Friday night. There is also the chance for
some areas of storm force winds to develop over the western
Aleutians/Bering by Friday evening, though these are not expected
to be long lived. Winds and waves are expected to subside some as
the low pushes north by Saturday morning, with generally high
confidence that winds further diminish Saturday night into Sunday
as ridging temporarily builds in over the western Bering.
Confidence is increasing regarding a strong ~960 mb low
approaching the western Aleutians from the southwest by Sunday
afternoon. The initial front associated with this low is likely to
produce gale force winds from the southeast across most of the
Bering. There is also increasing probability that a swath of storm
force winds will push through the western Bering/Aleutians by
Sunday night.

Over the Gulf of Alaska, high pressure will generally lead to
tranquil conditions through Saturday. By Sunday, a low is expected
to approach the western Gulf, though there is still a fair amount
of disagreement regarding this system. Generally expect winds and
waves to increase over the western Gulf through the day on Sunday.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

Beginning Friday, an upper level ridge will dominate the long wave
pattern over most of the Gulf of Alaska and the eastern mainland.
An upper trough will be located over the western Bering leading to
an active storm track across the western half of the area. Strong
southerly flow in between the ridge and trough will pump warm and
moist air north into the southern mainland, with precipitation,
mostly as rain, expected over the southwest mainland Friday and
Saturday. The forecast challenge will be determining how far east
the ridge axis pushes and weakens over the weekend. The GFS keeps
the ridge a bit further east and flattens it, allowing the storm
track from the Bering to push further east into Southcentral,
while the EC amplifies the ridge, leading to more of a blocking
pattern. Regardless, both solutions show a system pushing a front
into the western Gulf by Sunday, bringing increasing chances of
precipitation to Southcentral, especially along the coast.

By Sunday, a strong cold front looks to push east across the
Bering and mainland nudging the upper ridge to the east. This
will bring precipitation across most the southern mainland with
colder air pushing in behind the front through Monday morning. An
even stronger low will push east across the Bering on Monday
bringing a wide swath of precipitation across the mainland through
Tuesday with a surge of warmer air ahead of the system, thus
precipitation types will be challenging.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Gales 155 160 165 175 176 180 185.
         Storms 177 411 412 413.
         Hurricane Force 178.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KH
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TM
MARINE/LONG TERM...KVP