Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 105, NWS Tallahassee, FL

June 28, 2018Franklin County, Liberty County, Florida

NWS Tallahassee, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 28, 2018, 10:11 PM EDT for Franklin County, Liberty County, Florida. It was in force for 34 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 28, 2018, 10:11 PM EDT (02:11 UTC)
Expired
Jun 28, 2018, 10:45 PM EDT
In force
34 min
Issued by
NWS Tallahassee, FL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
0.75 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Franklin County, FL, Liberty County, FL

The radar

The Tallahassee radar (KTLH), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 00:00Z, 2.2 hours before the alert went out and 67 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 00:00Z on 2018-06-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1502 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 00:00Z on 2018-06-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 23 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1502 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-65 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
977 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
23 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
27 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 28, 7:56 PM EDT, 2 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 28, 7:56 PM EDT, 2 hours 15 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
756 PM EDT Thu Jun 28 2018

.AVIATION [Through 00Z Saturday]...

Showers and thunderstorms will push south through this evening.
Expect brief periods of 25 to 35 kt gusts and IFR/LIFR conditions
in thunderstorms with VFR conditions prevailing outside these
storms. Thunderstorm activity dies off after 04z with VFR
conditions overnight. Perhaps some brief IFR cigs could develop
by daybreak at ABY and VLD but confidence is low in this outcome.
Another round of showers and thunderstorms is expected to develop
Friday afternoon, impacting all terminals.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [346 PM EDT]...

.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...

Large MCS has formed to the north stretching from east-central
Georgia into Middle Tennessee. The entire complex is dropping
southward and should reach the northern CWA border by mid to late
afternoon. Dewpoints in the lower to mid 70s and temperatures in the
lower to mid 90s are supporting MLCAPE values above 2500j/kg. Meso-
analysis indicates downdraft CAPE values over 1000 j/kg ahead of the
line as well. This supports a risk of damaging winds across the
forecast area through the evening. SPC has the region in a Slight
Risk area.

The MCS should push offshore by mid to late evening, with rain
chances diminishing after midnight.

.SHORT TERM [Friday Through Saturday Night]...

The ribbon of upper level +PV helping fuel today's MCS will sink
into southern AL and GA by Friday morning and settle into place
over the tri-state area this weekend. This will enhance divergence
aloft and help keep chances for showers and thunderstorms
elevated through Saturday night. Instability will be slightly
lower Friday and Saturday, however, around 1500-2000 j/kg or so,
which will mean more typical chances for strong wind gusts like we
tend to see during the summer. Afternoon highs will be slightly
lower Friday and Saturday, staying in the low- mid 90s, and
morning lows will be in the low- mid 70s.

.LONG TERM [Sunday Through Thursday]...

The +PV anomaly aloft will begin to dissipate and shift westward by
mid-week as another anomaly moves westward towards the Atlantic
coastline of GA and SC. Chances for showers and thunderstorms remain
high through Monday, then settle back into our climatological
chances of around 40-50% each afternoon. Temperatures will peak in
the low 90s and lows will dip into the low-mid 70s.

.MARINE...

Winds will be around 15 knots or less and seas 2 feet or less
through the period outside of thunderstorms.

.FIRE WEATHER...

Fire weather concerns will be low the next few days with above
normal chances for rain anticipated through the weekend.

.HYDROLOGY...

Several rounds of soaking rainfall are expected to add up to around
1.5-2.5 inches of accumulations across the area through this
weekend. Our area rivers are at normal levels right now, so these
totals are unlikely to cause flooding issues. That said, areas that
receive heavier rainfall over shorter time periods may see localized
flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   75  92  74  90  74 /  70  50  40  50  50
Panama City   79  91  76  90  75 /  60  60  40  50  50
Dothan        74  92  75  91  73 /  70  60  30  60  50
Albany        74  94  76  91  74 /  60  50  40  50  40
Valdosta      74  92  74  90  73 /  60  50  40  60  40
Cross City    76  91  74  89  74 /  40  50  40  60  40
Apalachicola  78  91  77  89  77 /  60  50  50  60  50

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

NEAR TERM...Camp
SHORT TERM...Nguyen
LONG TERM...Nguyen
AVIATION...Dobbs
MARINE...Nguyen
FIRE WEATHER...Dobbs
HYDROLOGY...Nguyen

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 28, 8:43 PM EDT, 1 hour 28 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jun 28, 9:00 PM EDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jun 28, 9:12 PM EDT, 59 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jun 28, 9:42 PM EDT, 29 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jun 28, 9:56 PM EDT, 15 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jun 28, 9:57 PM EDT, 14 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Tallahassee, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 28, 8:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEBay, Walton, Washington40 min
Jun 28, 8:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAELafayette, Madison, Taylor37 min
Jun 28, 8:27 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningTAE93 min
Jun 28, 8:29 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTAETaylor46 min
Jun 28, 8:31 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTAEWalton29 min
Jun 28, 8:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEBay, Walton25 min
Jun 28, 8:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEBay, Calhoun, Gadsden, Gulf, Jackson, Liberty and 1 more34 min
Jun 28, 8:43 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTAELafayette32 min
Jun 28, 9:00 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTAEBay, Calhoun, Franklin, Gulf, Liberty, Wakulla45 min
Jun 28, 9:12 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTAEDixie, Lafayette48 min
Jun 28, 9:13 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningTAE47 min
Jun 28, 9:16 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningTAE89 min
Jun 28, 9:29 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningTAE31 min
Jun 28, 9:42 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTAEFranklin, Gulf, Liberty48 min
Jun 28, 9:54 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningTAE51 min
Jun 28, 9:56 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningTAE49 min
Jun 28, 10:39 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningTAE96 min
Jun 28, 10:41 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningTAE94 min
Jun 29, 12:09 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningTAE96 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2018Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.