Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2019

Storm Warning 200, NWS Anchorage, AK

December 25, 2019

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Dec 25, 2019, 3:16 AM AKST. It was in force for 37 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 25, 2019, 3:16 AM AKST (12:16 UTC)
Expired
Dec 26, 2019, 4:04 PM AKST
In force
37 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

855 
FZAK51 PAFC 251216
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
316 AM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-260115-
316 AM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

Remnants of a front are pushing inland this morning. A 973 mb low
develops over Kodiak this morning and moves to Prince William
Sound tonight. The front ahead of it will reach the southcentral
coast this afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-260115-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
316 AM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft building to 19 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain showers
and snow.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Near the coast, SE wind 50 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft except 20 ft near the coast. Rain showers.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ120-260115-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
316 AM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft. Widespread rain showers and snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ121-260115-
Resurrection Bay-
316 AM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-260115-
Prince William Sound-
316 AM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft
in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft in the morning. Seas 12 ft in the
afternoon. Widespread snow showers and rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft after
midnight. Snow and rain.
.THU...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-260115-
Port Valdez-
316 AM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread snow showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-260115-
Valdez Narrows-
316 AM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...Winds becoming NE wind 15 kt this morning then increasing to 25 kt
in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Widespread snow showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-260115-
Valdez Arm-
316 AM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Widespread snow showers
and rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow and rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-260115-
Passage Canal-
316 AM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray. Widespread
snow showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. gusts to 35 kt near Whittier. Seas 4 ft.
Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt near Whittier. Seas 5 ft.
 Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-260115-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
316 AM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt becoming N 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas
18 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.TONIGHT...W wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.THU...W wind 55 kt. Seas 23 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-260115-
Barren Islands East-
316 AM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 15 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 24 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 24 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ132-260115-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
316 AM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. N of
Dangerous Cape, E wind 30 kt becoming SW 35 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...W wind 50 kt becoming NW 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 19
ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ136-260115-
Chiniak Bay-
316 AM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt becoming W 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7
ft. Freezing spray and areas of blowing snow. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray and areas of
blowing snow.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-260115-
Marmot Bay-
316 AM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt becoming N 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft. Freezing spray and areas of blowing snow. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray and areas of
blowing snow.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-260115-
Shelikof Strait-
316 AM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-260115-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
316 AM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt becoming N 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft building to 13 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray. Snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt becoming NW 30 kt after midnight. Seas 14
ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ140-260115-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
316 AM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-260115-
Kachemak Bay-
316 AM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray. Snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft after
midnight. Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the
afternoon. Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
3 follow-up statements
578 
FZAK51 PAFC 260059
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
359 PM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-261415-
359 PM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 971 mb low 270 nm SE of Kodiak City moves 50 nm SE of Cordova 
at 981 mb by Thu afternoon and remains stationary through Fri 
morning. A 982 mb over the North Pacific Fri morning moves 150 nm 
SE of Kodiak City at 969 mb by Fri afternoon. 

$$

PKZ119-261415-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
359 PM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Near the coast, SE wind 45 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ120-261415-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
359 PM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ121-261415-
Resurrection Bay-
359 PM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas building to 6 ft. 
Snow.
.THU...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-261415-
Prince William Sound-
359 PM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft after
midnight. Widespread snow showers and rain.
.THU...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 9 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-261415-
Port Valdez-
359 PM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-261415-
Valdez Narrows-
359 PM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-261415-
Valdez Arm-
359 PM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-261415-
Passage Canal-
359 PM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft.  
Widespread snow showers.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-261415-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
359 PM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind increasing to 50 kt. Seas building to 21 ft. 
Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU...W wind 55 kt. Seas 23 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 50 kt becoming NW 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 18 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-261415-
Barren Islands East-
359 PM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ132-261415-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
359 PM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...W wind 50 kt becoming NW 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 19 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt becoming N 20 kt after midnight. N of
Dangerous Cape, NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 25 ft.

$$

PKZ136-261415-
Chiniak Bay-
359 PM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-261415-
Marmot Bay-
359 PM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-261415-
Shelikof Strait-
359 PM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas building to 11 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-261415-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
359 PM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt becoming NW 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 14 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight. Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-261415-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
359 PM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. Heavy freezing spray. 
Snow.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-261415-
Kachemak Bay-
359 PM AKST Wed Dec 25 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft 
building to 7 ft after midnight. Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the
afternoon. Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
800 
FZAK51 PAFC 261203
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
303 AM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-270130-
303 AM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 974 mb low 40 nm northwest of Middleton Island will move to 75 nm
southeast of Cape Suckling late tonight then dissipate Fri morning. 
A 980 mb low 350 nm southeast of Kodiak City late Fri morning will 
move to 50 nm southeast of Middleton Island late Fri night and 
deepen to 964 mb.

$$

PKZ119-270130-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
303 AM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 12 ft building to 17 ft in
the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ120-270130-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
303 AM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 
13 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ121-270130-
Resurrection Bay-
303 AM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-270130-
Prince William Sound-
303 AM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 9 ft in
the afternoon. and rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 9
ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-270130-
Port Valdez-
303 AM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-270130-
Valdez Narrows-
303 AM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-270130-
Valdez Arm-
303 AM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-270130-
Passage Canal-
303 AM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Gusts to 40 kt near Whittier. Seas 5 ft. 
Areas of blowing snow.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Gusts to 40 kt near Whittier. Seas 5 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to
35 kt near Whittier in the morning. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in 
the afternoon. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-270130-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
303 AM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 55 kt. Seas 20 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...W wind 50 kt becoming NW 40 kt after midnight. Seas
16 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt becoming NE 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft
building to 17 ft in the afternoon. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-270130-
Barren Islands East-
303 AM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 19 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ132-270130-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
303 AM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 50 kt becoming NW 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
19 ft. Freezing spray near Kodiak Island.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt becoming N 20 kt after midnight. N of
Dangerous Cape, NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray near Kodiak
Island.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

PKZ136-270130-
Chiniak Bay-
303 AM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-270130-
Marmot Bay-
303 AM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-270130-
Shelikof Strait-
303 AM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt through bays and passes. Seas 
9 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 14 ft in the
afternoon. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-270130-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
303 AM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft building to 14 ft in the afternoon. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-270130-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
303 AM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-270130-
Kachemak Bay-
303 AM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
674 
FZAK51 PAFC 270104
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
404 PM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-271400-
404 PM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 981 mb low 40 nm south of Cordova remains stationary through 
Fri morning. A 980 mb low 260 nm south of Kodiak City Fri morning
moves 30 nm southeast of Middleton Island at 960 mb Sat morning. 
Another 970 mb low over the North Pacific Sat morning moves 320 nm
at 981 mb southeast of Middleton Island by Sat afternoon.


$$

PKZ119-271400-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
404 PM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 50 kt becoming SE 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 18 ft. Widespread snow showers and rain.
.SAT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ120-271400-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
404 PM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft. Freezing spray. 
Widespread snow showers.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ121-271400-
Resurrection Bay-
404 PM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. Widespread
snow showers.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-271400-
Prince William Sound-
404 PM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. Widespread
snow showers.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-271400-
Port Valdez-
404 PM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Widespread
snow showers.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-271400-
Valdez Narrows-
404 PM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
Snow.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Widespread
snow showers.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-271400-
Valdez Arm-
404 PM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt except NW near Prince William Sound. Seas 5
ft. Snow.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. Widespread
snow showers.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-271400-
Passage Canal-
404 PM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt near Whittier. Seas 5 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to
40 kt near Whittier in the morning. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in 
the afternoon. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Widespread snow showers.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-271400-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
404 PM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 55 kt becoming NW 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 16 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt becoming NE 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft
building to 17 ft in the afternoon. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-271400-
Barren Islands East-
404 PM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. Freezing spray. Widespread
snow and rain showers.
.SAT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ132-271400-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
404 PM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt becoming N 20 kt after midnight. N of
Dangerous Cape, NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. N of
Dangerous Cape, NW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

PKZ136-271400-
Chiniak Bay-
404 PM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt in the evening. Seas 3 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-271400-
Marmot Bay-
404 PM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. Gusts to 40
kt in the evening. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. 
Freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt becoming NE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-271400-
Shelikof Strait-
404 PM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft subsiding to 8 ft after
midnight. Freezing spray.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ139-271400-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
404 PM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-271400-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
404 PM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-271400-
Kachemak Bay-
404 PM AKST Thu Dec 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the
afternoon. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Dec 24, 4:55 PM AKST, 10 hours 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 24, 4:55 PM AKST, 10 hours 21 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
455 PM AKST Tue Dec 24 2019

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A negatively tilted trough extending from Western Alaska southeast
towards the southern Kenai Peninsula is providing the forcing
required for widespread snow across the Cook Inlet region this
afternoon. Snow reducing visibility to 1 mile at times has been
reported in Kenai, with a brief period of heavy snow earlier this
morning in Homer. Meanwhile the radar looks very convective for
the northern Gulf over to eastern Prince William Sound.
Temperatures have warmed above freezing in Cordova, making the
precipitation fall as rain. From Valdez over to Thompson Pass,
where the precipitation is expected to remain all snow, it is
increasing in intensity. For Southwest Alaska, the weather story
remains the very cold temperatures. 20 below was seen for several
hours this morning in Aniak, with Koliganek and points west
dropping below zero. Some lingering cloud cover remains towards
Iliamna, but that is clearing as the aforementioned trough swings
through. A developing low just south of the Aleutians is bringing
occasionally moderate snow with gusty winds to the western and
central Aleutians and a rain/snow mix in Dutch Harbor. Cold air
continues to pour southward across the northern Bering into the
Aleutians low.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

The overall large-scale synoptic pattern in the models remains in
good agreement, though the NAM is a clear outlier among the models
in snowfall amounts around Anchorage and the Mat-Su for the
ongoing snowfall. While many of the local-scale models are well
clustered in Anchorage getting a few inches of snow this evening,
the NAM suggests it mostly misses the area. However, the NAM is
clearly poorly initialized, not resolving the snow ongoing across
the Kenai Peninsula. Thus, that solution is being excluded.
Otherwise, a very active weather pattern over the next week
supports that forecast confidence will be below normal, even with
good model agreement, as slight differences in the track of the
upcoming lows will make large differences in the forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Snow will bring conditions down to IFR or LIFR levels into
the evening hours as an upper level wave tapping into Gulf
moisture brings snow to the area. It will gradually diminish
overnight, but snow showers remain possible well into tonight. The
next round of snow tomorrow could begin as early as midday,
though is more likely tomorrow evening and through the overnight.
Visibilities dropping down into the IFR category at times will be
possible once again.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

Snow has commenced as a negative shortwave trough lifts northeast
across Southcentral. Out ahead of it, convective snow showers are
impacting the coast (mixed rain in Cordova) with heavy snow
through Thompson Pass. Moderate snow has pushed across the Kenai
and is now moving into interior Southcentral and will continue
through tonight with an additional 2-5" snow, heaviest from
Anchorage to the northern Susitna Valley. Expect lighter but
continuous snow in the Copper Basin through Wednesday. Cold air
advection wrapping around the back of this low will move from
the Barren Islands into Kachemak Bay, up Cook Inlet, and into
Prince William Sound.

Attention quickly turns to a fast moving low tracking into the
Gulf of Alaska Christmas Day. This occluded low will bring storm
force winds to the North Coast with strong northerly winds coming
down Cook Inlet in response to the strong 968 mb low south of the
Kenai Peninsula. Snow will also overrun this down inlet flow, and
with 30-45 MPH winds moving down the inlet, issued a winter
weather advisory for blowing snow along the western Kenai
Peninsula including the Homer Bluff area. Expect potentially
significantly reduced visibility and areas of drifting snow.
Elsewhere, widespread overrunning snow should impact most of
Southcentral Wednesday through Thursday. As the low moves east,
strong cold air advection ensues and will blast westerly and
northerly gap winds through the eastern Kenai, so issued a winter
weather advisory for blowing snow from Seward to Portage Valley
and Turnagain Pass. This event will be longer lasting than the
western Kenai advisory since the offshore winds and longer lasting
snow event will keep things going a bit longer. Cold air
advection dries things out Thursday evening with much cooler air
moving in. Only area where snow will linger is the Copper Basin.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

An upper trough remains situated over western Alaska, with Arctic
high pressure over northern Alaska. The impending bitter cold
continues to be the main story in the forecast. Temperatures will
plummet as the upper trough digs southward and northerly flow
strengthens. A wind chill advisory remains in effect for tonight
through Wednesday evening for the Kuskokwim Delta, including
Bethel. Wind chills down to -50 are possible in the Kuskokwim
Delta. Temperatures will likely drop to 20 to 30 below zero in
the middle Kuskokwim Valley tonight, but surface winds should
stay below 10 mph. Meanwhile in the Greater Bristol Bay area
expect overnight lows tonight of 5 to 15 below zero. Expect cold,
dry weather and clear skies over most of the mainland Wednesday,
with a few exceptions. Areas along the north side of the AKPEN,
including King Salmon, Iliamna, Pilot Point and Port Heiden may
see some snow during the day as a low currently south of the
Aleutians tracks eastward towards the Gulf of Alaska.

Once the low progresses into the Gulf, cold air advection will
strengthen over the Southwest Mainland, and temperatures will drop
even further Thursday. That said, with a diminished pressure
gradient once the low clears to the east, this will no longer be a
favorable pattern for hazardous wind chills.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

A low currently roughly 80 miles southeast of Seguam continues to
be the focus this evening. The low will continue to bring gales
to the southern Bering and central/eastern Aleutians into
tomorrow, with an embedded swath of storm force winds. In
addition, there is concern about snow impacts in the
central/eastern Aleutians up to the southern AKPEN. The winter
weather advisory for blowing snow in the central Aleutians has
been extended until late tonight. A deformation band has developed
on the back side of the low, which is causing precipitation to
persist longer than initially expected. Looking farther east,
we've issued winter weather advisories for blowing snow in the
eastern Aleutians up the AKPEN for tonight/ Wednesday morning.
This includes (but is not limited to) Unalaska, Akun, Cold Bay and
King Cove. Confidence is good in forecast wind speeds, but not
great with precipitation type. The track of the low so close to
the chain really presents a challenge, with very cold air blowing
south over the Bering (though SSTs continue to be over 40
degrees) and warm moist air being drawn in from the south. It's
possible that precipitation type will switch to and from snow over
the islands...but given some strong winds even a wet snow will
create visibility impacts and hazardous travel conditions.

The low will exit to the Gulf Wednesday afternoon, and in its wake
expect strong gap winds south of the eastern Aleutians/AKPEN. A
pair of lows approaches the Aleutian chain from the southwest by
Thursday, bringing another bout of gales and wet weather.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5)...
(Friday through Sunday)

...Bering Sea and Aleutian Coastal Waters...

An active pattern is in store for the Aleutians coastal waters,
with multiple areas of low pressure affecting them. The first
storm stalls south of Amchitka on Friday, with another rapidly
deepening low tracking from well south of Cold Bay towards Kodiak
Island. These two storms act in concert to spread sustained gales
across all of the Aleutian chain and into the southern half of the
Bering Sea. Seas will be in the 15 to 20 feet range on the Bering
Side and 20 to 25 feet on the Pacific side.

These winds and waves subside some for Saturday, before another
storm approaches the east central Aleutians from the Pacific,
while remaining well offshore. Northeasterly winds on the
backside of the low will spread sustain gales across all of the
Aleutian chain and the southern half of the Bering, with seas
building to near 20 feet across the southwestern bering and west
of Nikolski for the Aleutians. Some sustain storm force winds may
develop as well for the east central Aleutians, depending on the
track of the low (how close to the coast does it get and how
quickly does it deepen).

...Gulf of Alaska...

A trio of storms will move across the Gulf, with a storm on Friday
bringing widespread sustained gales to all of the Gulf and perhaps
localized storm force winds possible along the northern Gulf
Coast and near the low center south of Kodiak Island. Seas of 15
to 20 feet may develop for the outer waters. Then, a second storm
moves in quickly on its heels for Saturday, with sustain gales and
a similar sea state. A third storm again moves into the region,
with high-end sustained gales and perhaps sustained storms near
the coast, with an increasing sea state expected, perhaps in the
20 to 30 feet range for the offshore waters and 15 to 20 feet
closer to the coast.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
(Friday through Monday)

This looks to be possibly one of the most active pattern in many
years for the region, as the current model suite shows several
storms affecting the region in the extended period, and that's on
top of the first two moving through before it. These will bring
multiple rounds of accumulating snowfall to all of Southcentral,
with some pretty impressive totals possible for some coastal
locations if the current model projections don't change (we all
know they usually do, as the further you go out in time, the more
the model variability increases).

An important feature to watch in later model runs is an unusually
strong mid-level polar low off the North Slope that just sits
there while deepening to 477 dm. That in turn allows for a second
strong mid-level low on the order of 495 dm to take up residence
in the Bristol Bay region. These two systems then act in concert
to funnel very cold air from the Arctic into southwest Alaska,
with the Alaska Range keeping it just north and west of
Southcentral. This in turn allows for a third trough further south
in the north Pacific to feed off this funneling of colder air
aloft to help induce cyclogenesis (low pressure development), with
these storms intensifying as they track just along the baroclinic
zone aloft (just east of the trough axis), while the degree of
the cold air poised just north and west of the Alaska Range
prevents the storm track from moving further west or ingesting
warmer air from regions further south. This is because as the low
approaches, it does ingest colder air on the backside of each low,
as the air will be -30 deg. C at 850 mb (~4400 feet) across
southwest Alaska. This air modifies some, but stays cold enough to
allow any over-running precipitation to remain as snow.

So now on to the details. Our first storm (for the extended
period) moves from the north Pacific on Friday, to western Prince
William Sound Saturday morning. This storm will be in a deepening
phase, helping to draw abundant moisture northward.

Quickly on its heels is a second storm that moves from the
southwestern Gulf Saturday morning, to western Prince William by
late Saturday evening, with more abundant moisture spreading
northward.

Then on Sunday, another fairly strong low moves from Kodiak
Island, to yep...you guessed it...western Prince William Sound
with a more pronounced precipitation shield ahead of it, due to a
stronger warm front aloft.

A fourth storm in a deepening phase will then track into the
Alaska Peninsula on Monday, with more over-running precipitation
moving into the region.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Weather Advisory 121 125 181 185 187.
         Wind Chill Advisory 155.
         Flood Advisory 145.
MARINE...Storm Warning 119 130 170 173 174 176.
         Gale Warning 120 121 125 131 132 136 137 138 139 140
                      150 155 160 165 171 172 175 177 178 179
                      180 351 352 413 414.
         Heavy Freezing Spray Warning 160 180 181.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JW
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JA
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MM
MARINE/LONG TERM...PD

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 24, 9:33 PM AKST, 5 hours 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
933 PM AKST TUE DEC 24 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0626 PM     SNOW             8 NW HOMER              59.68N 151.60W
12/24/2019  M3.0 INCH        KENAI PENINSULA    AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

0927 PM     SNOW             8 SSE ANCHORAGE         61.11N 149.82W
12/24/2019  M6.0 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            HUFFMAN RD/ELMORE RD.

0925 PM     SNOW             4 SE ANCHORAGE          61.16N 149.83W
12/24/2019  M7.0 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            LAKE OTIS PKWY/E 68TH AVE.

0922 PM     SNOW             5 SW ANCHORAGE          61.16N 149.98W
12/24/2019  M4.3 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            SAND LAKE RD./RASPBERRY RD.

0649 PM     SNOW             8 SSE ANCHORAGE         61.11N 149.82W
12/24/2019  M4.5 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            HUFFMAN AND LAKE OTIS.

0640 PM     SNOW             7 SSE ANCHORAGE         61.11N 149.85W
12/24/2019  E4.5 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   PUBLIC

            SEWARD HWY/HUFFMAN RD.

0625 PM     SNOW             2 SE EAGLE RIVER        61.30N 149.53W
12/24/2019  M2.2 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            EAGLE RIVER RD./E EAGLE RIVER LOOP RD.

0622 PM     SNOW             4 SE ANCHORAGE          61.16N 149.83W
12/24/2019  M4.0 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            LAKE OTIS RD./E 68TH AVE.

0620 PM     SNOW             5 SW ANCHORAGE          61.16N 149.98W
12/24/2019  M3.0 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            NWS ANCHORAGE - SAND LAKE RD./RASPBERRY RD.

0900 PM     SNOW             EAGLE RIVER             61.32N 149.54W
12/24/2019  M5.0 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            BARONOFF AVE/E EAGLE RIVER LOOP RD.

&&
Local storm report, Dec 24, 11:07 PM AKST, 4 hours 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1107 PM AKST TUE DEC 24 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1106 PM     SNOW             STROGANOFF DRIVE, ANCHO 61.12N 149.71W
12/24/2019  M6.0 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 24, 3:08 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC8 days
Dec 24, 3:17 PM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFC18 hr
Dec 24, 3:43 PM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFC44 hr
Dec 24, 3:48 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC4 days
Dec 24, 3:48 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC59 hr
Dec 24, 3:48 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC59 hr
Dec 24, 6:56 PM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFC5 hr
Dec 25, 3:05 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC5 days
Dec 25, 3:10 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC6 days
Dec 25, 3:10 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC13 hr
Dec 25, 3:16 AM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC48 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2019Every storm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.