Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2019
Storm Warning 24, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Jan 23, 2019, 3:39 PM AKST. It was in force for 36 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 23, 2019, 3:39 PM AKST (00:39 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 25, 2019, 4:00 AM AKST
- In force
- 36 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted.
951 FZAK51 PAFC 240039 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 339 PM AKST Wed Jan 23 2019 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-241400- 339 PM AKST Wed Jan 23 2019 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A front along the North Gulf Coast pushes inland late tonight. A front moves across the southern gulf late tonight and pushes to the coast early Thu morning. A 975 mb low develops 150 nm southeast of Kodiak Island Thu night and moves inland over the Kenai Fri morning with its front pushing inland Fri afternoon. $$ PKZ119-241400- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 339 PM AKST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...STORM WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 40 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft increasing to 17 ft. Rain. .THU...SE wind 45 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 18 ft. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 55 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft building to 21 ft after midnight. Rain. .FRI...S wind 60 kt. Seas 28 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ120-241400- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 339 PM AKST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...STORM WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 40 kt after midnight. Seas 17 ft. Rain. .THU...SE wind 40 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17 ft. .THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 55 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft building to 21 ft after midnight. Rain. .FRI...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. .SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ121-241400- Resurrection Bay- 339 PM AKST Wed Jan 23 2019 .TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .THU...S wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ125-241400- Prince William Sound- 339 PM AKST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 35 kt after midnight. Seas building to 8 ft. Rain. .THU...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Rain. .FRI...SE wind 60 kt. Seas 15 ft. .FRI NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ126-241400- Port Valdez- 339 PM AKST Wed Jan 23 2019 .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-241400- Valdez Narrows- 339 PM AKST Wed Jan 23 2019 .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-241400- Valdez Arm- 339 PM AKST Wed Jan 23 2019 .TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ129-241400- Passage Canal- 339 PM AKST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Gusts to 30 in the evening. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .THU...E wind 30 kt becoming 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming 35 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain. .FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT THROUGH MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-241400- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 339 PM AKST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft. Rain. .THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. .FRI...W wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ131-241400- Barren Islands East- 339 PM AKST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 50 kt after midnight. Seas 16 ft. Rain. .THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming E 50 kt after midnight. Seas 16 ft building to 20 ft after midnight. Rain. .FRI...W wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ132-241400- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 339 PM AKST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain. .THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming N 45 kt after midnight. N of Dangerous Cape, SE wind 30 kt becoming E 45 kt after midnight. Seas 18 ft. Rain. .FRI...W wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ136-241400- Chiniak Bay- 339 PM AKST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 35 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft building to 12 ft after midnight. Rain. .THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft building to 9 ft after midnight. Rain. .FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ137-241400- Marmot Bay- 339 PM AKST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 35 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Rain. .THU...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming NE 30 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Rain. .FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ138-241400- Shelikof Strait- 339 PM AKST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming NE 35 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Rain. .THU...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ139-241400- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 339 PM AKST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 9 ft after midnight. .THU...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. .THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming NE 35 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft building to 9 ft after midnight. Rain. .FRI...W wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ140-241400- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 339 PM AKST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming N after midnight. .THU...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. .FRI...SE wind 30 kt. .FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. .SAT...S wind 15 kt. .SUN...E wind 15 kt. .MON...N wind 10 kt. $$ PKZ141-241400- Kachemak Bay- 339 PM AKST Wed Jan 23 2019 .TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. .THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
3 follow-up statements
882 FZAK51 PAFC 241306 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 406 AM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-250130- 406 AM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A front along the northern Gulf coast moves inland Thu morning. A 985 mb low 340 nm southeast of Sitkinak Thu afternoon moves 90 nm southwest of Middleton Island at 976 mb Thu night and then moves into Prince William Sound Fri morning. A front enters the western Gulf Fri night. $$ PKZ119-250130- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 406 AM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 45 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 19 ft. .TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming E 60 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft building to 23 ft after midnight. Rain. .FRI...SW wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 24 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ120-250130- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 406 AM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 18 ft. Widespread rain showers. .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft building to 22 ft after midnight. Rain. .FRI...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ121-250130- Resurrection Bay- 406 AM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...S wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 6 ft after midnight. Rain. .FRI...N wind 20 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ125-250130- Prince William Sound- 406 AM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TODAY...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Rain. .FRI...NE wind 45 kt becoming SW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ126-250130- Port Valdez- 406 AM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 .TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .FRI...NE wind 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers. .FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-250130- Valdez Narrows- 406 AM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-250130- Valdez Arm- 406 AM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers. .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .FRI...NE wind 25 kt becoming SW wind 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ129-250130- Passage Canal- 406 AM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain. .FRI...E wind 30 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT THROUGH MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-250130- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 406 AM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ131-250130- Barren Islands East- 406 AM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY... .TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft building to 19 ft after midnight. Rain. .FRI...W wind 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 18 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ132-250130- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 406 AM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming NW 35 kt after midnight. Seas 16 ft. Rain. .FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ136-250130- Chiniak Bay- 406 AM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming NW 25 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ137-250130- Marmot Bay- 406 AM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming NW 25 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain. .FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ138-250130- Shelikof Strait- 406 AM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ139-250130- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 406 AM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE wind 30 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain showers. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming N 35 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft building to 9 ft after midnight. Rain. .FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ140-250130- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 406 AM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt after midnight. Rain. .FRI...S wind 30 kt. Rain and snow showers. .FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. .SAT...S wind 15 kt. .SUN...E wind 15 kt. .MON...N wind 10 kt. $$ PKZ141-250130- Kachemak Bay- 406 AM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 .TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Widespread rain showers. .TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
000 FZAK51 PAFC 250020 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 320 PM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-251330- 320 PM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 982 mb 375 NM south of Kodiak deepens to 975 mb and makes landfall on the Kenai Peninsula Friday morning. A front enters the western Gulf Fri night. $$ PKZ119-251330- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 320 PM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 30 kt becoming E 60 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft building to 23 ft after midnight. Rain. .FRI...SW wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft subsiding to 18 ft late afternoon. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 17 ft. .SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ120-251330- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 320 PM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming E 50 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft building to 22 ft after midnight. Rain. .FRI...SE wind 40 kt becoming SW late morning. Seas 21 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft. .SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ121-251330- Resurrection Bay- 320 PM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain. .FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ125-251330- Prince William Sound- 320 PM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...STORM WARNING FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Gusts to 60 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft building to 12 ft after midnight. Rain. .FRI...E wind 50 kt becoming SW 30 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 60 kt in the morning. Seas 13 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. .FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ126-251330- Port Valdez- 320 PM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .FRI...NE wind 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain. .SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-251330- Valdez Narrows- 320 PM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming NE wind 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-251330- Valdez Arm- 320 PM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .FRI...NE wind 25 kt becoming SW wind 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers and snow showers. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ129-251330- Passage Canal- 320 PM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 30 kt by midnight. Gusts to 40 kt after midnight near Whittier. Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain. .FRI...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-251330- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 320 PM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .FRI...NE wind 25 kt becoming SW mid morning. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ131-251330- Barren Islands East- 320 PM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming SW to 45 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft building to 19 ft after midnight. Rain. .FRI...W wind 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 18 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ132-251330- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 320 PM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming SW 40 kt after midnight. Seas 17 ft. Rain. .FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ136-251330- Chiniak Bay- 320 PM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming SW 30 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ137-251330- Marmot Bay- 320 PM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ138-251330- Shelikof Strait- 320 PM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming SW 25 kt toward morning. Seas building to 10 ft. Rain. .FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ139-251330- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 320 PM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming N 35 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft building to 9 ft after midnight. Rain and snow. .FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. .SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ140-251330- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 320 PM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt after midnight. Rain and snow. .FRI...S wind 30 kt. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. .SUN...E wind 15 kt. .MON...N wind 10 kt. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. $$ PKZ141-251330- Kachemak Bay- 320 PM AKST Thu Jan 24 2019 .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE wind 20 kt late evening. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$
535 FZAK51 PAFC 251300 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 400 AM AKST Fri Jan 25 2019 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-260130- 400 AM AKST Fri Jan 25 2019 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A trough over the northern Gulf moves inland Fri afternoon. High pressure moves over the Gulf Sat afternoon and a front approaches the western Gulf Sat night. $$ PKZ119-260130- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 400 AM AKST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft. .SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN THROUGH TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ120-260130- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 400 AM AKST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 21 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ121-260130- Resurrection Bay- 400 AM AKST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...S wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ125-260130- Prince William Sound- 400 AM AKST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...S wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. .SAT...NE wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ126-260130- Port Valdez- 400 AM AKST Fri Jan 25 2019 .TODAY...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers. .TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread snow and rain showers. .SAT...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-260130- Valdez Narrows- 400 AM AKST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers. .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming NE wind 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Widespread snow and rain showers. .SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-260130- Valdez Arm- 400 AM AKST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Widespread rain showers. .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming Variable wind 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain showers and snow showers. .SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ129-260130- Passage Canal- 400 AM AKST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-260130- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 400 AM AKST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW wind 45 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft. .TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ131-260130- Barren Islands East- 400 AM AKST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ132-260130- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 400 AM AKST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 19 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ136-260130- Chiniak Bay- 400 AM AKST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ137-260130- Marmot Bay- 400 AM AKST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ138-260130- Shelikof Strait- 400 AM AKST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ139-260130- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 400 AM AKST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ140-260130- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 400 AM AKST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...S wind 40 kt. Rain. .TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. .SAT...S wind 15 kt. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. .SUN...E wind 15 kt. .MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. $$ PKZ141-260130- Kachemak Bay- 400 AM AKST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Jan 23, 5:28 AM AKST, 10 hours 11 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 23, 5:28 AM AKST, 10 hours 11 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED National Weather Service Anchorage AK 528 AM AKST Wed Jan 23 2019 .ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A substantial pattern shift is in progress today, as temperatures continue to creep to well above climo normal in persistent south flow. A vertically stacked low north of the central Aleutians is gradually shifting westward, and a decaying boundary associated with this low, and warm air advection in south flow continues to bring light precipitation to the Gulf coast and warm conditions to most of Southcentral. A secondary low rotating around this main low is over the AKPEN moving northward. This system is bringing increased winds and precipitation to the eastern Aleutians, AKPEN, and Southwest. While northeast flow on the north side of this low is continuing below freezing conditions in the lower Kuskokwim Valley and the Kuskokwim Delta, south flow prevails on the east side of the low thus much of the Bristol Bay area is in the upper 30s with rain. As the low continues north, northeast flow will dissipate and the rest of Southwest will change over to rain. && .MODEL DISCUSSION...The forecast remains uncertain beyond 36 hours out with the setup of an elongated shortwave upper trough and its associated surface lows tracking from the North Pacific towards the Gulf Thursday. The system will have a strong subtropical or possibly even tropical moisture fetch, thus convection will play a significant role in the development of the lows. Models are struggling to deal with this and have had a wide range of solutions over the last several runs. The evolution of this feature is crucial because it will determine what develops upstream. The varying outcomes have generally been consistent that a stronger low will develop in the North Pacific behind this front, and move inland somewhere in Southcentral or Southwest Friday. This will continue the above freezing conditions over most of the CWA Friday, and will probably bring strong winds to Southcentral. It's difficult to be more specific at this point. The last three runs of the GFS, while differing slightly with timing, have brought this low into Cook Inlet. This would be a very climatologically unusual situation, and should this verify, temperatures would near 50 degrees in the Anchorage Bowl and Turnagain Arm winds could push 100kt. The last two runs of the EC, on the other hand, bring the low farther west and track the low north near Bristol Bay. South flow on the east side of the low would still bring warm conditions to Southcentral, but not nearly as extreme as the GFS solution. Strong Turnagain Arm winds would also develop, but again not nearly the magnitude that the GFS suggests. The last run of the NAM, which gets its boundary conditions from the GFS, instead of concentrating the energy into one low like the global models, brings two lows into the picture from the North Pacific. One crosses the AKPEN and the other heads toward the Prince William Sound. Should this verify, Turnagain winds would be much lower than the other solutions. && .AVIATION... PANC...VFR conditions and light surface winds will persist. Turnagain Arm winds now are expected to make a brief appearance at the terminal this evening, but should only last 4-6 hours or so. Before that, low level wind shear will remain. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2/Today through Thursday night)... A period of active weather has begun, with a series of storms poised to track across the region for at least the next few days. The exact storm track will heavily determine the impacts, but generally looking for a warm and windy pattern with lots of rain along the coast. Starting with today, a strong occluded front over the Gulf will lift northward and push onshore of Southcentral this afternoon. Southeast winds will continue to ramp up this morning ahead of the front, especially from Prince William Sound across the Kenai Peninsula. As usual, Turnagain Arm and higher elevations of Anchorage will see some of the strongest winds. The latest forecast continues the trend of increasing these winds, though have kept them just below warning threshold (75 mph). As the front heads inland late this afternoon through early evening, will see some east to southeast winds move into Anchorage and the Matanuska Valley. This will immediately cause temperatures to jump into the upper 30s to lower 40s. The strong southeast flow will initially produce downslope drying in the lee of the Kenai and Chugach Mountains. If any precipitation were to fall this morning, it would be in the form of rain or freezing rain, but not expecting anything more than sprinkles or patchy light precipitation. As the front moves onshore, there is a better chance of seeing a brief period of light rain for these lee side areas. The greatest potential for freezing rain may be the typically cooler and wind-sheltered areas of the southern Susitna Valley, from Houston northward to Willow and up toward Talkeetna. Will need to keep a close eye on temperatures and precipitation for this area. As this front dissipates inland tonight, another strong front with multiple low centers will make its way into the Gulf. This front will quickly track north and move onshore around midday Thursday. With little time between fronts to cool down, temperatures will remain near or above freezing for most of the region. Thus, precipitation with the second front looks to be primarily rain. Although the low level flow will remain southeasterly, it looks like the core of strongest winds will be above mountain-top, so downslope flow will not be as effective and may see some "slop- over" rain from the western Kenai to Anchorage and the Mat Valley. Behind the second front, the forecast is fraught with uncertainty due to the huge spread in numerical guidance. However, expect yet another low or front to make its way to Southcentral Thursday night or Friday. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2...Wed and Thu)... The much more active pattern is starting to unfold. But uncertainty remains high in many of the details. The net effect will be much warmer temperatures to end the week with gusty conditions at times. First, a developing closed low will cross the Alaska Peninsula this morning. Precipitation ahead of this feature is already spreading over much of Western Bristol Bay and the YK- Delta. For Bristol Bay, just about all sites are above freezing now and most of the precipitation is rain with just a few northern sites (Platinum) reporting some lingering snow. It is a different story across the Delta with very gusty offshore winds. These winds are serving to reinforce some cold air and keep the precipitation all snow for now. The combination of these elements is also making for some blowing snow, especially along the coastal areas. Expect this blowing snow to hold on through the daylight hours. By late this afternoon/early evening, the low will track along the coast north of the area. This will allow some gusty southwest winds to blast in and drive temperatures above freezing. This should turn any lingering snow showers over to at least a rain/snow mix. Only the deepest, coldest valleys of the Lower Kuskokwim Valley will be able to maintain temperatures below freezing. After this, each successive feature brings an increasing level of uncertainty. The first is another warm front by late tonight/early Thu. The front itself is on track to push through SW AK on Thu. However, models are still trying to develop various surface lows along this boundary. We did not try to latch onto any of the surface lows and instead, just kept it a broad-brushed front with higher PoPs and some gusty winds. Then immediately on its heels is potentially a very compact, strong low blasting through the Alaska Peninsula late Thu. Models vary wildly with how they handle this system. For now, we did not make many changes to this portion of the forecast. However, if the NAM were to verify, we would have to trend winds and waves significantly higher. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2...Wed and Thu)... A broad trough will remain entrenched over the Bering keeping the weather pattern quite active. The "parent" low is currently parked in the Central Bering. To the west of it, expect some gale- force winds and cold air advection snow showers to persist today. To the east, expect several fast south-north tracking systems to spin up and move through. Each of these systems will bring some warmer air and make for a mixed bag of precipitation. By Thu (and into the end of the week), the parent low starts to take over as it wraps cold air in over the Bering. This will make for somewhat calmer conditions with scattered snow showers. && .MARINE (Days 3 through 5)... An active and challenging pattern will continue through the weekend. Thursday and Friday will see a strong low lift across the AKPEN bringing high end gales, with the possibility of storm force winds. Model guidance is still uncertain and is keeping confidence levels moderate on the track and timing, but high on intensity. On the heels of that system is one that will move into the Bering this weekend. The current track slides a deepening low through Adak and towards the Pribs. High end gales are expected. Storm force winds, and possibly higher on Sunday through the central Aleutians are not out of the question. && .LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)... The longwave pattern isn't changing much through the weekend. Ridging across the Gulf of Alaska will slide east and weaken as a deepening trough moves into the western Bering. That signal spells continued active weather for much of the extended forecast. The first system will slam into the AKPEN Friday and into this weekend. A second system will track into the Bering and both will bring strong winds, warm air and unseasonal conditions. Above freezing temperatures are expected for Southcentral and coastal locations, while some inland areas may cool below freezing overnight. The return to winter (temperatures) is looking to occur early into the next work week, though a shunt of warm may be on its heels as well. && .AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PUBLIC...NONE. MARINE...Gale: 411 351 352 119 120 125 130 131 132 136 137 138 139 141 150 155 177 178 185 Heavy freezing spray: 185 FIRE WEATHER...NONE. && SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MM SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SB SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MO MARINE/LONG TERM...SS
The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 3:05 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 72 hr | |
| Jan 23, 3:05 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 61 hr | |
| Jan 23, 3:05 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 61 hr | |
| Jan 23, 3:39 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 47 hr | |
| Jan 23, 3:39 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Jan 24, 3:54 AM AKST | Brisk Wind Advisory | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Jan 24, 3:54 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Jan 24, 3:54 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Jan 24, 3:54 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Jan 24, 3:55 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 11 hr | |
| Jan 24, 4:06 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 35 hr | |
| Jan 24, 4:06 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 48 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.