Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 67

May 2, 201829 counties in Illinois; 5 counties in Indiana

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 2, 2018, 10:51 PM CDT for 29 counties in Illinois; 5 counties in Indiana. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 2, 2018, 10:51 PM CDT (03:51 UTC)
Expired
May 3, 2018, 3:07 AM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 34 counties

Cass County, IL, Cook County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, DuPage County, IL, Ford County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Grundy County, IL, Iroquois County, IL, Kane County, IL, Kankakee County, IL, Kendall County, IL, Knox County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, Livingston County, IL, Logan County, IL, Marshall County, IL, Mason County, IL, McLean County, IL, Menard County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Stark County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Will County, IL, Woodford County, IL, Benton County, IN, Jasper County, IN, Lake County, IN, Newton County, IN, Porter County, IN

The radar

The Chicago radar (KLOT), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
50%

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 00:00Z, 3.9 hours before the alert went out and 121 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2018-05-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1056 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2018-05-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 109 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1056 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1699 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
109 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
134 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
3.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 2, 7:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage and 24 more84 min
May 2, 10:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, DeKalb, DuPage, Grundy, Henderson, Henry and 18 more89 min
May 2, 10:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Calhoun, Pike115 min
May 2, 11:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Brown, Calhoun, Greene, Jersey, Macoupin and 5 more7 hr
May 3, 1:57 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, Cook, DeKalb, DeWitt, DuPage, Ford and 22 more93 min
May 3, 2:32 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Greene, Jersey, Macoupin, Madison, Monroe and 3 more88 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2018Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.