Storm Warning 19, NWS Anchorage, AK

935 
FZAK52 PAFC 101256
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-110215-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 933 mb low 500 nm south of Shemya Thu morning moves to 165 nm
southwest of Adak at 949 mb by Fri morning and then moves over
Adak at 962 mb by Sat morning. A second 961 mb low develops 350 nm
south of Shemya by Sat morning.

$$

PKZ150-110215-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ155-110215-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt except variable 10 kt from the Shumagin
Islands E. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt except E 20 kt from the Shumagin Islands
E. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 21 ft in the
afternoon.
From the Shumagin Islands E, seas 12 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ160-110215-
Bristol Bay-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Heavy freezing
spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-110215-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ170-110215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ171-110215-
Unalaska Bay-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-110215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers with snow
showers.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ173-110215-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
19 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ174-110215-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft building to 16 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
27 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ175-110215-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft building to 17 ft in the afternoon. Snow showers and rain
showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
21 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ176-110215-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft building to 26 ft in the
afternoon. Rain showers and snow showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
30 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ177-110215-
Adak to Kiska-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 55 kt. Seas 25 ft Bering side...32 ft Pacific
side. Rain showers with snow showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
28 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ178-110215-
Kiska to Attu-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 55 kt. Bering side, seas 21 ft building to 27 ft
in the afternoon. Pacific side, seas 34 ft. Rain showers with snow 
showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 31 ft subsiding to 25 ft after
midnight. Rain showers.
.FRI...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 33 ft Bering side... 22 ft Pacific
side. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 55 kt. Seas 38 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 36 ft.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ179-110215-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ180-110215-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. Heavy freezing
spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.

$$

PKZ181-110215-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Heavy freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 30 kt.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt.

$$

PKZ185-110215-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NE 40 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 17 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

198 
FZAK52 PAFC 110057
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-111400-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 941 mb low 260 nm South of Amchitka loops to 445 nm southwest of 
Attu at 970 mb for Sat afternoon. Its front spreads across the 
Aleutians and Bering through Sat afternoon. A 957 mb North Pacific 
low Fri afternoon moves to 230 nm south of Atka at 958 mb by Sat 
afternoon. Its front remains south of the Aleutians through Sat 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-111400-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Snow showers and rain
showers.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ155-111400-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 30 kt except E increasing to 20 kt 
from the Shumagin Islands E. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 19 ft in the
afternoon. From the Shumagin Islands E, seas 11 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft. Widespread rain and snow
showers.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ160-111400-
Bristol Bay-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt early increasing to 30 kt. Seas in ice free
waters 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Heavy freezing
spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-111400-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ170-111400-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas building to 12 ft. Rain 
and snow.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ171-111400-
Unalaska Bay-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow and rain.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-111400-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas 15 ft building to 21 ft 
after midnight. Widespread rain showers and snow.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ173-111400-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Widespread rain and snow
showers.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
19 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ174-111400-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
27 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ175-111400-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
21 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ176-111400-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
29 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
26 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ177-111400-
Adak to Kiska-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
28 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas
26 ft Bering side...19 ft Pacific side. Rain showers.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ178-111400-
Kiska to Attu-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft. Widespread rain and snow
showers.
.FRI...E wind 50 kt. Bering side, seas 27 ft building to 33 ft in
the afternoon. Pacific side, seas 21 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 39 ft Bering side... 29 ft
Pacific side. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.SAT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 36 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ179-111400-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft early building to 16 ft. Freezing
spray.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow
showers.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ180-111400-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. Heavy freezing
spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. Heavy
freezing spray. Snow showers.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-111400-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ185-111400-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NE 40 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 17 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow
showers.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

976 
FZAK52 PAFC 111255
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-120200-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A front associated with a 951 mb low 180 nm southwest of Adak Fri
morning continues to push across the Aleutians and Bering through
Sun morning. A complex 960 mb low with multiple centers 260 nm 
south of Adak Sat morning moves to 165 nm southwest of Dutch Harbor 
at 955 mb by Sun morning.

$$

PKZ150-120200-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Snow showers and rain
showers.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.  Rain and snow showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ155-120200-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 20 ft in the
afternoon...except 12 ft from the Shumagin Islands east. Rain 
showers and snow showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
20 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 30 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ160-120200-
Bristol Bay-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Heavy freezing
spray.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-120200-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. Snow and rain
showers.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ170-120200-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ171-120200-
Unalaska Bay-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-120200-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ173-120200-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
18 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ174-120200-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft
subsiding to 15 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ175-120200-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ176-120200-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
27 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17
ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-120200-
Adak to Kiska-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas 26
ft Bering side...19 ft Pacific side. Rain showers.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft Bering side...15 ft Pacific side.
Rain showers and snow showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ178-120200-
Kiska to Attu-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 50 kt. Seas 31 ft Bering side...20 ft Pacific
side. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 38 ft Bering side...30 ft Pacific 
side. Rain showers and snow showers.
.SAT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 38 ft Bering side...28 ft Pacific side. 
Snow showers and rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ179-120200-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Freezing spray. Snow
showers.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers and
rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-120200-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft. Heavy
freezing spray. Snow showers.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-120200-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt.
.MON...E wind 25 kt.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ185-120200-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NE 40 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 17 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow
showers.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow
showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
500 AM AKST Wed Jan 9 2019

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The upper level pattern is undergoing a transition with a low
pressure across the northern coast pushing a strong short wave
across the Kuskokwim Delta early this morning. The stacked low
south of the Alaska Peninsula remains stationary with its front
initiating a few rain and snow showers across the Alaska Peninsula
and Kodiak Island. Another front, extending from a Kamchatka low,
is weakening, with scattered snow showers developing along the
diminishing boundary across the central Aleutians and Bering.
Otherwise, Southcentral is seeing another morning with calm and
quiet conditions.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models continue to be in consensus with the near term forecast.
Only minor changes were needed for the morning package as agreement
with the next big storm system remains consistent on the tracking
and intensity as it moves over the western Aleutians to the Bering
by Thursday morning.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions are expected through late Thursday morning
with light northerly winds as the ridge across the interior
remains dominant. &&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2: Today
through Thursday night)...

A trough moves across the Cook Inlet to MAT-SU corridor late this
afternoon and evening. It should bring increased chances of light
snow with a emphasis on upslope areas of the Talkeetna Mountains.
Should see some clearing as the trough moves east tonight and
weakens. Cold air then spreads in across Southcentral in the wake
of the trough bringing a return to fairly chilly conditions
Thursday and Thursday night. Many inland areas should drop well
below zero Thursday night into Friday morning with the coldest
spots over the Copper River Basin and Susitna Valley.

Outflow winds will likely ramp up today across the North Gulf
Coast, eastern/southern Kenai Peninsula and continue through
Thursday before weakening Thursday night. Cold advection and
phasing up upper flow and passage of upper wave will give rise to
westerly gales across the Barren Island marine zone tonight.
Additionally heavy freezing spray will develop from near Kamishak
Bay to the Barren Islands.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3/Wednesday
through Friday)...
Cold air is on its way into southwest Alaska. The front currently
pushing through the area is dropping snow as expected around
Dillingham and inland areas north and east. Still expecting a few
inches out of this system when all is said and done. Highest
totals will be in unpopulated areas with no real way to know how
much has fallen, so did not issue any hazards with this storm.

After the storm exits this morning (satellite shows it moving
north and east) the shift to colder weather will begin. Some low
level stratus, also clearly depicted on satellite, will hold
temperatures on the warm side for today. However, the cold air
push coming from the arctic by way of Interior AK will not be held
off for long. Expect temperatures to plummet tonight (20 to 30
below) for interior areas of southwest Alaska and remain cold for
the rest of the week. Minimum temperatures tomorrow night will be
30 to 40 below. Close to the coast in the Y-K Delta, winds may be
strong enough to induce some wind chills below -40F, so we are
looking into a wind chill advisory for this area. Stay tuned as we
dial in that forecast.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 3/Wednesday
through Friday)...
A weak front sits over the central Bering, largely stationary but
drifting ever so slightly. It sits just west of the Pribilofs,
attached to its parent low over Kamchatka and sandwiched between
cold air on its backside and another low pressure system to its
east. This weak front is all that the Bering has going for the
moment, so weather will generally be quiet today. This will all
change tomorrow into tomorrow night, when the forecasted powerful
low pulls north from the Pacific and begins to send weather across
the western and central Aleutians. It is still expected to reach
peak strength before reaching our forecast area, so it will be on
the decline when it gets here. However, being it such a powerful
system, even though it will not be at its strongest there will
still be a large swath of storm force winds that crosses the
Aleutians and moves into the Central Bering tomorrow night. The
storm will then retrograde west on Friday, taking winds with it.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5)...

Beginning Friday, there is high confidence that a weakening but
still strong North Pacific low will be centered just south of the
Rat Islands of the Aleutians. A wide swath of easterly gale force
winds will cover most of the Western Bering with an area of storm
force winds expected to be impacting the western third of zone
413 and the southern half of zone 411. The low is expected to move
to the west then slowly push southwest of Shemya Friday night.
This will bring storm force winds south across the western half of
zone 178, including Shemya and Attu Island Friday evening through
Saturday morning. As the low continues to push further west,
another, albeit weaker, low is expected to move north across the
central Aleutians. There is still a fair amount of uncertainty
with this system, thus lower confidence, but there is overall
agreement that northeasterly gale force winds will continue across
a good portion of the western Bering Sea, with the potential for
areas of southerly gales to develop east of the Pribilofs by
Saturday night. Additionally, with the next system pushing north,
this should keep cold arctic air, and thus heavy freezing spray
potential, confined to the Northern Bering Seas, mostly over zone
185 over the weekend.

Over the Gulf of Alaska, conditions are expected to remain rather
tranquil before a front sweeps north across the area on Sunday.
Right now, winds are expected to remain predominately below gale
force, though there is still a fair amount of uncertainty
regarding the timing and track of this system.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7)...

The long term forecast begins Saturday with a big pattern change
in store for the southern mainland and Bering Sea. Brutally cold
arctic air under an upper level 'Polar Vortex' low will be
retreating north as the low is shoved north into the Arctic Sea by
a building inverted upper level ridge from the south. At the same
time, an upper level low will begin to build back in over the
Bering while a long wave ridge will build further east over the US
west coast. This will set the stage for deep southerly flow to
push north into the southern mainland by Sunday, bringing warm air
and plenty of moisture with it. Models depict multiple surface
features rotating around the base of the upper low into mainland
Alaska, though details surrounding these features are still murky
due to model inconsistencies. The first feature that both the EC
and GFS models are keying in on is a surface low (GFS) or short
wave trough (EC) moving north from the North Pacific and across
the AKPEN and southwest mainland around Sunday night. The track
with this system is vital to knowing the specific impacts. For
example, the GFS solution brings the low a bit further east over
the AKPEN, which is historically conducive for bringing a Chinook
wind into the Anchorage area. Meanwhile, the EC solution would
likely keep winds out of Anchorage and temperatures a bit cooler.

Regardless, there is high confidence that the pattern change will
bring much warmer and wetter weather to the region through at
least the middle of next week.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 121 127 130 139 160 180 185.
         Storms 177 178.
         Gales 127 130 173 174 175 176.
. FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...ALH
AVIATION...KH
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...BJB
MARINE/LONG TERM...KVP