Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2019

Gale Warning 620, NWS Anchorage, AK

November 12, 2019

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Nov 12, 2019, 3:57 PM AKST. It was in force for 59 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 12, 2019, 3:57 PM AKST (00:57 UTC)
Expired
Nov 15, 2019, 2:57 AM AKST
In force
59 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

759 
FZAK52 PAFC 130057
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
357 PM AKST Tue Nov 12 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-131345-
357 PM AKST Tue Nov 12 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 949 mb low 385 nm South of Cold Bay moves to 210 nm Southeast 
of Sitkinak at 965 mb by Thu afternoon. Its front spreads over the
Eastern Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula into the Gulf of Alaska 
through Thu afternoon. A 998 mb low 425 nm North of Attu 
dissipates Wed morning. A front approaches the Western Aleutians 
and Bering for Thu afternoon.

NOTICE: Please comment on a U.S. Coast Guard proposal to 
terminate medium frequency NAVTEX broadcasts. Visit 
https://go.usa.gov/xVHc3 to submit comments by November 12, 2019.

$$

PKZ150-131345-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
357 PM AKST Tue Nov 12 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 20 ft after
midnight.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ155-131345-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
357 PM AKST Tue Nov 12 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.WED...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ160-131345-
Bristol Bay-
357 PM AKST Tue Nov 12 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-131345-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
357 PM AKST Tue Nov 12 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ170-131345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
357 PM AKST Tue Nov 12 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ171-131345-
Unalaska Bay-
357 PM AKST Tue Nov 12 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-131345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
357 PM AKST Tue Nov 12 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ173-131345-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
357 PM AKST Tue Nov 12 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.WED...N wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ174-131345-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
357 PM AKST Tue Nov 12 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.WED...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ175-131345-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
357 PM AKST Tue Nov 12 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ176-131345-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
357 PM AKST Tue Nov 12 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ177-131345-
Adak to Kiska-
357 PM AKST Tue Nov 12 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ178-131345-
Kiska to Attu-
357 PM AKST Tue Nov 12 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ179-131345-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
357 PM AKST Tue Nov 12 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ180-131345-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
357 PM AKST Tue Nov 12 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray north 
of Cape Newenham.
.THU...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-131345-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
357 PM AKST Tue Nov 12 2019

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ185-131345-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
357 PM AKST Tue Nov 12 2019

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, NE wind 30 kt. W of Saint
Matthew Island, NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$
5 follow-up statements
652 
FZAK52 PAFC 131155
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
255 AM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-140045-
255 AM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 952 mb low 305 nm south of Cold Bay moves to 265 nm south of 
Sitkinak at 960 mb Thu morning. Its front spreads over the eastern
Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula through Thu afternoon. A 982 mb 
low develops along the front 80 nm southeast of Cape Newenham Thu
afternoon and remains nearly stationary through Fri morning. A 
front approaches the western Aleutians and Bering Thu afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-140045-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
255 AM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ155-140045-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
255 AM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ160-140045-
Bristol Bay-
255 AM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-140045-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
255 AM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ170-140045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
255 AM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ171-140045-
Unalaska Bay-
255 AM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-140045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
255 AM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ173-140045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
255 AM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ174-140045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
255 AM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ175-140045-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
255 AM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ176-140045-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
255 AM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ177-140045-
Adak to Kiska-
255 AM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ178-140045-
Kiska to Attu-
255 AM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ179-140045-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
255 AM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ180-140045-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
255 AM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray near the
coast N of Cape Newenham.
.THU...N wind 35 kt, except 25 kt S of Cape Newenham. Seas 10 ft. 
Freezing spray near the
coast N of Cape Newenham. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ181-140045-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
255 AM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ185-140045-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
255 AM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$
998 
FZAK52 PAFC 140044
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
344 PM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-141330-
344 PM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 958 mb low 400 nm SE of Dutch Harbor Wed afternoon will move to 
290 nm SE of Kodiak at 968 mb Thu afternoon. A front extending across
the central Bering Sea Wed afternoon will move over the western 
Aleutian Islands Thu afternoon. A complex 979 mb low will develop 
over the Alaska Peninsula Fri afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-141330-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
344 PM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ155-141330-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
344 PM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt except N 25 kt from the Shumagin Islands E.
Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ160-141330-
Bristol Bay-
344 PM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-141330-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
344 PM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow showers.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ170-141330-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
344 PM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ171-141330-
Unalaska Bay-
344 PM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow showers.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ172-141330-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
344 PM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ173-141330-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
344 PM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ174-141330-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
344 PM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ175-141330-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
344 PM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ176-141330-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
344 PM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ177-141330-
Adak to Kiska-
344 PM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ178-141330-
Kiska to Attu-
344 PM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ179-141330-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
344 PM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Snow showers.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ180-141330-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
344 PM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray near the
coast N of Cape Newenham.
.THU...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ181-141330-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
344 PM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Freezing spray. Snow
showers.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ185-141330-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
344 PM AKST Wed Nov 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$
792 
FZAK52 PAFC 141219
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
319 AM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-150045-
319 AM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 962 mb low 265 nm south of Chignik will move to 220 nm southeast
of Kodiak City at 978 mb Fri morning. A front extending across 
the southern Bering Sea Thu morning will move over the Aleutian 
Islands Thu afternoon. A 977 mb low will develop 85 nm south of
Togiak by Thu afternoon and transition to a complex 979 mb low
over Bristol Bay and the AKPEN for Fri morning. This complex low
remains nearly stationary at 985 mb through Sat morning.

$$

PKZ150-150045-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
319 AM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight. Seas 9
ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ155-150045-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
319 AM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt, except N 25 kt from the Shumagin Islands E.
Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ160-150045-
Bristol Bay-
319 AM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers and snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain with snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-150045-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
319 AM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow showers.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Snow showers.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ170-150045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
319 AM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ171-150045-
Unalaska Bay-
319 AM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow showers.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ172-150045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
319 AM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ173-150045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
319 AM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ174-150045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
319 AM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ175-150045-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
319 AM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ176-150045-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
319 AM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ177-150045-
Adak to Kiska-
319 AM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ178-150045-
Kiska to Attu-
319 AM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ179-150045-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
319 AM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Snow showers.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ180-150045-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
319 AM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray near the
coast N of Cape Newenham. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.  Snow and rain.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ181-150045-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
319 AM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Freezing spray. 
Snow showers.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ185-150045-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
319 AM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$
152 
FZAK52 PAFC 150038
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
338 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-151315-
338 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A front extending along the Aleutian Islands this afternoon will
move into the North Pacific early Fri morning. A complex 980 mb 
low will develop 80 nm north of Nelson Lagoon Fri afternoon. The 
low will then move over the northern AKPEN Sat afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-151315-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
338 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming W 20 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ155-151315-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
338 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ160-151315-
Bristol Bay-
338 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt except W from Pilot Point S. Seas 5 ft. 
Freezing spray near the north coast. Rain showers and snow.
.FRI...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-151315-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
338 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ170-151315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
338 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ171-151315-
Unalaska Bay-
338 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after
midnight.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-151315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
338 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ173-151315-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
338 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ174-151315-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
338 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...S wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

PKZ175-151315-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
338 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ176-151315-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
338 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...S wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ177-151315-
Adak to Kiska-
338 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ178-151315-
Kiska to Attu-
338 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ179-151315-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
338 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 
14 ft. Snow showers.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ180-151315-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
338 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt except variable 10 kt S of Cape Newenham. 
Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt except variable 10 kt S of Cape Newenham. Seas 
5 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt except variable 10 kt S of Cape Newenham..
Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ181-151315-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
338 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ185-151315-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
338 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$
424 
FZAK52 PAFC 151157
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
257 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-160045-
257 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A complex 980 mb low 120 nm southwest of Togiak Fri morning will
move to 70 nm southeast of Togiak at 985 mb Sat morning. The low 
will then move over the northern AKPEN Sat afternoon. A 988 mb
Kamchatka low sweeps a front across the Western Aleutians Fri
morning and to the central Aleutians Sat morning before
dissipating. A 988 mb low 250 nm west of Shemya moves to 145 nm
north of Shemya at 984mb Sun morning.

$$

PKZ150-160045-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
257 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ155-160045-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
257 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft.

$$

PKZ160-160045-
Bristol Bay-
257 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2019

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...E wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ165-160045-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
257 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ170-160045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
257 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ171-160045-
Unalaska Bay-
257 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-160045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
257 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 30 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 30 ft.

$$

PKZ173-160045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
257 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ174-160045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
257 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...S wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 29 ft.

$$

PKZ175-160045-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
257 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ176-160045-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
257 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...S wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft.

$$

PKZ177-160045-
Adak to Kiska-
257 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...N wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ178-160045-
Kiska to Attu-
257 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 17 ft in the
afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ179-160045-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
257 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ180-160045-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
257 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ181-160045-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
257 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ185-160045-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
257 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 12, 4:02 AM AKST, 11 hours 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 12, 4:02 AM AKST, 11 hours 55 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
402 AM AKST Tue Nov 12 2019

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A broad 990 mb low continues to lift slowly northward into the
Gulf of Alaska this morning. The early morning ASCAT scatterometer
pass indicates a band of easterly gales ahead of the associated
occluded front as it, too, lifts north along the Southeast Alaska
coast. Inland, a 1023 mb high is anchored over the Yukon with an
axis stretching across the Copper River Basin. The tight pressure
gradient between it and the low in the southern Gulf has allowed
gusty northerly, outflow winds to persist along the Southcentral
Coast, especially out of the Copper River Delta and the Valdez Arm
and Narrows.

Temperatures across Southcentral this morning range from the
single digits below zero to the teens in the Copper River Basin,
to the 20s across the Susitna Valley and the lower to upper 30s
for coastal locations. Low stratus continues to linger across the
southern half of the Copper River Basin as well as along the
Southcentral coast where a few scattered showers are showing up on
radar. A weak, lee-side trough extends across the Alaska Range and
is producing areas of mid-level clouds across the interior this
morning.

Farther west, a vertically stacked low west of Saint Matthew
Island continues to weaken as it tracks to the northwest. An
occluded front associated with this low stretches across the
northern Bering to the Kuskokwim Valley. Scattered cloud cover and
a few isolated showers remain over the Y-K Delta but are
dissipating quickly as the front shears apart.

The main weather feature, and the focus for the upcoming forecast
across the Gulf and Southcentral Alaska, is a 953 mb storm-force
low currently 400 miles south of Dutch Harbor. This system
continues to deepen as it sits in the favorable left exit region
of a 130 kt cyclonic jet streak as is accompanied by a
strengthening upper-level shortwave and cold air advection digging
south across the Bering. The warm front associated with this
feature is lifting north toward the AKPEN and eastern Aleutians
this morning with widespread rain and gusty east to northeast
winds from Cold Bay to Nikolski.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models continue to struggle with the interplay between an arctic
trough over western Alaska dropping south over the Bering and a
low lifting north into the Gulf with associated upper-level
shortwaves. Specifically, there are subtle, yet important,
differences regarding the timing of the fronts as they approach
the northern Gulf coast, the orientation of winds aloft, and the
development and track of a secondary northern Gulf low late
Wednesday into Thursday.

For example, the latest NAM and GEM runs are a bit faster with
the progression of the initial front early Wednesday and keeps
the flow aloft oriented in a way to minimize the downslope
potential for the western Kenai Peninsula and Anchorage Bowl.
Conversely, the GFS is slower with the initial front and keeps
more of a southeasterly, cross-barrier flow aloft over the coast.
This could help limit precipitation amounts for the
aforementioned areas. Needless to say, all of this will affect the
onset of precipitation across Southcentral Alaska, as well as the
amount and type. Overall, the biggest challenge in the short term
will be precipitation type as conditions will be right on the
edge between freezing rain and snow. See the Southcentral forecast
discussion for more details.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions and light, northerly winds will persist.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The main focus for the short term forecast surrounds the next
storm moving up from the Gulf on Wednesday, bringing increased
precipitation chances through Thursday. At the onset of this
event, temperatures will be in the lower to mid 30s just inland
with much colder temperatures in the 20s further north. Therefore,
precipitation will be a mix of rain, freezing rain and snow.
Another challenge with this system is snow amounts across the
Copper River Basin as this storm system brings a deep fetch of
southerly moisture Wednesday and Wednesday night. Thompson Pass is
expected to remain below freezing for this event and is expected
to have blowing snow as winds remain gusty out of the northeast.

For today, generally dry conditions are expected. The exception
to this will be Kodiak Island, where enough moisture remains over
the Gulf to produce precipitation. Tonight a front will move
north through the Gulf, bringing rain to Kodiak Island beginning
this evening. Rain will then spread north to the eastern Kenai
peninsula late tonight. Inland areas will remain dry.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

Weak ridging will sit over southwest Alaska today keeping
conditions dry through most of the day. Tonight a front will move
over the area from the south, bringing rain back to areas around
Bristol Bay with snow farther inland. There is also a slight
chance to see periods of light freezing rain into Wednesday
morning. The front will stall and weaken around Bristol Bay
bringing a mix of rain and snow to the area through Wednesday.
Meanwhile, northeast outflow winds will increase across southwest
Alaska through Wednesday dropping temps around the area with lows
in the Lower Kuskokwim Valley dropping to around 0F Wednesday
night.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

There are two lows impacting the area with one in the Bering and a
stronger one south of the eastern Aleutians. The Bering low is
weakening and will dissipate tonight. The North Pacific low will
slowly track east staying to the south of the eastern Aleutians
and Alaska Peninsula. However, it will bring rain and strong winds
to those areas as it moves through. The strongest winds will be
this morning and they will taper down through Wednesday.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5)...

From Wednesday night through Saturday, winds in the western and
central Gulf will generally remain 30 knots or less. Localized
Gales are possible at time from southern Cook Inlet, across the
Barren Islands through Shelikof straits as troughs and fronts
rotate through with brief periods of Gales also possible along the
barrier jet region of the northern Gulf Coast. Northeasterly
Gales are expected to persist over the northern Bering near Saint
Matthew Island Wednesday night through Friday and along portions
of the Kuskokwim Delta coast through Thursday. Winds across the
remainder of the Bering, Aleutians and near the Alaska Peninsula
are expected to generally remain 30 knots or less into Saturday.
A shift to a significantly stormier pattern is likely Sunday
through the middle of next week.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

By Thursday afternoon, the upper level pattern will have
progressed to a large double centered upper level low stretched
across much of the area. The colder upper level low center off of
the Kuskokwim Delta Coast will rotate to the south then east and
into Bristol Bay through Friday, while the warmer upper level low
to the southeast of Kodiak Island lifts northeast into the
central Gulf as it continues to weaken. By Friday afternoon the
Gulf low will dissipate into an open trough and frontal system
stretched across the northern Gulf coast with the low over
Bristol Bay becoming the dominant circulation.

The next North Pacific frontal system will track into the far
southern Gulf Friday afternoon and evening and then continue to
the northeast into the eastern Gulf Friday night through Saturday
to be followed by an additional frontal wave following a similar
track Saturday night and Sunday. Meanwhile, the low over Bristol
Bay will move slowly to the northeast sliding onshore over the
Kuskokwim Delta Saturday through Saturday night with several
associated frontal bands and troughs rotating through Southwest
Alaska late Thursday night through Sunday morning. The upper low
will open to a trough and lift northeast into interior Alaska
Sunday and Sunday night swinging a shortwave trough through
Southeast Alaska.

A strong westerly jet stream will push in south of the Aleutians
Sunday and Monday then strengthen through the middle of next week.
This pattern shift will open the door for a series of strong, fast
moving systems tracking in from the west along the Aleutian chain
and pushing progressively further east into southern Alaska and
the Gulf.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Gale Warning 130 131 138 139 155 160 165 170 172 173 174
176 180 181 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...TM
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DK
MARINE/LONG TERM...JR

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 12, 3:11 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC49 hr
Nov 12, 3:11 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC3 days
Nov 12, 3:51 PM AKSTBlizzard WarningAFC45 hr
Nov 12, 3:51 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Nov 12, 3:51 PM AKSTWinter Storm WatchAFC22 hr
Nov 12, 3:51 PM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFC45 hr
Nov 12, 3:57 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC5 days
Nov 12, 3:57 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC48 hr
Nov 13, 2:55 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC61 hr
Nov 13, 3:01 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC72 hr
Nov 13, 9:18 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC7 hr
Nov 13, 1:41 PM AKSTWinter Storm WarningAFC26 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2019Every gale warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.