River Flood Warning 22, NWS Tallahassee, FL

089 
WGUS82 KTAE 110224
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
ISSUED BY National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1024 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  St. Marks River near Newport On Old Magnolia Rd affecting Wakulla 
  County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC129-120223-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-181012T0900Z/
/NEPF1.1.ER.181011T0730Z.181011T1200Z.181011T2100Z.NO/
1024 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Thursday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the St. Marks River near Newport On Old Magnolia Rd.
* Until late Thursday night.
* At 10:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 7.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to 
  rise to near 8.6 feet by tomorrow morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact: At 9.0 feet: Natural Bridge Road will flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3027 8413 3024 8413 3013 8419 3014 8423 3024 8417 3027 8417


$$

133 
WGUS82 KTAE 111306
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
ISSUED BY National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
906 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Florida...
 
  St. Marks River near Newport On Old Magnolia Rd affecting Wakulla 
  County

. The St. Marks River has dropped below flood stage and is forecasted
to remain below flood stage due to lower than expected rainfall
amounts. 

 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC129-111336-
/O.CAN.KTAE.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-181012T0900Z/
/NEPF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
906 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the St. Marks River near Newport On Old Magnolia Rd.
* At  8:00 AM Thursday the stage was 6.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river crested below flood stage at 7.2 feet. The 
  river will fall to 6.3 feet by .
* Impact: At 8.0 feet: Minor lowland flooding begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3027 8413 3024 8413 3013 8419 3014 8423 3024 8417 3027 8417


$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
426 PM EDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE MICHAEL CONTINUES TO MOVE
NORTH TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST GULF COAST...

...HURRICANE PREPARATIONS NEED TO BE COMPLETED TODAY...

.SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Thursday Night]...

Key Points...

1. Hurricane Michael is expected to make landfall as a major
hurricane along the Florida Panhandle or western Big Bend on
Wednesday. Conditions will begin to deteriorate late tonight into
early Wednesday.

2. The greatest threats include the danger of life threatening storm
surge along the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend coastlines and
damaging winds that will result in widespread power outages that may
last days to even more than a week in some areas. In addition,
localized flash flooding and a few tornadoes are possible.

3. With evacuation orders in effect, follow the guidance of local
emergency management and evacuate if told to do so.

The Wednesday and Wednesday night time frame is when the greatest
impacts (potentially catastrophic) from Hurricane Michael will be
felt across the area. Michael continues to strengthen as it moves
northward and enters the southern Gulf of Mexico and is forecast to
be a major hurricane at landfall. Life threatening storm surge,
downed trees and power lines causing widespread and long lasting
power outages, structural damage impacting homes and businesses,
isolated tornadoes, and flash flooding are all expected. Your
hurricane preparations should be completed today.

.LONG TERM [Friday Through Tuesday]...

A dry stretch of weather is forecast Friday through Sunday, along
with a cooler and drier air mass. Temperatures will be more
seasonable with highs in the low to mid 80s and lows in the mid 50s
to mid 60s.

For Monday through Tuesday, a complex pattern sets up which leads to
uncertainty in the sensible weather details. The area will reside
between a cold front approaching from the west, high pressure nosing
down the eastern seaboard, and greater subtropical moisture to the
east. This leads to the potential for increased shower activity
during this period.

&&

.AVIATION [Through 18Z Wednesday]...

Conditions will start to deteriorate late tonight into Wednesday as
Hurricane Michael moves closer to the area. Winds will increase
through the period with lowering ceilings and bands of convection
starting to move onshore close to dawn.

&&

.MARINE...

Hurricane Michael is expected to have a major impact on the area.
Hurricane conditions are expected with the worst conditions expected
on Wednesday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Red flag conditions are not expected for the next several days.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

Given the track and intensity of Hurricane Michael, widespread
rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with isolated 12 inch amounts are
possible. The highest of these totals will be in the Florida
panhandle and western Big Bend counties along and to the east of the
track of Michael. These rainfall amounts will result in flash
flooding.

Current river conditions are below normal levels. With the
anticipated rainfall, expect some of our river basins to rise above
flood stage. This appears most likely in the Ochlockonee River
basin, where there's potential that a couple of sites reach near
moderate flood levels.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is requested. Spotters should safely report
significant weather conditions and/or damage by calling the office or
tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   76  79  76  88  62 /  40 100  90  30  20
Panama City   76  79  75  87  62 /  70 100  80  30  10
Dothan        74  78  73  84  57 /  20 100  80  30  10
Albany        75  83  75  85  59 /  20 100  90  60  20
Valdosta      75  84  76  86  63 /  20  90  90  50  20
Cross City    77  83  78  88  68 /  30  90  90  50  20
Apalachicola  78  81  77  86  65 /  80 100  80  30  20

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Hurricane Warning for Calhoun-Central Walton-Coastal Bay-Coastal
     Dixie-Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-Coastal Jefferson-
     Coastal Taylor-Coastal Wakulla-Gadsden-Holmes-Inland Bay-
     Inland Franklin-Inland Gulf-Inland Jefferson-Inland Wakulla-
     Jackson-Leon-Liberty-North Walton-South Walton-Washington.

     Tropical Storm Warning for Inland Dixie-Inland Taylor-Lafayette-
     Madison.

     Flash Flood Watch from 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ this evening through
     Thursday morning for Calhoun-Central Walton-Coastal Bay-
     Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-Coastal Jefferson-Coastal
     Wakulla-Gadsden-Holmes-Inland Bay-Inland Franklin-Inland
     Gulf-Inland Jefferson-Inland Wakulla-Jackson-Leon-Liberty-
     North Walton-South Walton-Washington.

     High Rip Current Risk through late Thursday night for Coastal
     Bay-Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

     High Surf Warning until 2 AM EDT /1 AM CDT/ Thursday for Coastal
     Bay-Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

GA...Hurricane Warning for Baker-Brooks-Calhoun-Colquitt-Decatur-
     Dougherty-Early-Grady-Miller-Mitchell-Seminole-Thomas-
     Worth.

     Tropical Storm Warning for Ben Hill-Berrien-Clay-Cook-Irwin-
     Lanier-Lee-Lowndes-Quitman-Randolph-Terrell-Tift-Turner.

     Flash Flood Watch from 8 PM EDT this evening through Thursday
     morning for Baker-Ben Hill-Brooks-Calhoun-Clay-Colquitt-
     Decatur-Dougherty-Early-Grady-Irwin-Lee-Miller-Mitchell-
     Quitman-Randolph-Seminole-Terrell-Thomas-Tift-Turner-Worth.

     Hurricane Watch for Clay-Lee-Quitman-Randolph-Terrell.

AL...Hurricane Warning for Geneva-Houston.

     Tropical Storm Warning for Coffee-Dale-Henry.

     Flash Flood Watch from 7 PM CDT this evening through Thursday
     morning for Coffee-Dale-Geneva-Henry-Houston.

     Hurricane Watch for Coffee-Dale-Henry.

GM...Hurricane Warning for Apalachee Bay or Coastal Waters From
     Keaton Beach to Ochlockonee River FL out to 20 Nm-Coastal
     Waters From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola Fl out to 20
     Nm-Coastal waters from Suwannee River to Keaton Beach FL
     out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Apalachicola
     FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa
     Walton County Line FL out 20 NM-Waters from Suwannee River
     to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from
     Apalachicola to Mexico Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters
     from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL from 20
     to 60 NM.

&&

NEAR TERM...DVD
SHORT TERM...DVD
LONG TERM...DVD
AVIATION...DVD
MARINE...DVD
FIRE WEATHER...DVD
HYDROLOGY...DVD