Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2019

Gale Warning 609, NWS Anchorage, AK

November 6, 2019

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Nov 6, 2019, 3:13 AM AKST. It was in force for 36 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 6, 2019, 3:13 AM AKST (12:13 UTC)
Expired
Nov 7, 2019, 3:18 PM AKST
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

995 
FZAK52 PAFC 061213
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
313 AM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-070045-
313 AM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 990 mb low 90 nm northwest of Cold Bay moves to 90 nm southwest
of Saint George at 987 mb Thu morning and then moves to 130 nm
west of Saint Paul at 992 mb Fri morning. A 993 mb low 300 nm 
west of Shemya Wed night moves to 125 nm northwest of Shemya at 
998 mb Thu morning before merging with the Bering low Thu night.

NOTICE: Please comment on a U.S. Coast Guard proposal to 
terminate medium frequency NAVTEX broadcasts. Visit 
https://go.usa.gov/xVHc3 to submit comments by November 12, 2019.

$$

PKZ150-070045-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
313 AM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt late afternoon. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ155-070045-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
313 AM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt except SE 25 kt in the morning from the 
Shumagin Islands E. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ160-070045-
Bristol Bay-
313 AM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ165-070045-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
313 AM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt except E 25 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt except variable 10 kt from Port Moller E.
Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ170-070045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
313 AM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ171-070045-
Unalaska Bay-
313 AM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-070045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
313 AM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ173-070045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
313 AM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ174-070045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
313 AM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ175-070045-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
313 AM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ176-070045-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
313 AM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-070045-
Adak to Kiska-
313 AM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ178-070045-
Kiska to Attu-
313 AM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ179-070045-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
313 AM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ180-070045-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
313 AM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-070045-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
313 AM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ185-070045-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
313 AM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$
3 follow-up statements
407 
FZAK52 PAFC 070021
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
321 PM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-071300-
321 PM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 987 mb low 190 nm NW of Dutch Harbor Wed Afternoon will move 
160 nm SW of Saint Paul at 988 mb Thu afternoon. The low then 
moves 192 nm NW of Saint Paul at 996 mb Fri afternoon.

NOTICE: Please comment on a U.S. Coast Guard proposal to 
terminate medium frequency NAVTEX broadcasts. Visit 
https://go.usa.gov/xVHc3 to submit comments by November 12, 2019.

$$

PKZ150-071300-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
321 PM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ155-071300-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
321 PM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt except SE 20 kt from the Shumagin
Islands E. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ160-071300-
Bristol Bay-
321 PM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ165-071300-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
321 PM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt except variable 10 kt from Port Moller E.
Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ170-071300-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
321 PM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ171-071300-
Unalaska Bay-
321 PM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-071300-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
321 PM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ173-071300-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
321 PM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ174-071300-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
321 PM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ175-071300-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
321 PM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ176-071300-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
321 PM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ177-071300-
Adak to Kiska-
321 PM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ178-071300-
Kiska to Attu-
321 PM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ179-071300-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
321 PM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ180-071300-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
321 PM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-071300-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
321 PM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ185-071300-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
321 PM AKST Wed Nov 6 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$
820 
FZAK52 PAFC 071232
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
332 AM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-080115-
332 AM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 987 mb Bering low 105 nm southwest of Saint George remains 
stationary before dissipating Sat morning. A 998 mb low 115 nm
west of Shemya merges with the Bering low Thu afternoon. A 992 mb
low 155 nm southwest of Shemya enters the western Aleutians Sat 
morning.

NOTICE: Please comment on a U.S. Coast Guard proposal to 
terminate medium frequency NAVTEX broadcasts. Visit 
https://go.usa.gov/xVHc3 to submit comments by November 12, 2019.

$$

PKZ150-080115-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
332 AM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ155-080115-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
332 AM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ160-080115-
Bristol Bay-
332 AM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-080115-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
332 AM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt except variable 10 kt from Port Moller E.
Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt except SE 15 kt from Port Moller E.
Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ170-080115-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
332 AM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ171-080115-
Unalaska Bay-
332 AM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ172-080115-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
332 AM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ173-080115-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
332 AM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ174-080115-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
332 AM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

PKZ175-080115-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
332 AM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ176-080115-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
332 AM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft.

$$

PKZ177-080115-
Adak to Kiska-
332 AM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ178-080115-
Kiska to Attu-
332 AM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ179-080115-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
332 AM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ180-080115-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
332 AM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ181-080115-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
332 AM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ185-080115-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
332 AM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$
297 
FZAK52 PAFC 080018
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
318 PM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-081330-
318 PM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 990 mb low 194 nm southwest of Saint Paul Thu afternoon will 
move 150 nm southwest of Saint Paul at 997 mb Fri afternoon. 
Another 988 mb low will move into the southwestern Bering Sea Sat 
afternoon.

NOTICE: Please comment on a U.S. Coast Guard proposal to 
terminate medium frequency NAVTEX broadcasts. Visit 
https://go.usa.gov/xVHc3 to submit comments by November 12, 2019.

$$

PKZ150-081330-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
318 PM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ155-081330-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
318 PM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt except SE 15 kt from the Shumagin
Islands E. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7
ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ160-081330-
Bristol Bay-
318 PM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-081330-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
318 PM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt except SE 15 kt from Port Moller E.
Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ170-081330-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
318 PM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ171-081330-
Unalaska Bay-
318 PM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-081330-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
318 PM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming variable less than 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ173-081330-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
318 PM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ174-081330-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
318 PM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft.

$$

PKZ175-081330-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
318 PM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ176-081330-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
318 PM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft.

$$

PKZ177-081330-
Adak to Kiska-
318 PM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ178-081330-
Kiska to Attu-
318 PM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ179-081330-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
318 PM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ180-081330-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
318 PM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ181-081330-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
318 PM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ185-081330-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
318 PM AKST Thu Nov 7 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11
ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 5, 4:50 PM AKST, 10 hours 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 5, 4:50 PM AKST, 10 hours 23 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
450 PM AKST Tue Nov 5 2019

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The upper levels are fairly convoluted today. A developing upper
level shortwave is diving down from the Bering Strait along the
Eastern Bering Sea. This is producing what looks like a baroclinic
leaf on satellite with lower pressure trying to establish itself
near the surface as almost an inverted trough. Inland over the AK
Range, a ridge of high pressure is helping to keep some colder air
over the interior portions of the state. A weak shortwave is
drifting from south to north across Southcentral. This led to
brief periods of mixed precipitation (sleet, rain, freezing rain)
over portions of the Cook Inlet and the Matanuska Valley earlier
today. The primary upper level 300 mb (30,000') jet is over the
Western Aleutians. It drives in from west to east at around 140
kts before turning sharply to the north at 115 kts. This serves to
support a weakening 970 mb low over the extreme Western Bering.
Storm force winds were reported overnight at Shemya.

Surface temperatures across much of SW AK remain well below
freezing. As warm air continues to flow over top of this cold
layer, widespread freezing rain has been observed. The 12z
sounding at Bethel was a classic representation of a thermodynamic
environment primed for freezing rain. As of noon Tue, the Bethel
Airport had already received a third of inch of ice accumulation. The
YK- Delta looks to be seeing the worst of this event, however,
many other places in the Lower Kuskokwim Valley and interior part
of Bristol Bay are also reporting periods of mixed precipitation.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...In the short term, models remain in rather
good agreement and thus, forecast confidence in moderate to high.
All major synoptic features through Thu are handled well by the
major models. Some of the finer details that will have to be
closely assessed will be precipitation types through the area and
the end time of the freezing rain across the YK-Delta. This
package utilized mostly hand edits to address these details. By
Fri, the models diverage wildly across the Gulf of AK with a
developing surface low. The GFS appears to be an aggressive
outlier with this system, so the forecast trends towards the
ECMWF.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light north winds will persist. A front
will bring some gusty southeast winds to the Turnagain Arm and the
Hillside tonight into Wed, but these should remain clear of the
terminal.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3:
Tonight through Thursday)...

A weakening warm front lifting northward over Southcentral is
bringing mixed precipitation to the region. The current freezing
line is just north of Wasilla. Thus, anywhere north will see snow.
Areas to the south will mostly stay dry in downsloped flow on the
windward side of the Chugach Mountains, however periods of drizzle
cannot be ruled out this evening. Accumulating snow is also
likely along the Parks Hwy in Broad Pass. Gusty southeasterly
winds up to 50 mph will continue through Turnagain Arm through
Wednesday. The same general precipitation pattern will persist
through Thursday with rain across Kodiak Island and coastal
Prince William Sound. Snow will continue further inland, with
3-5" possible along the Denali Hwy between Cantwell and Paxson.
Anchorage and the Matanuska Valley will generally remain dry and
any precipitation will fall as rain with temperatures near 40.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

The prolonged freezing rain event will continue across the
Kuskokwim Delta through the night as a front continues across
Southwest Alaska. Bethel, which has already reported warning
criteria ice accumulations (0.25 inch), will likely see more
freezing rain through the early Wednesday morning hours when the
precipitation will then switch over to snow. Areas north of Bethel
near the coast and across the Kuskokwim Valley could see freezing
rain hanging on for a few extra hours until their temperatures
warm up enough above freezing to make their transition to rainfall
as well. The exact time that precipitation will switch over to
rain is still a bit uncertain, but will be closely watched heading
into the overnight hours.

By Wednesday afternoon, showers across the Kuskokwim Delta begin
to taper off, with any precipitation confined to the coastal areas
as the front moves out of the area. However, the showery pattern
will return late on Wednesday through Thursday as a trough pattern
moves over Southwest Alaska.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

A gale force front stretched over the western Aleutians and Bering
associated with a Kamchatka low will weaken and lift northward out
of the areas. Small craft winds, extending from Bristol Bay to
the north central Bering will continue as a North Pacific low
center moves over the Pribilofs through Wednesday afternoon. These
stronger winds will continue to push northward as the low weakens
over the central Bering. The next system entering the region on
Wednesday afternoon will stay south of the western Aleutian Chain
continuing south of the central Chain through Thursday. This low
could bring a brief period of small craft winds to the forecast
area as it moves towards the North Pacific.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5: Friday through Sunday)...

A gale force low may move northward across the western Bering
starting with the western Aleutians Saturday afternoon, and
continuing in the western Bering through Sunday. Gale force winds
are possible over the Gulf on Sunday, but there is a high degree
of uncertainty with the timing and track of the low, and is
considered low confidence.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7: Friday through Tuesday)...

More of the same in the long-term forecast regarding a high degree
of uncertainty and low confidence. Here are the aspects of the
forecast where there is some certainty: a trough over the central
Bering, the remnants of the low that is currently there, will
dissipate as a weakening North Pacific low sits south of the
eastern Aleutians/AKPEN. A second low will move into the western
Aleutians and Bering through Sunday, but will track north and
should not cause significant impacts. The weather across the
mainland should be relatively dry and quiet through Saturday. Then
depending on how fast another North Pacific low tracks north
across the Gulf, there could be more active weather Sunday into
Monday. Most of the models agree on somewhat colder airmass
settling into the Copper River Basin Friday and Saturday, which in
turn could make for windy conditions through Thompson Pass and
the Matanuska Valley.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Storm Warning 152 155.
MARINE...Gale Warning 120 130 131 139.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MO
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...AP
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...AH
MARINE/LONG TERM...JW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 5, 3:49 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC60 hr
Nov 5, 3:53 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC7 days
Nov 6, 3:10 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Nov 6, 3:10 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2019Every gale warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.