Alert archive / Oklahoma / Special Weather Statements in 2018

Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

March 10, 2018Wagoner County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this special weather statement at Mar 10, 2018, 8:01 PM CST for Wagoner County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 29 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 10, 2018, 8:01 PM CST (02:01 UTC)
Expired: Mar 10, 2018, 8:30 PM CST
In force: 29 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK

County Wagoner County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 43 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 2.0 hours before the alert went out and 169 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1587 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 40 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 65 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Mar 10, 5:38 PM CST, 2 hours 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 10, 5:38 PM CST, 2 hours 23 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
538 PM CST Sat Mar 10 2018

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Ongoing storm over west central AR likely mark the convective peak
prior the frontal passage and forecasts will temper back the
thunder mention later this evening. Brief period of MVFR ceilings
possible prior the front mainly for SE OK into W AR, otherwise VFR
ceilings with an increase in winds behind the front.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 324 PM CST Sat Mar 10 2018/

DISCUSSION...
A narrow differential heating zone along with a diffuse surface
boundary has yielded scattered showers and thunderstorms across
parts of eastern OK over the past 1-2 hours. This activity has
gradually increased in coverage/intensity recently, along with a
report of small hail. Hi-res models trends suggests that the
boundary will remain activity well into the evening, with clusters
of storms eventually peeling into western AR. Instability along
with bulk shear values around 50-60kt are supportive of large hail
and some strong wind gusts. Will also need to monitor an isolated
heavy rain threat, with some training of cells likely into the
evening. The storm threat will shift southeast later tonight as
the upper wave and cold front pushes into the region.

The cold front will clear the area late tonight, with a breezy and
chilly Sunday on tap. Surface ridging conditions will persist
through around mid-week, with seasonally cool weather prevailing.
Strong height rises along with low-level return flow will result
in an impressive warmup late week, with highs well into the 70s
(if not 80s) by Friday and going into the weekend. Will also see
showers/thunderstorms return to the forecast as the upper flow
becomes more active.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   40  55  31  54 /  30   0   0   0
FSM   46  59  34  54 /  80  10   0   0
MLC   45  59  33  54 /  40  10   0   0
BVO   36  54  28  52 /  20   0   0   0
FYV   41  50  29  50 /  50  20   0   0
BYV   40  49  30  50 /  50  30   0   0
MKO   41  56  33  53 /  70  10   0   0
MIO   39  51  30  51 /  20  10   0   0
F10   43  56  33  54 /  50  10   0   0
HHW   51  62  36  55 /  20  10   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

AVIATION.....07

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 10, 4:52 PM CST, 3 hours 9 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
452 PM CST Sat Mar 10 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-111115-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
452 PM CST Sat Mar 10 2018

...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS SOME AREAS LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Late Afternoon and Tonight.

TORNADO.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Far eastern Oklahoma and west central Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Far eastern Oklahoma and west central Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Far eastern Oklahoma and west central Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will continue into the
evening hours across portions of far eastern Oklahoma and west
central Arkansas. Large hail and damaging winds will be the main
threat, although there is a very low tornado threat for any storms
that develop along any weak surface boundaries in the area.

The severe weather threat should diminish by late evening, with much
of the thunderstorm activity east of the area by midnight.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY...Very High Fire Weather Potential...High Wind Potential.
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...No Hazards.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...Very High Fire Weather Potential...High Wind Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Gusty northwest winds and much drier air are expected to move into
the region Sunday behind a strong cold front, with gusts up to 30
mph possible across eastern Oklahoma. The gusty winds and drier
air will raise fire weather concerns.

In the wake of cool high pressure that will be in place through
the middle of next week, strong south winds and warmer temperatures
will lead to elevated fire weather conditions to close out the
upcoming work week.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 10, 6:50 PM CST, 1 hour 11 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
650 PM CST SAT MAR 10 2018

OKZ067-068-110115-
Cherokee OK-Wagoner OK-
650 PM CST SAT MAR 10 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL WAGONER AND
NORTHWESTERN CHEROKEE COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM CST...

At 650 PM CST, a strong thunderstorm was located over Wagoner, moving
east at 30 mph.

Dime to penny size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be
possible with this storm.

Locations in or near the path include...
Wagoner...                        Hulbert...
Sequoyah State Park...

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CST for
northeastern and east central Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3595 9545 3602 9544 3606 9514 3585 9514
TIME...MOT...LOC 0050Z 276DEG 24KT 3598 9540

Local storm report, Mar 10, 7:05 PM CST, 56 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
705 PM CST SAT MAR 10 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0702 PM     HAIL             WAGONER                 35.96N 95.37W
03/10/2018  E0.88 INCH       WAGONER            OK   PUBLIC

&&

AEJ

Special weather statement, Mar 10, 7:12 PM CST, 49 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
712 PM CST SAT MAR 10 2018

ARZ010-011-019-020-OKZ069-110145-
Madison AR-Washington AR-Franklin AR-Crawford AR-Adair OK-
712 PM CST SAT MAR 10 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN MADISON...NORTHERN
FRANKLIN...NORTHERN CRAWFORD...SOUTHERN WASHINGTON AND CENTRAL ADAIR
COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM CST...

At 711 PM CST, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 4 miles southeast of Eldon to 5 miles northeast of
Lake Fort Smith. Movement was east at 25 mph.

Dime to penny size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be
possible with these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Stilwell...                       Mountainburg...
Winslow...                        Chester...
Cass...                           Adair State Park...
Blackburn...                      Maryetta...
Baron...                          Devils Den State Park...
Lake Fort Smith...                Strickler...
Fern...                           Jethro...
Bidville...                       Locke...
Odell...                          Turners Bend...
Mount Gayler...                   Morrow...

This includes Interstate 49 between mile markers 32 and 47.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CST for
northwestern and west central Arkansas...and northeastern and east
central Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3555 9370 3571 9448 3580 9481 3590 9481
      3595 9479 3579 9370
TIME...MOT...LOC 0111Z 280DEG 22KT 3587 9481 3573 9408

Special weather statement, Mar 10, 7:27 PM CST, 34 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
727 PM CST SAT MAR 10 2018

OKZ060-067-068-110200-
Tulsa OK-Cherokee OK-Wagoner OK-
727 PM CST SAT MAR 10 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL WAGONER...WEST CENTRAL
CHEROKEE AND EAST CENTRAL TULSA COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM CST...

At 727 PM CST, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Broken Arrow to near Wagoner. Movement was east
at 30 mph.

Dime to penny size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be
possible with these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Broken Arrow...                   Wagoner...
Coweta...                         Okay...
Oneta...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Tulsa.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CST for
northeastern and east central Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3603 9518 3584 9527 3598 9579 3608 9581
TIME...MOT...LOC 0127Z 283DEG 28KT 3603 9577 3594 9538

Special weather statement, Mar 10, 7:42 PM CST, 19 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
742 PM CST SAT MAR 10 2018

ARZ010-011-019-020-OKZ069-110215-
Madison AR-Washington AR-Franklin AR-Crawford AR-Adair OK-
742 PM CST SAT MAR 10 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN MADISON...NORTHERN
FRANKLIN...NORTHERN CRAWFORD...SOUTHERN WASHINGTON AND SOUTHEASTERN
ADAIR COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM CST...

At 741 PM CST, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Adair State Park to 6 miles east of Cass.
Movement was east at 25 mph.

Dime to nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be
possible with these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Stilwell...                       Mountainburg...
Winslow...                        Chester...
Cass...                           Adair State Park...
Blackburn...                      Lee Creek...
Baron...                          Devils Den State Park...
Lake Fort Smith...                Strickler...
Fern...                           Jethro...
Bidville...                       Locke...
Odell...                          Turners Bend...
Mount Gayler...                   Morrow...

This includes Interstate 49 between mile markers 31 and 48.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CST for
northwestern and west central Arkansas...and northeastern Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3577 9370 3555 9370 3564 9427 3572 9466
      3593 9465 3579 9367 3577 9367
TIME...MOT...LOC 0141Z 278DEG 23KT 3584 9461 3570 9371

Special weather statement, Mar 10, 8:01 PM CST, 0 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 10, 6:47 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Adair, Cherokee	28 min
Mar 10, 6:49 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Wagoner	26 min
Mar 10, 6:50 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Wagoner	25 min
Mar 10, 6:58 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Wagoner	32 min
Mar 10, 7:12 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Adair	33 min
Mar 10, 7:25 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Cherokee	35 min
Mar 10, 7:27 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Wagoner	33 min
Mar 10, 7:42 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Adair	33 min
Mar 10, 7:44 PM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Adair	4 hr
Mar 10, 7:57 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Cherokee	33 min
Mar 10, 8:23 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Sequoyah	37 min
Mar 10, 8:13 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Crawford, Franklin	47 min
Mar 10, 8:54 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Crawford	36 min
Mar 10, 9:18 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Sebastian	27 min
Mar 10, 9:44 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Sebastian	46 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Oklahoma, 2018 Every special weather statement in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.