Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2019
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 255, NWS Albuquerque, NM
NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 20, 2019, 4:43 PM MDT for Guadalupe County, Quay County, New Mexico. It was in force for 47 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 20, 2019, 4:43 PM MDT (22:43 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 20, 2019, 5:30 PM MDT
- In force
- 47 min
- Issued by
- NWS Albuquerque, NM
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Hail
- 1.25 in
- Wind
- 60.0 mph
Counties Guadalupe County, NM, Quay County, NM
The radar
The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 384 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 430 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -166 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1664 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 27 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 99 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 119 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 20, 2:11 PM MDT, 2 hours 32 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 20, 2:11 PM MDT, 2 hours 32 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Albuquerque NM Issued by National Weather Service Lubbock TX 211 PM MDT Fri Sep 20 2019 .DISCUSSION... Convection has developed west of Clovis and overall has remained tame in terms of severe potential. Occasional moderate to heavy rainfall could be possible in some of these storms especially as they move closer to the NM/TX state line where PWATs are well over an inch. Currently these storms are in a slightly drier environment. Storm chances will decrease for much of eastern NM heading into the late afternoon/early evening. Tomorrow afternoon the best rain chances will be closer to southeastern NM. Upper ridging will push into the region by Sunday allowing for a slight warm-up Monday. A closed upper low is progged to push south along the Pacific coast Sunday into Monday before becoming nearly stationary by late Tuesday across southern California. This upper low could bring a few additional showers and thunderstorms across our southwestern zones by early Tuesday. Models are in decent agreement with finally kicking the low northeastward absorbing it into the main upper flow. The GFS is faster than the ECMWF and has the upper low/trough east of the region by Thursday evening. The ECMWF waits until Friday morning to have the low/trough east of the region. The upper low will have access to rich tropical moisture while moving overhead and could bring beneficial rains to the region. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Farmington...................... 47 77 44 78 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 36 74 33 74 / 5 0 5 0 Cuba............................ 48 76 45 75 / 0 5 0 0 Gallup.......................... 41 76 38 77 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 42 75 38 75 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 43 77 40 77 / 0 0 0 0 Quemado......................... 46 77 41 76 / 0 0 0 0 Datil........................... 48 75 45 75 / 0 5 0 0 Glenwood........................ 56 84 54 84 / 0 5 0 5 Chama........................... 36 68 33 69 / 5 0 5 0 Los Alamos...................... 51 74 48 73 / 0 0 0 0 Pecos........................... 51 77 48 78 / 5 5 10 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 46 72 43 73 / 5 0 0 0 Red River....................... 40 62 36 63 / 5 0 0 0 Angel Fire...................... 33 67 29 67 / 10 0 5 0 Taos............................ 43 74 40 74 / 5 0 0 0 Mora............................ 41 74 38 75 / 5 0 5 0 Espanola........................ 50 81 48 81 / 5 0 0 0 Santa Fe........................ 52 75 50 76 / 5 5 5 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 49 78 46 78 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 56 83 53 81 / 0 5 5 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 54 83 51 81 / 0 5 5 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 55 85 52 83 / 0 5 5 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 56 84 53 82 / 0 5 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 53 85 51 83 / 0 5 5 0 Rio Rancho...................... 54 85 52 83 / 0 5 0 0 Socorro......................... 58 88 55 87 / 0 10 5 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 55 74 52 73 / 0 5 5 0 Tijeras......................... 53 78 50 77 / 0 5 5 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 46 82 45 81 / 0 5 10 0 Clines Corners.................. 51 78 48 76 / 0 5 10 0 Gran Quivira.................... 51 80 48 78 / 0 10 10 0 Carrizozo....................... 57 83 56 82 / 5 10 10 5 Ruidoso......................... 53 75 52 75 / 5 30 20 10 Capulin......................... 49 78 43 73 / 10 0 10 5 Raton........................... 47 82 43 79 / 10 0 5 0 Springer........................ 46 82 43 80 / 10 0 10 0 Las Vegas....................... 48 78 44 78 / 5 0 10 0 Clayton......................... 57 85 52 76 / 10 5 20 0 Roy............................. 51 82 49 78 / 10 5 10 0 Conchas......................... 58 90 56 86 / 10 5 20 0 Santa Rosa...................... 59 89 57 87 / 10 5 20 0 Tucumcari....................... 62 90 60 85 / 10 5 20 5 Clovis.......................... 61 84 60 84 / 40 40 40 10 Portales........................ 62 86 61 86 / 40 40 40 10 Fort Sumner..................... 59 87 58 86 / 20 20 30 0 Roswell......................... 64 88 63 91 / 20 40 30 10 Picacho......................... 57 84 56 84 / 10 40 20 10 Elk............................. 55 82 53 83 / 10 50 30 20 && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && 99
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 20, 2:48 AM MDT, 13 hours 55 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 248 AM MDT Fri Sep 20 2019 NMZ501>540-211100- Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands- Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains- West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains- San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains- West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains- Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River- Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet- East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley- Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area- Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area- Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley- Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley- South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa- Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County- Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County- Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County- Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County- 248 AM MDT Fri Sep 20 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central New Mexico. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight There is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms this afternoon and evening across the eastern plains. Main threats will be frequent lightning, large hail, and damaging winds. Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible today, but any flooding concerns will be localized. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday There is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms across the southeast on Saturday. Main threats will be frequent lightning, large hail, damaging winds, and locally heavy rainfall. Dry conditions will prevail on Sunday before greater precipitation chances reenter the forecast starting Monday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be required Friday and Saturday for the eastern plains due to the threat of severe weather. 15
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Sep 20, 2:49 PM MDT, 1 hour 54 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Albuquerque NM Issued by National Weather Service Lubbock TX 249 PM MDT Fri Sep 20 2019 NMZ538-539-202115- Eastern Lincoln County NM-Chaves County Plains NM- 249 PM MDT Fri Sep 20 2019 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL LINCOLN AND NORTH CENTRAL CHAVES COUNTIES UNTIL 315 PM MDT... At 248 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 17 miles east of Arabela, or 28 miles northwest of Roswell, moving northeast at 40 mph. Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm. This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of east central Lincoln and north central Chaves Counties. LAT...LON 3353 10487 3365 10504 3393 10483 3376 10441 TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 221DEG 34KT 3367 10488 CWA
Special weather statement, Sep 20, 3:29 PM MDT, 1 hour 14 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Albuquerque NM Issued by National Weather Service Lubbock TX 329 PM MDT Fri Sep 20 2019 NMZ531-202145- Harding County NM- 329 PM MDT Fri Sep 20 2019 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN HARDING COUNTY UNTIL 345 PM MDT... At 328 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 12 miles east of Mosquero, moving northeast at 40 mph. Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm. This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southeastern Harding County. LAT...LON 3556 10380 3572 10392 3598 10365 3571 10339 TIME...MOT...LOC 2128Z 233DEG 34KT 3574 10374 CWA
Local storm report, Sep 20, 4:23 PM MDT, 20 minutes before
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
<meta charset="utf-8">
<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
<title>Service Notice</title>
<link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
<main class="wrap">
<section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
<div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
<h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
<p id="message1">
The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
</p>
<p id="message2">
Please try again in a few minutes.
</p>
<p class="small" id="detail">
If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
</p>
</section>
</main>
<script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>The office that day
Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 6:00 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ABQ | Curry, Roosevelt | 2 hr |
| Sep 19, 11:32 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | ABQ | Harding | 28 min |
| Sep 19, 11:34 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | ABQ | De Baca | 26 min |
| Sep 19, 11:59 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | ABQ | Quay | 31 min |
| Sep 20, 12:12 AM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ABQ | Chaves, Curry, De Baca, Guadalupe, Harding, Quay and 3 more | 2 hr |
| Sep 20, 12:28 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | ABQ | Curry, Quay | 47 min |
| Sep 20, 1:15 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | ABQ | Curry, Quay, Roosevelt | 45 min |
| Sep 20, 2:56 AM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ABQ | De Baca, Quay | 2 hr |
| Sep 20, 4:14 AM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ABQ | Quay | 2 hr |
| Sep 20, 2:49 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | ABQ | Chaves | 26 min |
| Sep 20, 3:29 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | ABQ | Harding | 16 min |
| Sep 20, 4:21 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Guadalupe | 39 min |
| Sep 20, 5:29 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | ABQ | Curry | 46 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2019Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.