Severe Thunderstorm Warning 70, NWS Tallahassee, FL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
327 PM EDT Sat Jun 9 2018

.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...

Shower and thunderstorms activity that is currently developing
across the tri-state region will gradually diminish with the loss of
daytime heating this evening. An area of showers and embedded
thunderstorms may linger well into the evening hours. The best
chances will be focused west of the Apalachicola/Chattahoochee
Rivers where low level convergence is greatest between the surface
ridge centered over the northern Gulf of Mexico and surface low
pressure off of the southeast coast. Late tonight, light patchy fog
will be possible across portions of the region, mainly due to wet
soils and light surface winds. Overnight lows in the low 70s are
expected.

.SHORT TERM [Sunday Through Monday Night]...

Upper level troughing will continue over the region through the
period with sufficient moisture in place. Expect scattered to
numerous diurnal thunderstorms with the mean 1000-700mb flow from
the west to southwest. Thunderstorms will be aided by interaction
with the afternoon sea breeze and outflow boundaries. Highs will
be around 90 with lows around 70.

.LONG TERM [Tuesday Through Saturday]...

Th overall pattern surface and aloft should be relatively
unchanged through the upcoming week. Thus, expect near to above
seasonal chances (40-60%) for rain each day. Highs in the upper
80s to lower 90s and lows in the lower 70s.

&&

.AVIATION [Through 18Z Sunday]...

VFR conditions will prevail at all sites this afternoon outside of
SHRA/TSRA. Reductions in CIGs and vsby can be expected under any
activity, with gusty and erratic winds also possible. All sites
will have the potential to see impacts this afternoon, with
SHRA/TSRA coverage diminishing after sunset this evening. Patchy
fog will be possible once again lat tonight at VLD, with low end
MVFR to high end IFR conditions possible. MVFR vsbys also possible
at TLH.

&&

.MARINE...

Winds of 10 knots or less, generally from the west to southwest,
will result in 1 to 2 foot seas.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

With light winds and RH values above critical levels, there are no
fire weather concerns over the next few days.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

The Withlacoochee River near Pinetta and Fenholloway River at
Foley both remain near their lower thresholds of action stage,
and these gauges are likely to drop below action stage later
today. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will produce brief,
isolated areas of heavy rain each day across our area, but this is
not expected to result in any river flooding.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   70  91  70  91  71 /  20  40  20  50  30
Panama City   74  87  75  86  75 /  10  30  20  60  30
Dothan        71  91  72  90  72 /  30  40  20  60  30
Albany        71  92  72  90  72 /  30  40  20  50  30
Valdosta      70  91  71  90  72 /  20  40  30  60  30
Cross City    71  89  71  89  72 /  10  30  20  30  10
Apalachicola  74  88  74  87  75 /  10  30  20  40  20

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

NEAR TERM...Pullin
SHORT TERM...Barry
LONG TERM...Barry
AVIATION...Pullin
MARINE...Barry
FIRE WEATHER...Fieux
HYDROLOGY...Harrigan

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
232 PM EDT SAT JUN 9 2018

GAZ142-091900-
Early GA-
232 PM EDT SAT JUN 9 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL EARLY COUNTY UNTIL 300 PM
EDT...

At 232 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Blakely, moving south at 15 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Blakely, Centerville, Cuba, Early Co A/p, Hentown, Rock Hill and
Sawhatchee.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8476 3125 8475 3126 8492 3125 8492
      3125 8506 3142 8507 3144 8479
TIME...MOT...LOC 1832Z 354DEG 11KT 3136 8496

30-PULLIN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
309 PM EDT SAT JUN 9 2018

GAZ126-127-092000-
Worth GA-Lee GA-
309 PM EDT SAT JUN 9 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LEE AND NORTHWESTERN WORTH
COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM EDT...

At 309 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Smithville, or 9 miles north of Leesburg, moving south at 10 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Leesburg, Albany, Smithville, Chokee, Century, Jordan Place,
Starksville, Byne Crossroads, Scrutchins, Neyami, Philema, Mossy Dell
and Oakfield.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3191 8420 3191 8397 3167 8389 3165 8427
      3179 8428 3179 8426 3183 8426 3184 8428
      3191 8428 3192 8424
TIME...MOT...LOC 1909Z 342DEG 9KT 3187 8416

32

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
347 PM EDT SAT JUN 9 2018

GAZ122>124-092030-
Randolph GA-Terrell GA-Calhoun GA-
347 PM EDT SAT JUN 9 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN RANDOLPH...NORTHERN
CALHOUN AND SOUTHWESTERN TERRELL COUNTIES IN SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA
UNTIL 430 PM EDT...

At 347 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Shellman, or 8 miles southeast of Cuthbert. This storm was nearly
stationary.

Half inch hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Morgan, Edison, Shellman, Pachitla, Carnegie, Moye, Cordrays Mill,
Randolph Co A/p, Clarks Mill, Fountain Bridge, Goffs Mill, Shivers
Mill, Aycock Mill, Martins Crossroads, Dickey and Doverel.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3181 8462 3162 8444 3162 8445 3160 8445
      3149 8467 3171 8487
TIME...MOT...LOC 1947Z 314DEG 4KT 3170 8469

32

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
358 PM EDT SAT JUN 9 2018

GAZ147-148-092045-
Berrien GA-Cook GA-
358 PM EDT SAT JUN 9 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN COOK AND SOUTH
CENTRAL BERRIEN COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA UNTIL 445 PM EDT...

At 358 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Nashville. This storm was drifting west.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Nashville, Adel, Sparks, Ray City, Cottle, Berrien Co A/P, New Lois,
Massee, Allenville and Laconte.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3106 8320 3105 8320 3102 8326 3103 8329
      3103 8337 3121 8346 3125 8323 3108 8316
      3106 8317
TIME...MOT...LOC 1958Z 069DEG 3KT 3115 8328

38-GODSEY