Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1220 PM CDT Sat Jul 14 2018

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
A few showers linger across NE OK this afternoon, with isolated
thunder. Coverage will remain too low to include thunder at KBVO,
but will carry VCSH. Thunder chances will increase after 00Z at
all NE OK sites and will be covered with VCTS and PROB groups.
Outside of thunder areas and at the remaining sites, VFR
elements will prevail through the period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 1019 AM CDT Sat Jul 14 2018/

DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms persist across
northeast Oklahoma this morning. A well defined MCV moving across
southeast Kansas this morning the likely culprit for the ongoing
activity. Latest updates mainly for adjusting pops across
northeast Oklahoma for the morning hours. Will keep an eye on
cloud trends as they may impact forecasted high temperatures
across the aforementioned area this afternoon. Heat advisory
headlines will be left as is given the latest cloud and
precipitation trends. Will likely need an update around noon for
afternoon pops/potential temp adjustments.

Latest update to ZFP sent...AFM and PFM out shortly.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for OKZ049-074>076.

AR...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for ARZ020-029.

&&

AVIATION.....23

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1240 PM CDT Sat Jul 14 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-151015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
1240 PM CDT Sat Jul 14 2018

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Most of eastern Oklahoma and west central Arkansas.
	ONSET...Afternoon.

DISCUSSION...
Isolated showers and thunderstorms will remain ongoing through
the afternoon, mainly across northeast Oklahoma. Severe weather is
not expected, though one or two strong storms are possible and
will be capable of producing winds to 50 miles an hour.

Additionally, afternoon temperatures will again be hot,
especially across those areas not affected by cloud cover and
thunderstorms. The greatest potential for heat index values over
105 degrees is across southeast Oklahoma and west central
Arkansas. A Heat Advisory is in effect through 7 PM.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY through FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
It will remain hot and humid into late next week with a chance
for showers and thunderstorms nearly every day. Although coverage
will likely remain limited, there will be the continued threat
for downburst winds and dangerous lightning with the stronger
storms.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
226 PM CDT SAT JUL 14 2018

OKZ055-060-061-142000-
Tulsa OK-Rogers OK-Washington OK-
226 PM CDT SAT JUL 14 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL ROGERS...SOUTH
CENTRAL WASHINGTON AND NORTHEASTERN TULSA COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM
CDT...

At 226 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Collinsville,
moving northeast at 15 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations in or near the path include...
Skiatook...                       Collinsville...
Vera...

LAT...LON 3629 9588 3639 9596 3652 9578 3636 9565
TIME...MOT...LOC 1926Z 239DEG 13KT 3638 9587

Lacy

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