River Flood Warning 31, NWS Tallahassee, FL

341 
WGUS82 KTAE 111428
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1028 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Kinchafoonee Creek near 11 E Of Dawson At Pinewood Rd In Lee County 
  affecting Lee County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

GAC177-121428-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0031.181013T0600Z-181016T0500Z/
/DSNG1.1.ER.181013T0600Z.181014T1800Z.181015T1700Z.NO/
1028 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Kinchafoonee Creek near 11 E Of
Dawson At Pinewood Rd In Lee County.
* From late Friday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:45 AM Thursday the stage was 6.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by early Saturday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 14.1 feet by Sunday early afternoon. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Monday early afternoon.
* Impact: At 13.0 feet: Minor flooding begins at Dawson. Flooding may 
  also affect areas downstream near Leesburg.

&&

LAT...LON 3192 8434 3180 8419 3162 8415 3162 8420 3174 8426 3184 8434


$$

547 
WGUS82 KTAE 121436
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1036 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Kinchafoonee Creek near 11 E Of Dawson At Pinewood Rd In Lee County 
  affecting Lee County 



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

GAC177-131435-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0031.181014T1424Z-181016T0448Z/
/DSNG1.1.ER.181014T1424Z.181015T0600Z.181015T1648Z.NO/
1036 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Kinchafoonee Creek near 11 E Of Dawson 
At Pinewood Rd In Lee County.
* From Sunday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:45 AM Friday the stage was 8.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by late Sunday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 13.6 feet by early Monday morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Monday early afternoon.
* Impact: At 13.0 feet: Minor flooding begins at Dawson. Flooding may 
  also affect areas downstream near Leesburg.

&&

LAT...LON 3192 8434 3180 8419 3162 8415 3162 8420 3174 8426 3184 8434


$$

786 
WGUS82 KTAE 130118
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
918 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Kinchafoonee Creek near 11 E Of Dawson At Pinewood Rd In Lee County 
  affecting Lee County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

GAC177-140118-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0031.181014T1500Z-181016T0448Z/
/DSNG1.1.ER.181014T1500Z.181015T0600Z.181015T1648Z.NO/
918 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kinchafoonee Creek near 11 E Of Dawson At Pinewood Rd In Lee 
  County.
* From Sunday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:45 PM Friday the stage was 9.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast: This river will rise above flood stage by late Sunday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 13.6 feet by early Monday morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Monday early afternoon.
* Impact: At 13.0 feet: Minor flooding begins at Dawson. Flooding may 
  also affect areas downstream near Leesburg.

&&

LAT...LON 3192 8434 3180 8419 3162 8415 3162 8420 3174 8426 3184 8434


$$

054 
WGUS82 KTAE 130129
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
929 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Kinchafoonee Creek near 11 E Of Dawson At Pinewood Rd In Lee 
  County affecting Lee County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

GAC177-140129-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0031.181014T1500Z-181016T0448Z/
/DSNG1.1.ER.181014T1500Z.181015T0600Z.181015T1648Z.NO/
929 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kinchafoonee Creek near 11 E Of Dawson At Pinewood Rd In Lee 
  County.
* From Sunday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:45 PM Friday the stage was 9.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will rise above flood stage by late Sunday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 13.6 feet by early Monday morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Monday early afternoon.
* Impact: At 13.0 feet: Minor flooding begins at Dawson. Flooding may 
  also affect areas downstream near Leesburg.

&&

LAT...LON 3192 8434 3180 8419 3162 8415 3162 8420 3174 8426 3184 8434


$$

029 
WGUS82 KTAE 131400
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1000 AM EDT Sat Oct 13 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
Georgia...
 
  Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20) affecting Walton and 
  Washington Counties 
  Kinchafoonee Creek near 11 E Of Dawson At Pinewood Rd In Lee County 
  affecting Lee County 
  Chipola River at Marianna (US 90) affecting Jackson County 
  Chipola River near Altha (CR 274) affecting Calhoun County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC131-133-141400-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0024.181016T0000Z-181017T0600Z/
/BRUF1.1.ER.181016T0000Z.181016T0600Z.181016T1800Z.NO/
900 AM CDT Sat Oct 13 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  the Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20).
* From Monday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:45 AM Saturday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by Monday evening and continue to 
  rise to near 14.1 feet by early Tuesday morning. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Tuesday early afternoon.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet: Big Cedar, Cowford, and Choctawhatchee River 
  Roads begin to flood in Walton County. Flood waters impact storage 
  areas underneath homes on the west banks of the Choctawhatchee 
  River. Low areas along Strickland Road in Washington County become 
  subject to flooding. 

&&

LAT...LON 3070 8581 3044 8585 3037 8609 3044 8613 3047 8596 3070 8592


$$

GAC177-141400-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0031.181015T0600Z-181016T0300Z/
/DSNG1.1.ER.181015T0600Z.181015T1200Z.181015T1500Z.NO/
1000 AM EDT Sat Oct 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kinchafoonee Creek near 11 E Of Dawson At Pinewood Rd In Lee 
  County.
* From late Sunday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:45 AM Saturday the stage was 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by early Monday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 13.1 feet by Monday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by late Monday morning.
* Impact: At 13.0 feet: Minor flooding begins at Dawson. Flooding may 
  also affect areas downstream near Leesburg.

&&

LAT...LON 3192 8434 3180 8419 3162 8415 3162 8420 3174 8426 3184 8434


$$

FLC063-141400-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0026.181015T0600Z-181016T1200Z/
/MALF1.1.ER.181015T0600Z.181015T1200Z.181016T0000Z.NO/
900 AM CDT Sat Oct 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chipola River at Marianna (US 90).
* From late Sunday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Saturday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by early Monday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 18.1 feet by Monday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Monday evening.
* Impact: At 18.0 feet: Water begins to overflow into low lying areas 
  north of town near the Florida Caverns. The southern half of the 
  Citizens Lodge Park begins to flood. The Magnolia Road boat ramp 
  begins to flood. 

&&

LAT...LON 3095 8525 3073 8519 3061 8514 3061 8520 3075 8523 3094 8532


$$

FLC013-141400-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-181018T1200Z/
/ALTF1.2.ER.181012T1540Z.181015T1800Z.181018T0000Z.NO/
900 AM CDT Sat Oct 13 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Chipola River near Altha (CR 274).
* Until Thursday morning.
* At  8:00 AM Saturday the stage was 23.6 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 29.3 feet by 
  Monday early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Wednesday evening.
* Impact: At 30.0 feet: Major flood damage will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3061 8514 3031 8512 3020 8514 3020 8522 3030 8519 3061 8520


$$

331 
WGUS82 KTAE 140102
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
902 PM EDT Sat Oct 13 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
Georgia...
  Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20) affecting Walton and 
  Washington Counties 
  Kinchafoonee Creek near 11 E Of Dawson At Pinewood Rd In Lee 
  County affecting Lee County 
  Chipola River at Marianna (US 90) affecting Jackson County 
  Chipola River near Altha (CR 274) affecting Calhoun County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC131-133-150101-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0024.181016T0000Z-181017T0600Z/
/BRUF1.1.ER.181016T0000Z.181016T0600Z.181016T1800Z.NO/
802 PM CDT Sat Oct 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20).
* From Monday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by Monday evening and continue to 
  rise to near 14.1 feet by early Tuesday morning. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Tuesday early afternoon.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet: Big Cedar, Cowford, and Choctawhatchee River 
  Roads begin to flood in Walton County. Flood waters impact storage 
  areas underneath homes on the west banks of the Choctawhatchee 
  River. Low areas along Strickland Road in Washington County become 
  subject to flooding. 

&&

LAT...LON 3070 8581 3044 8585 3037 8609 3044 8613 3047 8596 3070 8592


$$

GAC177-150101-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0031.181015T0600Z-181016T0300Z/
/DSNG1.1.ER.181015T0600Z.181015T1200Z.181015T1500Z.NO/
902 PM EDT Sat Oct 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kinchafoonee Creek near 11 E Of Dawson At Pinewood Rd In Lee 
  County.
* From late Sunday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:45 PM Saturday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by early Monday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 13.1 feet by Monday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by late Monday morning.
* Impact: At 13.0 feet: Minor flooding begins at Dawson. Flooding may 
  also affect areas downstream near Leesburg.

&&

LAT...LON 3192 8434 3180 8419 3162 8415 3162 8420 3174 8426 3184 8434


$$

FLC063-150101-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0026.181015T0600Z-181016T1200Z/
/MALF1.1.ER.181015T0600Z.181015T1200Z.181016T0000Z.NO/
802 PM CDT Sat Oct 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chipola River at Marianna (US 90).
* From late Sunday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Saturday the stage was 12.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by early Monday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 18.1 feet by Monday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Monday evening.
* Impact: At 18.0 feet: Water begins to overflow into low lying areas 
  north of town near the Florida Caverns. The southern half of the 
  Citizens Lodge Park begins to flood. The Magnolia Road boat ramp 
  begins to flood. 

&&

LAT...LON 3095 8525 3073 8519 3061 8514 3061 8520 3075 8523 3094 8532


$$

FLC013-150101-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-181018T1200Z/
/ALTF1.2.ER.181012T1540Z.181015T1800Z.181018T0000Z.NO/
802 PM CDT Sat Oct 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chipola River near Altha (CR 274).
* Until Thursday morning.
* At  7:00 PM Saturday the stage was 23.6 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 29.3 feet by 
  Monday early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Wednesday evening.
* Impact: At 30.0 feet: Major flood damage will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3061 8514 3031 8512 3020 8514 3020 8522 3030 8519 3061 8520


$$

571 
WGUS82 KTAE 140126
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
926 PM EDT Sat Oct 13 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Kinchafoonee Creek near 11 E Of Dawson At Pinewood Rd In Lee 
  County affecting Lee County
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  Chipola River at Marianna (US 90) affecting Jackson County 
  Chipola River near Altha (CR 274) affecting Calhoun County 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
  Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20) affecting Walton and 
  Washington Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC131-133-150125-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0024.181016T0000Z-181017T0600Z/
/BRUF1.1.ER.181016T0000Z.181016T0600Z.181016T1800Z.NO/
826 PM CDT Sat Oct 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20).
* From Monday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by Monday evening and continue to 
  rise to near 14.1 feet by early Tuesday morning. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Tuesday early afternoon.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet: Big Cedar, Cowford, and Choctawhatchee River 
  Roads begin to flood in Walton County. Flood waters impact storage 
  areas underneath homes on the west banks of the Choctawhatchee 
  River. Low areas along Strickland Road in Washington County become 
  subject to flooding. 

&&

LAT...LON 3070 8581 3044 8585 3037 8609 3044 8613 3047 8596 3070 8592


$$

GAC177-140156-
/O.CAN.KTAE.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-181016T0300Z/
/DSNG1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
926 PM EDT Sat Oct 13 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Kinchafoonee Creek near 11 E Of Dawson At Pinewood Rd In Lee 
  County.
* At  8:45 PM Saturday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will crest below flood stage at 12.4 feet 
  Monday morning.
* Impact: At 13.0 feet: Minor flooding begins at Dawson. Flooding may 
  also affect areas downstream near Leesburg.

&&

LAT...LON 3192 8434 3180 8419 3162 8415 3162 8420 3174 8426 3184 8434


$$

FLC063-150125-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0026.181015T1200Z-181016T1200Z/
/MALF1.1.ER.181015T1200Z.181015T1800Z.181016T0000Z.NO/
826 PM CDT Sat Oct 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chipola River at Marianna (US 90).
* From Monday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 PM Saturday the stage was 12.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by Monday morning and continue to 
  rise to near 18.1 feet by Monday early afternoon. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Monday evening.
* Impact: At 18.0 feet: Water begins to overflow into low lying areas 
  north of town near the Florida Caverns. The southern half of the 
  Citizens Lodge Park begins to flood. The Magnolia Road boat ramp 
  begins to flood. 

&&

LAT...LON 3095 8525 3073 8519 3061 8514 3061 8520 3075 8523 3094 8532


$$

FLC013-150125-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-181018T0442Z/
/ALTF1.2.ER.181012T1540Z.181016T1200Z.181017T1642Z.NO/
826 PM CDT Sat Oct 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chipola River near Altha (CR 274).
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At  8:00 PM Saturday the stage was 23.6 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 29.6 feet by 
  Tuesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage late 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact: At 30.0 feet: Major flood damage will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3061 8514 3031 8512 3020 8514 3020 8522 3030 8519 3061 8520


$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
702 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...Powerful Hurricane Michael Will Continue to Bring Dangerous and
Life-Threatening Conditions To The Area This Evening...

.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...

As noted in our most recent Hurricane Local Statement, powerful
Hurricane Michael remains a serious threat over southeast Alabama
and southwest Georgia! Hurricane force winds are likely across
southeast Alabama and southwest Georgia as the center of Michael
passes through these areas this evening. This will cause numerous
power outages due to falling trees and powerlines. Trees falling
on homes will become a dangerous and potentially deadly situation!
Now is the time to shelter in place in an interior room away from
windows at the lowest level possible.

Elsewhere across the Panhandle and Big Bend, where winds and rain
have started to diminished, the threat is not over! Tropical
storm force wind gusts are likely to continue for the next several
hours particularly along the coastal interface. Remain in a safe
place and do not try to enter evacuated areas until officials have
given the all clear to return.

.SHORT TERM [Thursday Through Friday Night]...

In the wake of the departing hurricane, Thursday will be hot and
very humid with heat indices approaching 100 degrees, especially
over the Florida zones. This will be very uncomfortable
particularly for those residents who are without power due to
Hurricane Michael. Some relief will arrive Thursday night and
Friday as a the first cold front of this fall season sweeps
through the region. Highs on Thursday will be in the mid 80s to
around 90 with highs on Friday ranging from the upper 70s
northwest to mid 80s southeast. Lows Thursday night will range
from the mid 50s northwest to mid 60s southeast.

.LONG TERM [Saturday Through Wednesday]...

A dry stretch of weather with seasonal temperatures for mid
October is forecast to continue at least through the weekend. For
Monday through Tuesday, a complex pattern sets up which leads to
uncertainty in the sensible weather details. The area will reside
between a cold front approaching from the west, high pressure
nosing down the eastern seaboard, and greater subtropical moisture
to the east. This leads to the potential for increased shower
activity during this period.

&&

.AVIATION [Through 00Z Friday]...

Dangerous conditions continue in the vicinity and wake of
Hurricane Michael. As Michael continues to pull away, widespread
MVFR stratus is expected to develop and linger, particularly
across our eastern aerodromes (KABY/KVLD). Ceilings expected to
lift tomorrow as slightly drier advects in from the northwest.

&&

.MARINE...

Dangerous Hurricane Michael continues to move inland over the
panhandle and will produce very hazardous conditions over the
coastal waters through tonight. Conditions will improve Thursday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Hurricane Michael will continue to push into southeastern Georgia
and weaken as it moves to the Carolinas Thursday and off the mid
Atlantic coast Friday. A breezy and moist southerly flow will keep
a chance of showers and slight chance of storms in the forecast
through Thursday, then a weak frontal trough will bring drying to
northern and central sections into the weekend.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

Widespread rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with isolated 12 inch
amounts are possible along the track of Michael as it
continues into southeastern Georgia.

At this time, flood warnings are in effect for portions of the
Chipola, Choctawhatchee, Ochlockonee, and St. Marks Rivers.
Despite current river conditions below normal levels, with the
forecast rainfall, expect additional river basins to rise above
flood stage.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is requested. Spotters should safely report
significant weather conditions and/or damage by calling the office or
tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   76  89  59  82  55 / 100  20  10   0   0
Panama City   74  89  61  81  60 /  70  20  10   0   0
Dothan        73  86  54  78  54 / 100  20   0   0   0
Albany        73  87  55  79  54 / 100  50  10   0   0
Valdosta      76  88  60  82  55 / 100  30  10   0   0
Cross City    78  90  65  86  57 /  90  20  10   0   0
Apalachicola  77  87  64  81  60 /  70  20  10   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Hurricane Warning for Calhoun-Central Walton-Coastal Bay-Coastal
     Dixie-Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-Coastal Jefferson-
     Coastal Taylor-Coastal Wakulla-Gadsden-Holmes-Inland Bay-
     Inland Franklin-Inland Gulf-Inland Jefferson-Inland Wakulla-
     Jackson-Leon-Liberty-North Walton-South Walton-Washington.

     Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for Calhoun-Central
     Walton-Coastal Bay-Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-Coastal
     Jefferson-Coastal Wakulla-Gadsden-Holmes-Inland Bay-Inland
     Franklin-Inland Gulf-Inland Jefferson-Inland Wakulla-
     Jackson-Leon-Liberty-North Walton-South Walton-Washington.

     High Rip Current Risk through late Thursday night for Coastal
     Bay-Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

     High Surf Warning until 2 AM EDT /1 AM CDT/ Thursday for Coastal
     Bay-Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

     Tropical Storm Warning for Inland Dixie-Inland Taylor-Lafayette-
     Madison.

GA...Hurricane Warning for Baker-Ben Hill-Berrien-Brooks-Calhoun-Clay-
     Colquitt-Cook-Decatur-Dougherty-Early-Grady-Irwin-Lee-
     Miller-Mitchell-Quitman-Randolph-Seminole-Terrell-Thomas-
     Tift-Turner-Worth.

     Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for Baker-Ben Hill-
     Berrien-Brooks-Calhoun-Clay-Colquitt-Cook-Decatur-Dougherty-
     Early-Grady-Irwin-Lee-Miller-Mitchell-Quitman-Randolph-
     Seminole-Terrell-Thomas-Tift-Turner-Worth.

     Tropical Storm Warning for Lanier-Lowndes.

AL...Hurricane Warning for Dale-Geneva-Henry-Houston.

     Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for Coffee-Dale-
     Geneva-Henry-Houston.

     Tropical Storm Warning for Coffee.

GM...Hurricane Warning for Apalachee Bay or Coastal Waters From
     Keaton Beach to Ochlockonee River FL out to 20 Nm-Coastal
     Waters From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola Fl out to 20
     Nm-Coastal waters from Suwannee River to Keaton Beach FL
     out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Apalachicola
     FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa
     Walton County Line FL out 20 NM-Waters from Suwannee River
     to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from
     Apalachicola to Mexico Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters
     from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL from 20
     to 60 NM.

&&

Ulrich/Peterson/Enyedi

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
853 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0841 PM     HURRICANE        CUTHBERT                31.77N 84.79W
10/10/2018                   RANDOLPH           GA   PUBLIC

            REPORTS OF STRUCTURAL DAMAGE IN CUTHBERT.

&&

BAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
901 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     HURRICANE        APALACHICOLA AIRPORT    29.73N 85.03W
10/10/2018                   FRANKLIN           FL   PUBLIC

            REPORT OF THE ASOS TOWER AT APALACHICOLA
            AIRPORT WAS KNOCKED DOWN. THE 1653Z
            OBSERVATION WAS THE LAST OBSERVATION
            REPORTED.

&&

BAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
916 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     HURRICANE        1 W TALLAHASSEE MALL    30.47N 84.31W
10/10/2018                   LEON               FL   UTILITY COMPANY

            MULTIPLE REPORTS OF TREES AND POWERLINES
            DOWN. DELAYED REPORT.

&&

BAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
921 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     HURRICANE        BLOUNTSTOWN             30.45N 85.05W
10/10/2018                   CALHOUN            FL   PUBLIC

            MULTIPLE REPORTS OF SNAPPED TREES VIA SOCIAL
            MEDIA.

&&

BAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
927 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     HURRICANE        1 NNW MISSION SAN LUIS  30.46N 84.33W
10/10/2018                   LEON               FL   PUBLIC

            MULTIPLE REPORTS OF TREES AND POWERLINES
            DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

&&

BAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
942 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0425 PM     HURRICANE        TALLAHASSEE COMM COLLEG 30.46N 84.34W
10/10/2018                   LEON               FL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MEASURED GUST OF 56 MPH ON CAMPUS OF THE
            TALLAHASSEE COMMUNITY COLLEGE.

&&

TB