Severe Thunderstorm Warning 61, NWS Las Vegas, NV

592 
WWUS55 KVEF 120341
SVSVEF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
841 PM PDT SAT AUG 11 2018

AZC015-CAC071-NVC003-120350-
/O.EXP.KVEF.SV.W.0061.000000T0000Z-180812T0345Z/
Mohave AZ-San Bernardino CA-Clark NV-
841 PM PDT SAT AUG 11 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL MOHAVE...EASTERN
SAN BERNARDINO AND SOUTHERN CLARK COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 845 PM
PDT/845 PM MST/...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire. Be aware that 
storms were continuing to produce moderate to locally heavy rain in 
the warned area.

LAT...LON 3535 11434 3496 11429 3491 11488 3538 11492
TIME...MOT...LOC 0340Z 082DEG 16KT 3521 11478 

$$

JS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
800 PM PDT Sat Aug 11 2018

.SYNOPSIS...Thunderstorm chances will remain in areas roughly
along and east of a line from Barstow to Rachel this evening, then
shift to areas north and east of Las Vegas for Sunday through
early next week. Temperatures will remain several degrees above
normal over the weekend into early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM...Strong thunderstorms now extend along a line from near
Moapa down to Laughlin, with numerous reports of severe winds coming
in, including a wind gust to 62 mph at Bullhead City airport and
gusts over 50 mph near Moapa. KESX radar is sampling this outflow
boundary moving towards Las Vegas, and should reach Nellis AFB
around 830, and into the central Vegas Valley by 9pm.  Strong wind
gusts of 40-50 mph are likely to spread across the Valley, and Lake
Mead in the next 90 minutes.  Thunderstorms have showed little signs
of weakening at this point, and may in fact reach the Vegas metro
after 900 pm.

Suspect another few hours of thunderstorms are likely across Clark
and eastern San Bern counties as the ongoing activity develops
westward.  Activity should begin to wane by midnight as the storms
outrun the deeper moisture and instability.

-Outler-

&&

.SHORT TERM...through Monday night.

Storms tonight should linger for a time as they ride the cold pool
and slowly diminish. Currently think storms should end by 06Z
overnight. Thunderstorm activity in Clark County is looking less
likely, and the HRRR has backed off the intense solution it had
earlier.

Sunday will be a transition day as a ridge of high pressure drifts
eastward into Arizona by Monday. Unsure how "quiet" Sunday will be.
Compared to today, storms should be more limited as we lose
moisture, especially in the afternoon. However a few models show
some midlevel energy circling around the main anticyclonic flow, so
dont think it will be quiet day either. Best chance for storms will
again by over MOhave County where there will be lingering instability
and dry air will be slowest to intrude.

By Monday, drier air and anticyclonic flow will be overhead and
strengthening. Precipitation chances should be limited to the edges
of the high's center, which would limit precipitation chances to the
Sierra, northern and eastern Lincoln County, down into eastern Mohave
County. PWATs should be at or less than an inch, so thunderstorm
activity will be isolated.

.LONG TERM...Tuesday through Saturday.

High pressure situated over the Desert Southwest will shift eastward
Tuesday through Thursday as low pressure approaches the California
coast which will help strengthen southerly flow across the area.
There will still be limited instability on Tuesday and activity
should be more diurnally driven and focused over the higher
elevations. High-grade monsoon moisture will push northward from the
Gulf of California reaching our southern zones Tuesday night into
Wednesday morning; overspreading a majority of the area on Wednesday
and Thursday. As such, storm activity is expected to increase each
day from Tuesday to Thursday with Thursday looking to be particulary
interesting as a shortwave trough pushes northward into central
Arizona. Highest precip chances remain over Mohave, eastern San
Bernardino, Lincoln, and Clark counties Wednesday and Thursday. A
downward trend in storm activity should begin on Friday as high
pressure builds back in.

As ridge weakens and moisture increases Tuesday through Thursday
temperatures look to decrease a degree or two each day. However, as
high pressure builds back in on Friday temps will begin to rebound
back above seasonal normals.
&&

.AVIATION...For McCarran...Thunderstorms should be confined to
the Peach Springs and Mormon Mesa corridors this evening. There is a
slight possibility that storms over southwest Utah could move toward
Las Vegas and hold together. There will be potential for winds from
distant storms to affect the terminal area...primarily from the
southeast this evening, but there is also possibility wind gusts
could come in from the northeast after 05Z. Otherwise a south wind
component is expected through this evening followed by a south-
southwest component late tonight through Sunday with only FEW-SCT
clouds with bases above 12 kft.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona, and southeast
California...Thunderstorms over northwest Arizona and southwest Utah
may produce gusty winds through early this evening which could
travel far from the originating storms. The terminals most likely
impacted will be KEED and KIFP. The rest of the region will see
mostly benign weather with reduced visibility's from smoke/haze
continuing across the region through Sunday.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.
&&

SHORT TERM...Wolf
AVIATION...Adair
LONG TERM....Guillet

For more forecast information...see us on our webpage:

http://weather.gov/lasvegas or follow us on Facebook and Twitter

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
619 PM PDT SAT AUG 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0950 PM     TSTM WND GST     RACHEL                  37.64N 115.74W
08/10/2018  M60 MPH          LINCOLN            NV   MESONET

            MESONET SITE MEASURED A WIND GUST TO 60 MPH.

0931 PM     TSTM WND GST     RACHEL                  37.65N 115.75W
08/10/2018  M61 MPH          LINCOLN            NV   MESONET

            MESONET SITE MEASURED A WIND GUST TO 61 MPH.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
626 PM PDT SAT AUG 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0552 PM     DUST STORM       1 NW DOLAN SPRINGS      35.60N 114.28W
08/11/2018                   MOHAVE             AZ   PUBLIC

            SOCIAL MEDIA REPORTS DUST STORM OVER MT.
            MITTEN IN DOLAN SPRINGS.

0510 PM     DUST STORM       18 NW VALENTINE         35.56N 113.91W
08/11/2018                   MOHAVE             AZ   PUBLIC

            DUST STORM OBSERVED BETWEEN 5PM AND 515PM AT
            HUALAPAI VALLEY OBSERVATORY.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
750 PM PDT SAT AUG 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0707 PM     HAIL             7 SSW GOLDEN VALLEY     35.14N 114.29W
08/11/2018  E0.88 INCH       MOHAVE             AZ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NICKEL SIZED HAIL REPORTED IN GOLDEN VALLEY.

&&

JV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
754 PM PDT SAT AUG 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     DUST STORM       2 NE BULLHEAD CITY      35.13N 114.58W
08/11/2018                   MOHAVE             AZ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DUST REPORTED IN BULLHEAD CITY WITH
            VISIBILITY UNDER A QUARTER MILE.

&&

JV