Alert archive / Minnesota / Tornado Watches in 2018

Tornado Watch 183

June 17, 201816 counties in Minnesota; 15 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 17, 2018, 12:34 PM CDT for 16 counties in Minnesota; 15 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 17, 2018, 12:34 PM CDT (17:34 UTC)
Expired
Jun 17, 2018, 8:17 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 31 counties

Aitkin County, MN, Anoka County, MN, Benton County, MN, Carlton County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Crow Wing County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Pine County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Washington County, MN, Wright County, MN, Ashland County, WI, Barron County, WI, Bayfield County, WI, Burnett County, WI, Chippewa County, WI, Douglas County, WI, Dunn County, WI, Eau Claire County, WI, Iron County, WI, Polk County, WI, Price County, WI, Rusk County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI, Sawyer County, WI, Washburn County, WI

The radar

The Duluth radar (KDLH), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 17, 1:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAitkin, Carlton, Saint Louis29 min
Jun 17, 1:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAitkin, Cass, Crow Wing36 min
Jun 17, 1:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCarlton, Saint Louis43 min
Jun 17, 2:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAitkin, Carlton, Pine25 min
Jun 17, 2:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCarlton, Saint Louis29 min
Jun 17, 2:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCarlton, Saint Louis35 min
Jun 17, 2:25 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXKanabec35 min
Jun 17, 2:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCarlton, Pine31 min
Jun 17, 2:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHDouglas22 min
Jun 17, 3:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHPine44 min
Jun 17, 3:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHBayfield, Douglas, Sawyer, Washburn24 min
Jun 17, 3:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHBurnett, Washburn33 min
Jun 17, 3:47 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDLHBayfield, Douglas3 hr
Jun 17, 3:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAshland, Bayfield, Iron, Price, Sawyer78 min
Jun 17, 4:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXChippewa, Eau Claire24 min
Jun 17, 4:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHSawyer, Washburn31 min
Jun 17, 4:23 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDLHAshland, Bayfield, Iron3 hr
Jun 17, 5:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXChippewa47 min
Jun 17, 5:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBarron, Polk43 min
Jun 17, 6:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBarron, Chippewa, Dunn, Rusk44 min
Jun 17, 7:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHPrice35 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 5.6 hours before the alert went out and 145 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2018-06-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1067 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2018-06-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 181 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1067 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-128 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1089 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
181 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
175 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
1.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

160 
WWUS20 KWNS 171733
SEL3  
SPC WW 171733
MNZ000-WIZ000-LSZ000-180200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 183
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1235 PM CDT Sun Jun 17 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  East-central Minnesota
  Northwest Wisconsin
  Lake Superior

* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 1235 PM until
  900 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...A cluster of strong to severe storms should develop east
from central Minnesota this afternoon. Damaging winds should be the
primary hazard, but a couple tornadoes and large hail will be
possible as well.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
north and south of a line from 25 miles north northwest of Saint
Cloud MN to 60 miles south southeast of Kennedy WI. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 26025.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 16, 9:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Stone, Chippewa, Douglas, Grant, Kandiyohi, Lac qui Parle and 12 more119 min
Jun 16, 9:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Becker, Benton, Carlton, Cass, Crow Wing and 7 more67 min
Jun 16, 9:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAitkin, Becker, Benton, Carlton, Cass, Chisago and 22 more7 hr
Jun 16, 10:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Stone, Traverse88 min
Jun 16, 11:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Anoka, Becker, Benton, Carlton, Cass and 28 more2 hr
Jun 17, 2:38 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Carlton, Chisago, Isanti, Kanabec, Mille Lacs and 1 more97 min
Jun 17, 12:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Anoka, Benton, Carlton, Carver, Chippewa and 20 more93 min
Jun 17, 3:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Chisago, Hennepin, Isanti, Pine, Ramsey and 1 more97 min
Jun 17, 3:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlue Earth, Brown, Cottonwood, Jackson, Lyon, Martin and 8 more53 min
Jun 17, 5:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Chisago, Hennepin, Isanti, Ramsey, Sherburne and 2 more2 hr
Jun 17, 3:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClark, Florence, Forest, Langlade, Lincoln, Marathon and 10 more8 hr
Jun 17, 6:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFlorence, Forest, Langlade, Lincoln, Marathon, Marinette and 8 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2018Tornado Watches in Wisconsin, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.