Alert archive / Florida / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 13, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

July 5, 2018DeSoto County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this river flood warning at Jul 5, 2018, 10:20 AM EDT for DeSoto County, Florida. It took effect at Jul 6, 2018, 12:20 AM EDT. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 5, 2018, 10:20 AM EDT (14:20 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 6, 2018, 12:20 AM EDT
Expired
Jul 9, 2018, 8:55 PM EDT
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County DeSoto County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 71 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Horse Creek near Arcadia at SR 72 (ARHF1). The gauge peaked at 12.66 ft at Jul 6, 2018, 7:00 PM EDT.

actionminormoderate10121407/0507/0607/0707/0807/0907/1007/11
Action stage
10 ft
Minor stage
12 ft
Moderate stage
14.5 ft
Major stage
16 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02297310, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

448 
WGUS42 KTBW 051420
FLWTBW
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
1020 AM EDT Thu Jul 5 2018

...The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers...

  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 

.Recent heavy rains have led to a rise in the water level for Horse
Creek near Arcadia. The water level is expected to remain elevated
through the weekend. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The 
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can 
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC027-060320-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0013.180706T0600Z-180709T1200Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.180706T0600Z.180707T0600Z.180709T0600Z.NO/
1020 AM EDT Thu Jul 5 2018

The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* From late tonight until Monday morning.
* At 09 AM Thursday the stage was...11.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight 
  tomorrow and continue to rise to near 12.5 feet by early Saturday 
  morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage by early 
  Monday morning.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is 
  impassable.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Secondary roads in hidden acres and royal 
  palm begin to flood.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Two homes become isolated.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 12.5 feet 
  on Apr 2 1993.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0  11.3  Thu 09 AM  12.2   12.5   12.3   11.8   11.3


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$
9 follow-up statements
676 
WGUS82 KTBW 060210
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
1010 PM EDT Thu Jul 5 2018

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 

.Minor flooding is ongoing or expected begin shortly on several area 
rivers due to days of very heavy rainfall.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The 
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can 
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-070210-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-180708T1030Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.180704T0009Z.180706T1200Z.180708T0430Z.NO/
1010 PM EDT Thu Jul 5 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 09 PM Thursday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecasted to continue.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.5 feet by tomorrow 
  morning and expected to fall below flood stage early 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 13.49 feet 
  on Sep 16 1979.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  13.1  Thu 09 PM  13.5   12.2   10.4    9.0    7.3


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC027-070210-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0013.180706T0420Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.180706T0420Z.180708T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1010 PM EDT Thu Jul 5 2018

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* From after midnight tomorrow through further notice.
* At 09 PM Thursday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage overnight and continue to rise 
  to near 13.1 feet by early Monday morning.
* Impact...at 14.0 feet...Buildings in Hidden Acres flood.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 13.2 feet 
  on Jul 4 2013.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0  11.8  Thu 09 PM  12.3   12.7   13.1   13.1   12.9


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$
750 
WGUS82 KTBW 061551
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
1151 AM EDT Fri Jul 6 2018

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 

..Minor flooding is occuring along several area rivers due to recent
heavy rainfall. Any additional heavy rainfall could exacerbate
flooding conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The 
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can 
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-071551-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-180709T1800Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.180706T0856Z.180707T0600Z.180709T1200Z.NO/
1151 AM EDT Fri Jul 6 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 11 AM Friday the stage was 13.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 14.6 feet by after midnight 
  tomorrow. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Monday 
  morning.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of County
  Road 640 bridge begin flooding.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way 
  downstream of County Road 640 are completely covered by water. One 
  home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and 
  Squirrel Run Way downstream of County Road 640.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 14.6 feet 
  on Feb 23 1936.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  13.9  Fri 11 AM  14.6   14.1   13.0   11.6   10.1


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-071551-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-180708T0900Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.180704T0009Z.180706T0215Z.180708T0300Z.NO/
1151 AM EDT Fri Jul 6 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Saturday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until late Saturday night.
* At 11 AM Friday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow late 
  evening.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 12.5 feet 
  on Aug 29 1981.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  12.5  Fri 11 AM  11.6   10.4    8.6    7.0    6.2


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC027-071551-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.180706T0730Z.180708T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1151 AM EDT Fri Jul 6 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* Until further notice.
* At 11 AM Friday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.5 feet by early Sunday 
  morning then begin falling.
* Impact...at 14.0 feet...Buildings in Hidden Acres flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is 
  impassable.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Secondary roads in hidden acres and royal 
  palm begin to flood.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Two homes become isolated.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 13.5 feet 
  on Aug 27 1953.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0  12.5  Fri 11 AM  13.3   13.5   13.2   12.8   12.2


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$
720 
WGUS82 KTBW 070126
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
926 PM EDT Fri Jul 6 2018

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Peace River At Arcadia 
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 

.Minor flooding is occurring along several area rivers due to recent
heavy rainfall. Any additional heavy rainfall could exacerbate
flooding conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The 
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can 
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-080125-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-180709T1630Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.180706T0856Z.180707T0600Z.180709T1030Z.NO/
926 PM EDT Fri Jul 6 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 9 PM Friday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and is forecast to continue.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 14.8 feet by after midnight 
  tonight. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Monday 
  morning.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of County
  Road 640 bridge begin flooding.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  14.7  Fri 09 PM  14.8   14.2   12.9   11.5   10.1


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-080125-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-180708T0600Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.180704T0009Z.180706T0215Z.180708T0000Z.NO/
926 PM EDT Fri Jul 6 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Saturday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until late Saturday night.
* At 9 PM Friday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and is forecast to continue.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Saturday 
  evening.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  12.0  Fri 09 PM  11.7   10.2    8.6    7.2    6.1


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC027-080125-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0015.180707T1800Z-180710T0600Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.180707T1800Z.180708T1800Z.180710T0000Z.NO/
926 PM EDT Fri Jul 6 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* From tomorrow early afternoon through late Monday night.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 10.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Saturday early 
  afternoon and continue to rise to near 11.3 feet by Sunday early 
  afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood stage by 
  Monday evening.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become 
  flooded.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0  10.7  Fri 08 PM  10.9   11.2   11.2   10.8   10.3


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC027-080125-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-180709T1800Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.180706T0730Z.180707T0600Z.180709T1200Z.NO/
926 PM EDT Fri Jul 6 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 12.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and is forecast to continue.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will hold near 12.7 feet through after midnight 
  tonight. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Monday 
  morning.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is 
  impassable.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0  12.7  Fri 08 PM  12.7   12.5   12.0   11.5   10.8


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$
399 
WGUS82 KTBW 071306
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
906 AM EDT Sat Jul 7 2018

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Lithia
  Little Manatee River At Wimauma
  Peace River At Arcadia 
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia
  
.Minor flooding is occuring along several area rivers due to recent
heavy rainfall. Any additional heavy rainfall could exacerbate
flooding conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The 
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can 
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-081306-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-180710T1200Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.180706T0856Z.180707T0530Z.180710T0600Z.NO/
906 AM EDT Sat Jul 7 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 08 AM Saturday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by early Tuesday 
  morning.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of County
  Road 640 bridge begin flooding.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way 
  downstream of County Road 640 are completely covered by water. One 
  home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and 
  Squirrel Run Way downstream of County Road 640.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 14.7 feet 
  on Sep 3 1985.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  14.7  Sat 08 AM  14.5   13.8   12.7   11.2   10.1


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-080600-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-180708T0600Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.180704T0009Z.180706T0215Z.180708T0000Z.NO/
906 AM EDT Sat Jul 7 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until late tonight.
* At 08 AM Saturday the stage was 11.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by this evening.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 11.5 feet 
  on Aug 2 1946.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  11.5  Sat 08 AM  10.2    8.1    6.6    5.9    5.4


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC027-081306-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0015.180708T1200Z-180712T1200Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.180708T1200Z.180709T1800Z.180712T0600Z.NO/
906 AM EDT Sat Jul 7 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* From tomorrow morning through Thursday morning.
* At 08 AM Saturday the stage was 10.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning
  and continue to rise to near 11.4 feet by early Tuesday morning. 
  The river is expected to fall below flood stage by early Thursday 
  morning.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become 
  flooded.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...3 to 4 homes in the river acres 
  subdivision flood and the lowest portion of the girl scout camp 
  floods.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 11.4 feet 
  on Jun 16 2016.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0  10.8  Sat 08 AM  11.0   11.3   11.4   11.3   10.9


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC027-081306-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-180709T0600Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.180706T0730Z.180707T0300Z.180709T0000Z.NO/
906 AM EDT Sat Jul 7 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* Until late Sunday night.
* At 08 AM Saturday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow 
  evening.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is 
  impassable.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Secondary roads in hidden acres and royal 
  palm begin to flood.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Two homes become isolated.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 12.5 feet 
  on Jun 24 1953.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0  12.5  Sat 08 AM  12.2   11.8   11.3   10.6   10.0


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$
982 
WGUS82 KTBW 080051
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
851 PM EDT Sat Jul 7 2018

...The Flood Warning is canceled for the following rivers in 
Florida... 

  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 


...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Peace River At Arcadia 
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 

.Minor flooding is occurring along several area rivers due to recent heavy rainfall. Any additioanl heavy rainfall could worsen flooding conditions. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The 
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can 
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-090052-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-180710T1000Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.180706T0856Z.180707T2115Z.180710T0400Z.NO/
851 PM EDT Sat Jul 7 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 08 PM Saturday the stage was 14.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of County
  Road 640 bridge begin flooding.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way 
  downstream of County Road 640 are completely covered by water. One 
  home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and 
  Squirrel Run Way downstream of County Road 640.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 14.8 feet 
  on Aug 13 1974.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  14.8  Sat 08 PM  13.7   12.6   11.1   10.0    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC027-090052-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0015.180708T1800Z-180711T0600Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.180708T1800Z.180709T1200Z.180711T0000Z.NO/
851 PM EDT Sat Jul 7 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* From tomorrow early afternoon through late Tuesday night.
* At 08 PM Saturday the stage was 10.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow early 
  afternoon and continue to rise to near 11.2 feet by Monday evening.
  The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Tuesday evening.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become 
  flooded.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...3 to 4 homes in the river acres 
  subdivision flood and the lowest portion of the girl scout camp 
  floods.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 11.2 feet 
  on Aug 16 2016.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0  10.8  Sat 08 PM  11.2   11.1   10.9   10.5    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC027-090052-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-180709T1200Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.180706T0730Z.180707T0300Z.180709T0600Z.NO/
851 PM EDT Sat Jul 7 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* Until Monday morning.
* At 08 PM Saturday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by early Monday 
  morning.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is 
  impassable.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Secondary roads in hidden acres and royal 
  palm begin to flood.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Two homes become isolated.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 12.5 feet 
  on Jun 24 1953.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0  12.5  Sat 08 PM  11.8   11.3   10.7   10.0    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$

FLC057-080121-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-180708T0600Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.180704T0009Z.180706T0215Z.180707T2152Z.NO/
851 PM EDT Sat Jul 7 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until late tonight.
* At 08 PM Saturday the stage was 10.9 feet.
* No flooding is currently forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 11.0 feet 
  on Oct 11 1971.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  10.9  Sat 08 PM   7.9    6.7    5.9    5.5    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$
213 
WGUS82 KTBW 081306
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
906 AM EDT Sun Jul 8 2018

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Peace River At Arcadia 
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 

.Minor flooding is occurring along several area rivers due to
recent heavy rainfall. Any additional heavy rainfall could worsen
flooding conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The 
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can 
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-091305-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-180710T0000Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.180706T0856Z.180707T2115Z.180709T1800Z.NO/
906 AM EDT Sun Jul 8 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Monday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Monday evening.
* At 08 AM Sunday the stage was 14.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow early 
  afternoon.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of County
  Road 640 bridge begin flooding.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way 
  downstream of County Road 640 are completely covered by water. One 
  home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and 
  Squirrel Run Way downstream of County Road 640.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 14.3 feet 
  on Sep 10 1957.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  14.3  Sun 08 AM  13.3   12.0   10.8    9.7    9.0


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC027-091305-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0015.180709T0000Z-180711T1200Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.180709T0000Z.180710T0000Z.180711T0600Z.NO/
906 AM EDT Sun Jul 8 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* From this evening through Wednesday morning.
* At 08 AM Sunday the stage was 10.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage this evening and
  continue to rise to near 11.1 feet by early Tuesday morning. The 
  river is expected to fall below flood stage by early Wednesday 
  morning.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become 
  flooded.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...3 to 4 homes in the river acres 
  subdivision flood and the lowest portion of the girl scout camp 
  floods.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 11.1 feet 
  on Aug 18 2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0  10.9  Sun 08 AM  11.0   11.1   10.9   10.5   10.0


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC027-091305-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-180710T0600Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.180706T0730Z.180707T0300Z.180710T0000Z.NO/
906 AM EDT Sun Jul 8 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* Until late Monday night.
* At 08 AM Sunday the stage was 12.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is 
  impassable.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Secondary roads in hidden acres and royal 
  palm begin to flood.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Two homes become isolated.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 12.6 feet 
  on Sep 18 2000.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0  12.6  Sun 08 AM  12.3   11.8   11.2   10.5    9.9


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$
276 
WGUS82 KTBW 090140
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
940 PM EDT Sun Jul 8 2018

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Peace River At Arcadia 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 

.River levels along Horse Creek and Alafia River continue to 
steadily recede and are expected to fall below flood stage on 
Monday. The Peace River At Arcadia will crest overnight near flood 
stage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The 
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can 
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-092200-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-180709T2200Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.180706T0856Z.180707T2115Z.180709T1600Z.NO/
940 PM EDT Sun Jul 8 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Monday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Monday evening.
* At 09 PM Sunday the stage was 13.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast to continue.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow early 
  afternoon.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way 
  downstream of County Road 640 are completely covered by water. One 
  home begins to flood.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  13.7  Sun 09 PM  13.2   12.0   10.8    9.8    9.0


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC027-100000-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-180710T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.180709T0600Z.180709T0600Z.180709T1800Z.NO/
940 PM EDT Sun Jul 8 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Monday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* From overnight through Monday evening.
* At 08 PM Sunday the stage was 10.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to reach flood stage overnight and 
  slowly decline through early tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become 
  flooded.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 11.0 feet 
  on October 09 2012.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0  10.9  Sun 08 PM  11.0   10.9   10.7   10.4   10.0


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC027-100140-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-180710T0600Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.180706T0730Z.180707T0300Z.180710T0000Z.NO/
940 PM EDT Sun Jul 8 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* Until late Monday night.
* At 08 PM Sunday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast to continue.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow 
  evening.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is 
  impassable.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0  12.5  Sun 08 PM  12.2   11.7   11.2   10.6    9.9


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$
403 
WGUS82 KTBW 091324
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
924 AM EDT Mon Jul 9 2018

...The Flood Warning is canceled for the following rivers in 
Florida... 

  Peace River At Arcadia 


...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Lithia 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 

.Heavy rain during the weekend near Arcadia and Lithia has caused a 
few rivers to get into minor flood stage. All rivers are expected to 
slowly drop over the next few days. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The 
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can 
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-092009-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-180709T2009Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.180706T0856Z.180707T2115Z.180709T1409Z.NO/
924 AM EDT Mon Jul 9 2018

...Flood Warning extended until this afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until this afternoon.
* At 09 AM Monday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by late this 
  morning.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way 
  downstream of County Road 640 are completely covered by water. One 
  home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and 
  Squirrel Run Way downstream of County Road 640.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 13.1 feet 
  on Aug 2 1938.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  13.1  Mon 09 AM  11.9   10.8    9.9    9.1    8.5


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC027-100600-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-180710T0600Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.180706T0730Z.180707T0300Z.180710T0000Z.NO/
924 AM EDT Mon Jul 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* Until late tonight.
* At 08 AM Monday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by this evening.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is 
  impassable.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Secondary roads in hidden acres and royal 
  palm begin to flood.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Two homes become isolated.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 12.3 feet 
  on Jul 22 1995.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0  12.2  Mon 08 AM  11.8   11.3   10.6   10.0    9.4


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$

FLC027-091354-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-180710T0000Z/
/ARCF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
924 AM EDT Mon Jul 9 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* Until this evening.
* At 08 AM Monday the stage was 11.0 feet.
* No flooding is currently forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become 
  flooded.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...3 to 4 homes in the river acres 
  subdivision flood and the lowest portion of the girl scout camp 
  floods.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 11.0 feet 
  on Feb 21 1998.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0  11.0  Mon 08 AM  10.8   10.7   10.4    9.9    9.4


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$
954 
WGUS82 KTBW 100055
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
855 PM EDT Mon Jul 9 2018

...The Flood Warning is canceled for the following rivers in 
Florida... 

  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 


.Drier conditions have allowed the water levels to continue to drop, 
allowing for the cancellation of the Flood Warning for Horse Creek 
near Arcadia.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The 
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can 
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC027-100125-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-180710T0600Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.180706T0730Z.180707T0300Z.180709T2245Z.NO/
855 PM EDT Mon Jul 9 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* Until late tonight.
* At 08 PM Monday the stage was 11.9 feet.
* No flooding is currently forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is 
  impassable.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0  11.9  Mon 08 PM  11.8   11.2   10.6   10.0    9.4


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jul 5, 9:03 AM EDT, 1 hour 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 5, 9:03 AM EDT, 1 hour 17 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
903 AM EDT Thu Jul 5 2018

.UPDATE...
A upper level low and attendant inverted surface trough now
over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico south-southwest of the
Panhandle (via water vapor satellite imagery) early this
morning will continue to move to the west the remainder of
the today. In its wake weak mid level troughing will remain
over the region with weak high pressure at the surface
supporting a light southeast to southerly wind flow over the
forecast area.

Ample moisture (PW 1.8 inches via 12Z raob data) combined
with daytime heating should support scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms developing along the sea breeze
circulations later this morning and into the afternoon as
the low level cap breaks, with a light south 1000-700mb flow
favoring highest convective coverage and pops focusing
along and east of the I-75 corridor during mid to late
afternoon. With a light and chaotic steering flow expect
slow moving storms with some locally heavy rains possible.
In addition, cool temperatures aloft creating steepening
lapse rates may also support a few vigorous storms with
strong gusty winds, small hail, and frequent lightning
strikes the main hazards. Ongoing forecast is in good shape
with no morning update required at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR is expected at all terminals the remainder of the
morning hours. Brief MVFR/IFR cigs/vsbys may impact the
terminals after 18Z as shra/tsra develop over the region and
have handled with VCTS for now. The shra/tsra should end by
03Z tonight with prevailing VFR expected overnight into
Friday morning. Southeast to south winds at 4 to 6 knots are
expected, except becoming onshore at the coastal sites
after 18Z as the sea breeze develops with gusts up to 25
knots possible in the vicinity of tsra.

&&

.MARINE...
Light southeast to south winds along with slight seas can be
expected over the Gulf waters the remainder of today. Wind
and seas will be higher near thunderstorms, otherwise no
headlines are expected. Ongoing forecast is on track with no
changes expected in the next update around 10 AM.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Recent heavy rainfall associated with summer thunderstorms
has driven several local rivers and streams into action
and/or minor flood stage. Rivers currently at or forecast to
reach minor flood stage include the Little Manatee River at
Wimauma, and the Manatee River at Myakka Head. Both of
these rivers will remain at Flood stage through today before
starting to recede Friday into Saturday.

The Horse Creek near Arcadia, and Peace River at Arcadia are
both at Action Stage, and are forecast to remain at action
stage through the upcoming weekend.

Current forecast river stages are based on the most likely
basin average rainfall forecasts over the next couple of
days. Any significant local rainfall near these rivers may
lead to further rises. Those living near these rivers are
asked to monitor river levels closely and check the latest
forecasts for any changes.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...57/McMichael
HYDROLOGY...Mroczka
UPPER AIR...05/Carlisle
DECISION SUPPORT...09/Rude
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 5, 5:03 AM EDT, 5 hours 17 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
503 AM EDT Thu Jul 5 2018

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-052115-
Sumter-Pinellas-Polk-Hardee-Highlands-DeSoto-Coastal Levy-
Coastal Citrus-Coastal Hernando-Coastal Pasco-
Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Manatee-Coastal Sarasota-
Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Lee-Inland Levy-Inland Citrus-
Inland Hernando-Inland Pasco-Inland Hillsborough-Inland Manatee-
Inland Sarasota-Inland Charlotte-Inland Lee-Tampa Bay waters-
Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-
Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-
503 AM EDT Thu Jul 5 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Scattered to numerous thunderstorm are expected to develop during
the mid to late afternoon hours and continue through the early
evening. The greatest coverage of storms will be over the
interior. Some of the storms could be strong with frequent
lightning, heavy rainfall, and gusty winds.

...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
Recent heavy rainfall has brought the water level up to above
flood stage on the Little Manatee River at Wimauma and the Manatee
River at Myakka Head. Residents living along rivers or faster
flowing streams should remain aware of water levels and be ready
to move to higher ground should flooding be observed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Thunderstorms will remain in the forecast through the next week.
A few strong storms may occur any day with gusty winds, frequent
lightning, and localized flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters should monitor the weather and self activate if needed.

Fleming

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 5, 3:28 PM EDTBeach Hazards StatementTBWCharlotte, Lee, Sarasota7 days
Jul 5, 4:49 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWLee26 min
Jul 5, 5:21 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWCharlotte24 min
Jul 5, 5:48 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWDeSoto27 min
Jul 5, 6:21 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWHardee39 min
Jul 5, 6:46 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTBWHillsborough, Pasco119 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.