River Flood Warning 35, NWS Tallahassee, FL

517 
WGUS82 KTAE 130942
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
442 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  Chipola River at Marianna (US 90) affecting Jackson County 
  Chipola River near Altha (CR 274) affecting Calhoun County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC063-140942-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0035.181115T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/MALF1.1.ER.181115T0300Z.181117T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
342 AM CST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chipola River at Marianna (US 90).
* From Wednesday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  3:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by tomorrow late evening and 
  continue to rise to near 19.3 feet by Saturday morning.
* Impact: At 19.0 feet: The Florida Caverns is subject to closure. 
  Water begins to flood Old US Road east of downtown near Bridgewood 
  Rive. Flooding increases at Turtle Bend Lane beginning to flood 
  primary access into the area. 

&&

LAT...LON 3095 8525 3073 8519 3061 8514 3061 8520 3075 8523 3094 8532


$$

FLC013-140942-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0036.181115T0730Z-000000T0000Z/
/ALTF1.2.ER.181115T0730Z.181118T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
342 AM CST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chipola River near Altha (CR 274).
* From late Wednesday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  3:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 20.1 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by early Thursday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 26.3 feet by early Sunday morning. 
  Additional rises are possible thereafter.
  * Impact: At 23.0 feet: Water will start to affect houses and mobile 
  homes in the flood plain dowstream from the gage. A few fish camps 
  downstream of highway 20 will be affected by flood water.



&&

LAT...LON 3061 8514 3031 8512 3020 8514 3020 8522 3030 8519 3061 8520


$$

553 
WGUS82 KTAE 140151
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
851 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  Apalachicola River near Blountstown affecting Calhoun...Franklin...
  Gulf and Liberty Counties 
  Chipola River at Marianna (US 90) affecting Jackson County 
  Chipola River near Altha (CR 274) affecting Calhoun County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC013-037-045-077-150151-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0038.181115T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLOF1.1.ER.181115T0000Z.181117T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
751 PM CST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Apalachicola River near Blountstown.
* From Wednesday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 12.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by tomorrow evening and continue 
  to rise to near 19.6 feet by Saturday morning.
* Impact: At 19.0 feet: Minor lowland flooding will occur at Douglas 
  Landing and Willis Landing Campgrounds in Gulf County. The 19.0 ft 
  level at Blountstown may at times not be representative of river 
  levels in these areas due to tidal effects, winds, or local 
  rainfall and should be used with caution.

&&

LAT...LON 3061 8490 3009 8508 2980 8490 2972 8505 3007 8520 3061 8498


$$

FLC063-150151-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0035.181117T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MALF1.1.ER.181117T0000Z.181118T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
751 PM CST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chipola River at Marianna (US 90).
* From Friday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by Friday evening and continue to 
  rise to near 19.6 feet by Sunday early afternoon.
* Impact: At 19.0 feet: The Florida Caverns is subject to closure. 
  Water begins to flood Old US Road east of downtown near Bridgewood 
  Rive. Flooding increases at Turtle Bend Lane beginning to flood 
  primary access into the area. 

&&

LAT...LON 3095 8525 3073 8519 3061 8514 3061 8520 3075 8523 3094 8532


$$

FLC013-150151-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0036.181114T1630Z-000000T0000Z/
/ALTF1.2.ER.181114T1630Z.181119T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
751 PM CST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chipola River near Altha (CR 274).
* From Wednesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 20.8 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and 
  continue to rise to near 25.0 feet by Friday evening.


&&

LAT...LON 3061 8514 3031 8512 3020 8514 3020 8522 3030 8519 3061 8520


$$

777 
WGUS82 KTAE 141559
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1059 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  Chipola River at Marianna (US 90) affecting Jackson County 
  Chipola River near Altha (CR 274) affecting Calhoun County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC063-151559-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0035.181116T2000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MALF1.1.ER.181116T2000Z.181118T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
959 AM CST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chipola River at Marianna (US 90).
* From Friday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by Friday early afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 19.7 feet by Sunday early afternoon.
* Impact: At 20.0 feet: Water spreads out across the flood plain north
  of Marianna near Caverns Road inundating much of the Citizens Lodge
  Park. 

&&

LAT...LON 3095 8525 3073 8519 3061 8514 3061 8520 3075 8523 3094 8532


$$

FLC013-151559-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0036.181115T0130Z-000000T0000Z/
/ALTF1.2.ER.181115T0130Z.181119T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
959 AM CST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chipola River near Altha (CR 274).
* From this evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 21.4 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to 
  rise to near 25.5 feet by Monday morning. Additional rises are 
  possible thereafter.
* Impact: at 23 feet, water will start to affect houses and mobile
  homes in the flood plain downstream from the gage. A few fish 
  camps downstream of highway 20 will be affected by flood water.

&&

LAT...LON 3061 8514 3031 8512 3020 8514 3020 8522 3030 8519 3061 8520


$$

445 
WGUS82 KTAE 150149
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
849 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  Apalachicola River near Blountstown affecting Calhoun...Franklin...
  Gulf and Liberty Counties 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
  Chipola River at Marianna (US 90) affecting Jackson County 
  Chipola River near Altha (CR 274) affecting Calhoun County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC013-037-045-077-160149-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0038.181115T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLOF1.1.ER.181115T1200Z.181117T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
749 PM CST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Apalachicola River near Blountstown.
* From Thursday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 15.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue 
  to rise to near 19.5 feet by Saturday early afternoon.
* Impact: At 20.0 feet: The boat ramp at Estiffanulga in Liberty 
  County floods. 

&&

LAT...LON 3061 8490 3009 8508 2980 8490 2972 8505 3007 8520 3061 8498


$$

FLC063-160149-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0035.181116T2000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MALF1.1.ER.181116T2000Z.181118T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
749 PM CST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chipola River at Marianna (US 90).
* From Friday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by Friday early afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 19.6 feet by Sunday early afternoon.
* Impact: At 20.0 feet: Water spreads out across the flood plain north
  of Marianna near Caverns Road inundating much of the Citizens Lodge
  Park. 

&&

LAT...LON 3095 8525 3073 8519 3061 8514 3061 8520 3075 8523 3094 8532


$$

FLC013-160149-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ALTF1.2.ER.181115T0317Z.181119T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
749 PM CST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chipola River near Altha (CR 274).
* Until further notice.
* At  7:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 21.8 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise to
  near 25.2 feet by Monday early afternoon. Additional rises are 
  possible thereafter.


&&

LAT...LON 3061 8514 3031 8512 3020 8514 3020 8522 3030 8519 3061 8520


$$

957 
WGUS82 KTAE 151024
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
524 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
  Chipola River at Marianna (US 90) affecting Jackson County 
  Chipola River near Altha (CR 274) affecting Calhoun County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC063-161023-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0035.181117T0900Z-181120T1500Z/
/MALF1.1.ER.181117T0900Z.181118T1800Z.181120T0300Z.NO/
424 AM CST Thu Nov 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chipola River at Marianna (US 90).
* From late Friday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  4:00 AM Thursday the stage was 16.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by Saturday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 18.8 feet by Sunday early afternoon. The river will
  fall below flood stage by Monday before midnight.
* Impact: At 19.0 feet: The Florida Caverns is subject to closure. 
  Water begins to flood Old US Road east of downtown near Bridgewood 
  Rive. Flooding increases at Turtle Bend Lane beginning to flood 
  primary access into the area. 

&&

LAT...LON 3095 8525 3073 8519 3061 8514 3061 8520 3075 8523 3094 8532


$$

FLC013-161023-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ALTF1.2.ER.181115T0648Z.181119T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
424 AM CST Thu Nov 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chipola River near Altha (CR 274).
* Until further notice.
* At  4:00 AM Thursday the stage was 22.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 23.6 feet by 
  Monday early afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact: At 23.0 feet: Water will start to affect houses and mobile 
  homes in the flood plain downstream from the gage. A few fish camps
  downstream of highway 20 will be affected by flood water.

&&

LAT...LON 3061 8514 3031 8512 3020 8514 3020 8522 3030 8519 3061 8520


$$

054 
WGUS82 KTAE 160103
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
803 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  Chipola River at Marianna (US 90) affecting Jackson County 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
  Chipola River near Altha (CR 274) affecting Calhoun County 



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC063-170102-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0035.181117T0900Z-181120T1800Z/
/MALF1.1.ER.181117T0900Z.181118T1800Z.181120T0600Z.NO/
703 PM CST Thu Nov 15 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...The Flood Warning
continues for
  the Chipola River at Marianna (US 90).
* From late Friday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:00 PM Thursday the stage was 16.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by Saturday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 18.9 feet by Sunday early afternoon. The river will
  fall below flood stage by early Tuesday morning.
* Impact: At 19.0 feet: The Florida Caverns is subject to closure. 
  Water begins to flood Old US Road east of downtown near Bridgewood 
  Rive. Flooding increases at Turtle Bend Lane beginning to flood 
  primary access into the area. 

&&

LAT...LON 3095 8525 3073 8519 3061 8514 3061 8520 3075 8523 3094 8532


$$

FLC013-170102-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ALTF1.2.ER.181115T0648Z.181119T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
703 PM CST Thu Nov 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chipola River near Altha (CR 274).
* Until further notice.
* At  6:00 PM Thursday the stage was 22.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 23.8 feet by 
  Monday evening then begin falling.
* Impact: At 23.0 feet: Water will start to affect houses and mobile 
  homes in the flood plain downstream from the gage. A few fish camps
  downstream of highway 20 will be affected by flood water.

&&

LAT...LON 3061 8514 3031 8512 3020 8514 3020 8522 3030 8519 3061 8520


$$

760 
WGUS82 KTAE 161457
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
957 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  Chipola River at Marianna (US 90) affecting Jackson County 
  Chipola River near Altha (CR 274) affecting Calhoun County 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
  Apalachicola River near Blountstown affecting Calhoun...
  Franklin...Gulf and Liberty Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC013-037-045-077-171456-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLOF1.1.ER.181115T1400Z.181119T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
857 AM CST Fri Nov 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Apalachicola River near Blountstown.
* Until further notice.
* At  8:15 AM Friday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 19.4 feet by 
  Monday early afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact: At 19.0 feet: Minor lowland flooding will occur at Douglas 
  Landing and Willis Landing Campgrounds in Gulf County. The 19.0 ft 
  level at Blountstown may at times not be representative of river 
  levels in these areas due to tidal effects, winds, or local 
  rainfall and should be used with caution.

&&

LAT...LON 3061 8490 3009 8508 2980 8490 2972 8505 3007 8520 3061 8498


$$

FLC063-171456-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0035.181117T2100Z-181120T0300Z/
/MALF1.1.ER.181117T2100Z.181118T1800Z.181119T1500Z.NO/
857 AM CST Fri Nov 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chipola River at Marianna (US 90).
* From Saturday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Friday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river is expected to rise above flood stage by tomorrow afternoon and continue
  to rise to near 18.4 feet by Sunday early afternoon. The river will
  fall below flood stage by late Monday morning.
* Impact: At 19.0 feet: The Florida Caverns is subject to closure. 
  Water begins to flood Old US Road east of downtown near Bridgewood 
  Rive. Flooding increases at Turtle Bend Lane beginning to flood 
  primary access into the area. 

&&

LAT...LON 3095 8525 3073 8519 3061 8514 3061 8520 3075 8523 3094 8532


$$

FLC013-171456-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-181121T1330Z/
/ALTF1.2.ER.181115T0648Z.181119T1200Z.181121T0130Z.NO/
857 AM CST Fri Nov 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chipola River near Altha (CR 274).
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At  8:00 AM Friday the stage was 22.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 23.3 feet by 
  Monday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday 
  evening.
* Impact: At 23.0 feet: Water will start to affect houses and mobile 
  homes in the flood plain downstream from the gage. A few fish camps
  downstream of highway 20 will be affected by flood water.

&&

LAT...LON 3061 8514 3031 8512 3020 8514 3020 8522 3030 8519 3061 8520


$$

152 
WGUS82 KTAE 170117
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
817 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Florida...
 
  Chipola River at Marianna (US 90) affecting Jackson County
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  Chipola River near Altha (CR 274) affecting Calhoun County 



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC063-170147-
/O.CAN.KTAE.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181120T0300Z/
/MALF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
717 PM CST Fri Nov 16 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Chipola River at Marianna (US 90).
* At  7:00 PM Friday the stage was 16.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will crest below flood stage at 17.1 feet early
  Monday morning.
* Impact: At 18.0 feet: Water begins to overflow into low lying areas 
  north of town near the Florida Caverns. The southern half of the 
  Citizens Lodge Park begins to flood. The Magnolia Road boat ramp 
  begins to flood. 

&&

LAT...LON 3095 8525 3073 8519 3061 8514 3061 8520 3075 8523 3094 8532


$$

FLC013-171620-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-181117T1620Z/
/ALTF1.1.ER.181115T0648Z.181116T1145Z.181117T0420Z.NO/
717 PM CST Fri Nov 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chipola River near Altha (CR 274).
* Until Saturday morning.
* At  7:00 PM Friday the stage was 22.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tonight.
* Impact: At 22.0 feet: Minor lowland flooding will occur. Lamb Eddy 
  Road near the boat ramp will flood. 

&&

LAT...LON 3061 8514 3031 8512 3020 8514 3020 8522 3030 8519 3061 8520


$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
657 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

.AVIATION...
[Through 00Z Wednesday]

Rain with some embedded thunder will persist overnight. Visibility
will be MVFR or better outside of the heavier rain. IFR and possibly
even LIFR CIGs are expected overnight and in the morning hours. Late
tomorrow morning another round of thunderstorms will likely develop
ahead of the cold front. The best chance for storms will be at TLH
and VLD. Elsewhere a steady rain with isolated embedded thunder is
likely tomorrow. Winds will be northwesterly and a bit gusty behind
the front tomorrow afternoon.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [352 PM EST]...

.SHORT TERM [Through Wednesday Night]...

The complicated forecast pattern continues through Wednesday night.
18Z regional surface analysis showed a low in coastal central LA
with a cold front extending southwestward offshore and a warm front
extending east-northeastward along coastal eastern LA, MS, and AL.
The warm front reaches across the FL Panhandle to just into western
Walton county, FL before diving south along the Panhandle coastline.
As the low moves eastward slowly tonight, the warm front will
continue to work its way into the area. A stable environment with
socked in low clouds north of the front has prevented severe storms
offshore from making it inland, but as the warm front pushes
northward, the environment will become increasingly unstable until
around sunset. The low level (0-1km) shear is 30-40 kts west of the
Chatahoochee/Apalachicola rivers. When combined with the forcing
from the warm front and decreasing instability, tornadoes will be
possible in this region. A tornado watch is in effect through 8 PM
ET. The heaviest rainfall has remained offshore so far today as well
and so far the zones in the flash flood watch have received around
2" or less. As the warm front continues northward, however, the
threat for heavy rainfall will also increase and will continue
through the night.

Instability will wind down again this evening and the front will
stall for the night. At this time, it's looking like the cold front
will stall near New Orleans to Birmingham. As a result, rounds of on
and off showers will likely continue through the night in our
western zones, but the severe threat will lower. The front will
again make some eastward progress on Tuesday and stall again Tuesday
night as the upper level disturbance driving it becomes cut off in
the southeastern Plains. Light to moderate rainfall is expected on
and off through the day Tuesday, with isolated thunderstorms
possible, followed by a brief break in rainfall overnight,
particularly east of Tallahassee/Valdosta.

On Wednesday, the low pressure system will deepen as the cut off
upper level low moves into the lower Mississippi Valley. Deep layer
southerly flow will drive another plume of moisture into our area
with PW values rising back to 2+" over the area. Another round of
heavy rainfall appears likely Wednesday through Wednesday night, as
the front pushes through most of the forecast area. Additional
rainfall accumulations tonight through Wednesday night are expected
to be around 3-5". At this time, the flash flood watch remains in
effect through Tuesday evening west of the Flint and Apalachicola
Rivers, but may need to be extended into Wednesday depending on how
much rainfall we get tonight.

.LONG TERM [Thursday Through Monday]...

Relatively quiet weather is expected through the long term period
beginning on Thursday as a trough of low pressure finally swings
through the southeast. Much cooler conditions expected behind the
front with high temperatures on Thursday and Friday dropping into
the mid 50s to low 60s. We could also see our first instance of
nighttime temps dropping into the 30s on Friday and Saturday
morning. Temps moderate slowly over the weekend with the upper 60s
and low 70s returning by Monday.

Conditions should remain dry through the period.

.MARINE...

Winds and seas have lowered, but will increase again, possibly up to
advisory levels Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning.
Widespread showers and some thunderstorms will persist through
Wednesday night and exit Thursday morning as a slow moving cold
front pushes through. A tornado watch is in effect for our western
coastal waters through 7 PM CT.

.FIRE WEATHER...

Aside from low dispersion indices, hazardous fire weather conditions
are not expected. A wet pattern will continue through mid to late
week.

.HYDROLOGY...

Rainfall accumulations so far today have received around 2" or less.
As the warm front continues northward, however, the threat for heavy
rainfall will also increase and will continue through the night. The
slow moving front is not forecast to exit the area until late
Wednesday night/early Thursday morning, so periods of on and off
moderate to heavy rainfall will continue for the next few days.
Additional rainfall accumulations tonight through Wednesday night
are expected to be around 3-5". Flash flooding remains a concern. At
this time, the flash flood watch remains in effect through Tuesday
evening west of the Flint and Apalachicola Rivers, but may need to
be extended into Wednesday depending on how much rainfall we get
tonight.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   67  75  55  63  50 /  60  80  40  70  80
Panama City   67  71  52  60  49 /  80  80  50  70  80
Dothan        60  62  48  55  44 /  90  80  50  80  80
Albany        65  67  53  56  47 /  70  80  50  80  90
Valdosta      67  78  57  63  51 /  30  80  40  60  70
Cross City    69  81  63  73  58 /  20  40  40  50  60
Apalachicola  69  76  57  66  52 /  60  70  40  70  80

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday evening for Calhoun-Central
     Walton-Coastal Bay-Holmes-Inland Bay-Jackson-North Walton-
     South Walton-Washington.

GA...Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday evening for Baker-Calhoun-Clay-
     Dougherty-Early-Lee-Miller-Quitman-Randolph-Seminole-
     Terrell.

AL...Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday afternoon for Coffee-Dale-
     Geneva-Henry-Houston.

GM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Nguyen
LONG TERM...Dobbs
AVIATION...McD
MARINE...Nguyen
FIRE WEATHER...Harrigan
HYDROLOGY...Nguyen

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
337 PM CST MON NOV 12 2018

FLZ007>009-108-122215-
Central Walton FL-Holmes FL-South Walton FL-North Walton FL-
337 PM CST MON NOV 12 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WALTON AND SOUTHWESTERN HOLMES
COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM CST...

At 336 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Niceville to Valparaiso to near Destin to
9 miles southeast of Lake Lorraine to 15 miles southeast of Cinco
Bayou. Movement was northeast at 40 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Santa Rosa Beach, De Funiak Springs, Eglin Air Force Base, Union,
Liberty, Freeport, Oakwood Hills, Portland, Alpine Heights, Villa
Tasso, Blue Mountain Beach, De Funiak Spring Airport, Rock Hill,
Glendale, Pleasant Ridge, Center Ridge, Gulf Pines, Bunker, Grayton
Beach and Piney Grove.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CST for the Panhandle
of Florida.

LAT...LON 3038 8633 3042 8631 3039 8626 3040 8623
      3042 8627 3039 8611 3044 8616 3047 8613
      3046 8619 3050 8620 3048 8622 3046 8639
      3071 8639 3096 8600 3043 8598 3027 8626
      3031 8639 3040 8639
TIME...MOT...LOC 2136Z 225DEG 34KT 3057 8651 3048 8649 3041 8646 3032
8649 3022 8651

33-LF

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
419 PM CST MON NOV 12 2018

FLZ008>010-108-122300-
Central Walton FL-Holmes FL-South Walton FL-Washington FL-
419 PM CST MON NOV 12 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN WALTON...
SOUTHWESTERN HOLMES AND WESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM
CST...

At 418 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 8 miles south of De Funiak Springs to 12 miles
southeast of Eglin Air Force Base to 9 miles northeast of Santa Rosa
Beach. Movement was northeast at 35 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Vernon, De Funiak Springs, Eglin Air Force Base, Live Oak, Freeport,
Ponce De Leon, Caryville, Westville, Ebro, Hinsons Crossroads,
Whitehead Crossroads, Cerrogordo, Gritney, Rock Hill, Holmes Valley,
Millers Ferry, Knox Hill, Bunker, Hickory Hill and Red Bay.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CST for the Panhandle
of Florida.

LAT...LON 3064 8620 3071 8610 3071 8604 3075 8604
      3093 8577 3071 8568 3049 8575 3034 8619
      3039 8617 3038 8612 3039 8611 3042 8614
      3043 8612 3043 8616 3046 8615 3047 8613
      3047 8614 3049 8614
TIME...MOT...LOC 2218Z 240DEG 30KT 3060 8611 3053 8608 3044 8610

33-LF

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
710 PM EST MON NOV 12 2018

ALZ069-GAZ142-143-130045-
Houston AL-Miller GA-Early GA-
710 PM EST MON NOV 12 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN HOUSTON...NORTHWESTERN
MILLER AND WESTERN EARLY COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM EST/645 PM CST/...

At 706 PM EST/606 PM CST/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm 7 miles southeast of Ashford, or 7 miles east of
Cottonwood, moving northeast at 25 mph.

In addition to strong gusty winds with this thunderstorm, there is
the potential for a brief, weak tornado. If this potential increases
further, a tornado warning would be issued.

Locations impacted include...
Blakely, Columbia, Centerville, Gordon, Saffold, Pansey, Howards
Mill, Farley Nuclear Plant, Cedar Springs, Rock Hill, Hilton and
Sawhatchee.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EST/700 PM CST/ for
southeastern Alabama.

LAT...LON 3123 8481 3103 8520 3108 8526 3143 8500
TIME...MOT...LOC 0006Z 230DEG 20KT 3109 8518

33-LF

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
721 PM EST MON NOV 12 2018

ALZ069-FLZ011-GAZ143-155-156-130100-
Houston AL-Jackson FL-Miller GA-Decatur GA-Seminole GA-
721 PM EST MON NOV 12 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN HOUSTON...
NORTHEASTERN JACKSON...WESTERN DECATUR...SOUTHWESTERN MILLER AND
SEMINOLE COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM EST/700 PM CST/...

At 720 PM EST/620 PM CST/, Doppler radar was tracking strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 12 miles southeast of
Cottonwood to near Marianna. Movement was northeast at 25 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Colquitt, Donalsonville, Malone, Greenwood, Iron City, Brinson,
Bascom, Reynoldsville, Little Hope, Blue Spring, Lovedale, Dellwood,
Riverturn, Sharphagen, Hornsville, Donaldsonville A/P, Buena Vista,
Marianna Municipal A/P, Seminole State Park and Steam Mill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EST/700 PM CST/ for
southeastern Alabama...and the Panhandle of Florida.

LAT...LON 3118 8476 3079 8469 3071 8520 3095 8523
      3108 8497 3107 8492 3110 8492
TIME...MOT...LOC 0020Z 245DEG 24KT 3090 8519 3074 8517

33-LF

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
745 PM EST MON NOV 12 2018

ALZ069-FLZ011-GAZ142>145-155-156-130130-
Houston AL-Jackson FL-Miller GA-Decatur GA-Baker GA-Mitchell GA-
Seminole GA-Early GA-
745 PM EST MON NOV 12 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN HOUSTON...
NORTHEASTERN JACKSON...NORTHERN DECATUR...MILLER...SOUTHWESTERN
MITCHELL...WESTERN BAKER...SEMINOLE AND SOUTHEASTERN EARLY COUNTIES
UNTIL 830 PM EST/730 PM CST/...

At 745 PM EST/645 PM CST/, Doppler radar was tracking strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 6 miles west of
Donalsonville to 11 miles northwest of Chattahoochee. Movement was
northeast at 35 mph.

Winds up to 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Colquitt, Donalsonville, Bainbridge, Iron City, Brinson, Jakin,
Hanover, Ausmac, Babcock, Reynoldsville, Little Hope, Mayhaw, Decatur
Co A/P, Boykin, Riverturn, Mimsville, Sharphagen, Hornsville,
Donaldsonville A/P and Bellview.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EST/700 PM CST/ for
southeastern Alabama...and the Panhandle of Florida.

LAT...LON 3140 8449 3098 8443 3077 8500 3108 8506
TIME...MOT...LOC 0045Z 235DEG 31KT 3105 8499 3084 8495

33-LF