Storm Warning 29, NWS Anchorage, AK

671 
FZAK52 PAFC 271157
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
257 AM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-280045-
257 AM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 987 mb low 60 nm north of St Paul Sun morning will move near 
Norton Sound at 998 mb Sun afternoon. A strong front approaches 
the western Aleutians by Sun afternoon. The associated 956 mb low 
380 nm southwest of Shemya Mon morning moves to 140 nm south of
Shemya at 966 mb by Tue morning.

$$

PKZ150-280045-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
257 AM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ155-280045-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
257 AM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
18 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ160-280045-
Bristol Bay-
257 AM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas in
ice free waters 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.

$$

PKZ165-280045-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
257 AM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ170-280045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
257 AM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ171-280045-
Unalaska Bay-
257 AM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-280045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
257 AM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
21 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ173-280045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
257 AM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ174-280045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
257 AM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
20 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ175-280045-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
257 AM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft.
.MON...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain with snow.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ176-280045-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
257 AM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft.
.MON...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ177-280045-
Adak to Kiska-
257 AM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt becoming E 50 kt after midnight. Bering
side, seas 10 ft building to 16 ft after midnight. Pacific side,
seas 12 ft building to 23 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 55 kt. Seas 28 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ178-280045-
Kiska to Attu-
257 AM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt increasing to 55 kt after midnight. Bering
side, seas 13 ft building to 19 ft after midnight. Pacific side,
seas 17 ft building to 28 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...E wind 55 kt. Seas 31 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ179-280045-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
257 AM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ180-280045-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
257 AM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
in ice free waters 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming NW 10 kt after midnight. Seas in
ice free waters 7 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas in
ice free waters 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-280045-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
257 AM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt.

$$

PKZ185-280045-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
257 AM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft. Freezing
spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas in ice
free waters 7 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...E 30 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 13 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 18 ft.

$$

821 
FZAK52 PAFC 280026
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
326 PM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-281300-
326 PM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
An Eastern Bering front slides into Northwest Alaska for Mon
afternoon. A 954 mb low 510 nm Southwest of Attu moves to 90 nm
Southwest of Kiska at 972 mb by Tue afternoon. Its front swings 
across the Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula through Tue afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-281300-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
326 PM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt in the evening becoming N 10 kt 
toward morning. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ155-281300-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
326 PM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt becoming S late afternoon. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft after midnight.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ160-281300-
Bristol Bay-
326 PM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.

$$

PKZ165-281300-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
326 PM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt in the evening becoming N 10 kt. 
Seas 7 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt except variable 10 kt from 
Port Moller E. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ170-281300-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
326 PM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt becoming variable late evening. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ171-281300-
Unalaska Bay-
326 PM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-281300-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
326 PM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt becoming variable late evening. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ173-281300-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
326 PM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ174-281300-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
326 PM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ175-281300-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
326 PM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 45 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ176-281300-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
326 PM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. 
Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SE wind 55 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 24 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ177-281300-
Adak to Kiska-
326 PM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt becoming E 60 kt after midnight. Bering
side, seas 11 ft building to 17 ft after midnight. Pacific side,
seas 14 ft building to 25 ft after midnight.
.MON...E wind 60 kt. Seas 30 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft Bering side... 31 ft
Pacific side. Rain and snow.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ178-281300-
Kiska to Attu-
326 PM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt increasing to 60 kt after midnight. Bering
side, seas 13 ft building to 20 ft after midnight. Pacific side, 
seas 18 ft building to 32 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...E wind 60 kt. Seas 32 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TUE...E wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ179-281300-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
326 PM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ180-281300-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
326 PM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming NW 15 after midnight. 
Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. 
Freezing spray after midnight along the ice edge.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 foot.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-281300-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
326 PM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming N after midnight.
.MON...N wind 10 kt.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 25 kt.

$$

PKZ185-281300-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
326 PM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...E 30 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...E 30 kt W of 
Saint Matthew Island. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 14 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 18 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 18 ft.

$$

532 
FZAK52 PAFC 281254
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
354 AM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-290145-
354 AM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A front moves over the western Aleutians Mon morning. The
associated low moves to 145 nm south of Shemya at 964 mb by Tue 
morning and then moves near Shemya at 992 mb by Wed morning.

$$

PKZ150-290145-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
354 AM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ155-290145-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
354 AM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. From the
Shumagin Islands E, variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ160-290145-
Bristol Bay-
354 AM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft in the morning becoming 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ165-290145-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
354 AM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt except variable 10 kt from Port Moller E.
Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt except E 15 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ170-290145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
354 AM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt west of Dutch Harbor. Winds SE 20 kt
elsewhere. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ171-290145-
Unalaska Bay-
354 AM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-290145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
354 AM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt west of Dutch Harbor. Wind SE 25 kt
elsewhere. Seas 16 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ173-290145-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
354 AM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ174-290145-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
354 AM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 23 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ175-290145-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
354 AM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. 
Sea 20 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ176-290145-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
354 AM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 55 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 24 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ177-290145-
Adak to Kiska-
354 AM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 60 kt. Seas 30 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft Bering side...31 ft Pacific 
side. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft Bering side... 29 ft Pacific
side. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ178-290145-
Kiska to Attu-
354 AM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 60 kt. Seas 32 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TUE...E wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...S wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ179-290145-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
354 AM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ180-290145-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
354 AM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. 
Heavy freezing spray near ice edge.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 1 foot.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-290145-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
354 AM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 25 kt.

$$

PKZ185-290145-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
354 AM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...E 30 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...E 30 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 14 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 14 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 18 ft.

$$

928 
FZAK52 PAFC 290044
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
344 PM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-291345-
344 PM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 957 mb low 350 nm South of Shemya moves to 129 nm northwest of
Kiska at 992 mb Wed morning. A 978 mb low 575 nm south of Attu Wed 
morning moves to 285 nm southwest of Attu at 967 mb with its front 
approaching the Western Aleutians by Wed afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-291345-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
344 PM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ155-291345-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
344 PM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, NW wind 15
kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt except E 20 kt from the Shumagin Islands E.
Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Snow.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ160-291345-
Bristol Bay-
344 PM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ165-291345-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
344 PM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt except variable 10 kt from Port Moller E.
Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt except variable 10 kt from Port Moller E. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ170-291345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
344 PM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ171-291345-
Unalaska Bay-
344 PM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-291345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
344 PM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ173-291345-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
344 PM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14
ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...S wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ174-291345-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
344 PM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...S wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ175-291345-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
344 PM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...S wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ176-291345-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
344 PM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
22 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 25 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ177-291345-
Adak to Kiska-
344 PM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Bering side, seas 21 ft. Pacific side,
seas 23 ft building to 29 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft Bering side... 27 ft Pacific
side. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft Bering side... 23 ft
Pacific side.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.THU...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ178-291345-
Kiska to Attu-
344 PM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ179-291345-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
344 PM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ180-291345-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
344 PM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. Freezing
spray.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming SE after midnight. Seas in ice
free waters 3 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.

$$

PKZ181-291345-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
344 PM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt.
.WED...E wind 20 kt.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 25 kt.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt.

$$

PKZ185-291345-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
344 PM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...E 30 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft. Heavy freezing 
spray.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 13 ft. Heavy freezing 
spray.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 14 ft.
Heavy freezing spray.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 18 ft.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 18 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 14 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
509 AM AKST Sat Jan 26 2019

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

The upper levels show a highly amplified and progressive pattern
as a broad long wave trough is seen over the western Bering while
a large ridge is seen over the US West coast extending north
towards the ALCAN border. A very strong upper level jet is driving
north from nearly 30N and riding over the top of the ridge over
the Yukon. Satellite imagery shows a long plume of moisture
associated with the jet pushing north towards the Alaskan
Panhandle with connections nearly as far south as the Hawaiian
Islands. Another strong southerly jet over the eastern Bering is
helping to support the development of a strong North Pacific low
currently moving north just south of Adak. Scatterometer data
shows a large swath of southerly gale force winds underneath the
jet pushing across the eastern Aleutians and western AKPEN. A
shortwave ridge has formed in between the two strong jets and is
currently pushing east over the southern mainland, bringing a
short period of relatively quiet weather to the area.
Southwesterly flow at the surface over Southcentral is still
leading to showers over the North Gulf coast as well as up the
Cook Inlet into the Matanuska Valley and Talkeetna Mountains, as
evidenced on radar.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models are in good agreement this morning with the overall
synoptic features, including ridging moving over Southcentral and
a strong North Pacific low and associated frontal system moving
north across the eastern Bering and southwest mainland. Models are
in surprisingly good agreement regarding the strength and
location of a storm force Pacific low pushing across the western
Aleutians Sunday night, thus forecaster confidence is above
average.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...High pressure moving over the terminal today will lead to
predominately VFR conditions with diminishing southerly winds over
the terminal. There could be a brief period of MVFR conditions
with showers later this morning but confidence is on the lower
end, thus just added vicinity showers and scattered MVFR cloud
deck.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The southerly winds over most of Southcentral Alaska have
diminished as the strong low from yesterday is now dissipating in
the Chukchi Sea. Weak ridging is over the region today but the
overall flow is still warm and southerly. Some weak isentropic
lift over Cook Inlet is keeping some clouds over the Inlet with a
few isolated rain or snow showers as well.

A short wave will ride over the ridge this afternoon bringing a
chance for some snow in the Susitna Valley.

There will be some clearing overnight over the area and this may
set the stage for the development of some low clouds and fog at
lower elevations inland and along Cook Inlet. Model guidance is
not indicating the development of fog, but the abundant moisture
from yesterday's rain and the warm temperatures aloft make it a
set up that often produces fog and/or stratus.

A front is approaching Kodiak from the west, but the high pressure
in the Gulf will likely keep the precipitation from the front to
the west of the island. On Sunday, a low will move into the Gulf
from the south and that will become the source of rain for Kodiak
Island and rain and snow along the north Gulf coast by Sunday
night.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2...Sat and Sun)...
The well-advertised warm front is approaching the coast this
morning. South to southeast winds have remained breezy overnight
in advance of this system and should only continue to increase as
the pressure gradient tightens even more. Temperatures have
remained rather warm overnight with the winds and most locations
are hovering at or just below freezing. Thus, while precipitation
could start as some light snow, we expect a fairly quick
transition over to rain through the morning hours as temperatures
shoot up to the mid 30s and low 40s across the entire area.

Heading into Sun, the primary low will continue to push towards
the coast. This will keep SW AK in moderate southerly flow with
gusty conditions over higher elevations. This will make for
another relatively warm day across the region. There will be two
most likely spots to get precipitation on Sun. The first will be
under a deformation axis stretching from Dillingham up through the
Sleetmute area. Precipitation looks to be a rain/snow mix at this
time. However, we will be watching this band closely because if
colder air were to come in a bit earlier, it could be a decent
snow producer. The second area of precipitation will be with the
low center itself. As it makes its way to the YK-Delta coast by
late Sun morning, it will bring another chance for steady snow,
mainly for areas west of Bethel. Colder air will move in with this
feature as well. However, we are thinking it will be somewhat
mitigated by (moderated) flow off the Bering.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2...Sat and
Sun)...
The Bering will see two significant systems move through during
this time. The first is the current area of low pressure driving a
warm front towards the southwest mainland. The Eastern Bering,
Eastern Aleutians, and Alaska Peninsula will see mostly gale force
southerly winds with this front. There will be a small pocket of
storm force winds south of the chain. Upper level support is
ferrying up some warm air, so we are expecting a healthy amount of
rain as it moves through. The low pressure center itself will
continue to trek to the north and east through the weekend. This
will keep the Eastern Bering fairly unsettled with warm south to
southwest winds and rain showers.

The Western Bering will be rather quiet until a storm force front
arrives late Sun night. Cold air wrapping behind the
aforementioned low will keeps some snow showers and small craft
northerly winds over the zones through most of Sun. By late Sun
evening, expect a dramatic shift to easterly winds over the
Western Aleutians. These winds will increase to storm force by
early Mon morning as the front arrives. Precipitation will start
as snow, but quickly turn over to rain.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5)...
The models have come into good agreement with the low near the
western Aleutians Sunday night into Monday resulting in high
confidence in the area seeing storm force winds. Confidence lowers
on Tuesday as the models diverge with the track of the low, but
there is agreement that the wind speed will weaken. The models are
also struggling out east in the Gulf with a low tracking into the
area from the south on Monday. Some of the guidance is looking at
gale force winds through much of the marine areas in and around
the Gulf on Monday.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The long term forecast is plagued by model uncertainty resulting
in a forecast leaning towards the ensemble means. The area of
highest confidence is with a storm force low approaching the
western Aleutians Sunday night into Monday. There is also decent
confidence in ridging over the panhandle holding over the area
into mid week with multiple lows tracking through the area to the
west of the ridging. The models are struggling with the timing
and intensity of these lows resulting in the ensembles being
preferred. This setup will likely result in more above average
temperatures for most locations in the southern mainland.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Gales...150, 160, 165, 170, 171, 172, 174, 176, 180, 181, 414
         Storms...155
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KVP
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MSO
MARINE/LONG TERM...DK