Alert archive / Georgia / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 76, NWS Tallahassee, FL

December 17, 2018Brooks County, Lowndes County, Georgia

NWS Tallahassee, FL issued this river flood warning at Dec 17, 2018, 10:38 AM EST for Brooks County, Lowndes County, Georgia. It took effect at Dec 19, 2018, 7:00 AM EST. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 17, 2018, 10:38 AM EST (15:38 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 19, 2018, 7:00 AM EST
Expired
Dec 22, 2018, 7:31 PM EST
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS Tallahassee, FL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Brooks County, GA, Lowndes County, GA

The radar

The Moody AFB radar (KVAX), 41 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Withlacoochee River near Quitman (US 84) (QUTG1). The gauge peaked at 21.21 ft at Dec 21, 2018, 6:00 AM EST.

actionminormoderate5010012/1712/1812/1912/2012/2112/2212/23
Action stage
99 ft
Minor stage
104 ft
Moderate stage
110 ft
Major stage
113 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02318500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

969 
WGUS42 KTAE 171538
FLWTAE
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1038 AM EST Mon Dec 17 2018

...The National Weather Service in Tallahassee has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Florida...Georgia... 

  Ochlockonee River near Havana (US 27) affecting Gadsden and Leon 
  Counties
  Withlacoochee River near Quitman (US 84) affecting Brooks and 
  Lowndes Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC039-073-181537-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FL.W.0075.181218T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/HVNF1.1.ER.181218T1200Z.181220T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1038 AM EST Mon Dec 17 2018

The National Weather Service in Tallahassee has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Ochlockonee River near Havana (US 27).
* From Tuesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:15 AM Monday the stage was 25.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue 
  to rise to near 26.5 feet by Thursday early afternoon.
* Impact: At 26.0 feet: The river overflows into wooded bottomlands 
  near US-27 and CR-153 in Leon and Gadsden Counties. 

&&

LAT...LON 3056 8436 3047 8438 3043 8447 3047 8448 3049 8443 3058 8439


$$

GAC027-185-181537-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FL.W.0076.181219T1500Z-181222T2200Z/
/QUTG1.1.ER.181219T1500Z.181221T0600Z.181222T1000Z.NO/
1038 AM EST Mon Dec 17 2018

The National Weather Service in Tallahassee has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Withlacoochee River near Quitman (US 84).
* From Wednesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:00 AM Monday the stage was 102.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 104.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by late Wednesday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 104.9 feet by early Friday morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* Impact: At 104.0 feet: In Lowndes County, Spook Bridge Lane begins 
  to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3079 8335 3073 8341 3063 8322 3064 8342 3074 8355 3084 8346


$$
10 follow-up statements
482 
WGUS82 KTAE 180212
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
912 PM EST Mon Dec 17 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
Georgia...
 
  Ochlockonee River near Havana (US 27) affecting Gadsden and Leon 
  Counties 
  Withlacoochee River above Valdosta (Skipper Bridge Rd) affecting 
  Brooks and Lowndes Counties 
  Withlacoochee River near Quitman (US 84) affecting Brooks and 
  Lowndes Counties 
  Suwannee River at Dowling Park (CR 250) affecting Lafayette...
  Madison and Suwannee Counties 
  Suwannee River near Wilcox (US 19) affecting Dixie...Gilchrist and 
  Levy Counties 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
Florida...
  Ochlockonee River near Thomasville (US 84) affecting Grady and 
  Thomas Counties 
  Ochlockonee River near Concord (CR 12) affecting Gadsden and Leon 
  Counties 
  Aucilla River at Lamont (US 27) affecting Jefferson...Madison and 
  Taylor Counties 
  St. Marks River near Newport On Old Magnolia Rd affecting Leon and
  Wakulla Counties 
  Suwannee River at Ellaville (US 90) affecting Hamilton...Madison 
  and Suwannee Counties 
  Suwannee River at Luraville (SR 51) affecting Lafayette and 
  Suwannee Counties 
  Suwannee River at Branford (US 27) affecting Lafayette and 
  Suwannee Counties 



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

GAC131-275-190212-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-181219T0600Z/
/TMLG1.1.ER.181216T1800Z.181217T1600Z.181218T1800Z.NO/
912 PM EST Mon Dec 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Ochlockonee River near Thomasville (US 84).
* Until late Tuesday night.
* At  8:45 PM Monday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact: At 15.0 feet: Multiple access roads to boat ramps throughout
  the basin are flooded. Widespread flooding of wooded bottomland and
  adjacent farmland occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3104 8388 3092 8394 3068 8422 3069 8432 3091 8406 3104 8396


$$

FLC039-073-190212-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-181222T0900Z/
/CONF1.1.ER.181216T1048Z.181218T0100Z.181221T2100Z.NO/
912 PM EST Mon Dec 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Ochlockonee River near Concord (CR 12).
* Until late Friday night.
* At  8:00 PM Monday the stage was 37.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 36.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Friday afternoon.
* Impact: At 36.0 feet: Primary access to homes along county highway 
  12 on the east bank of the river in Leon County may become 
  restricted.

&&

LAT...LON 3068 8422 3056 8436 3058 8439 3064 8433 3069 8432


$$

FLC039-073-190212-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0075.181218T1200Z-181223T0000Z/
/HVNF1.1.ER.181218T1200Z.181220T1200Z.181222T1200Z.NO/
912 PM EST Mon Dec 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Ochlockonee River near Havana (US 27).
* From Tuesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:15 PM Monday the stage was 25.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue 
  to rise to near 26.5 feet by Thursday early afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* Impact: At 26.0 feet: The river overflows into wooded bottomlands 
  near US-27 and CR-153 in Leon and Gadsden Counties. 

&&

LAT...LON 3056 8436 3047 8438 3043 8447 3047 8448 3049 8443 3058 8439


$$

FLC065-079-123-190212-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LAMF1.1.ER.181207T1830Z.181217T0615Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 PM EST Mon Dec 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Aucilla River at Lamont (US 27).
* Until further notice.
* At  8:30 PM Monday the stage was 53.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 53.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to a stage of 53.8 feet 
  by Wednesday morning.
* Impact: At 53.0 feet: Minor lowland flooding begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3047 8369 3031 8377 3009 8396 3013 8404 3032 8388 3047 8378


$$

FLC073-129-190212-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-181221T1800Z/
/NEPF1.1.ER.181215T0640Z.181217T1300Z.181221T0600Z.NO/
912 PM EST Mon Dec 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the St. Marks River near Newport On Old Magnolia Rd.
* Until Friday afternoon.
* At  8:00 PM Monday the stage was 8.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Friday morning.
* Impact: At 8.5 feet: Water approaches the steps to an elevated 
  residence on Old Magnolia Road in Wakulla County. Other elevated 
  structures begin to be surrounded by water. Portions of the Natural
  Bridge State Park near the river begin to flood in Leon County. 

&&

LAT...LON 3030 8413 3024 8413 3013 8419 3014 8423 3024 8417 3030 8417


$$

GAC027-185-190212-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-181220T1330Z/
/VDSG1.1.ER.181216T0900Z.181218T0600Z.181220T0130Z.NO/
912 PM EST Mon Dec 17 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Withlacoochee River above Valdosta (Skipper Bridge Rd).
* Until Thursday morning.
* At  8:30 PM Monday the stage was 136.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 135.0 feet.
* Impact: At 135.0 feet: Minor flooding begins. Langdale Park floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3100 8319 3079 8335 3084 8346 3103 8330


$$

GAC027-185-190212-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0076.181219T1200Z-181222T1800Z/
/QUTG1.1.ER.181219T1200Z.181221T0000Z.181222T0600Z.NO/
912 PM EST Mon Dec 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Withlacoochee River near Quitman (US 84).
* From Wednesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 PM Monday the stage was 102.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 104.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by Wednesday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 104.9 feet by early Friday morning. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by early Saturday morning.
* Impact: At 104.0 feet: In Lowndes County, Spook Bridge Lane begins 
  to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3079 8335 3073 8341 3063 8322 3064 8342 3074 8355 3084 8346


$$

FLC047-079-121-190212-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0072.181220T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/ELLF1.1.ER.181220T1800Z.181224T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 PM EST Mon Dec 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Suwannee River at Ellaville (US 90).
* From Thursday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:00 PM Monday the stage was 50.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 53.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by Thursday early afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 54.4 feet by Monday morning. Additional 
  rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact: At 54.0 feet: Extensive lowland flooding occurs on the 
  Madison and Suwannee sides of the river, including in the Suwannee 
  River State Park.

&&

LAT...LON 3041 8312 3036 8316 3026 8321 3026 8328 3038 8323 3044 8315


$$

FLC067-079-121-190212-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0073.181224T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DOUF1.1.ER.181224T0000Z.181225T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 PM EST Mon Dec 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Suwannee River at Dowling Park (CR 250).
* From Sunday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:00 PM Monday the stage was 42.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 47.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by Sunday evening and continue to 
  rise to near 47.5 feet by Monday evening. Additional rises are 
  possible thereafter.
* Impact: At 48.0 feet: Homes not elevated on SE Boundary Bend Trail 
  in Madison County begin to flood. Flooding begins in Suwannee 
  County south of CR-250 and west of 237th road. 

&&

LAT...LON 3026 8321 3018 8321 3013 8319 3008 8323 3016 8328 3026 8328


$$

FLC067-121-190212-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LURF1.1.ER.181218T0250Z.181225T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 PM EST Mon Dec 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Suwannee River at Luraville (SR 51).
* Until further notice.
* At  8:15 PM Monday the stage was 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise to
  near 39.7 feet by Monday evening. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* Impact: At 40.0 feet: Flooding extends through wooded areas on the 
  Suwannee County side of the river along SR-51. In Lafayette County,
  NW Savannah Road floods. 

&&

LAT...LON 3013 8319 3012 8307 3000 8294 2997 8299 3006 8310 3008 8323


$$

FLC067-121-190212-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BFDF1.1.ER.181217T0645Z.181224T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 PM EST Mon Dec 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Suwannee River at Branford (US 27).
* Until further notice.
* At  9:00 PM Monday the stage was 25.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 28.1 feet by 
  Monday early afternoon. Additional rises may be possible 
  thereafter.
* Impact: At 28.0 feet: In Lafayette County, flooding begins on NE 
  Gold Dust Road.

&&

LAT...LON 3000 8294 2989 8285 2982 8287 2982 8296 2987 8293 2997 8299


$$

FLC029-041-075-190212-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0067.181221T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WCXF1.1.ER.181221T0000Z.181225T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 PM EST Mon Dec 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Suwannee River near Wilcox (US 19).
* From Thursday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:30 PM Monday the stage was 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by Thursday evening and continue 
  to rise to near 11.4 feet by Monday evening. Additional rises are 
  possible thereafter.
* Impact: At 10.0 feet: Flood water begins to cut off houses in 
  Guaranto Springs, Pervis Landing, Pine Landing and New Pine 
  Landing.

&&

LAT...LON 2982 8287 2971 8291 2956 8292 2956 8299 2965 8300 2982 8296


$$
671 
WGUS82 KTAE 181458
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
958 AM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
Florida...
 
  Ochlockonee River near Thomasville (US 84) affecting Grady and 
  Thomas Counties 
  Ochlockonee River near Concord (CR 12) affecting Gadsden and Leon 
  Counties 
  Ochlockonee River near Havana (US 27) affecting Gadsden and Leon 
  Counties 
  Aucilla River at Lamont (US 27) affecting Jefferson...Madison and 
  Taylor Counties 
  St. Marks River near Newport On Old Magnolia Rd affecting Leon and 
  Wakulla Counties 
  Withlacoochee River above Valdosta (Skipper Bridge Rd) affecting 
  Brooks and Lowndes Counties 
  Withlacoochee River near Quitman (US 84) affecting Brooks and 
  Lowndes Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

GAC131-275-191200-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-181219T1200Z/
/TMLG1.1.ER.181216T1800Z.181217T1600Z.181219T0000Z.NO/
958 AM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...The Flood Warning
continues for
  the Ochlockonee River near Thomasville (US 84).
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At  9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this evening.
* Impact: At 15.0 feet: Multiple access roads to boat ramps throughout
  the basin are flooded. Widespread flooding of wooded bottomland and
  adjacent farmland occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3104 8388 3092 8394 3068 8422 3069 8432 3091 8406 3104 8396


$$

FLC039-073-191458-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CONF1.1.ER.181216T1048Z.181219T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
958 AM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Ochlockonee River near Concord (CR 12).
* Until further notice.
* At  9:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 37.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 36.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 37.9 feet by 
  tomorrow morning then begin falling.
* Impact: At 38.5 feet: County highway 12 may become closed to 
  vehicular traffic.

&&

LAT...LON 3068 8422 3056 8436 3058 8439 3064 8433 3069 8432


$$

FLC039-073-191458-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HVNF1.1.ER.181218T1452Z.181220T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
958 AM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Ochlockonee River near Havana (US 27).
* Until further notice.
* At  9:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue 
  to rise to near 26.9 feet by Thursday early afternoon.
* Impact: At 26.0 feet: The river overflows into wooded bottomlands 
  near US-27 and CR-153 in Leon and Gadsden Counties. 

&&

LAT...LON 3056 8436 3047 8438 3043 8447 3047 8448 3049 8443 3058 8439


$$

FLC065-079-123-191458-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-181222T1200Z/
/LAMF1.1.ER.181207T1830Z.181218T1800Z.181222T0000Z.NO/
958 AM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Aucilla River at Lamont (US 27).
* Until Saturday morning.
* At  9:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 53.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 53.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 54.0 feet by after
  midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  evening.
* Impact: At 53.0 feet: Minor lowland flooding begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3047 8369 3031 8377 3009 8396 3013 8404 3032 8388 3047 8378


$$

FLC073-129-191458-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-181223T0000Z/
/NEPF1.1.ER.181215T0640Z.181217T1300Z.181222T1200Z.NO/
958 AM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the St. Marks River near Newport On Old Magnolia Rd.
* Until Saturday evening.
* At  9:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 8.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Saturday morning.
* Impact: At 8.5 feet: Water approaches the steps to an elevated 
  residence on Old Magnolia Road in Wakulla County. Other elevated 
  structures begin to be surrounded by water. Portions of the Natural
  Bridge State Park near the river begin to flood in Leon County. 

&&

LAT...LON 3030 8413 3024 8413 3013 8419 3014 8423 3024 8417 3030 8417


$$

GAC027-185-191458-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-181220T1536Z/
/VDSG1.1.ER.181216T0900Z.181218T1800Z.181220T0336Z.NO/
958 AM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Withlacoochee River above Valdosta (Skipper Bridge Rd).
* Until Thursday morning.
* At  9:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 136.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 135.0 feet.
* Impact: At 135.0 feet: Minor flooding begins. Langdale Park floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3100 8319 3079 8335 3084 8346 3103 8330


$$

GAC027-185-191458-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0076.181219T1200Z-181223T0000Z/
/QUTG1.1.ER.181219T1200Z.181221T0000Z.181222T1200Z.NO/
958 AM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Withlacoochee River near Quitman (US 84).
* From Wednesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 103.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 104.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue 
  to rise to near 105.3 feet by early Friday morning. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* Impact: At 104.0 feet: In Lowndes County, Spook Bridge Lane begins 
  to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3079 8335 3073 8341 3063 8322 3064 8342 3074 8355 3084 8346


$$
897 
WGUS82 KTAE 190114
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
814 PM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
Florida...
 
  Ochlockonee River near Thomasville (US 84) affecting Grady and 
  Thomas Counties 
  Aucilla River at Lamont (US 27) affecting Jefferson...Madison and 
  Taylor Counties 
  St. Marks River near Newport On Old Magnolia Rd affecting Leon and 
  Wakulla Counties 
  Withlacoochee River near Quitman (US 84) affecting Brooks and 
  Lowndes Counties 
  Suwannee River at Ellaville (US 90) affecting Hamilton...Madison and
  Suwannee Counties 
  Suwannee River at Dowling Park (CR 250) affecting Lafayette...
  Madison and Suwannee Counties 
  Suwannee River near Wilcox (US 19) affecting Dixie...Gilchrist and 
  Levy Counties 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
Georgia...
  Ochlockonee River near Concord (CR 12) affecting Gadsden and Leon 
  Counties 
  Ochlockonee River near Havana (US 27) affecting Gadsden and Leon 
  Counties 
  Withlacoochee River above Valdosta (Skipper Bridge Rd) affecting 
  Brooks and Lowndes Counties 
  Suwannee River at Luraville (SR 51) affecting Lafayette and 
  Suwannee Counties 
  Suwannee River at Branford (US 27) affecting Lafayette and 
  Suwannee Counties 



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

GAC131-275-191505-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-181219T1505Z/
/TMLG1.1.ER.181216T1800Z.181217T1600Z.181219T0305Z.NO/
814 PM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...The Flood Warning
continues for
  the Ochlockonee River near Thomasville (US 84).
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At  7:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 15.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Nonflood flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tonight.
* Impact: At 15.0 feet: Multiple access roads to boat ramps throughout
  the basin are flooded. Widespread flooding of wooded bottomland and
  adjacent farmland occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3104 8388 3092 8394 3068 8422 3069 8432 3091 8406 3104 8396


$$

FLC039-073-200113-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CONF1.1.ER.181216T1048Z.181219T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
814 PM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Ochlockonee River near Concord (CR 12).
* Until further notice.
* At  7:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 37.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 36.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 37.9 feet by after
  midnight tomorrow then begin falling.
* Impact: At 38.5 feet: County highway 12 may become closed to 
  vehicular traffic.

&&

LAT...LON 3068 8422 3056 8436 3058 8439 3064 8433 3069 8432


$$

FLC039-073-200113-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HVNF1.1.ER.181218T1515Z.181220T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
814 PM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Ochlockonee River near Havana (US 27).
* Until further notice.
* At  7:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 26.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 26.9 feet by 
  Thursday morning then begin falling.
* Impact: At 26.0 feet: The river overflows into wooded bottomlands 
  near US-27 and CR-153 in Leon and Gadsden Counties. 

&&

LAT...LON 3056 8436 3047 8438 3043 8447 3047 8448 3049 8443 3058 8439


$$

FLC065-079-123-200113-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-181223T1200Z/
/LAMF1.1.ER.181207T1830Z.181219T0600Z.181223T0000Z.NO/
814 PM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Aucilla River at Lamont (US 27).
* Until Sunday morning.
* At  7:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 53.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 53.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 54.0 feet by after
  midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday 
  evening.
* Impact: At 55.0 feet: Widespread lowland flooding will occur. Water 
  will approach a few houses on US Highway 27.

&&

LAT...LON 3047 8369 3031 8377 3009 8396 3013 8404 3032 8388 3047 8378


$$

FLC073-129-200113-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-181223T1800Z/
/NEPF1.1.ER.181215T0640Z.181217T1300Z.181223T0600Z.NO/
814 PM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the St. Marks River near Newport On Old Magnolia Rd.
* Until Sunday afternoon.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 8.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 8.4 feet by after 
  midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact: At 8.5 feet: Water approaches the steps to an elevated 
  residence on Old Magnolia Road in Wakulla County. Other elevated 
  structures begin to be surrounded by water. Portions of the Natural
  Bridge State Park near the river begin to flood in Leon County. 

&&

LAT...LON 3030 8413 3024 8413 3013 8419 3014 8423 3024 8417 3030 8417


$$

GAC027-185-200113-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-181220T1536Z/
/VDSG1.1.ER.181216T0900Z.181218T1400Z.181220T0336Z.NO/
814 PM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Withlacoochee River above Valdosta (Skipper Bridge Rd).
* Until Thursday morning.
* At  7:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 136.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 135.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow late evening.
* Impact: At 135.0 feet: Minor flooding begins. Langdale Park floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3100 8319 3079 8335 3084 8346 3103 8330


$$

GAC027-185-200113-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0076.181219T1200Z-181223T0730Z/
/QUTG1.1.ER.181219T1200Z.181221T1200Z.181222T1930Z.NO/
814 PM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Saturday night...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  the Withlacoochee River near Quitman (US 84).
* From Wednesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 103.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 104.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue 
  to rise to near 105.5 feet by Friday morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Saturday early afternoon.
* Impact: At 106.0 feet: In Lowndes County, the boat ramp at the 
  Clyattville Nankin road is flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3079 8335 3073 8341 3063 8322 3064 8342 3074 8355 3084 8346


$$

FLC047-079-121-200113-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0072.181221T2100Z-000000T0000Z/
/ELLF1.1.ER.181221T2100Z.181226T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
814 PM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Suwannee River at Ellaville (US 90).
* From Friday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 50.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 53.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by Friday afternoon and continue 
  to rise to near 55.6 feet by Tuesday evening. Additional rises are 
  possible thereafter.
* Impact: At 54.0 feet: Extensive lowland flooding occurs on the 
  Madison and Suwannee sides of the river, including in the Suwannee 
  River State Park.

&&

LAT...LON 3041 8312 3036 8316 3026 8321 3026 8328 3038 8323 3044 8315


$$

FLC067-079-121-200113-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0073.181224T1600Z-000000T0000Z/
/DOUF1.1.ER.181224T1600Z.181226T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
814 PM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Suwannee River at Dowling Park (CR 250).
* From Monday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 42.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 47.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by late Monday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 48.0 feet by Tuesday evening. Additional 
  rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact: At 47.0 feet: SE Boundary Bend Trail floods in Madison 
  County.

&&

LAT...LON 3026 8321 3018 8321 3013 8319 3008 8323 3016 8328 3026 8328


$$

FLC067-121-200113-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LURF1.1.ER.181218T0407Z.181226T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
814 PM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Suwannee River at Luraville (SR 51).
* Until further notice.
* At  7:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 35.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 40.7 feet by 
  Tuesday evening. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact: At 40.0 feet: Flooding extends through wooded areas on the 
  Suwannee County side of the river along SR-51. In Lafayette County,
  NW Savannah Road floods. 

&&

LAT...LON 3013 8319 3012 8307 3000 8294 2997 8299 3006 8310 3008 8323


$$

FLC067-121-200113-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BFDF1.1.ER.181217T0645Z.181226T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
814 PM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Suwannee River at Branford (US 27).
* Until further notice.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 25.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 28.9 feet by 
  Tuesday evening. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact: At 28.0 feet: In Lafayette County, flooding begins on NE 
  Gold Dust Road.

&&

LAT...LON 3000 8294 2989 8285 2982 8287 2982 8296 2987 8293 2997 8299


$$

FLC029-041-075-200113-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0067.181221T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/WCXF1.1.ER.181221T1200Z.181226T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
814 PM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Suwannee River near Wilcox (US 19).
* From Friday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 9.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by Friday morning and continue to 
  rise to near 11.8 feet by Tuesday evening. Additional rises are 
  possible thereafter.
* Impact: At 10.0 feet: Flood water begins to cut off houses in 
  Guaranto Springs, Pervis Landing, Pine Landing and New Pine 
  Landing.

&&

LAT...LON 2982 8287 2971 8291 2956 8292 2956 8299 2965 8300 2982 8296


$$
659 
WGUS82 KTAE 191549
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1049 AM EST Wed Dec 19 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Withlacoochee River above Valdosta (Skipper Bridge Rd) affecting 
  Brooks and Lowndes Counties 
  Withlacoochee River near Quitman (US 84) affecting Brooks and 
  Lowndes Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

GAC027-185-201550-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/VDSG1.1.ER.181216T0900Z.181224T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1049 AM EST Wed Dec 19 2018

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Withlacoochee River above Valdosta (Skipper Bridge Rd).
* Until further notice.
* At 10:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 136.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 135.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 136.8 feet by 
  Sunday evening. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact: At 135.0 feet: Minor flooding begins. Langdale Park floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3100 8319 3079 8335 3084 8346 3103 8330


$$

GAC027-185-201550-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/QUTG1.1.ER.181219T1442Z.181221T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1049 AM EST Wed Dec 19 2018

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Withlacoochee River near Quitman (US 84).
* Until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 104.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 104.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 105.7 feet by 
  Friday early afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact: At 106.0 feet: In Lowndes County, the boat ramp at the 
  Clyattville Nankin road is flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3079 8335 3073 8341 3063 8322 3064 8342 3074 8355 3084 8346


$$
691 
WGUS82 KTAE 200201
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
901 PM EST Wed Dec 19 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
Florida...
 
  Withlacoochee River near Quitman (US 84) affecting Brooks and 
  Lowndes Counties 
  Suwannee River at Ellaville (US 90) affecting Hamilton...Madison and
  Suwannee Counties 
  Suwannee River at Dowling Park (CR 250) affecting Lafayette...
  Madison and Suwannee Counties 
  Suwannee River at Fowler Bluff (CR 347) affecting Dixie and Levy 
  Counties 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
Georgia...
  Ochlockonee River near Concord (CR 12) affecting Gadsden and Leon 
  Counties 
  Ochlockonee River near Havana (US 27) affecting Gadsden and Leon 
  Counties 
  Aucilla River at Lamont (US 27) affecting Jefferson...Madison and 
  Taylor Counties 
  St. Marks River near Newport On Old Magnolia Rd affecting Leon and
  Wakulla Counties 
  Withlacoochee River above Valdosta (Skipper Bridge Rd) affecting 
  Brooks and Lowndes Counties 
  Suwannee River at Luraville (SR 51) affecting Lafayette and 
  Suwannee Counties 
  Suwannee River at Branford (US 27) affecting Lafayette and 
  Suwannee Counties 
  Suwannee River near Wilcox (US 19) affecting Dixie...Gilchrist and
  Levy Counties 



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC039-073-210200-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CONF1.1.ER.181216T1048Z.181219T1000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
901 PM EST Wed Dec 19 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Ochlockonee River near Concord (CR 12).
* Until further notice.
* At  8:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 37.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 36.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to a stage of 37.5 feet 
  by Friday morning.
* Impact: At 38.5 feet: County highway 12 may become closed to 
  vehicular traffic.

&&

LAT...LON 3068 8422 3056 8436 3058 8439 3064 8433 3069 8432


$$

FLC039-073-210200-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HVNF1.1.ER.181218T1515Z.181221T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
901 PM EST Wed Dec 19 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Ochlockonee River near Havana (US 27).
* Until further notice.
* At  8:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 26.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 26.8 feet by 
  Saturday morning then begin falling.
* Impact: At 28.0 feet: Water spreads out acrss the flood plain on 
  both banks of the river further inundating wooded areas. The boat 
  ramp at Iron Bridge Road (CR-153) in Gadsden County is flooded. 

&&

LAT...LON 3056 8436 3047 8438 3043 8447 3047 8448 3049 8443 3058 8439


$$

FLC065-079-123-210200-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LAMF1.1.ER.181207T1830Z.181223T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
901 PM EST Wed Dec 19 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Aucilla River at Lamont (US 27).
* Until further notice.
* At  8:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 54.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 53.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 54.5 feet by 
  Sunday morning then begin falling.
* Impact: At 55.0 feet: Widespread lowland flooding will occur. Water 
  will approach a few houses on US Highway 27.

&&

LAT...LON 3047 8369 3031 8377 3009 8396 3013 8404 3032 8388 3047 8378


$$

FLC073-129-210200-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NEPF1.1.ER.181215T0640Z.181218T2200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
901 PM EST Wed Dec 19 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the St. Marks River near Newport On Old Magnolia Rd.
* Until further notice.
* At  8:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 8.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 8.3 feet by Friday
  early afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact: At 9.0 feet: Several structures on Old Magnolia Road are 
  surrounded by water up to 1 foot deep in Wakulla County. 

&&

LAT...LON 3030 8413 3024 8413 3013 8419 3014 8423 3024 8417 3030 8417


$$

GAC027-185-210200-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/VDSG1.1.ER.181216T0900Z.181218T2015Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
901 PM EST Wed Dec 19 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Withlacoochee River above Valdosta (Skipper Bridge Rd).
* Until further notice.
* At  8:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 135.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 135.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to a stage of 133.9 feet 
  by Friday morning.
* Impact: At 135.0 feet: Minor flooding begins. Langdale Park floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3100 8319 3079 8335 3084 8346 3103 8330


$$

GAC027-185-210200-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-181224T0900Z/
/QUTG1.1.ER.181219T1442Z.181221T1200Z.181223T2100Z.NO/
901 PM EST Wed Dec 19 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Withlacoochee River near Quitman (US 84).
* Until late Sunday night.
* At  8:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 104.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 104.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 105.4 feet by 
  Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday 
  afternoon.
* Impact: At 106.0 feet: In Lowndes County, the boat ramp at the 
  Clyattville Nankin road is flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3079 8335 3073 8341 3063 8322 3064 8342 3074 8355 3084 8346


$$

FLC047-079-121-210200-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0072.181223T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ELLF1.1.ER.181223T0000Z.181227T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
901 PM EST Wed Dec 19 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Suwannee River at Ellaville (US 90).
* From Saturday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 51.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 53.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by Saturday evening and continue 
  to rise to near 54.7 feet by Wednesday evening. Additional rises 
  are possible thereafter.
* Impact: At 57.0 feet: 205th Court and 205th Terrace in Suwannee 
  County begin to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3041 8312 3036 8316 3026 8321 3026 8328 3038 8323 3044 8315


$$

FLC067-079-121-210200-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0073.181226T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/DOUF1.1.ER.181226T1200Z.181227T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
901 PM EST Wed Dec 19 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Suwannee River at Dowling Park (CR 250).
* From Wednesday December 26, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 43.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 47.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by Wednesday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 47.3 feet by Wednesday evening. Additional rises 
  are possible thereafter.
* Impact: At 48.0 feet: Homes not elevated on SE Boundary Bend Trail 
  in Madison County begin to flood. Flooding begins in Suwannee 
  County south of CR-250 and west of 237th road. 

&&

LAT...LON 3026 8321 3018 8321 3013 8319 3008 8323 3016 8328 3026 8328


$$

FLC067-121-210200-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LURF1.1.ER.181218T0407Z.181227T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
901 PM EST Wed Dec 19 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Suwannee River at Luraville (SR 51).
* Until further notice.
* At  8:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 35.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 40.3 feet by 
  Wednesday evening. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact: At 42.0 feet: Water surrounds homes near the river in both 
  Suwannee and Lafayette County. 

&&

LAT...LON 3013 8319 3012 8307 3000 8294 2997 8299 3006 8310 3008 8323


$$

FLC067-121-210200-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BFDF1.1.ER.181217T0645Z.181227T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
901 PM EST Wed Dec 19 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Suwannee River at Branford (US 27).
* Until further notice.
* At  8:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 28.9 feet by 
  Wednesday evening. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact: At 29.0 feet: Suwannee Cove Road in Suwannee County begins 
  to flood, restricting access to homes near the river. In Lafayette 
  County, access is restricted to homes along SE River Drive.

&&

LAT...LON 3000 8294 2989 8285 2982 8287 2982 8296 2987 8293 2997 8299


$$

FLC029-041-075-210200-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0067.181221T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/WCXF1.1.ER.181221T1800Z.181227T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
901 PM EST Wed Dec 19 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Suwannee River near Wilcox (US 19).
* From Friday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by Friday early afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 11.7 feet by Wednesday evening. Additional
  rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact: At 13.0 feet: Moderate flooding affects numerous homes in 
  the area. Water enters several homes and surrounds many others. One
  hundred or more homes are cut off due to water over the roads near 
  county road 340.

&&

LAT...LON 2982 8287 2971 8291 2956 8292 2956 8299 2965 8300 2982 8296


$$

FLC029-075-210200-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0078.181221T0036Z-000000T0000Z/
/FWBF1.1.ER.181221T0036Z.181221T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
901 PM EST Wed Dec 19 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Suwannee River at Fowler Bluff (CR 347).
* From Thursday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 3.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 5.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by tomorrow evening and continue 
  to rise to near 6.8 feet by early Friday morning.
* Impact: At 7.0 feet: Water will enter many of the houses not built 
  on stilts. Many homes cut off due to water over the road.

&&

LAT...LON 2944 8298 2936 8302 2930 8310 2931 8315 2934 8316 2945 8304


$$
764 
WGUS82 KTAE 201419
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
919 AM EST Thu Dec 20 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Withlacoochee River above Valdosta (Skipper Bridge Rd) affecting 
  Brooks and Lowndes Counties 
  Withlacoochee River near Quitman (US 84) affecting Brooks and 
  Lowndes Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

GAC027-185-210600-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-181221T0600Z/
/VDSG1.1.ER.181216T0900Z.181218T2015Z.181220T1800Z.NO/
919 AM EST Thu Dec 20 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Withlacoochee River above Valdosta (Skipper Bridge Rd).
* Until late tonight.
* At  8:30 AM Thursday the stage was 135.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 135.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this afternoon.
* Impact: At 135.0 feet: Minor flooding begins. Langdale Park floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3100 8319 3079 8335 3084 8346 3103 8330


$$

GAC027-185-211418-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-181223T2100Z/
/QUTG1.1.ER.181219T1442Z.181221T1200Z.181223T0900Z.NO/
919 AM EST Thu Dec 20 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Withlacoochee River near Quitman (US 84).
* Until Sunday afternoon.
* At  9:00 AM Thursday the stage was 104.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 104.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 105.4 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact: At 106.0 feet: In Lowndes County, the boat ramp at the 
  Clyattville Nankin road is flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3079 8335 3073 8341 3063 8322 3064 8342 3074 8355 3084 8346


$$
979 
WGUS82 KTAE 211432
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
932 AM EST Fri Dec 21 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Withlacoochee River near Quitman (US 84) affecting Brooks and 
  Lowndes Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

GAC027-185-221432-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-181223T0130Z/
/QUTG1.1.ER.181219T1442Z.181221T1115Z.181222T1330Z.NO/
932 AM EST Fri Dec 21 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Withlacoochee River near Quitman (US 84).
* Until Saturday evening.
* At  9:00 AM Friday the stage was 104.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 104.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 104.7 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
* Impact: At 104.0 feet: In Lowndes County, Spook Bridge Lane begins 
  to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3079 8335 3073 8341 3063 8322 3064 8342 3074 8355 3084 8346


$$
274 
WGUS82 KTAE 220234
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
934 PM EST Fri Dec 21 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
Georgia...
 
  Ochlockonee River near Concord (CR 12) affecting Gadsden and Leon 
  Counties 
  Ochlockonee River near Havana (US 27) affecting Gadsden and Leon 
  Counties 
  St. Marks River near Newport On Old Magnolia Rd affecting Leon and 
  Wakulla Counties 
  Withlacoochee River near Quitman (US 84) affecting Brooks and 
  Lowndes Counties 
  Suwannee River at Ellaville (US 90) affecting Hamilton...Madison and
  Suwannee Counties 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
  Aucilla River at Lamont (US 27) affecting Jefferson...Madison and 
  Taylor Counties 
  Suwannee River at Luraville (SR 51) affecting Lafayette and 
  Suwannee Counties 
  Suwannee River at Branford (US 27) affecting Lafayette and 
  Suwannee Counties 
  Suwannee River near Wilcox (US 19) affecting Dixie...Gilchrist and
  Levy Counties 
  Suwannee River at Fowler Bluff (CR 347) affecting Dixie and Levy 
  Counties 



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC039-073-230234-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-181224T0600Z/
/CONF1.1.ER.181216T1048Z.181219T1000Z.181223T1800Z.NO/
934 PM EST Fri Dec 21 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Ochlockonee River near Concord (CR 12).
* Until late Sunday night.
* At  9:00 PM Friday the stage was 36.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 36.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Sunday early afternoon.
* Impact: At 38.5 feet: County highway 12 may become closed to 
  vehicular traffic.

&&

LAT...LON 3068 8422 3056 8436 3058 8439 3064 8433 3069 8432


$$

FLC039-073-230234-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-181224T0000Z/
/HVNF1.1.ER.181218T1515Z.181220T1215Z.181223T1200Z.NO/
934 PM EST Fri Dec 21 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Ochlockonee River near Havana (US 27).
* Until Sunday evening.
* At  9:15 PM Friday the stage was 26.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact: At 26.0 feet: The river overflows into wooded bottomlands 
  near US-27 and CR-153 in Leon and Gadsden Counties. 

&&

LAT...LON 3056 8436 3047 8438 3043 8447 3047 8448 3049 8443 3058 8439


$$

FLC065-079-123-230234-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LAMF1.1.ER.181207T1830Z.181221T1315Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
934 PM EST Fri Dec 21 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Aucilla River at Lamont (US 27).
* Until further notice.
* At  8:30 PM Friday the stage was 54.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 53.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to a stage of 54.0 feet 
  by Sunday morning.
* Impact: At 55.0 feet: Widespread lowland flooding will occur. Water 
  will approach a few houses on US Highway 27.

&&

LAT...LON 3047 8369 3031 8377 3009 8396 3013 8404 3032 8388 3047 8378


$$

FLC073-129-230000-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-181223T0000Z/
/NEPF1.1.ER.181215T0640Z.181218T2200Z.181222T1200Z.NO/
934 PM EST Fri Dec 21 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the St. Marks River near Newport On Old Magnolia Rd.
* Until Saturday evening.
* At  9:00 PM Friday the stage was 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river is expected to rise to near flood stage after 
  midnight tomorrow.
* Impact: At 8.0 feet: Water begins to flood yards of some residences 
  of homes near Old Magnolia Road in Wakulla County. 

&&

LAT...LON 3030 8413 3024 8413 3013 8419 3014 8423 3024 8417 3030 8417


$$

GAC027-185-230000-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-181223T0000Z/
/QUTG1.1.ER.181219T1442Z.181221T1115Z.181222T1200Z.NO/
934 PM EST Fri Dec 21 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Withlacoochee River near Quitman (US 84).
* Until Saturday evening.
* At  9:00 PM Friday the stage was 104.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 104.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow morning.
* Impact: At 104.0 feet: In Lowndes County, Spook Bridge Lane begins 
  to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3079 8335 3073 8341 3063 8322 3064 8342 3074 8355 3084 8346


$$

FLC047-079-121-230234-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0072.181224T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ELLF1.1.ER.181224T0000Z.181229T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
934 PM EST Fri Dec 21 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Suwannee River at Ellaville (US 90).
* From Sunday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:00 PM Friday the stage was 52.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 53.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by Sunday evening and continue to 
  rise to near 54.0 feet by Friday evening. Additional rises are 
  possible thereafter.
* Impact: At 54.0 feet: Extensive lowland flooding occurs on the 
  Madison and Suwannee sides of the river, including in the Suwannee 
  River State Park.

&&

LAT...LON 3041 8312 3036 8316 3026 8321 3026 8328 3038 8323 3044 8315


$$

FLC067-121-230234-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LURF1.1.ER.181218T0407Z.181229T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
934 PM EST Fri Dec 21 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Suwannee River at Luraville (SR 51).
* Until further notice.
* At  9:15 PM Friday the stage was 36.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 39.7 feet by 
  Friday evening. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact: At 40.0 feet: Flooding extends through wooded areas on the 
  Suwannee County side of the river along SR-51. In Lafayette County,
  NW Savannah Road floods. 

&&

LAT...LON 3013 8319 3012 8307 3000 8294 2997 8299 3006 8310 3008 8323


$$

FLC067-121-230234-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BFDF1.1.ER.181217T0645Z.181229T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
934 PM EST Fri Dec 21 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Suwannee River at Branford (US 27).
* Until further notice.
* At  9:00 PM Friday the stage was 26.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 28.8 feet by 
  Friday evening. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact: At 29.0 feet: Suwannee Cove Road in Suwannee County begins 
  to flood, restricting access to homes near the river. In Lafayette 
  County, access is restricted to homes along SE River Drive.

&&

LAT...LON 3000 8294 2989 8285 2982 8287 2982 8296 2987 8293 2997 8299


$$

FLC029-041-075-230234-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WCXF1.1.ER.181221T1522Z.181228T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
934 PM EST Fri Dec 21 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Suwannee River near Wilcox (US 19).
* Until further notice.
* At  8:30 PM Friday the stage was 10.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 11.8 feet by 
  Friday early afternoon. Additional rises may be possible 
  thereafter.
* Impact: At 13.0 feet: Moderate flooding affects numerous homes in 
  the area. Water enters several homes and surrounds many others. One
  hundred or more homes are cut off due to water over the roads near 
  county road 340.

&&

LAT...LON 2982 8287 2971 8291 2956 8292 2956 8299 2965 8300 2982 8296


$$

FLC029-075-230234-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FWBF1.1.ER.181221T0717Z.181226T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
934 PM EST Fri Dec 21 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Suwannee River at Fowler Bluff (CR 347).
* Until further notice.
* At  7:00 PM Friday the stage was 4.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 5.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by Sunday morning and continue to 
  rise to near 5.6 feet by Wednesday early afternoon. Additional 
  rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact: At 5.5 feet: 46th lane in Fowlers Bluff will become 
  impassable in some areas. Three homes, not built on stilts, will 
  start to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 2944 8298 2936 8302 2930 8310 2931 8315 2934 8316 2945 8304


$$
484 
WGUS82 KTAE 221506
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1006 AM EST Sat Dec 22 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Withlacoochee River near Quitman (US 84) affecting Brooks and 
  Lowndes Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

GAC027-185-230600-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-181223T0600Z/
/QUTG1.1.ER.181219T1442Z.181221T1115Z.181222T1800Z.NO/
1006 AM EST Sat Dec 22 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Withlacoochee River near Quitman (US 84).
* Until late tonight.
* At  9:00 AM Saturday the stage was 104.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 104.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall until below flood stage by 
  this afternoon.
* Impact: At 104.0 feet: In Lowndes County, Spook Bridge Lane begins 
  to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3079 8335 3073 8341 3063 8322 3064 8342 3074 8355 3084 8346


$$
006 
WGUS82 KTAE 230031
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
731 PM EST Sat Dec 22 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
  Withlacoochee River near Quitman (US 84) affecting Brooks and 
  Lowndes Counties

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
  Chipola River near Altha (CR 274) affecting Calhoun County 
  Apalachicola River near Blountstown affecting Calhoun...
  Franklin...Gulf and Liberty Counties 
  Steinhatchee River near Steinhatchee (US 19) affecting Dixie and 
  Taylor Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC013-037-045-077-240030-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLOF1.1.ER.181203T2205Z.181216T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
631 PM CST Sat Dec 22 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Apalachicola River near Blountstown.
* Until further notice.
* At  6:15 PM Saturday the stage was 17.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 18.8 feet by 
  Monday evening then begin falling.
* Impact: At 19.0 feet: Minor lowland flooding will occur at Douglas 
  Landing and Willis Landing Campgrounds in Gulf County. The 19.0 ft 
  level at Blountstown may at times not be representative of river 
  levels in these areas due to tidal effects, winds, or local 
  rainfall and should be used with caution.

&&

LAT...LON 3061 8490 3009 8508 2980 8490 2972 8505 3007 8520 3061 8498


$$

FLC013-240030-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-181225T2100Z/
/ALTF1.2.ER.181220T2148Z.181222T2330Z.181225T0900Z.NO/
631 PM CST Sat Dec 22 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chipola River near Altha (CR 274).
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At  6:00 PM Saturday the stage was 23.6 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact: At 23.0 feet: Water will start to affect houses and mobile 
  homes in the flood plain downstream from the gage. A few fish camps
  downstream of highway 20 will be affected by flood water.

&&

LAT...LON 3061 8514 3031 8512 3020 8514 3020 8522 3030 8519 3061 8520


$$

GAC027-185-230101-
/O.CAN.KTAE.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-181223T0600Z/
/QUTG1.1.ER.181219T1442Z.181221T1115Z.181222T1707Z.NO/
731 PM EST Sat Dec 22 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Withlacoochee River near Quitman (US 84).
* At  7:00 PM Saturday the stage was 103.5 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 12:07 PM Saturday.
* Flood stage is 104.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to 101.9 feet by Monday 
  morning.
* Impact: At 104.0 feet: In Lowndes County, Spook Bridge Lane begins 
  to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3079 8335 3073 8341 3063 8322 3064 8342 3074 8355 3084 8346


$$

FLC029-123-240030-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STEF1.1.ER.181215T1240Z.181218T0130Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
731 PM EST Sat Dec 22 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Steinhatchee River near Steinhatchee (US 19).
* Until further notice.
* At  6:45 PM Saturday the stage was 20.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and M flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.5 feet.
* Impact: At 19.5 feet: Water begins to flood downstream at 
  Steinhatchee Falls Park. Minor flooding of roads begins along River
  Road NE. Water will begin to encroach onto the yards of residences 
  in the Ancient Oaks Community in Steinhatchee. 

&&

LAT...LON 2982 8328 2967 8333 2964 8340 2968 8343 2973 8337 2982 8335


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 17, 9:00 AM EST, 1 hour 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 17, 9:00 AM EST, 1 hour 38 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
900 AM EST Mon Dec 17 2018

.UPDATE...

High pressure continues to move into the area from the west today,
while a shortwave aloft brings mainly high level cloudiness. This
will shift eastward today. The 12Z TAE sounding allowing for some
cold air advection and limited mixing supports highs in the low to
middle 60s. No major changes were made to the forecast.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [557 AM EST]...

.NEAR TERM [Through Today]...

High pressure centered over the central CONUS will dominate today
allowing for dry conditions across the tri-state area. While a few
clouds are possible this morning, they should decrease for the
afternoon. Highs today are expected to be near normal with
temperatures in the low to mid 60s.

.SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Wednesday]...

The start of the short term period will be quiet with high
pressure off to the NE of the forecast area. Later in the short
term period, a strong storm system will begin developing across
the Central Gulf of Mexico and bring another round of rain to the
region.

Tonight...For a fairly simple pattern with high pressure over
the Ohio River Valley, there's a fair amount of spread between the
statistical guidance for overnight lows, with the NAM-based MET
MOS suggesting some freeze potential in the normally coldest
spots. The GFS- based MAV is much warmer and the short term Euro-
MOS is in between the two solutions. While the low level airmass
will be fairly dry, the high position well to the north isn't
especially favorable for temperatures to get down near freezing.
Moreover, some scattered high clouds will be passing through the
region overnight. This all suggests a solution closer to the
warmer MAV guidance is the better choice, with lows in the
generally in the upper 30s across the interior sections and in the
low to mid 40s at the coast.

Tuesday...A transitional day as the initial mid level disturbance
that will trigger surface low pressure development in the Gulf of
Mexico moves across the Central Plains. High pressure departing
to the NE of the region will result in a fairly tranquil day, but
scattered cirrus will keep skies partly cloudy and high
temperatures only in the low to mid 60s. Overnight, increasing mid
and upper level cloudiness will keep temperatures warmer than the
previous night, generally in the low to mid 40s.

Wednesday...As the initial mid level impulse moves into the
Western Gulf of Mexico, this should lead to surface low pressure
development over the Gulf. As this storm system begins to
organize, extensive cloudiness will overspread our region with
rain chances increasing late in the day as isentropic ascent
intensifies. Prior to sunset rain chances will be in the 30-40
percent range across the western half of the region.

Overnight, as the upper trough across the Mississippi River
Valley strongly amplifies and intensifies, the surface low across
the North Central Gulf should further strengthen, leading to
widespread rain across the western half of our region which should
spread quickly eastward across the remainder of the region by
daybreak Thursday.

.LONG TERM [Thursday Through Monday]...

Model guidance is all in good agreement that a strong storm system
moving across the Northern Gulf of Mexico will be affecting our
region at the start of the period. Current guidance suggests the
main low pressure area will be developing and intensifying just
south of the Florida Big Bend Thursday morning, which will keep
nearly all of our region out of any warm sector. This would keep
the threat for any severe weather further south and across the
Florida Peninsula. While the system will be dynamically strong,
the fast movement of the surface low feature would indicate that
rainfall, while locally heavy, should not total up to high
amounts. However, marine impacts could be considerable as strong
winds behind the departing low pressure area could exceed 30
knots, building dangerous surf to 10 feet along the west facing
beaches.

By Friday, wrap around moisture behind the system will keep for a
cool and breezy day across the region. Though precipitation should
come to an end late in the afternoon, low level cloudiness will
likely persist through the night.

Saturday through the end of the period should be fairly quiet.
Temperatures will also be on a warming trend with afternoon highs
approaching 70 degrees by Monday.

.AVIATION...
[Through 12Z Tuesday]

Beyond the brief possibility of MVFR for an hour or two this
morning, VFR conditions are expected. Winds will be northeast
during the day around 5-8 knots with winds decreasing tonight.

.MARINE...
Generally tranquil marine conditions are expected through Tuesday
evening. On Wednesday afternoon, winds and seas will begin to
increase ahead of an approaching storm system. Advisory level
winds and seas are expected by Thursday morning. As the storm
further intensifies, a period of gale conditions is possible
starting Thursday night and continuing through Friday. Winds and
seas should then subside fairly quickly on Saturday.

.FIRE WEATHER...

Red Flag conditions are not expected over the next few days as RH
values remain above critical thresholds.

.HYDROLOGY...

Minor flooding continues for several river points across the
region, mainly from the Chipola River eastward into the Suwannee
River Basin. The Chipola River at Altha may finally fall below
flood stage by Tuesday after an extended period above flood.
Recent rains produced some rises to minor flood within the
Ochlockonee and upper Withlacoochee Rivers. These locations should
crest within the next 36-48 hours.

River levels on the Suwannee will continue to rise. Upstream
Suwannee points above Ellaville are rising steadily, and with
continued high contributions from the Withlacoochee and Alapaha
Rivers, a lengthy period of river flooding is expected throughout
the middle and lower Suwannee. At this point in time, all flooding
from Ellaville through Wilcox is expected to be in the minor flood
category.

The next storm system on Thursday/Friday while strong, is expected
to be a fast mover, producing generally 1-2 inches of rain with
isolated heavier amounts up to 3 inches possible. These amounts
should only cause small rises on area rivers, with some of the
faster responding basins moving back near or into minor flood
stage.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   65  38  64  41  67 /   0   0   0   0  20
Panama City   64  45  63  48  66 /   0   0   0   0  30
Dothan        63  38  62  42  63 /   0   0   0   0  20
Albany        65  37  62  43  64 /   0   0   0   0  10
Valdosta      65  39  63  43  67 /   0   0   0   0  10
Cross City    66  40  68  42  70 /   0   0   0   0  10
Apalachicola  65  45  63  49  65 /   0   0   0   0  30

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

UPDATE...LF
NEAR TERM...Fieux
SHORT TERM...Godsey
LONG TERM...Godsey
AVIATION...Fieux
MARINE...Godsey
FIRE WEATHER...Fieux
HYDROLOGY...Godsey

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Georgia, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.