Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2019
Storm Warning 20, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Jan 11, 2019, 3:38 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 11, 2019, 3:38 PM AKST (00:38 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 12, 2019, 3:52 PM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted.
172 FZAK51 PAFC 120038 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 338 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-121400- 338 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A front exits Southeast Alaska for Sat morning. A 971 mb low 300 nm south of Sand Point moves to 280 nm southwest of Kodiak City at 978 mb dissipating Sat afternoon. Its front swings across the North Gulf Coast through Sun afternoon. $$ PKZ119-121400- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 338 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight. Seas building to 7 ft. .SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ120-121400- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 338 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019 ...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt in the evening becoming E 25 kt. Seas building to 7 ft. .SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain with snow. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 35 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft diminishing to 11 ft after midnight. Rain. .SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ121-121400- Resurrection Bay- 338 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019 .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt in the evening diminishing to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming Variable wind 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ125-121400- Prince William Sound- 338 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft after midnight. Rain and snow. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ126-121400- Port Valdez- 338 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019 .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow showers. .SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-121400- Valdez Narrows- 338 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-121400- Valdez Arm- 338 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019 .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening increasing to 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain with snow. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ129-121400- Passage Canal- 338 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...E wind 10 kt becoming 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Snow and rain. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-121400- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 338 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019 ...STORM WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft. Heavy freezing spray in the morning. Snow. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 50 kt becoming E 35 kt after midnight. Seas 16 ft subsiding to 11 ft after midnight. Rain and snow. .SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ131-121400- Barren Islands East- 338 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019 ...GALE WARNING SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 14 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow. .SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain. .SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ132-121400- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 338 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019 ...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft building to 21 ft after midnight. Rain. .SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. .TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ136-121400- Chiniak Bay- 338 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019 ...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft after midnight. Snow. .SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow. .SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft building to 15 ft after midnight. Rain. .SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ137-121400- Marmot Bay- 338 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019 ...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 7 ft after midnight. Snow. .SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow. .SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Rain with snow. .SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ138-121400- Shelikof Strait- 338 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019 ...GALE WARNING SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Rain and snow. .SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ139-121400- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 338 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ140-121400- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 338 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. .MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. $$ PKZ141-121400- Kachemak Bay- 338 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019 .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain. .SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
3 follow-up statements
667 FZAK51 PAFC 121217 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 317 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-130115- 317 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 978 mb low 180 nm south of Sand Point this morning weakens and dissipates by afternoon. Its front moves into the North Gulf Coast by Sun morning. A stronger front moves into the western Gulf Sun morning and weakens through Mon morning. $$ PKZ119-130115- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 317 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ120-130115- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 317 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 14 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow. .TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft. Rain. .SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ121-130115- Resurrection Bay- 317 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 .TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ125-130115- Prince William Sound- 317 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain. .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ126-130115- Port Valdez- 317 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 .TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-130115- Valdez Narrows- 317 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-130115- Valdez Arm- 317 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ129-130115- Passage Canal- 317 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...W wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain. .SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-130115- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 317 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind increasing to 50 kt. Seas building to 19 ft. Heavy freezing spray this morning. Snow mixing with rain by afternoon. .TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ131-130115- Barren Islands East- 317 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow. .TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ132-130115- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 317 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain. .SUN...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ136-130115- Chiniak Bay- 317 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. .SUN...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ137-130115- Marmot Bay- 317 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain and snow. .TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Rain and snow. .SUN...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft subsiding to 8 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ138-130115- Shelikof Strait- 317 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain and snow. .TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ139-130115- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 317 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. Snow and rain. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ140-130115- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 317 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. .MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. $$ PKZ141-130115- Kachemak Bay- 317 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain. .SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$
175 FZAK51 PAFC 121601 AAA CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED National Weather Service Anchorage AK 701 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 Coastal waters forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-130430- 701 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 978 mb low 180 nm south of Sand Point this morning weakens and dissipates by afternoon. Its front moves into the North Gulf Coast by Sun morning. A stronger front moves into the western Gulf Sun morning and weakens through Mon morning. $$ PKZ119-130430- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 701 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ120-130430- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 701 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 14 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow. .TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft. Rain. .SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ121-130430- Resurrection Bay- 701 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 .TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ125-130430- Prince William Sound- 701 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain. .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ126-130430- Port Valdez- 701 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 .TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-130430- Valdez Narrows- 701 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-130430- Valdez Arm- 701 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ129-130430- Passage Canal- 701 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...W wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain. .SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-130430- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 701 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind increasing to 50 kt. Seas building to 19 ft. Heavy freezing spray this morning. Snow mixing with rain by afternoon. .TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ131-130430- Barren Islands East- 701 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow. .TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ132-130430- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 701 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain. .SUN...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ136-130430- Chiniak Bay- 701 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. .SUN...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ137-130430- Marmot Bay- 701 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain and snow. .TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Rain and snow. .SUN...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft subsiding to 8 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ138-130430- Shelikof Strait- 701 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain and snow. .TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ139-130430- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 701 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. Snow and rain. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ140-130430- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 701 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. .MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. $$ PKZ141-130430- Kachemak Bay- 701 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain. .SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$
548 FZAK51 PAFC 130052 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 352 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-131315- 352 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A front sweeps across the North Gulf Coast through Mon morning. A second front enters the Western Gulf Sun morning and drives across the Gulf weakening by Mon afternoon. $$ PKZ119-131315- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 352 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft. .SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers. .MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ120-131315- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 352 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft. Widespread rain showers. .SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Widespread rain showers. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers. .MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ121-131315- Resurrection Bay- 352 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Widespread snow and rain showers. .SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers. .MON AND MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ125-131315- Prince William Sound- 352 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Widespread rain showers and snow. .SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ126-131315- Port Valdez- 352 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Widespread snow and rain showers. .SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers and snow. .MON AND MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-131315- Valdez Narrows- 352 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread snow and rain showers. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers. .MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-131315- Valdez Arm- 352 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain. .SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers. .MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ129-131315- Passage Canal- 352 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain. .SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Widespread rain showers. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ130-131315- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 352 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt becoming E 35 kt after midnight. Seas 16 ft subsiding to 11 ft after midnight. Snow and widespread rain showers. .SUN...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ131-131315- Barren Islands East- 352 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ132-131315- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 352 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SE 40 kt after midnight. Seas 18 ft. Rain. .SUN...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 19 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ136-131315- Chiniak Bay- 352 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Widespread rain showers. .SUN...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain showers. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft after midnight. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ137-131315- Marmot Bay- 352 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers. .SUN...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft after midnight. .MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ138-131315- Shelikof Strait- 352 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain and snow showers. .SUN...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft diminishing to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ139-131315- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 352 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft subsiding to 9 ft after midnight. Freezing spray. Snow. .SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray in the morning N of Anchor Point. Snow and rain. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ140-131315- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 352 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Rain. .MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. $$ PKZ141-131315- Kachemak Bay- 352 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Widespread snow showers. .SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. Rain and snow. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Jan 11, 5:44 AM AKST, 9 hours 54 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 11, 5:44 AM AKST, 9 hours 54 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Anchorage AK 544 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019 .ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS... The weather setup this morning is a persistent pattern, with an upper level low situated over the central interior and a second vertically stacked low situated south of the western Aleutians. Focusing on Southcentral first, an upper-level shortwave associated with the mainland low brought seasonably cold temperatures overnight across much of the area. The Anchorage Bowl, which recorded temperatures below zero, also saw a few snow flurries overnight. Moving the focus to the west, the warm front associated with the low continues to bring strong winds and mostly rain, with a few snow showers, to the Bering and central Aleutian Chain. && .MODEL DISCUSSION... Models continue to be in decent agreement in the near term with the most significant low over the western Aleutians. This system is expected to have multiple strong short waves which develops several new surface low centers heading into Friday afternoon. Models start to diverge on the solutions of these lows for Saturday's forecast timeframe, making the MSLP comparison look like a true spaghetti plot with differences in placement and strength of the low centers as they move eastward. Forecast confidence remains below normal for this time period. && .AVIATION... PANC...MVFR conditions and light snow are expected during the morning as a strong upper level wave moves across the southern mainland. Condition are expected to improve by early afternoon with light northerly flow persisting through late Saturday morning. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Today through Saturday Night)... The lingering upper low hovering over Southcentral is wringing moisture out of stratus in the form of flurries from the northern Kenai to MAT-SU Valleys this morning. Should see clearing skies as the day progresses, however, there may be some lingering fog across the Anchorage Bowl (Knik Arm) into the early afternoon hours. Patchy fog will likely redevelop across the Anchorage Bowl Saturday morning. Outflow winds will diminish across much of the North Gulf and Eastern Kenai Peninsula today. A developing surface low, well south of the Eastern Aleutians and Associated occluded front will push north and usher in cloudier, warmer weather with increased chances of precipitation this weekend. The front rolls up toward Kodiak overnight and will bring windy conditions to much of the Western Gulf. Precipitation will likely start as snow at Kodiak but will rapidly change over to rain. The front continues north through Saturday and will likely bring snow to coastal Kenai Peninsula and Cook Inlet later Saturday and eventually to the north Gulf/Prince William Sound Saturday night. The cold air should be deep enough to the lee of the Chugach range to mitigate downslope effects typical with southeast cross-barrier flow. So expect some light overrunning snow to likely make it across the Chugach Saturday night as front heads north. In addition to very windy conditions over the marine areas, gusty gap winds will likely develop in favored locations (Portage Valley, Turnagain Arm) on Saturday. The onset of snow and winds could make for some blowing snow concerns for Portage Valley and eastern Turnagain Arm Saturday evening/night. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)... More brutally cold air is on tap this forecast period. There is a deep arctic vortex over mainland Alaska with the upper level low hovering between the Brooks and the Alaska Ranges. This deep freeze is going to last another 24 hrs, then the models ping into a pattern shift. As time elapses, a ridge axis will nose its way into Southcentral and Southwest Alaska. As that ridge builds into southwest, it will cause the arctic airmass to retreat and will bump temperatures up a noticeable amount (20F+ degrees). Improvement is expected on Sunday and especially Monday. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)... There is a 950 mb surface low that is south of Amchitka with an occluded front wrapped across the Central Aleutians. There is a secondary surface low southwest of the Amchitka low that has a pressure of 980 mb. There is another low south of Unalaska with an approximate pressure of 975 mb. There is a lot of action along the chain. There is a tight pressure gradient north and south of the Aleutians resulting in strong winds (storm force and gale force) and rough seas. A fourth surface low enters the picture on Saturday south of Attu Island. Expected unsettled weather this entire forecast period. With a surface low pushing across the Pribilof Islands early Monday. && .MARINE (Days 3 through 5)... Beginning the marine extended period forecast on Sunday, there will be a gale force low moving into the eastern Bering Sea. This low will move inland Monday, leaving behind weaker and broad cyclonic flow over the Bering Sea, which will be a reduction in winds and seas compared to the preceding two days. There is uncertainty with the low tracks by Tuesday, but the storm track will shift east into the Gulf of Alaska with a high likelihood of a series of gale force fronts/low tracking in succession toward the North Gulf Coast by Sunday and potentially lasting into midweek. Confidence on timing or exact track by that juncture is very low, but the pattern will be more active than it recently has been for the Gulf. && .LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7)... The state of the atmosphere will be rapidly changing on Saturday evening as the deep upper level arctic trough over the interior shears apart and retreats to the north. This will allow for a barrage of fronts/lows to assault the Southern Alaska mainland. This pattern will be messy to say the least, with warming temperatures and threats for the entire spectrum of wintery precipitation. The signal in the noise of this pattern is that a very high amplitude negative tilt ridge axis will build over the mainland through Wednesday. Low tracks are uncertain, but this pattern will be active through at least middle of next week before the storm track relaxes. However, that is still uncertain with some guidance (the GFS, most specifically) keeps the southerly flow onslaught through Thursday before upper ridging tries to build. Key takeaway: expect warming temps and threats for rain/freezing rain/mixed snow for most of Southern Alaska beginning Saturday night and Sunday. && .AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PUBLIC...Wind Chill Advisory 155 161. MARINE...Gale 120 130 131 138 139 165 170 172 173 175 177 179 185. Storm 178. Heavy Freezing Spray 127 139 160 180 185. FIRE WEATHER...NONE. && SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...ALH SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BC SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PJS MARINE/LONG TERM...JR
The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 3:33 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Jan 11, 3:38 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 72 hr | |
| Jan 11, 3:38 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Jan 11, 3:38 PM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Jan 11, 3:48 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 4 days | |
| Jan 11, 3:50 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 3 days | |
| Jan 11, 3:50 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Jan 11, 3:58 PM AKST | Winter Weather Advisory | AFC | 32 hr | |
| Jan 12, 3:17 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Jan 12, 3:28 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 3 days | |
| Jan 12, 3:28 AM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Jan 12, 3:29 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 3 days | |
| Jan 12, 3:29 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 48 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.