Alert archive / Kansas / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 16, NWS Topeka, KS

September 4, 2018Marshall County, Kansas

NWS Topeka, KS issued this river flood warning at Sep 4, 2018, 9:59 AM CDT for Marshall County, Kansas. It took effect at Sep 4, 2018, 3:13 PM CDT. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 4, 2018, 9:59 AM CDT (14:59 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 4, 2018, 3:13 PM CDT
Expired
Sep 7, 2018, 3:30 PM CDT
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS Topeka, KS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Marshall County, KS

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The text

As transmitted.

198 
WGUS43 KTOP 041459
FLWTOP
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Topeka KS
959 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

...The National Weather Service in Topeka, KS has issued a flood 
warning for the following streams in Kansas...

  Little Blue River above Barnes affecting Marshall County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Do not drive into flooded areas. Shallow flowing 
water can wash a car from the roadway. Also, the roadbed may be 
washed out under the water.

Stay tuned to later developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio 
and local media.

&&

KSC117-042258-
/O.NEW.KTOP.FL.W.0016.180904T2217Z-180907T2030Z/
/BARK1.1.ER.180904T2217Z.180906T0000Z.180907T0230Z.NO/
959 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The National Weather Service in Topeka, KS has issued a 

* Flood warning for 
  The Little Blue River above Barnes.
* from this afternoon to Friday afternoon.
* At  5:33 PM Monday the stage was 8.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 18.3 feet by Wednesday evening.The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Thursday before midnight.


&&

LAT...LON 3992 9695 3992 9689 3969 9666 3967 9669 3971 9685




$$
11 follow-up statements
612 
WGUS83 KTOP 041505
FLSTOP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Topeka KS
1005 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas...

  Big Blue River near Blue Rapids affecting Marshall County
  Buffalo Creek near Jamestown affecting Cloud County
  Mill Creek at Washington affecting Washington County
  Republican River at Clay Center affecting Clay County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas..
  Little Blue River above Barnes affecting Marshall County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Do not drive into flooded areas. Shallow flowing 
water can wash a car from the roadway. Also, the roadbed may be 
washed out under the water.

Stay tuned to later developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio 
and local media.

&&

KSC201-042304-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-180906T1104Z/
/WSHK1.2.ER.180904T1617Z.180905T0600Z.180905T2304Z.NO/
1005 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Mill Creek at Washington.
* until Thursday morning.
* At  9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
  to rise to near 20.5 feet by early Wednesday morning.The river will
  fall below flood stage by Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Osage Road, located 2 miles west and 1 mile 
  north of Washington, floods.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Low lands along the creek flood from 
  Morrowville to Washington flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3985 9714 3993 9696 3990 9692 3979 9703 3984 9715




$$

KSC117-042304-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-180908T0720Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.180903T0448Z.180905T1200Z.180907T1920Z.NO/
1005 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Blue River near Blue Rapids.
* until late Friday night.
* At  9:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 32.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 36.7 feet by 
  Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  early afternoon.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding occurs from 
  Marysville to Tuttle Creek Lake.

&&

LAT...LON 3971 9666 3968 9658 3957 9655 3957 9659 3968 9669




$$

KSC029-042304-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0006.180905T0120Z-180906T2145Z/
/JMSK1.1.ER.180905T0120Z.180905T1200Z.180906T0345Z.NO/
1005 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Buffalo Creek near Jamestown.
* from this evening to Thursday afternoon.
* At  5:30 PM Monday the stage was 9.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to 
  rise to near 17.5 feet by Wednesday morning.The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Wednesday before midnight.
* Impact...At 16.9 feet...Farm field along the north bank of the 
  Buffalo Creek floods.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Minor flooding begins along the creek as the
  south bank overflows.
* Impact...At 12.6 feet...Farm field just north of Buffalo Creek on 
  the northwest side of north 40th Road floods.


&&

LAT...LON 3964 9793 3960 9772 3958 9772 3961 9793




$$

KSC117-042304-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0016.180904T2217Z-180907T2030Z/
/BARK1.1.ER.180904T2217Z.180906T0000Z.180907T0230Z.NO/
1005 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Blue River above Barnes.
* from this afternoon to Friday afternoon.
* At  5:33 PM Monday the stage was 8.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 18.3 feet by Wednesday evening.The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Thursday before midnight.

&&

LAT...LON 3992 9695 3992 9689 3969 9666 3967 9669 3971 9685




$$

KSC027-042304-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0011.180904T1533Z-180908T0100Z/
/CYCK1.1.ER.180904T1533Z.180905T1800Z.180907T1300Z.NO/
1005 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Republican River at Clay Center.
* until Friday evening.
* At  9:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
  to rise to near 17.3 feet by Wednesday early afternoon.The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Friday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Flooding occurs between 16th, 17th, and 18th
  Roads and between Limestone and Osage Roads.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowland agricultural flooding occurs from 
  U.S. Highway 24 to Milford Lake.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 9741 3957 9726 3929 9700 3926 9706




$$
267 
WGUS83 KTOP 042015
FLSTOP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Topeka KS
315 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas...

  Little Blue River above Barnes affecting Marshall County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas..
  Big Blue River near Blue Rapids affecting Marshall County
  Buffalo Creek near Jamestown affecting Cloud County
  Mill Creek at Washington affecting Washington County
  Republican River at Clay Center affecting Clay County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Do not drive into flooded areas. Shallow flowing 
water can wash a car from the roadway. Also, the roadbed may be 
washed out under the water.

Stay tuned to later developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio 
and local media.

&&

KSC201-050415-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-180906T1104Z/
/WSHK1.2.ER.180904T1918Z.180905T0600Z.180905T2304Z.NO/
315 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Mill Creek at Washington.
* until Thursday morning.
* At  2:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 18.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.5 feet by 
  early Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Osage Road, located 2 miles west and 1 mile 
  north of Washington, floods.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Low lands along the creek flood from 
  Morrowville to Washington flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3985 9714 3993 9696 3990 9692 3979 9703 3984 9715




$$

KSC117-050415-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-180908T0720Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.180903T0448Z.180905T1200Z.180907T1920Z.NO/
315 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Blue River near Blue Rapids.
* until late Friday night.
* At  2:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 34.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 36.7 feet by 
  Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  early afternoon.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding occurs from 
  Marysville to Tuttle Creek Lake.

&&

LAT...LON 3971 9666 3968 9658 3957 9655 3957 9659 3968 9669




$$

KSC029-050415-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0006.180905T0120Z-180906T2145Z/
/JMSK1.1.ER.180905T0120Z.180905T1200Z.180906T0345Z.NO/
315 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Buffalo Creek near Jamestown.
* from this evening to Thursday afternoon.
* At 10:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to 
  rise to near 17.5 feet by Wednesday morning.The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Wednesday before midnight.
* Impact...At 16.9 feet...Farm field along the north bank of the 
  Buffalo Creek floods.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Minor flooding begins along the creek as the
  south bank overflows.
* Impact...At 12.6 feet...Farm field just north of Buffalo Creek on 
  the northwest side of north 40th Road floods.


&&

LAT...LON 3964 9793 3960 9772 3958 9772 3961 9793




$$

KSC117-050415-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0016.180904T2013Z-180907T2030Z/
/BARK1.1.ER.180904T1633Z.180906T0000Z.180907T0230Z.NO/
315 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Blue River above Barnes.
* from this afternoon to Friday afternoon.
* At 10:44 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
  to rise to near 18.3 feet by Wednesday evening.The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Thursday before midnight.
* Impact...At 18.6 feet...Farmers field south of the river and east of
  Highway 148 floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3992 9695 3992 9689 3969 9666 3967 9669 3971 9685




$$

KSC027-050415-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-180908T0100Z/
/CYCK1.1.ER.180904T1527Z.180905T1800Z.180907T1300Z.NO/
315 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Republican River at Clay Center.
* until Friday evening.
* At  2:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.3 feet by 
  Wednesday early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Flooding occurs between 16th, 17th, and 18th
  Roads and between Limestone and Osage Roads.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowland agricultural flooding occurs from 
  U.S. Highway 24 to Milford Lake.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 9741 3957 9726 3929 9700 3926 9706




$$
976 
WGUS83 KTOP 050202
FLSTOP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Topeka KS
902 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas...

  Big Blue River near Blue Rapids affecting Marshall County
  Buffalo Creek near Jamestown affecting Cloud County
  Little Blue River above Barnes affecting Marshall County
  Mill Creek at Washington affecting Washington County
  Republican River at Clay Center affecting Clay County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Do not drive into flooded areas. Shallow flowing 
water can wash a car from the roadway. Also, the roadbed may be 
washed out under the water.

Stay tuned to later developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio 
and local media.

&&

KSC201-051001-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-180906T0807Z/
/WSHK1.2.ER.180904T1918Z.180905T0600Z.180905T2007Z.NO/
902 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Mill Creek at Washington.
* until late Wednesday night.
* At 7:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 18.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.6 feet by 
  early Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Osage Road, located 2 miles west and 1 mile 
  north of Washington, floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3985 9714 3993 9696 3990 9692 3979 9703 3984 9715




$$

KSC117-051001-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-180909T1541Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.180903T0448Z.180906T1200Z.180909T0341Z.NO/
902 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Blue River near Blue Rapids.
* until Sunday morning.
* At 8:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 35.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 40.8 feet by 
  Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday 
  night.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding occurs from 
  Marysville to Tuttle Creek Lake.

&&

LAT...LON 3971 9666 3968 9658 3957 9655 3957 9659 3968 9669




$$

KSC029-051001-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180906T2308Z/
/JMSK1.1.ER.180905T0510Z.180905T1200Z.180906T0508Z.NO/
902 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Buffalo Creek near Jamestown.
* until Thursday evening.
* At 10:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The creek will rise above flood stage by early 
  Wednesday morning and continue to rise to near 17.3 feet by late 
  Wednesday morning. The creek will fall below flood stage by 
  early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 16.9 feet...Farm field along the north bank of the 
  Buffalo Creek floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3964 9793 3960 9772 3958 9772 3961 9793




$$

KSC117-051001-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-180908T0655Z/
/BARK1.1.ER.180904T1759Z.180906T0600Z.180907T1255Z.NO/
902 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Blue River above Barnes.
* until late Friday night.
* At 5:29 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.2 feet by 
  Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 18.6 feet...Farmers field south of the river and east of
  Highway 148 floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3992 9695 3992 9689 3969 9666 3967 9669 3971 9685




$$

KSC027-051001-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-180909T0224Z/
/CYCK1.1.ER.180904T1527Z.180905T1200Z.180908T1424Z.NO/
902 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Republican River at Clay Center.
* until Saturday evening.
* At 8:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 18.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 18.7 feet by 
  Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage late 
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Flooding occurs between 16th, 17th, and 18th
  Roads and between Limestone and Osage Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 9741 3957 9726 3929 9700 3926 9706




$$
981 
WGUS83 KTOP 050830
FLSTOP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Topeka KS
330 AM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas..
  Big Blue River near Blue Rapids affecting Marshall County
  Buffalo Creek near Jamestown affecting Cloud County
  Little Blue River above Barnes affecting Marshall County
  Republican River at Clay Center affecting Clay County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Do not drive into flooded areas. Shallow flowing 
water can wash a car from the roadway. Also, the roadbed may be 
washed out under the water.

Stay tuned to later developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio 
and local media.

&&

KSC117-051628-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-180909T1541Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.180903T0448Z.180906T1200Z.180909T0341Z.NO/
330 AM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Blue River near Blue Rapids.
* until Sunday morning.
* At 2:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 36.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 40.8 feet by 
  Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday 
  before midnight.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding occurs from 
  Marysville to Tuttle Creek Lake.

&&

LAT...LON 3971 9666 3968 9658 3957 9655 3957 9659 3968 9669




$$

KSC029-051628-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180906T2308Z/
/JMSK1.1.ER.180905T0836Z.180905T1200Z.180906T0508Z.NO/
330 AM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Buffalo Creek near Jamestown.
* until Thursday evening.
* At 10:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early this morning and 
  continue to rise to near 17.3 feet by this morning. The creek will 
  fall below flood stage by early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 16.9 feet...Farm field along the north bank of the 
  Buffalo Creek floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3964 9793 3960 9772 3958 9772 3961 9793




$$

KSC117-051628-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-180908T0655Z/
/BARK1.1.ER.180904T1759Z.180906T0600Z.180907T1255Z.NO/
330 AM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Blue River above Barnes.
* until late Friday night.
* At  5:29 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.2 feet by 
  Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 18.6 feet...Farmers field south of the river and east of
  Highway 148 floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3992 9695 3992 9689 3969 9666 3967 9669 3971 9685




$$

KSC027-051628-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-180909T0224Z/
/CYCK1.1.ER.180904T1527Z.180905T0730Z.180908T1424Z.NO/
330 AM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Republican River at Clay Center.
* until Saturday evening.
* At 2:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will remain nearly steady this morning then 
  slowly fall to below flood stage by late Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Flooding occurs between 16th, 17th, and 18th
  Roads and between Limestone and Osage Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 9741 3957 9726 3929 9700 3926 9706




$$
089 
WGUS83 KTOP 051418
FLSTOP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Topeka KS
918 AM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas...

  Big Blue River near Blue Rapids affecting Marshall County
  Buffalo Creek near Jamestown affecting Cloud County
  Little Blue River above Barnes affecting Marshall County
  Mill Creek at Washington affecting Washington County
  Republican River at Clay Center affecting Clay County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Do not drive into flooded areas. Shallow flowing 
water can wash a car from the roadway. Also, the roadbed may be 
washed out under the water.

Stay tuned to later developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio 
and local media.

&&

KSC201-052217-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-180906T1513Z/
/WSHK1.2.ER.180905T1117Z.180905T1800Z.180906T0313Z.NO/
918 AM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Mill Creek at Washington.
* until Thursday morning.
* At  8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.3 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage tonight.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Osage Road, located 2 miles west and 1 mile 
  north of Washington, floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3985 9714 3993 9696 3990 9692 3979 9703 3984 9715




$$

KSC117-052217-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-180909T0730Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.180903T0448Z.180906T0000Z.180908T1930Z.NO/
918 AM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Blue River near Blue Rapids.
* until late Saturday night.
* At  8:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 37.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 42.5 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday early 
  afternoon.

&&

LAT...LON 3971 9666 3968 9658 3957 9655 3957 9659 3968 9669




$$

KSC029-052217-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180906T2145Z/
/JMSK1.1.ER.180905T1447Z.180905T1800Z.180906T0345Z.NO/
918 AM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Buffalo Creek near Jamestown.
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At 10:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 16.9 feet...Farm field along the north bank of the 
  Buffalo Creek floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3964 9793 3960 9772 3958 9772 3961 9793




$$

KSC117-052217-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-180908T0036Z/
/BARK1.1.ER.180904T1759Z.180906T0000Z.180907T0636Z.NO/
918 AM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Blue River above Barnes.
* until Friday evening.
* At  5:29 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 18.6 feet...Farmers field south of the river and east of
  Highway 148 floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3992 9695 3992 9689 3969 9666 3967 9669 3971 9685




$$

KSC027-052217-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-180908T1845Z/
/CYCK1.1.ER.180904T1527Z.180905T1800Z.180908T0645Z.NO/
918 AM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Republican River at Clay Center.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At  8:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.4 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage early Saturday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Highways 24 and 15 flood. A high fill which 
  carries the road bed into Clay Center begins to overflow.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 9741 3957 9726 3929 9700 3926 9706




$$
584 
WGUS83 KTOP 051847
FLSTOP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Topeka KS
147 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas...

  Big Blue River near Blue Rapids affecting Marshall County
  Mill Creek at Washington affecting Washington County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas..
  Buffalo Creek near Jamestown affecting Cloud County
  Little Blue River above Barnes affecting Marshall County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Do not drive into flooded areas. Shallow flowing 
water can wash a car from the roadway. Also, the roadbed may be 
washed out under the water.

Stay tuned to later developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio 
and local media.

&&

KSC117-060247-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-180909T0442Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.180903T0448Z.180906T0600Z.180908T1642Z.NO/
147 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Blue River near Blue Rapids.
* until Saturday evening.
* At  1:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 38.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 39.7 feet by 
  early Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage late 
  Saturday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 3971 9666 3968 9658 3957 9655 3957 9659 3968 9669




$$

KSC029-060247-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180906T2145Z/
/JMSK1.1.ER.180905T2232Z.180906T0000Z.180906T0345Z.NO/
147 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Buffalo Creek near Jamestown.
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At  1:16 PM Wednesday the stage was 14.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 16.9 feet...Farm field along the north bank of the 
  Buffalo Creek floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3964 9793 3960 9772 3958 9772 3961 9793




$$

KSC117-060247-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-180908T0036Z/
/BARK1.1.ER.180904T1759Z.180906T0000Z.180907T0636Z.NO/
147 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Blue River above Barnes.
* until Friday evening.
* At  5:29 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 18.6 feet...Farmers field south of the river and east of
  Highway 148 floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3992 9695 3992 9689 3969 9666 3967 9669 3971 9685




$$

KSC201-060247-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-180906T0610Z/
/WSHK1.2.ER.180905T1117Z.180905T1400Z.180905T1810Z.NO/
147 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Mill Creek at Washington.
* until late tonight.
* At 12:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 18.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Low lands along the creek flood from 
  Morrowville to Washington flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3985 9714 3993 9696 3990 9692 3979 9703 3984 9715




$$
049 
WGUS83 KTOP 060103
FLSTOP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Topeka KS
803 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following streams in 
Kansas...

  Fancy Creek near Randolph affecting Riley County
  Mill Creek at Washington affecting Washington County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas..
  Big Blue River near Blue Rapids affecting Marshall County
  Little Blue River above Barnes affecting Marshall County
  Republican River at Clay Center affecting Clay County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Do not drive into flooded areas. Shallow flowing 
water can wash a car from the roadway. Also, the roadbed may be 
washed out under the water.

Stay tuned to later developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio 
and local media.

&&

KSC027-060902-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-180908T1845Z/
/CYCK1.2.ER.180904T1527Z.180905T2315Z.180908T0645Z.NO/
803 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Republican River at Clay Center.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At  7:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 21.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Highways 24 and 15 flood. A high fill which 
  carries the road bed into Clay Center begins to overflow.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 9741 3957 9726 3929 9700 3926 9706




$$

KSC117-060902-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-180909T0442Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.180903T0448Z.180906T0600Z.180908T1642Z.NO/
803 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Blue River near Blue Rapids.
* until Saturday evening.
* At  7:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 39.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 39.8 feet by 
  early Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage late 
  Saturday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 3971 9666 3968 9658 3957 9655 3957 9659 3968 9669




$$

KSC117-060902-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-180908T0036Z/
/BARK1.1.ER.180904T1759Z.180906T0600Z.180907T0636Z.NO/
803 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Blue River above Barnes.
* until Friday evening.
* At  5:29 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 18.6 feet...Farmers field south of the river and east of
  Highway 148 floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3992 9695 3992 9689 3969 9666 3967 9669 3971 9685




$$

KSC161-060133-
/O.CAN.KTOP.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-180906T1539Z/
/RDPK1.1.ER.180905T1454Z.180905T1645Z.180905T1744Z.NO/
803 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Fancy Creek near Randolph.
* At  7:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 10.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 12:44 PM Wednesday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 7.9 feet by Friday 
  morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3950 9687 3947 9671 3945 9675 3947 9689




$$

KSC201-060133-
/O.CAN.KTOP.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-180906T0610Z/
/WSHK1.2.ER.180905T1117Z.180905T1400Z.180905T1809Z.NO/
803 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Mill Creek at Washington.
* At  7:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 15.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  1:09 PM Wednesday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 6.0 feet by Friday 
  morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3985 9714 3993 9696 3990 9692 3979 9703 3984 9715




$$
467 
WGUS83 KTOP 060435
FLSTOP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Topeka KS
1135 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas...

  Republican River at Clay Center affecting Clay County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas..
  Big Blue River near Blue Rapids affecting Marshall County
  Little Blue River above Barnes affecting Marshall County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Do not drive into flooded areas. Shallow flowing 
water can wash a car from the roadway. Also, the roadbed may be 
washed out under the water.

Stay tuned to later developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio 
and local media.

&&

KSC027-061235-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-180908T1800Z/
/CYCK1.2.ER.180904T1527Z.180905T2315Z.180908T0600Z.NO/
1135 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Republican River at Clay Center.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 10:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 20.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.0 feet by 
  early Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage early
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Highways 24 and 15 flood. A high fill which 
  carries the road bed into Clay Center begins to overflow.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Flooding occurs between 16th, 17th, and 18th
  Roads and between Limestone and Osage Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 9741 3957 9726 3929 9700 3926 9706




$$

KSC117-061235-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-180909T0442Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.180903T0448Z.180906T0415Z.180908T1642Z.NO/
1135 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Blue River near Blue Rapids.
* until Saturday evening.
* At 11:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 39.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding occurs from 
  Marysville to Tuttle Creek Lake.

&&

LAT...LON 3971 9666 3968 9658 3957 9655 3957 9659 3968 9669




$$

KSC117-061235-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-180908T0036Z/
/BARK1.1.ER.180904T1759Z.180906T0600Z.180907T0636Z.NO/
1135 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Blue River above Barnes.
* until Friday evening.
* At  5:29 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 18.20 feet early 
  Thursday mmorning. The river is forecast to fall below flood stage 
  during the easrly morning hours on Friday. 
* Impact...At 18.6 feet...Farmers field south of the river and east of
  Highway 148 floods.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Farm field north of the river on the west 
  side of Highway 148 floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3992 9695 3992 9689 3969 9666 3967 9669 3971 9685




$$
514 
WGUS83 KTOP 060438 CCA
FLSTOP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Topeka KS
1135 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas...

  Republican River at Clay Center affecting Clay County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas..
  Big Blue River near Blue Rapids affecting Marshall County
  Little Blue River above Barnes affecting Marshall County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Do not drive into flooded areas. Shallow flowing 
water can wash a car from the roadway. Also, the roadbed may be 
washed out under the water.

Stay tuned to later developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio 
and local media.

&&

KSC027-061235-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-180908T1800Z/
/CYCK1.2.ER.180904T1527Z.180905T2315Z.180908T0600Z.NO/
1135 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Republican River at Clay Center.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 10:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 20.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.0 feet by 
  early Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage early
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Highways 24 and 15 flood. A high fill which 
  carries the road bed into Clay Center begins to overflow.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Flooding occurs between 16th, 17th, and 18th
  Roads and between Limestone and Osage Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 9741 3957 9726 3929 9700 3926 9706




$$

KSC117-061235-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-180909T0442Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.180903T0448Z.180906T0415Z.180908T1642Z.NO/
1135 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Blue River near Blue Rapids.
* until Saturday evening.
* At 11:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 39.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding occurs from 
  Marysville to Tuttle Creek Lake.

&&

LAT...LON 3971 9666 3968 9658 3957 9655 3957 9659 3968 9669




$$

KSC117-061235-
/O.COR.KTOP.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-180908T0036Z/
/BARK1.1.ER.180904T1759Z.180906T0600Z.180907T0636Z.NO/
1135 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Blue River above Barnes.
* until Friday evening.
* At  5:29 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 18.20 feet early 
  Thursday morning. The river is forecast to fall below flood stage 
  during the easrly morning hours on Friday. 
* Impact...At 18.6 feet...Farmers field south of the river and east of
  Highway 148 floods.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Farm field north of the river on the west 
  side of Highway 148 floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3992 9695 3992 9689 3969 9666 3967 9669 3971 9685




$$
458 
WGUS83 KTOP 061341
FLSTOP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Topeka KS
841 AM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas...

  Big Blue River near Blue Rapids affecting Marshall County
  Little Blue River above Barnes affecting Marshall County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Do not drive into flooded areas. Shallow flowing 
water can wash a car from the roadway. Also, the roadbed may be 
washed out under the water.

Stay tuned to later developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio 
and local media.

&&

KSC117-062140-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-180909T0534Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.180903T0448Z.180906T0500Z.180908T1734Z.NO/
841 AM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Blue River near Blue Rapids.
* until late Saturday night.
* At  8:15 AM Thursday the stage was 39.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Saturday early afternoon.

&&

LAT...LON 3971 9666 3968 9658 3957 9655 3957 9659 3968 9669




$$

KSC117-062140-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-180907T1200Z/
/BARK1.1.ER.180904T1759Z.180906T1800Z.180906T1800Z.NO/
841 AM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Blue River above Barnes.
* until Friday morning.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 16.0 
  feet this afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Farm field north of the river on the west 
  side of Highway 148 floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3992 9695 3992 9689 3969 9666 3967 9669 3971 9685




$$
731 
WGUS83 KTOP 061816
FLSTOP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Topeka KS
116 PM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following streams in 
Kansas...

  Little Blue River above Barnes affecting Marshall County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas..
  Big Blue River near Blue Rapids affecting Marshall County
  Republican River at Clay Center affecting Clay County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Do not drive into flooded areas. Shallow flowing 
water can wash a car from the roadway. Also, the roadbed may be 
washed out under the water.

Stay tuned to later developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio 
and local media.

&&

KSC117-070216-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-180909T0534Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.180903T0448Z.180906T0500Z.180908T1734Z.NO/
116 PM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Blue River near Blue Rapids.
* until late Saturday night.
* At 12:15 PM Thursday the stage was 38.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Saturday early afternoon.

&&

LAT...LON 3971 9666 3968 9658 3957 9655 3957 9659 3968 9669




$$

KSC027-070216-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-180907T2024Z/
/CYCK1.2.ER.180904T1527Z.180905T2315Z.180907T0824Z.NO/
116 PM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Republican River at Clay Center.
* until Friday afternoon.
* At 12:30 PM Thursday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Flooding occurs between 16th, 17th, and 18th
  Roads and between Limestone and Osage Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 9741 3957 9726 3929 9700 3926 9706




$$

KSC117-061846-
/O.CAN.KTOP.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-180907T1200Z/
/BARK1.N.ER.180904T1759Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
116 PM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Little Blue River above Barnes.
* At 12:35 PM Thursday the stage was 14.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 14.8 feet. The 
  river will fall to 12.2 feet by .
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Lowland agricultural flooding occurs from 
  15th Road and Zenith Road in Washington County to Waterville in 
  Marshall county.

&&

LAT...LON 3992 9695 3992 9689 3969 9666 3967 9669 3971 9685




$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Topeka, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 4, 6:07 AM CDT, 3 hours 52 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 4, 6:07 AM CDT, 3 hours 52 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Topeka KS
607 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

...Update to aviation forecast discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 354 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The central Great Plains remains beneath a north-south-oriented
corridor of deep-layer confluence between an anticyclone centered
over the central Appalachians and broadly cyclonic flow from the
Four Corners region toward the central Great Basin. Deep, albeit
modest, upward motion beneath the level of non-divergence --
embedded within this zone of confluence -- will continue to interact
with ample deep tropical moisture being advected northward to foster
the continuation of multiple rounds of precipitation across the
forecast area. A subtle speed maximum/sheared vorticity banner
appears to be advancing around the western periphery of the
anticyclone across the region -- locally enhancing the poleward flux
of rich moisture across the central Plains.

Aside from the aforementioned speed maximum, water vapor loops
suggest only minor midlevel perturbations embedded within the
southerly flow aloft. As a result, deep-layer baroclinicity and an
overall focused zone of enhanced convergence/organized-convective
training potential appear unlikely to affect the region in the short
term. The combination of the aforementioned modest ascent and
positive theta-e advection associated with deep moisture transport
will support an increase in the coverage of convective activity
through the diurnal-heating cycle today. A gradual uptick in showers
and isolated thunderstorms should build northward along the corridor
of confluence/positive theta-e advection across parts of north-
central KS this morning. Then, through the day, this activity should
build eastward to some extent in association with some zonal
component to steering currents interacting with the established
convection behind the departing midlevel speed maximum. The overall
convective morphology should appear more as small, loosely-organized
convective bands spreading northward/northeastward. This activity
will continue into the evening hours, although present indications
that at least a slight decrease in the areal coverage of
precipitation will occur from west to east during the late afternoon
into the evening hours.

Then for tonight, a frontal zone accompanying a midlevel wave
embedded in a northern midlevel air stream will advance southward --
approaching the NWS Topeka County Warning Area. By late tonight,
this boundary is forecast to extend from near Falls City NE to the
vicinity of Concordia KS and farther southwest toward Dodge City KS.
Moisture convergence along this boundary, along with nocturnal
cooling at the top of the deep moist layer resulting in a boost in
tropospheric lapse rates, will likely foster a renewed potential for
shower and isolated thunderstorm activity to affect the region --
particularly across parts of north-central and northeast KS.

For today and tonight, midlevel lapse rates will remain poor in
association with the tropical-type thermodynamic profile maintained
over the region, with 500-mb temperatures on the order of
-6.5C to -5.5C. This warm midlevel profile should also maintain warm-
cloud-layer depths on the order of 4-5 km, favoring ample collision-
coalescence processes supporting efficient precipitation growth.
Moreover, some convective component to precipitation growth --
associated with narrow-MLCAPE profiles driven by ample boundary-
layer moisture (e.g., lowest-100-mb mean mixing ratios around 15.0
to 15.5 g/kg) beneath a deep moist-neutral thermodynamic profile --
will also foster efficient precipitation growth. Furthermore, the
Storm Prediction Center Sounding Climatology indicates that the
Monday evening 00Z observed sounding upstream at Norman, Oklahoma
sampled a near-record precipitable water of 2.04 inches --
highlighting the ample tropical moisture advancing into the region.
As a result, high rainfall rates will likely accompany the
precipitation moving across the region. While the duration of heavy
rain at any one given location with a band of convection may tend to
be somewhat limited by the lack of an established synoptic
baroclinic zone, repeated rounds of convective activity combined
with the high precipitation rates will prolong the flash-flood
potential.

Moreover, with recent rainfall accumulations during the past couple
of days ranging from a few to several inches in many areas across
the ongoing Flash Flood Watch area, saturated soils will tend to
resist additional rainfall absorption resulting in enhanced water
run-off and a favorable antecedent environment for flash flooding --
even if only around a couple inches of rain were to fall in some
locations. In response to these developments, the Flash Flood Watch
remains in effect until 00Z this early Tuesday evening. There is
some potential that the renewed chance for heavy rains tonight could
warrant an extension of the Watch, or perhaps the issuance of a new
Flash Flood Watch. Convective trends through the day will largely
influence where subsequent flash-flood potential would be greatest.

Ample cloud coverage across the region will tend to de-amplify the
diurnal/nocturnal temperature-variability cycle, with high
temperatures today expected to range from the upper 70s to lower 80s
and overnight lows tonight expected to be in the upper 60s to around
70F. Southerly winds may occasionally become gusty today in
association with slightly enhanced diurnal vertical mixing amid the
locally tightened height gradient between eastern states ridging and
western states troughing.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 354 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

Wednesday will see a frontal boundary/trough move southeast across
northeast and east central Kansas on Wednesday, gradually
positioning south into southern Kansas or northern Oklahoma by 12Z
Friday. A moist airmass will continue across the region, setting the
stage for more rounds of locally heavy rainfall and possible
additional flooding. The slow movement of the front, upper support
from a the tail end of a mid level trough moving across the central
plains coupled with a region of upper level difluence, and 850 mb
theta convergence over eastern Kansas point toward another round of
heavy rainfall Wednesday night into Thursday.

The frontal boundary moves northward Friday and Friday night to near
the Nebraska border as the remnants of Gordon approach southeast
Kansas advecting deep tropical moisture into northeast and east
central Kansas before moving off to the east on Saturday. Sided with
the more westerly solution of the ECMWF which leans most toward the
NHC position as the GFS tends to be too fast with the recurve with
the tropical system. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible again
Friday and Friday night. An upper level trough will progress
eastward across the central plains into the Mississippi valley on
Saturday bringing an end to precipitation chances by Saturday
evening. Differences between the models by early next week yield low
confidence in precipitation chances. Temperatures will remain cooler
than normal in the wet regime through Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Wednesday morning)
Issued at 605 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

Areas of showers and isolated thunderstorms will spread
northward/northeastward across the region through tonight. The
coverage/intensity of this activity is expected to temporarily
decrease by late this afternoon and evening, before increasing again
tonight. MVFR ceilings and visibilities will accompany the heaviest
precipitation. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected into
tonight, before ceilings lower to MVFR by late tonight. South to
south-southeast winds are anticipated, with wind gusts around
15-20 kt this afternoon.

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through this evening for KSZ008>011-020>023-
034>036.

&&

SHORT TERM...Cohen
LONG TERM...53
AVIATION...Cohen
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 4, 5:32 AM CDT, 4 hours 27 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
532 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-051045-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
532 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for east central...north
central and northeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The potential for additional moderate to heavy rainfall exists
today. The Flash Flood Watch continues through 7 PM this evening
for north central and parts of northeast Kansas. Additional
rainfall amounts of 1 to locally 2 inches will be possible.

Minor to moderate flooding will develop or continue on several
rivers and creeks in north central and northeast Kansas today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Showers and thunderstorms will continue to be possible through
the late portions of the week and localized flash flooding could
again occur.

Minor flooding of a few rivers and creeks in north central and
northeast Kansas will persist through Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at...
http://www.weather.gov/top/sitrep

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 4, 8:04 AM CDT, 1 hour 55 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
804 AM CDT TUE SEP 4 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 WSW BREMEN            39.89N 96.82W
09/04/2018  M3.20 INCH       WASHINGTON         KS   PUBLIC

            REPORTED AT 2231 CROSSCREEK RD, BREMEN KS.

&&

BD
Local storm report, Sep 4, 8:05 AM CDT, 1 hour 54 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
805 AM CDT TUE SEP 4 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       HANOVER                 39.89N 96.87W
09/04/2018  M1.85 INCH       WASHINGTON         KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Topeka, KS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 3, 7:05 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTOPCloud6 hr
Sep 3, 8:27 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTOPRepublic, Washington3 hr
Sep 3, 10:28 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTOPMarshall, Washington3 hr
Sep 4, 12:45 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningTOPCloud12 hr
Sep 4, 12:57 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTOPWashington23 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Kansas, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.