Gale Warning 64, NWS Anchorage, AK

118 
FZAK51 PAFC 191251
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
351 AM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-200215-
351 AM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
Low pressure persists over the Gulf through Mon morning. A front
moves into the southwestern Gulf Mon morning. 

$$

PKZ119-200215-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
351 AM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of the Copper River Delta.
Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of the Copper River Delta.
Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of the Copper River Delta.
Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ120-200215-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
351 AM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

.TODAY...Variable wind 15 kt. Gusts to 25 kt out of Resurrection 
Bay. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Gusts to 25 kt out of Resurrection Bay. 
Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ121-200215-
Resurrection Bay-
351 AM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas building to 5 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-200215-
Prince William Sound-
351 AM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Gusts to 25 kt out of bays and passes. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Gusts to 30 kt out of bays and passes.
Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Gusts to 25 kt out of bays and passes. 
Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-200215-
Port Valdez-
351 AM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-200215-
Valdez Narrows-
351 AM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
Heavy freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-200215-
Valdez Arm-
351 AM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-200215-
Passage Canal-
351 AM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

.TODAY...W wind increasing to 20 kt. Gusts to 25 kt near Whittier
increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt near Whittier. Seas 2 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Gusts 
to 25 kt near Whittier in the morning. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-200215-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
351 AM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft 
in the afternoon. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-200215-
Barren Islands East-
351 AM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ132-200215-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
351 AM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ136-200215-
Chiniak Bay-
351 AM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT AND SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-200215-
Marmot Bay-
351 AM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-200215-
Shelikof Strait-
351 AM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-200215-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
351 AM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-200215-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
351 AM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Areas of fog. 
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt.
.MON...N wind 15 kt.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt.
.WED...E wind 10 kt.

$$

PKZ141-200215-
Kachemak Bay-
351 AM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

647 
FZAK51 PAFC 200035
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
335 PM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-201400-
335 PM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
Low pressure persists over the Gulf through Mon morning. A weak front
moves into the southwestern Gulf by Mon afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-201400-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
335 PM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of the Copper River 
Delta. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of the Copper River Delta. 
Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt out of the Copper River
Delta. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ120-201400-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
335 PM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Gusts to 35 kt near the coast. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ121-201400-
Resurrection Bay-
335 PM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. Seas 4 ft. Freezing 
spray.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
Freezing spray.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-201400-
Prince William Sound-
335 PM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Gusts to 30 kt out of bays and passes.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Gusts to 25 kt out of bays and passes.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-201400-
Port Valdez-
335 PM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-201400-
Valdez Narrows-
335 PM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-201400-
Valdez Arm-
335 PM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-201400-
Passage Canal-
335 PM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Gusts to 30 kt near Whittier.  
Freezing spray.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon.  Gusts 
to 25 kt near Whittier in the morning. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-201400-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
335 PM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight.
Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-201400-
Barren Islands East-
335 PM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ132-201400-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
335 PM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ136-201400-
Chiniak Bay-
335 PM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Snow and rain.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-201400-
Marmot Bay-
335 PM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft. Snow and rain.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-201400-
Shelikof Strait-
335 PM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-201400-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
335 PM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-201400-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
335 PM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt.

$$

PKZ141-201400-
Kachemak Bay-
335 PM AKST Sat Jan 19 2019

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

626 
FZAK51 PAFC 201250
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
350 AM AKST Sun Jan 20 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-210215-
350 AM AKST Sun Jan 20 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
Low pressure persists over the Gulf through Tue morning. A weak 
front moves into the central Gulf by Mon afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-210215-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
350 AM AKST Sun Jan 20 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of the Copper River Delta.
Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ120-210215-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
350 AM AKST Sun Jan 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ121-210215-
Resurrection Bay-
350 AM AKST Sun Jan 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.MON NIGHT...N wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-210215-
Prince William Sound-
350 AM AKST Sun Jan 20 2019

.TODAY...N wind to 15 kt. Seas to 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming E after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-210215-
Port Valdez-
350 AM AKST Sun Jan 20 2019

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-210215-
Valdez Narrows-
350 AM AKST Sun Jan 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-210215-
Valdez Arm-
350 AM AKST Sun Jan 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the late afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-210215-
Passage Canal-
350 AM AKST Sun Jan 20 2019

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Gusts to 25 kt near Whittier in the morning. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. Snow showers.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. Snow and rain.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-210215-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
350 AM AKST Sun Jan 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. Snow and rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-210215-
Barren Islands East-
350 AM AKST Sun Jan 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt near the Barren Islands 
in the morning. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ132-210215-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
350 AM AKST Sun Jan 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt, except NW 20 kt N of Dangerous Cape 
in the morning. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 11 ft in the
afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ136-210215-
Chiniak Bay-
350 AM AKST Sun Jan 20 2019

.TODAY...NW wind to 15 kt becoming variable less than 10 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 15 kt 
after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-210215-
Marmot Bay-
350 AM AKST Sun Jan 20 2019

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.MON...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-210215-
Shelikof Strait-
350 AM AKST Sun Jan 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft 
in the afternoon. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow with rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-210215-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
350 AM AKST Sun Jan 20 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-210215-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
350 AM AKST Sun Jan 20 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Patchy freezing fog.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Freezing spray.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE wind 15 kt.
.WED...E wind 15 kt.
.THU...E wind 10 kt.

$$

PKZ141-210215-
Kachemak Bay-
350 AM AKST Sun Jan 20 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas building to 3 ft.
.TONIGHT AND MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
453 AM AKST Fri Jan 18 2019

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

Upper level ridging extends over most of mainland Alaska and the
Gulf of Alaska this morning. This is leading to mostly clear and
cold conditions over Southcentral with strong surface inversions
forming across the area. The stable conditions are of course
leading to fog and low stratus formation with satellite imagery
showing widespread fog over the northern Gulf Coast and Prince
William Sound, including Cordova. Fog/low clouds can also be seen
over the southern end of the Copper River Basin slowly spreading
north towards Glennallen. Dense fog has also developed this
morning over the Anchorage Bowl area with all ASOS stations in the
Anchorage area reporting a 1/4 mile or less visibility. Cold air
over the interior is leading to offshore gap winds along the
coast, including through Thompson Pass and out of the Copper River
Delta.

Further west, a front associated with a low south of Cold Bay is
draped across the eastern AKPEN bringing gusty northerly winds and
snow to the area. A ridge is located over the central
Aleutians/Bering with cold northerly flow seen at the surface. A
front is pushing across the western Aleutians bringing rain and
snow showers accompanied with southerly gale force winds.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are handling the overall synoptic features well with good
agreement through most of the weekend, though they are struggling
with some of the mesoscale features like low clouds and fog over
Southcentral. Models begin to show some disagreement by the end of
Sunday as a North Pacific low south of the Aleutians moves north
towards the mainland. Timing and placement differences of this
system will have impacts on the incoming pattern change to the
southern mainland early next week. This is discussed further in
the Long Term section below.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Dense fog will persist due to a strong inversion and light
winds over the Anchorage area. This stagnant pattern will cause
LIFR conditions to remain through Saturday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3/Today
through Sunday night)...

An upper level ridge sitting over Southcentral has led to a
strengthening and deepening of surface-based temperature inversions
over inland portions of Southcentral. This is evident in the 12Z
Anchorage sounding, with an inversion from the surface up to about
3400 feet. As is typical, areas of fog and stratus have formed
beneath the inversion, most notably in Anchorage and vicinity.
Conditions will not change much until an upper level trough digs
down from the northwest on Saturday. The cold advection and
increase in low level flow accompanying this trough should be
enough to help erode at least some of the fog. Until then, have
issued a Dense Fog Advisory for Anchorage through midday Saturday.

The presence of the upper ridge followed by strengthening offshore
flow with the upper trough will maintain mostly dry conditions
across the region through the weekend. The short-wave trough will
become neutrally tilted as it bottoms out over Southcentral
Saturday night (instead of continuing to dig down into the Gulf).
This will generate some clouds and possibly some light
precipitation out ahead of it. Have included a chance of snow
from eastern Prince William Sound into the southern Copper River
Basin Saturday night through Sunday. The dry airmass in place
ahead of this trough along with offshore winds near the surface
will limit precipitation, so anything that does fall would be
quite light.

Lastly, the combination of cold air advection with the upper
trough and tightening surface pressure gradients will lead to
strengthening gap winds along the Gulf coast and Prince William
Sound Saturday through Sunday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

The weak frontal band stretching from the Kuskokwim Mountains
south across the Bristol Bay area will shear apart and dissipate
today as the shortwave to the north continues east and the low to
the south of the Alaska Peninsula rotates away to the southwest.
Strong northerly winds accelerating through the gaps and passes in
the eastern Aleutians and western Alaska Peninsula this morning
will turn more northeasterly and gradually diminish this afternoon
through tonight. Over mainland Southwest Alaska, breezy north
winds will also turn more northeasterly tonight through Saturday
but strengthen a bit as they do so. The cold dry northeast
offshore flow will persist through the weekend and then turn
easterly Sunday night and strengthen further as a frontal system
lifts north towards the Alaska Peninsula.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...

A frontal system currently stretching across the Western
Aleutians with an associated surface low to the west of Attu will
remain over the western Aleutians today and weaken slightly as the
surface low tracks away to the northwest. Another stronger surface
low will track up from the south tonight with its frontal system
bringing storm force winds to the western Aleutians late tonight
through early Saturday morning. To the east, high amplitude upper
level ridging over the central Aleutians will build north tonight to
form a large block high covering much of the Bering. The high will
shift to the northwest over eastern Russia and the northern Bering
Saturday night and Sunday. The strong pressure gradient between
this high and a deep low south of the Aleutians will bring gale
force easterlies to much of the southern two thirds of the Bering
and the Aleutians Sunday and Sunday night.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5...Sun through Tue)...

The likelihood of gale force easterly winds across much of the
Bering remains high on Sun. Coupled with some cold air, this could
also bring increased chances of freezing spray over the northern
zones, especially near the ice edge. Some models try bring a
stronger system from the North Pacific toward the Aleutian Chain
late Sun into early next week. This could bring some storm force
winds, but the chances of that look quite low.

Model uncertainty is even higher with developing systems towards
the Gulf of AK in this time. There is high confidence that Sun
will remain mostly below small craft level winds. But by early
Mon, the model disparity is so broad that it is hard to apply
certainty into any marine area. All that can really be said for
now is that winds will be on the increase with the best chance for
gales associated with system tracking near the southern side of
Kodiak Island by Tue.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7...Mon through Thu)...

A couple of key features will become important for the weather
pattern next week. The first consistent feature in model solutions
is a strong upper level Arctic low in place over the northern
half of the state by the end of the weekend. This will allow
colder temperatures to persist into early next week for most of
southern Alaska. Offshore winds will also make for even colder
wind chills in the usual places (YK Delta, Thompson Pass, and
Seward, etc.)

Accompanying this low is an upper level trough that
becomes elongated and extends over southwest Alaska through
Tuesday. A key interaction with this trough is a North Pacific
low moving over the AKPEN for Tuesday. Only the EC has held run-
to- run consistency with this feature.

While all models show the elongated trough to the north lifting
to the northwest by midweek, the GFS keeps the trough in a
positively tilted orientation over northern Alaska, while the EC
positions the trough in a N-S orientation over the Bering. This
results in the EC favoring an earlier arrival of a southern
stream of energy for the remainder of the week. The net effect
across southern Alaska will be a change from cold and dry to
warmer with better precipitation chances.

By the end of the period, models mostly fall back into agreement
with the influence of the North American ridge building along an
axis extending from Haida-Gwaii north through Interior Alaska.
Currently, the EC has shown signs of stronger, more organized
ridge development. This could lead to a deep fetch of moisture
arriving into southern Alaska by late next week with growing
confidence in much warmer temperatures.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Dense Fog Advisory 101
MARINE...Gales...155, 170, 172, 177, 411
         Storms...178
         Heavy Freezing Spray...160, 180, 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KVP
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JR
MARINE/LONG TERM...KO/MO