Gale Warning 472, NWS Anchorage, AK

493 
FZAK52 PAFC 252347
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
347 PM AKDT Wed Sep 25 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-261315-
347 PM AKDT Wed Sep 25 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A front associated with a 981 mb Kamchatka low in the central
Bering moves into the eastern Bering Thu afternoon before moving
onshore Fri afternoon. A secondary front over the western Bering
moves into the central Bering Thu afternoon before dissipating by
Fri afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-261315-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
347 PM AKDT Wed Sep 25 2019

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ155-261315-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
347 PM AKDT Wed Sep 25 2019

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt except variable 10 kt from the Shumagin
Islands E. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ160-261315-
Bristol Bay-
347 PM AKDT Wed Sep 25 2019

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SW wind 10 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-261315-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
347 PM AKDT Wed Sep 25 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt except SE 20 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ170-261315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
347 PM AKDT Wed Sep 25 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ171-261315-
Unalaska Bay-
347 PM AKDT Wed Sep 25 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-261315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
347 PM AKDT Wed Sep 25 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ173-261315-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
347 PM AKDT Wed Sep 25 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ174-261315-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
347 PM AKDT Wed Sep 25 2019

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ175-261315-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
347 PM AKDT Wed Sep 25 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ176-261315-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
347 PM AKDT Wed Sep 25 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ177-261315-
Adak to Kiska-
347 PM AKDT Wed Sep 25 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ178-261315-
Kiska to Attu-
347 PM AKDT Wed Sep 25 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
16 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ179-261315-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
347 PM AKDT Wed Sep 25 2019

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 14 ft after
midnight.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ180-261315-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
347 PM AKDT Wed Sep 25 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-261315-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
347 PM AKDT Wed Sep 25 2019

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-261315-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
347 PM AKDT Wed Sep 25 2019

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 35 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... S 30 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

099 
FZAK52 PAFC 261131
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
331 AM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-270045-
331 AM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A front associated with a 981 mb Kamchatka low in the central
Bering moves into the eastern Bering through Fri morning then
dissipates late Fri night. A weakening secondary front in the 
western Aleutians moves into the central Bering by Fri morning and
dissipates by Sat morning.

$$

PKZ150-270045-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
331 AM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SE wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ155-270045-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
331 AM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt except variable 10 kt E of the Shumagin 
Islands. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ160-270045-
Bristol Bay-
331 AM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-270045-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
331 AM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt, increasing to 25 kt W of Port Moller. Seas 4 
ft, except 8 ft W of Port Moller.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ170-270045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
331 AM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 
ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ171-270045-
Unalaska Bay-
331 AM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-270045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
331 AM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the evening. Seas 10 
ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ173-270045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
331 AM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 13
ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ174-270045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
331 AM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt becoming variable 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ175-270045-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
331 AM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11
ft subsiding to 8 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ176-270045-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
331 AM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ177-270045-
Adak to Kiska-
331 AM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ178-270045-
Kiska to Attu-
331 AM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 
ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ179-270045-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
331 AM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 17
ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-270045-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
331 AM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-270045-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
331 AM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ185-270045-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
331 AM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...S 30 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...S 30 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

715 
FZAK52 PAFC 270000
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
400 PM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-271230-
400 PM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A front associated with a 983 mb Kamchatka low in the eastern
Bering dissipates Sat morning. A secondary front enters the central 
Bering before dissipating Sat morning. A front associated with a 1005 mb
North Pacific low enters the eastern Aleutians Sat morning.

$$

PKZ150-271230-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
400 PM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ155-271230-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
400 PM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ160-271230-
Bristol Bay-
400 PM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ165-271230-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
400 PM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt except S 25 kt from Port Moller E. 
Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ170-271230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
400 PM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ171-271230-
Unalaska Bay-
400 PM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-271230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
400 PM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ173-271230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
400 PM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ174-271230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
400 PM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ175-271230-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
400 PM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ176-271230-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
400 PM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ177-271230-
Adak to Kiska-
400 PM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ178-271230-
Kiska to Attu-
400 PM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ179-271230-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
400 PM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-271230-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
400 PM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-271230-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
400 PM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-271230-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
400 PM AKDT Thu Sep 26 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...S 30 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

236 
FZAK52 PAFC 271113
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
313 AM AKDT Fri Sep 27 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-280030-
313 AM AKDT Fri Sep 27 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A front associated with a 983 mb Kamchatka low in the eastern
Bering dissipates Sat morning. A secondary front enters the 
central Bering before dissipating Sat morning. A front associated
with a 1005 mb North Pacific low enters the eastern Aleutians Sat
morning.

$$

PKZ150-280030-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
313 AM AKDT Fri Sep 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ155-280030-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
313 AM AKDT Fri Sep 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming variable 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SE wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ160-280030-
Bristol Bay-
313 AM AKDT Fri Sep 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ165-280030-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
313 AM AKDT Fri Sep 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming variable 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. From Port Moller E, SE wind 15 kt
increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ170-280030-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
313 AM AKDT Fri Sep 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the 
afternoon. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ171-280030-
Unalaska Bay-
313 AM AKDT Fri Sep 27 2019

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-280030-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
313 AM AKDT Fri Sep 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ173-280030-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
313 AM AKDT Fri Sep 27 2019

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ174-280030-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
313 AM AKDT Fri Sep 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt becoming variable 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ175-280030-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
313 AM AKDT Fri Sep 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ176-280030-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
313 AM AKDT Fri Sep 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ177-280030-
Adak to Kiska-
313 AM AKDT Fri Sep 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ178-280030-
Kiska to Attu-
313 AM AKDT Fri Sep 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ179-280030-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
313 AM AKDT Fri Sep 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ180-280030-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
313 AM AKDT Fri Sep 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-280030-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
313 AM AKDT Fri Sep 27 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt becoming variable less than 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-280030-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
313 AM AKDT Fri Sep 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
348 PM AKDT Tue Sep 24 2019

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
An upper-level low near the Bering Strait is driving a shortwave
over Southcentral Alaska. Cloud cover is extensive as the wave
and its dying surface front are working through, rainfall in the
region has been minimal at best thus far.

Over Southwest, another shortwave connected to the Bering Strait
low is driving a stronger push of convection moving quickly into
the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta where scattered showers are moving into
the Kuskokwim Mountains and radar returns over the far Western
Coast indicate snow at 15,000 to 16,000 feet, though sensible
weather below is overcast and with showers and mist. This is the
feature that is being tracked for potential high terrain snow over
Southcentral Wednesday.

Further west, a more powerful upper-level low over the Kamchatka
Peninsula is driving a vigorous jet and developing gale into the
western Bering Sea with a shortwave ridge move eastward ahead of
it.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are in general agreement with timing and strength of main
pressure centers near and over Alaska at this point. Main timing
differences seem concentrated under the Pacific jet where low
centers and frontal positions get out of sync beginning Wednesday
into Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds continue. An upper-level
trough swinging in from the west will bring scattered showers this evening
which may briefly lower ceilings to MVFR in the vicinity, however
overall VFR conditions are expected to prevail through mid
morning Wednesday. The second round of precipitation Wednesday may
bring a period of more intense precipitation and lower ceiling and
visibility for a time Wednesday midday and afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

A weak upper trough is moving across the Alaska Range into
Southcentral as we speak, and this is spreading moisture northward
from Cook Inlet into the Susitna Valley. The low will strengthen
as it moves east, so the best precipitation amounts will be over
the Susitna Valley, Copper Basin, and the North Gulf Coast from
Prince William Sound eastward. Snow levels will not be
particularly low and will likely remain above 3000 feet across
most locations. There will be a break in activity before the next
shortwave trough tracks across the Alaska Range on Wednesday
morning, bringing more rain to the region. The low will favor
locations north of the Kenai Peninsula, although all areas should
see at least light rain. Given the forward speed of the trough,
precipitation will be rather quick hitting for locales west of the
Chugach and Talkeetna Mountains. Cold air behind the trough will
drop snow levels as low as 2000 feet, but any snow above that
elevation should not be significant. The Copper Basin may briefly
see rain/snow down to the surface Wednesday evening. Thereafter,
decent cold air advection and offshore flow/winds will rapidly dry
and clear the region out, allowing for some chilly temps in low
elevations Friday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Tonight
through Friday afternoon)...

Gusty westerly winds and rain are currently impacting the
Kuskokwim Delta coast as a strengthening low moves inland. The
associated front currently extends over the eastern Bering and
will eventually push ashore, spreading gusty westerly winds along
the entire southwest coast. Winds are expected to reach Bristol
Bay and the Alaska Peninsula by Wednesday morning. In addition to
winds, this low will also bring precipitation as it tracks from
west to east. Snow is likely in higher elevations, including the
Kilbuck Mountains and Alaska Range. Scattered showers will
eventually taper off by Thursday as a weak ridge builds in briefly
ahead of the next front that approaches Southwest for the
weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3:
Tonight through Friday afternoon)...

A ridge of high pressure over the central Bering will bring
generally fair conditions for the central and eastern Aleutians
Wednesday. Meanwhile farther west, a gale force front currently
over the western Aleutians will bring gusty southerly flow and
rain as it treks across the Bering, reaching the Pribilofs and
central Aleutians by Thursday. As the front continues moving
eastward, the parent low enters the western Bering Friday,
bringing the possibility for another round of gale force winds to
the western Bering for the end of the week.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5)...

A vertically stacked low over the western Bering will maintain south
flow over much of the Bering and Aleutians Friday, while sub-
advisory level west winds are expected in the Gulf of AK under high
pressure. The occluded front associated with the Bering low will
track eastward over the Aleutians Friday into Saturday. This may
bring near gale force southerly winds to the Kuskokwim Delta coast
Friday afternoon, and will bring a transition to southerly winds
over the Gulf Saturday into Sunday. Meanwhile, behind the front
expect broad westerly flow over the Bering Saturday into Sunday as
a ridge builds over eastern Siberia.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

A front ahead of an occluded low over the Bering Sea will track
from the central Aleutians to the Southwest mainland Friday.
Expect gusty southerly winds along the front, likely impacting the
Kuskokwim Delta coast Friday. Meanwhile, a ridge axis will stretch
from the North Pacific to the Arctic... and quiet, sunny
conditions are likely over Southcentral Friday. Saturday, a low
will develop south of the Aleutians and move northward, crossing
the AKPEN into the Bering Sea. While there's some model
differences in the timing/progression of this low, there is decent
agreement in the basic pattern. Thus, confidence is moderate that
conditions will turn wet over the Southwest mainland Saturday into
Sunday... then over Southcentral in the rough Sunday to Monday
timeframe. With a strong subtropical/tropical moisture tap, snow
levels will be on the high side and this will mostly be a rain
event.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Gale 119 120 130 131 132 160 173 175 176 177 178 180 181 351
              411 412 413.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DS
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JA
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KO
MARINE/LONG TERM...MM