Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 69

May 3, 201817 counties in Oklahoma; 8 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 3, 2018, 5:18 AM CDT for 17 counties in Oklahoma; 8 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 3, 2018, 5:18 AM CDT (10:18 UTC)
Expired
May 3, 2018, 11:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 25 counties

Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Carter County, OK, Coal County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Love County, OK, Marshall County, OK, Murray County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Archer County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Clay County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Montague County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX

The radar

The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 3, 5:19 AM CDTTornado WarningOUNTillman26 min
May 3, 5:27 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAtoka, Coal, Johnston33 min
May 3, 5:29 AM CDTTornado WarningOUNTillman16 min
May 3, 6:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNComanche, Cotton, Tillman28 min
May 3, 6:20 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNComanche, Cotton, Grady, Stephens25 min
May 3, 6:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGarvin, Grady, Jefferson, Stephens33 min
May 3, 7:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCarter, Garvin, Grady, McClain, Murray, Stephens37 min
May 3, 7:33 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCarter, Garvin, McClain, Murray, Pottawatomie27 min
May 3, 8:20 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNHughes, Pontotoc, Pottawatomie, Seminole40 min
May 3, 8:24 AM CDTTornado WarningOUNPontotoc, Seminole14 min
May 3, 8:56 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDMontague, Wise53 min
May 3, 8:59 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNHughes, Seminole46 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 146 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2018-05-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1823 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2018-05-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 135 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1823 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-104 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1260 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
135 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
171 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.7
Supercell composite
10.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 2, 7:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Cherokee, Coal, Craig, Creek, Delaware and 18 more2 hr
May 2, 8:05 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Cherokee, Choctaw and 30 more6 hr
May 2, 11:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Cherokee, Coal and 26 more96 min
May 3, 4:06 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBryan, Carter, Cleveland, Coal, Comanche, Cotton and 14 more114 min
May 3, 9:02 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Cherokee, Haskell, Hughes, Latimer, LeFlore and 4 more88 min
May 3, 9:55 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Coal, Comanche, Cotton, Garvin, Jefferson and 7 more65 min
May 3, 12:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChoctaw, LeFlore, McCurtain85 min
May 2, 7:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCallahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Crockett, Eastland and 27 more88 min
May 2, 10:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBorden, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Crockett and 28 more93 min
May 3, 5:55 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBosque, Brown, Callahan, Coleman, Comanche, Concho and 28 more2 hr
May 3, 7:03 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBell, Bosque, Brown, Burnet, Coleman, Collin and 38 more7 hr
May 3, 5:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bexar, Dimmit, Edwards, Frio, Gillespie and 8 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2018Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.