Gale Warning 44, NWS Anchorage, AK

594 
FZAK52 PAFC 100051
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
351 PM AKST Wed Jan 9 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-101400-
351 PM AKST Wed Jan 9 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 935 mb low 725 nm South of Attu swings to 65 nm Southwest of
Adak at 955 mb by Fri afternoon. Its front pushes over the 
Aleutians into the Central Bering for Fri afternoon. Several 
troughs slide across the Eastern Bering through Fri afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-101400-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
351 PM AKST Wed Jan 9 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 20 kt after midnight. Seas 11 
ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ155-101400-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
351 PM AKST Wed Jan 9 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt except variable 10 kt from the Shumagin
Islands E. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt except E 20 kt from the Shumagin Islands
E. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ160-101400-
Bristol Bay-
351 PM AKST Wed Jan 9 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Heavy freezing
spray.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.

$$

PKZ165-101400-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
351 PM AKST Wed Jan 9 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ170-101400-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
351 PM AKST Wed Jan 9 2019

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8
ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ171-101400-
Unalaska Bay-
351 PM AKST Wed Jan 9 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-101400-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
351 PM AKST Wed Jan 9 2019

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12
ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. Widespread rain and snow
showers.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ173-101400-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
351 PM AKST Wed Jan 9 2019

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7
ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ174-101400-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
351 PM AKST Wed Jan 9 2019

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft building to 17 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight.
Seas 28 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ175-101400-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
351 PM AKST Wed Jan 9 2019

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft.
.THU...E wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 18 ft in the
afternoon. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ176-101400-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
351 PM AKST Wed Jan 9 2019

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft.
.THU...E wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 45 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas
31 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ177-101400-
Adak to Kiska-
351 PM AKST Wed Jan 9 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming E 50 kt after midnight. Bering
side, seas 7 ft building to 12 ft after midnight. Pacific side,
seas 11 ft building to 20 ft after midnight.
.THU...E wind 55 kt. Bering side, seas 20 ft building to 26 ft in
the afternoon. Pacific side, seas 31 ft. Widespread rain and snow
showers.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 29 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ178-101400-
Kiska to Attu-
351 PM AKST Wed Jan 9 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 50 kt after midnight. Bering 
side, seas 12 ft. Pacific side, seas 10 ft building to 20 ft after 
midnight.
.THU...E wind 50 kt. Bering side, seas 20 ft building to 28 ft in
the afternoon. Pacific side, seas 32 ft. Widespread rain and snow
showers.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 30 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.FRI...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 30 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 38 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 37 ft.
.SUN...N wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ179-101400-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
351 PM AKST Wed Jan 9 2019

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ180-101400-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
351 PM AKST Wed Jan 9 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Heavy freezing
spray.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.

$$

PKZ181-101400-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
351 PM AKST Wed Jan 9 2019

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. 
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. 
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt.
.MON...E wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ185-101400-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
351 PM AKST Wed Jan 9 2019

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

935 
FZAK52 PAFC 101256
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-110215-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 933 mb low 500 nm south of Shemya Thu morning moves to 165 nm
southwest of Adak at 949 mb by Fri morning and then moves over
Adak at 962 mb by Sat morning. A second 961 mb low develops 350 nm
south of Shemya by Sat morning.

$$

PKZ150-110215-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ155-110215-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt except variable 10 kt from the Shumagin
Islands E. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt except E 20 kt from the Shumagin Islands
E. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 21 ft in the
afternoon.
From the Shumagin Islands E, seas 12 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ160-110215-
Bristol Bay-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Heavy freezing
spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-110215-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ170-110215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ171-110215-
Unalaska Bay-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-110215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers with snow
showers.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ173-110215-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
19 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ174-110215-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft building to 16 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
27 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ175-110215-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft building to 17 ft in the afternoon. Snow showers and rain
showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
21 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ176-110215-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft building to 26 ft in the
afternoon. Rain showers and snow showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
30 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ177-110215-
Adak to Kiska-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 55 kt. Seas 25 ft Bering side...32 ft Pacific
side. Rain showers with snow showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
28 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ178-110215-
Kiska to Attu-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 55 kt. Bering side, seas 21 ft building to 27 ft
in the afternoon. Pacific side, seas 34 ft. Rain showers with snow 
showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 31 ft subsiding to 25 ft after
midnight. Rain showers.
.FRI...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 33 ft Bering side... 22 ft Pacific
side. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 55 kt. Seas 38 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 36 ft.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ179-110215-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ180-110215-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. Heavy freezing
spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.

$$

PKZ181-110215-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Heavy freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 30 kt.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt.

$$

PKZ185-110215-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
356 AM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NE 40 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 17 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

198 
FZAK52 PAFC 110057
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-111400-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 941 mb low 260 nm South of Amchitka loops to 445 nm southwest of 
Attu at 970 mb for Sat afternoon. Its front spreads across the 
Aleutians and Bering through Sat afternoon. A 957 mb North Pacific 
low Fri afternoon moves to 230 nm south of Atka at 958 mb by Sat 
afternoon. Its front remains south of the Aleutians through Sat 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-111400-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Snow showers and rain
showers.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ155-111400-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 30 kt except E increasing to 20 kt 
from the Shumagin Islands E. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 19 ft in the
afternoon. From the Shumagin Islands E, seas 11 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft. Widespread rain and snow
showers.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ160-111400-
Bristol Bay-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt early increasing to 30 kt. Seas in ice free
waters 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Heavy freezing
spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-111400-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ170-111400-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas building to 12 ft. Rain 
and snow.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ171-111400-
Unalaska Bay-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow and rain.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-111400-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas 15 ft building to 21 ft 
after midnight. Widespread rain showers and snow.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ173-111400-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Widespread rain and snow
showers.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
19 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ174-111400-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
27 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ175-111400-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
21 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ176-111400-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
29 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
26 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ177-111400-
Adak to Kiska-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
28 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas
26 ft Bering side...19 ft Pacific side. Rain showers.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ178-111400-
Kiska to Attu-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft. Widespread rain and snow
showers.
.FRI...E wind 50 kt. Bering side, seas 27 ft building to 33 ft in
the afternoon. Pacific side, seas 21 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 39 ft Bering side... 29 ft
Pacific side. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.SAT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 36 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ179-111400-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft early building to 16 ft. Freezing
spray.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow
showers.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ180-111400-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. Heavy freezing
spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. Heavy
freezing spray. Snow showers.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-111400-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ185-111400-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
357 PM AKST Thu Jan 10 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NE 40 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 17 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow
showers.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

976 
FZAK52 PAFC 111255
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-120200-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A front associated with a 951 mb low 180 nm southwest of Adak Fri
morning continues to push across the Aleutians and Bering through
Sun morning. A complex 960 mb low with multiple centers 260 nm 
south of Adak Sat morning moves to 165 nm southwest of Dutch Harbor 
at 955 mb by Sun morning.

$$

PKZ150-120200-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Snow showers and rain
showers.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.  Rain and snow showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ155-120200-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 20 ft in the
afternoon...except 12 ft from the Shumagin Islands east. Rain 
showers and snow showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
20 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 30 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ160-120200-
Bristol Bay-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Heavy freezing
spray.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-120200-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. Snow and rain
showers.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ170-120200-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ171-120200-
Unalaska Bay-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-120200-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ173-120200-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
18 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ174-120200-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft
subsiding to 15 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ175-120200-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ176-120200-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
27 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17
ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-120200-
Adak to Kiska-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas 26
ft Bering side...19 ft Pacific side. Rain showers.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft Bering side...15 ft Pacific side.
Rain showers and snow showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ178-120200-
Kiska to Attu-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 50 kt. Seas 31 ft Bering side...20 ft Pacific
side. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 38 ft Bering side...30 ft Pacific 
side. Rain showers and snow showers.
.SAT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 38 ft Bering side...28 ft Pacific side. 
Snow showers and rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ179-120200-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Freezing spray. Snow
showers.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers and
rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-120200-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft. Heavy
freezing spray. Snow showers.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-120200-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt.
.MON...E wind 25 kt.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ185-120200-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
355 AM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NE 40 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 17 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow
showers.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow
showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

830 
FZAK52 PAFC 120050
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
350 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-121345-
350 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 963 mb low 140 nm west of Adak moves to 440 nm southwest of Attu 
at 974 mb dissipating Sat afternoon. A 971 mb low 290 nm south of 
Sand Point moves over Sand Point at 978 mb dissipating Sat afternoon.
Its front pushes into the Gulf of Alaska through Sun afternoon. A 
961 mb North Pacific low slides to 170 nm north of Dutch Harbor at 
963 mb with its front by Sun afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-121345-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
350 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming E wind 30 kt. Seas 8
ft in the evening building to 16 ft. Widespread rain and snow 
showers.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ155-121345-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
350 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas building to 22 ft. Widespread rain and
snow showers.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ160-121345-
Bristol Bay-
350 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft. Heavy freezing
spray in the morning.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. Snow.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.

$$

PKZ165-121345-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
350 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ170-121345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
350 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Snow showers.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ171-121345-
Unalaska Bay-
350 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain and snow
showers.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ172-121345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
350 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft building to 19 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ173-121345-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
350 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ174-121345-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
350 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming SW 30 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft building to 24 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ175-121345-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
350 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ176-121345-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
350 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-121345-
Adak to Kiska-
350 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...Bering side, E wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt after
midnight. Pacific side, S wind 25 kt. Seas 25 ft Bering side...19
ft Pacific side. Rain showers.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ178-121345-
Kiska to Attu-
350 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 37 ft Bering side... 27 ft Pacific 
side. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.SAT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 37 ft Bering side... 26 ft Pacific
side. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft. Snow showers and rain
showers.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ179-121345-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
350 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Freezing spray. Snow
showers.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-121345-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
350 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. Heavy
freezing spray. Snow showers.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft. Heavy
freezing spray. Snow.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-121345-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
350 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt.
.MON...E wind 25 kt.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ185-121345-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
350 PM AKST Fri Jan 11 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NE 35 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 16 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow 
showers.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Widespread
snow showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
Snow.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
533 PM AKST Tue Jan 8 2019

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A weak upper level ridge remains in place over the eastern Bering.
Accompanying this ridge, persistent low level stratus and fog have
blanketed Southwest Alaska just behind a weak shortwave that is
bringing snow showers to areas across Southwest and the northern
AKPEN. On the west side of this ridge, a front associated with a
departing Kamchatka low continues to bring moisture-laden
southerly flow over the central Aleutians, extending as far north
as Saint Matthew Island. Behind this front, cold air that has
wrapped around the low continues to generate gusty westerly gales
over the western Aleutians. A notable feature that will likely
take center stage later in the week is a strong Arctic low
currently centered well north of the state in the Beaufort Sea.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models remain in generally good agreement for the near-term. Minor
disagreements arise by Thu evening regarding the position of a
North Pacific low as it approaches the western Aleutians.
Currently, the NAM/GFS solution is a bit slower than the EC. On
the contrary, model solutions agree with the location of the
strong Arctic low moving south and encompassing most of the state
by Fri morning.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2: Tonight
through Thursday)...

A quiet dry weather pattern continues across Southcentral Alaska
for the next few days. However, there are a few features that are
worth discussing. First, radar shows some light snow ongoing
across the Southern Susitna Valley that is spreading northward
this evening. Any accumulations from this will be very minor, as
most of the forcing and the moisture is out over Southwest Alaska.
A few flurries cannot be ruled out this evening anywhere from
Anchorage north. This same area of snow is expected to merge with
an incoming Arctic upper low diving southward out of Interior
Alaska on Wednesday. The whole system will then track
southeastward across the Alaska Range into Southcentral on
Wednesday night. However, nearly all of the associated snowfall is
expected to remain on the far side of the Alaska Range. So by the
time it tracks across Anchorage and the Mat-Su, little more than
flurries are expected. A more notable impact by the passage of
this Arctic front/upper low will first be a ramping up of all of
the coastal gap winds, from Seward to Whittier and over to Valdez
and the Copper River Delta. Since the front will be tracking from
west to east, the strongest winds are expected through Whittier
and Passage Canal, with westerly wind gusts up to 55 mph
currently expected Wednesday night into Thursday morning. The
winds will only slowly taper down through the day on Thursday.

Behind the front follows the other big weather story, another
cold snap where all inland locations drop below zero. Temperature
readings as cold as 40 below are expected for the western Susitna
Valley, the Cantwell area, and the Copper River Basin around
Glennallen Thursday night into Friday morning. Another morning of
lows from 20 below to 30 below is expected for the Matanuska
Valley. Around Anchorage, look for lows to drop to near 10 below
on the west side of town to 20 below on the east side. Looking
ahead, the cold snap will have about that short of a duration,
however, with a big warm up expected this weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

Warmer air from the Gulf will continue to flow northward ahead of
a weakening front over the AKPEN tonight into tomorrow, while
cold offshore flow dominates at the surface. This will bring snow
to the Bristol Bay and lower Kuskokwim Valley areas tonight into
Wednesday, with around 3 inches expected in Dillingham and closer
to 5 inches expected in Sleetmute. The heaviest rate will likely
occur this evening in Dillingham, then the area of heaviest
precipitation will gradually lift north past Sleetmute after
midnight. Lingering cloud cover behind the front will prevent
temperatures from dropping much during the day Wednesday, however
the Arctic high over much of the Interior will strengthen, and
offshore flow will continue to dominate. So, expect temperatures
to drop significantly overnight Wednesday into Thursday with lows
20 to 30 below in the lower Kuskokwim Valley and 10 to 20 below in
the Y-K Delta.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

A front associated with a Kamchatka low will continue to bring
gales north of St. Matthew Island tonight, then winds will
diminish and the Bering Sea will be quiet until Wednesday night.
Ahead of the weakening front, expect warm air from the North
Pacific to stream northward, bringing snow showers to the Pribilof
Islands Wednesday into Thursday. A low east of Japan that can be
seen developing on satellite is expected to rapidly deepen, with
models depicting the center dropping more than 50mb over 24 hours.
This low is expected to bring storm, or even hurricane force
winds to the central Pacific, but by the time it reaches the
Aleutians it will have started weakening. Thus, hurricane force
winds are not expected, but storm force winds are expected to
arrive in the western Aleutians late Wednesday and persist through
much of the day Thursday.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5)...

Beginning Friday, there is high confidence that a weakening but
still strong North Pacific low will be centered just south of the
Rat Islands of the Aleutians. A wide swath of easterly gale force
winds will cover most of the Western Bering with an area of storm
force winds expected to be impacting the western third of zone
413 and the southern half of zone 411. The low is expected to move
to the west then slowly push southwest of Shemya Friday night.
This will bring storm force winds south across the western half of
zone 178, including Shemya and Attu Island Friday evening through
Saturday morning. As the low continues to push further west,
another, albeit weaker, low is expected to move north across the
central Aleutians. There is still a fair amount of uncertainty
with this system, thus lower confidence, but there is overall
agreement that northeasterly gale force winds will continue across
a good portion of the western Bering Sea, with the potential for
areas of southerly gales to develop east of the Pribilofs by
Saturday night. Additionally, with the next system pushing north,
this should keep cold arctic air, and thus heavy freezing spray
potential, confined to the Northern Bering Seas, mostly over zone
185 over the weekend.

Over the Gulf of Alaska, conditions are expected to remain rather
tranquil before a front sweeps north across the area on Sunday.
Right now, winds are expected to remain predominately below gale
force, though there is still a fair amount of uncertainty regarding
the timing and track of this system.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7)...

The long term forecast begins Saturday with a big pattern change
in store for the southern mainland and Bering Sea. Brutally cold
arctic air under an upper level 'Polar Vortex' low will be
retreating north as the low is shoved north into the Arctic Sea by
a building inverted upper level ridge from the south. At the same
time, an upper level low will begin to build back in over the
Bering while a long wave ridge will build further east over the
US west coast. This will set the stage for deep southerly flow to
push north into the southern mainland by Sunday, bringing warm
air and plenty of moisture with it. Models depict multiple surface
features rotating around the base of the upper low into mainland
Alaska, though details surrounding these features are still murky
due to model inconsistencies. The first feature that both the EC
and GFS models are keying in on is a surface low (GFS) or short
wave trough (EC) moving north from the North Pacific and across
the AKPEN and southwest mainland around Sunday night. The track
with this system is vital to knowing the specific impacts. For
example, the GFS solution brings the low a bit further east over
the AKPEN, which is historically conducive for bringing a Chinook
wind into the Anchorage area. Meanwhile, the EC solution would
likely keep winds out of Anchorage and temperatures a bit cooler.

Regardless, there is high confidence that the pattern change will
bring much warmer and wetter weather to the region through at
least the middle of next week.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Heavy Freezing Spray Warning 121 127 129 130 139 140 160
									  180 185.
		 Storm Warning 177 178.
		 Gale Warning 127 176 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KO
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JW
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MM/JA
MARINE/LONG TERM...KVP