Alert archive / Wyoming / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 83

May 11, 2018Larimer County, Weld County, Colorado; 4 counties in Nebraska; 7 counties in Wyoming

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 11, 2018, 2:02 PM MDT for Larimer County, Weld County, Colorado; 4 counties in Nebraska; 7 counties in Wyoming. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 11, 2018, 2:02 PM MDT (20:02 UTC)
Expired
May 11, 2018, 8:49 PM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Larimer County, CO, Weld County, CO, Banner County, NE, Kimball County, NE, Scotts Bluff County, NE, Sioux County, NE, Albany County, WY, Carbon County, WY, Converse County, WY, Goshen County, WY, Laramie County, WY, Niobrara County, WY, Platte County, WY

The radar

The Cheyenne radar (KCYS), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 11, 2:11 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSAlbany, Platte37 min
May 11, 2:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSGoshen, Platte36 min
May 11, 3:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSLaramie, Platte24 min
May 11, 4:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSLaramie, Platte24 min
May 11, 4:34 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSGoshen, Laramie26 min
May 11, 4:49 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSCarbon41 min
May 11, 5:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSCarbon33 min
May 11, 5:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSCarbon46 min
May 11, 6:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSCarbon26 min
May 11, 6:39 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSCarbon51 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 245 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2018-05-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2018-05-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -91 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1147 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-91 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
66 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 6:06 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Kit Carson, Lincoln, Washington, Yuma114 min
May 10, 6:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCYuma9 hr
May 11, 12:00 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoulder, Broomfield, Larimer, Weld2 hr
May 11, 5:39 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLarimer, Weld96 min
May 10, 6:39 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arthur, Blaine, Buffalo, Chase, Custer and 25 more2 hr
May 10, 10:16 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Antelope, Boone, Buffalo, Chase, Custer and 19 more89 min
May 11, 12:13 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Cass, Douglas, Gage, Jefferson, Johnson and 7 more92 min
May 11, 12:50 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCButler, Cass, Gage, Jefferson, Johnson, Lancaster and 6 more3 hr
May 11, 3:24 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Butler, Cass, Clay, Colfax, Douglas and 22 more66 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wyoming, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2018Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.