River Flood Warning 16, NWS Tallahassee, FL

376 
WGUS82 KTAE 021948
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
348 PM EDT Thu Aug 2 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  Sopchoppy River near Sopchoppy (FR 343) affecting Wakulla County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC129-031948-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0016.180803T0043Z-180804T1738Z/
/SOPF1.1.ER.180803T0043Z.180803T1400Z.180804T0538Z.NO/
348 PM EDT Thu Aug 2 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Sopchoppy River near
Sopchoppy (FR 343).
* From this evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  3:30 PM Thursday the stage was 26.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to 
  rise to near 29.3 feet by Friday morning. 
* Impact: At 28.0 feet: Several roads along the river north of
  Sopchoppy are flooded. 
  At 30.0 feet: Homes on stilts in low lying areas in the town
  of Sopchoppy will experience flooding on the ground level.

&&

LAT...LON 3027 8453 3019 8447 3000 8444 3001 8454 3017 8453 3025 8460


$$

420 
WGUS82 KTAE 030159
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
959 PM EDT Thu Aug 2 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  St. Marks River near Newport On Old Magnolia Rd affecting Wakulla 
  County 
  Sopchoppy River near Sopchoppy (FR 343) affecting Wakulla County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC129-040158-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-180804T1738Z/
/SOPF1.1.ER.180803T0150Z.180803T1400Z.180804T0538Z.NO/
959 PM EDT Thu Aug 2 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Sopchoppy River near Sopchoppy (FR 343).
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At  9:30 PM Thursday the stage was 27.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise to
  near 29.3 feet by tomorrow late morning. The river will fall below 
  flood stage by early Saturday morning.
* Impact: At 30.0 feet: Homes on stilts in low lying areas in the town
  of Sopchoppy will experience flooding on the ground level.

&&

LAT...LON 3027 8453 3019 8447 3000 8444 3001 8454 3017 8453 3025 8460


$$

FLC129-040158-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-180807T0000Z/
/NEPF1.1.ER.180802T1840Z.180803T0100Z.180806T1200Z.NO/
959 PM EDT Thu Aug 2 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Monday evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the St. Marks River near Newport On Old Magnolia Rd.
* Until Monday evening.
* At  9:00 PM Thursday the stage was 8.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Monday morning.
* Impact: At 8.0 feet: Minor lowland flooding begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3027 8413 3024 8413 3013 8419 3014 8423 3024 8417 3027 8417


$$

526 
WGUS82 KTAE 031414
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1014 AM EDT Fri Aug 3 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  Sopchoppy River near Sopchoppy (FR 343) affecting Wakulla County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC129-041414-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-180805T0610Z/
/SOPF1.1.ER.180803T2334Z.180804T0500Z.180804T1810Z.NO/
1014 AM EDT Fri Aug 3 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday night...
The Flood Warning continues for the Sopchoppy River near
Sopchoppy (FR 343).
* Until late Saturday night.
* At  9:30 AM Friday the stage was 27.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to 
  rise to near 28.3 feet by late tonight. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Saturday afternoon. 
* Impact: At 28.0 feet: Several roads along the river north of 
  Sopchoppy are flooded. 

&&

LAT...LON 3027 8453 3019 8447 3000 8444 3001 8454 3017 8453 3025 8460


$$

178 
WGUS82 KTAE 032141
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
541 PM EDT Fri Aug 3 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Florida...
 
  Sopchoppy River near Sopchoppy (FR 343) affecting Wakulla County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC129-032211-
/O.CAN.KTAE.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-180805T0610Z/
/SOPF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
541 PM EDT Fri Aug 3 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for the Sopchoppy River near
Sopchoppy (FR 343).
* At  5:30 PM Friday the stage was 27.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river crested below flood stage at 27.7 feet
  this afternoon. The river will fall to 27.1 feet by Saturday
  afternoon.
* Impact: At 28.0 feet: Several roads along the river north of 
  Sopchoppy are flooded. 

&&

LAT...LON 3027 8453 3019 8447 3000 8444 3001 8454 3017 8453 3025 8460


$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1037 AM EDT Thu Aug 2 2018

.UPDATE...

The previous discussions remain valid, with no changes to the
Flash Flood Watch at this time. Other than increasing PoPs to 100%
area-wide, no changes were made to the previous forecast.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [650 AM EDT]...

.NEAR TERM [Through Today]...

Active and wet pattern will continue through the period as moist
southwesterly flow remains in place over the region. High pressure
will begin to encroach upon the region from the east today, yielding
additional thunderstorm activity to the east of the plume of deep
layer moisture streaming into the region. With PWATs continuing to
exceed 2", excessive rainfall rates will continue to pose a threat
across the region. Rainfall rates exceeding 3"/hr are not out of the
question under the strongest convection through the period. As a
result of this and recent rainfall accumulations generally in the 2-
4 inch range (with isolated higher amounts), flash flooding remains
the main concern through the period. A Flash Flood Watch remains in
effect along and west of a line from Wakulla County, FL to Clay
County, GA. Though severe weather is not expected, some storms will
be capable of producing gusty winds. Given how saturated the ground
is, large trees are particularly vulnerable to uprooting and falling
over in sub-severe winds.

Given widespread cloud cover and storm coverage, diurnal swings will
once again be small today. Expect highs to only reach the lower 80s
across much of the region.

.SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Saturday]...

The upper level trough will remain in place across the Mississippi
Valley Thursday night, keeping us in a more active period in terms
of rainfall for the beginning of the short term. As high pressure
over the Atlantic builds westward on Friday, the upper level jet
associated with the trough is pushed westward. Despite the
lessening influence of the jet across the CWA, the area will
remain under deep southerly flow with high PoPs remaining through
Friday with the potential of heavy rain continuing through the end
of the work week. As the trough breaks down and high pressure
builds in, with relatively drier air, PoPs will return to the
30-50% range on Saturday with the higher values across the west.

.LONG TERM [Saturday Night Through Thursday]...

Will see a break from the wet pattern we have been in during the
long term. High pressure will slide over the southeast on Sunday and
with drier air in place, PoPs will be below normal for this time of
year. PoPs will range from 20-30% during the day, increasing to
around 30% on Wednesday. Highs will be in the lower 90s with lows in
the low to mid 70s.

.AVIATION [Through 12Z Friday]...

Widespread showers with scattered thunderstorms will continue
today around/at the TAF sites. Since TSRA will be more scattered,
have included in VCTS with predominate RA. Brief vsby reductions
are possible. MVFR cigs are expected through the day.

.MARINE...

Southerly winds around 10 knots and seas of 2-3 feet will persist
today and tomorrow across the marine area. Widespread showers and
scattered thunderstorms are expected across the marine area through
the remainder of the week. Winds and seas will be higher near the
thunderstorms. High pressure building into the area this weekend
will allow for below normal rain chances Sunday into next week.

.FIRE WEATHER...

Outside of low dispersions across the Florida Panhandle and
marginally high dispersions across the eastern Big Bend, hazardous
fire weather conditions are not expected through the weekend.
Chances for wetting rains remain elevated through Friday.

.HYDROLOGY...

The higher rainfall totals have generally been observed across the
Florida Panhandle with areas of 3-5 inches of rain since Tuesday
morning. The heaviest rainfall through Friday will be focused
mainly south of I-10, with generally 2-4 inches of rain likely
with isolated maximum totals up to 8 inches possible. Given the
potential for the heavier totals, will maintain the flash flood
watch as currently configured. With indications though, that the
heavy rain threat will continue into tonight, particularly along
the coast, have extended the Flash Flood Watch through 12z Friday.

In terms of the rivers, rises can be noted on area rivers with
some expected to make it into action stage or minor flood stage.
The Aucilla River at Lamont is rising steadily and is expected to
go above flood stage in the next couple of days. In addition, the
St. Marks River at Newport is just below flood stage and will have
to be monitored for the potential to reach flood stage later
today. The Sopchoppy River is approaching action stage this
morning and should come close to flood stage tonight. Will also
be watching the Steinhatchee River - though anticipated rainfall
amounts there may be just low enough to prevent a return to flood
stage.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   80  73  87  74  91 / 100  50  60  30  30
Panama City   80  75  85  75  89 / 100  60  60  30  40
Dothan        79  71  83  71  89 / 100  50  60  30  50
Albany        79  72  86  72  90 / 100  50  60  30  50
Valdosta      85  73  88  73  91 / 100  30  70  30  30
Cross City    87  74  90  74  91 /  90  40  50  30  30
Apalachicola  81  76  86  76  88 / 100  50  50  30  40

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Flash Flood Watch through Friday morning for Calhoun-Central
     Walton-Coastal Bay-Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-Coastal
     Wakulla-Gadsden-Holmes-Inland Bay-Inland Franklin-Inland
     Gulf-Inland Wakulla-Jackson-Leon-Liberty-North Walton-South
     Walton-Washington.

     High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for Coastal Bay-
     Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

GA...Flash Flood Watch through Friday morning for Clay-Decatur-Early-
     Miller-Seminole.

AL...Flash Flood Watch through Friday morning for Coffee-Dale-Geneva-
     Henry-Houston.

GM...None.
&&

UPDATE...Harrigan
NEAR TERM...Pullin
SHORT TERM...Fieux
LONG TERM...Fieux
AVIATION...Fieux
MARINE...Fieux
FIRE WEATHER...Pullin
HYDROLOGY...Fieux

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
509 AM EDT THU AUG 2 2018

FLZ010-012-112-021000-
Coastal Bay FL-Inland Bay FL-Washington FL-
509 AM EDT THU AUG 2 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN BAY AND SOUTHEASTERN
WASHINGTON COUNTIES UNTIL 600 AM EDT/500 AM CDT/...

At 509 AM EDT/409 AM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm near Panama City Beach, moving north at 25 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Panama City, Lynn Haven, Panama City Beach, Springfield, Hiland Park,
Southport, Fountain, Cedar Grove, Singer Road, Dirego Park, College
Station, Bayou George, Camp Flowers, Holmes Valley, Gainer Spring,
Bennett, Youngstown, Porter Lake, Brannonville and Vicksburg.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3059 8581 3057 8544 3057 8539 3030 8539
      3016 8565 3022 8585
TIME...MOT...LOC 0909Z 197DEG 23KT 3027 8576

30-PULLIN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
537 AM EDT THU AUG 2 2018

FLZ015-026-027-115-127-021015-
Inland Franklin FL-Liberty FL-Coastal Wakulla FL-Coastal Franklin FL-
Inland Wakulla FL-
537 AM EDT THU AUG 2 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN WAKULLA...
SOUTHEASTERN LIBERTY AND NORTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES UNTIL 615 AM
EDT...

At 536 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Carrabelle, moving north at 25 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Carrabelle, Sopchoppy, Carrabelle Beach, East Camp, Morgan Place,
Saint Teresa, Turkey Point, Mcintyre, Yent Place, Sanborn, Poplar
Camp, Buckhorn, Lanark Village and Curtis Mill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 2982 8446 2977 8469 3016 8481 3017 8442
TIME...MOT...LOC 0936Z 178DEG 23KT 2985 8460

30-PULLIN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
949 AM EDT THU AUG 2 2018

FLZ015-115-021430-
Inland Franklin FL-Coastal Franklin FL-
949 AM EDT THU AUG 2 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FRANKLIN COUNTY UNTIL 1030 AM
EDT...

At 949 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Eastpoint, moving northeast at 30 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Carrabelle, St George Island, Eastpoint, Apalachicola, Franklin,
Carrabelle Beach, Buck Siding, Morgan Place, Royal Bluff, High Bluff,
Yent Place, St George Island St Pk, Beverly, Green Point, Lanark
Village, Creels and Hays Place.

LAT...LON 2976 8503 3001 8494 3001 8469 2982 8442
      2981 8449 2975 8453 2958 8487
TIME...MOT...LOC 1349Z 227DEG 24KT 2972 8488

15-HARRIGAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
953 AM EDT THU AUG 2 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0947 AM     MARINE TSTM WIND 3 NW SAINT GEORGE ISLAN 29.69N 84.89W
08/02/2018  M48 MPH          GMZ755             FL   MESONET

            WEATHERSTEM SITE ON THE ST GEORGE ISLAND
            BRIDGE MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 48 MPH.

&&

DVD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
958 AM EDT THU AUG 2 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 AM     HEAVY RAIN       SUNNYSIDE               30.25N 85.94W
08/02/2018  M5.61 INCH       BAY                FL   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS STATION FL-BY-10, SUNNYSIDE. THE
            DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 72
            HOURS.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       TELOGIA                 30.35N 84.82W
08/02/2018  M9.51 INCH       LIBERTY            FL   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS STATION FL-LB-3, TELOGIA. THE
            DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 72
            HOURS.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       I-75 AT EXIT 5          30.68N 83.24W
08/02/2018  M5.07 INCH       LOWNDES            GA   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS STATION GA-LW-4, I-75 AT EXIT 5.
            THE DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 72
            HOURS.

0730 AM     HEAVY RAIN       LIVE OAK                30.57N 85.87W
08/02/2018  M8.12 INCH       WASHINGTON         FL   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS STATION FL-WS-1, LIVE OAK. THE
            DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 72
            HOURS.

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       WACISSA SPRINGS         30.34N 84.00W
08/02/2018  M5.68 INCH       JEFFERSON          FL   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS STATION FL-JF-3, WACISSA SPRINGS.
            THE DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 72
            HOURS.

0830 AM     HEAVY RAIN       INLET BEACH             30.28N 86.00W
08/02/2018  M5.88 INCH       WALTON             FL   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS STATION FL-WT-14, INLET BEACH. THE
            DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 72
            HOURS.

0900 AM     HEAVY RAIN       OCHLOCKONEE RIVER AT CU 29.99N 84.50W
08/02/2018  M5.20 INCH       WAKULLA            FL   MESONET

            MESONET STATION CTMF1, OCHLOCKONEE RIVER AT
            CURTIS MILL. THE DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN
            EVENT WAS 72 HOURS.

0900 AM     HEAVY RAIN       NWFWMD FAF WELL #47     30.56N 86.03W
08/02/2018  M6.95 INCH       WALTON             FL   MESONET

            MESONET STATION RBYF1, NWFWMD FAF WELL #47.
            THE DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 72
            HOURS.

0900 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 NNE THOMAS CITY       30.37N 83.97W
08/02/2018  M5.84 INCH       JEFFERSON          FL   MESONET

            MESONET STATION WACF1, 1 NNE THOMAS CITY.
            THE DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 72
            HOURS.

0904 AM     HEAVY RAIN       SUMATRA                 30.02N 84.99W
08/02/2018  M6.62 INCH       LIBERTY            FL   MESONET

            MESONET STATION SURF1, SUMATRA. THE DURATION
            OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 72 HOURS.

0930 AM     HEAVY RAIN       SPRING CREEK NEAR SPRIN 30.07N 84.33W
08/02/2018  M6.75 INCH       GMZ730             FL   MESONET

            MESONET STATION SBIF1, SPRING CREEK NEAR
            SPRING CREEK ON BOGGY ISLAND. THE DURATION
            OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 72 HOURS.

0940 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 SSE PORTLAND          30.49N 86.19W
08/02/2018  M5.33 INCH       WALTON             FL   MESONET

            MESONET STATION AU805, 1 SSE PORTLAND. THE
            DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 72
            HOURS.

&&