Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 8

March 10, 2018Ashley County, Chicot County, Arkansas; 25 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 10, 2018, 8:33 PM CST for Ashley County, Chicot County, Arkansas; 25 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 10, 2018, 8:33 PM CST (02:33 UTC)
Expired
Mar 11, 2018, 5:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 27 counties

Ashley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Attala County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Leake County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Madison County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yazoo County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 154 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

27 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 10, 9:29 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChicot46 min
Mar 10, 9:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAshley, Chicot48 min
Mar 10, 10:08 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHumphreys, Sunflower, Washington52 min
Mar 10, 10:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Leake, Neshoba, Winston50 min
Mar 10, 10:24 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChicot66 min
Mar 10, 10:28 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANNoxubee, Winston3 hr
Mar 10, 10:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANNeshoba, Winston67 min
Mar 10, 10:39 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChicot66 min
Mar 10, 10:46 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHolmes, Humphreys, Yazoo59 min
Mar 10, 11:11 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANSharkey, Washington64 min
Mar 10, 11:26 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHolmes, Madison, Yazoo49 min
Mar 10, 11:27 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHolmes63 min
Mar 10, 11:28 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANHumphreys, Sunflower, Washington3 hr
Mar 10, 11:37 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANKemper, Neshoba38 min
Mar 10, 11:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHolmes, Yazoo33 min
Mar 11, 12:02 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Leake, Madison58 min
Mar 11, 12:11 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Holmes, Madison, Yazoo64 min
Mar 11, 12:13 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHumphreys, Sharkey, Yazoo77 min
Mar 11, 12:26 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAshley79 min
Mar 11, 12:51 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHolmes, Madison, Yazoo69 min
Mar 11, 1:01 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChicot19 min
Mar 11, 1:25 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMadison, Yazoo56 min
Mar 11, 1:27 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAshley, Chicot63 min
Mar 11, 1:49 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLeake, Madison, Scott41 min
Mar 11, 1:51 AM CSTTornado WarningJANMadison24 min
Mar 11, 3:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANRankin, Scott, Smith67 min
Mar 11, 4:07 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClarke, Lauderdale, Newton53 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 2.6 hours before the alert went out and 146 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2018-03-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 54 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2018-03-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 32 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
54 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-24 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1700 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
32 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
108 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 10, 8:06 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Chicot, Clark, Cleveland, Conway, Crawford and 27 more114 min
Mar 10, 10:08 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLafayette, Miller2 hr
Mar 10, 10:44 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Lincoln91 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Mississippi, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2018Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.